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| 黄河流域经济韧性时空演变与影响因素研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 李连刚,张平宇,程钰,王成新.黄河流域经济韧性时空演变与影响因素研究[J].地理科学,2022,42(4):557-567. |
| 作者姓名： | 李连刚 张平宇 程钰 王成新 |
| 作者单位： | 1.山东师范大学地理与环境学院/山东省高校人地协调与绿色发展协同创新中心，山东 济南 250358 2.中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所，吉林 长春 130102 3.中国科学院大学资源与环境学院，北京 100049 |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(41571152,42071162,42101161)；;中国博士后科学基金项目(2020M672113)；;山东省博士后创新项目(202003021)； |
| 摘 要： | 黄河流域应对外部冲击的经济韧性能力是实现黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展国家战略的关键。以黄河流域91个地市单元为研究对象，构建经济韧性指数，分析了黄河流域面对2008年国际金融危机的经济韧性的时空变化特征，并探究其决定因素。结果发现：① 黄河流域面对国际金融危机的抵抗力随着时间的推移呈现出显著下降的态势，表现出显著的空间集聚特征，黄河流域中南部地区经济韧性水平相对较高；② 黄河流域经济韧性存在显著的正向空间自相关特征，在空间上表现出经济韧性水平高（低）的城市在空间上集聚分布，且空间自相关指数呈现出上升的趋势；③ 相关多样性、专业化、政府管控和第三产业比重均显著的促进黄河流域经济韧性水平提升，而当前经济发展模式不利于经济韧性水平的提升；④ 黄河流域经济韧性具有显著的空间溢出效应，高经济韧性水平城市的发展将促进周边城市经济韧性水平的提升。 |
| 关 键 词： | 区域经济韧性 空间集聚 空间溢出 产业结构 黄河流域 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021-01-22 |
| 修稿时间： | 2021-10-20 |
Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Economic Resilience in the Yellow River Basin |
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| Li Liangang,Zhang Pingyu,Cheng Yu,Wang Chengxin.Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Economic Resilience in the Yellow River Basin[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2022,42(4):557-567. | |
| Authors: | Li Liangang Zhang Pingyu Cheng Yu Wang Chengxin |
| Institution: | 1. College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Collaborative Innovation Center of Human-Nature and Green Development in Universities of Shandong, Jinan 250358, Shandong, China 2. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, Jilin, China 3. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China |
| Abstract: | The economic resilience of the Yellow River Basin in response to external shocks is the key to achieving the national strategy of ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin. We takes 91 cities in the Yellow River Basin as the research object and constructs an economic resilience index. The article analyzes the spatio-temporal characteristics of the economic resilience of the Yellow River Basin in the face of the 2008 international financial crisis, and explores its determinants. The results show that: 1) The resistance of the Yellow River Basin to the international financial crisis shows a significant decline over time, the economic resilience of the Yellow River Basin shows significant spatial agglomeration characteristics, and the economic resilience level of the south central part of the Yellow River Basin is relatively high; 2) There is a significant positive spatial autocorrelation in the economic resilience of the Yellow River Basin, which shows that cities with high (low) level of economic resilience are clustered in space, and the spatial autocorrelation index shows an upward trend; 3) Related variety, specialization, government control and the proportion of tertiary industry significantly promote the improvement of economic resilience in the Yellow River Basin, while the current economic development model is not conducive to the improvement of economic resilience; 4) The economic resilience of the Yellow River Basin has a significant spatial spillover effect, and the development of cities with high economic resilience level will promote the economic resilience of surrounding cities. |
| Keywords: | regional economic resilience spatial agglomeration spatial spillover industrial structure the Yellow River Basin |
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