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基于三角模糊数随机模拟的地下水环境系统综合风险评价模型
引用本文:金菊良,刘丽,汪明武,李如忠,周玉良.基于三角模糊数随机模拟的地下水环境系统综合风险评价模型[J].地理科学,2011(2):143-147.
作者姓名:金菊良  刘丽  汪明武  李如忠  周玉良
作者单位:合肥工业大学土木与水利工程学院;合肥工业大学资源与环境工程学院;
基金项目:水利部公益性行业科研专项(编号201001043); 国家自然科学基金项目(51079037); 安徽省优秀青年科技基金项目(08040106830)资助
摘    要:采用随机模拟方法模拟三角模糊数,把三角模糊数及函数间运算简化为普通的实数之间运算,建立基于三角模糊数随机模拟的地下水环境系统综合风险评价模型(ARA-SSTFN).结果说明:以置信区间形式表示的ARA-SSTFN评价结果,比现有常规方法结果提供评价结果可靠性方面更多信息,能反映受多种不确定性因素综合影响的地下水环境系统...

关 键 词:地下水环境  系统脆弱性  综合风险评价  三角模糊数  蒙特卡洛方法

Comprehensive Risk Assessment Method for Groundwater Environment System Based on Stochastic Simulation and Triangular Fuzzy Numbers
JIN Ju-liang,LIU Li,WANG Ming-wu,LI Ru-zhong,ZHOU Yu-liang.Comprehensive Risk Assessment Method for Groundwater Environment System Based on Stochastic Simulation and Triangular Fuzzy Numbers[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2011(2):143-147.
Authors:JIN Ju-liang  LIU Li  WANG Ming-wu  LI Ru-zhong  ZHOU Yu-liang
Institution:JIN Ju-liang1,LIU Li1,WANG Ming-wu1,LI Ru-zhong2,ZHOU Yu-liang1(1.School of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei,Anhui 230009,China,2.School of Resources and Environmental Engineering,Anhui 23000,China)
Abstract:Influenced by the changes in natural conditions and human activities,groundwater vulnerability assessment,focusing on the vulnerability evaluation inherent to the hydrogeology,has reached a new phase of integrated risk assessment by taking into account the pollution caused by human activities,its negative effects on water environment,as well as the index risk rank and risk importance of groundwater environment.To resolve the problems of the impreciseness,complex implementation and the real number,resulted f...
Keywords:groundwater environment  system vulnerability  comprehensive risk assessment  triangular fuzzy numbers  Monte-Carlo method  
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