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海南省耕地变化与经济发展关系研究
引用本文:张正栋,周永章,夏斌.海南省耕地变化与经济发展关系研究[J].热带地理,2006,26(1):56-60.
作者姓名:张正栋  周永章  夏斌
作者单位:1. 中国科学院广州地球化学研究所,广州,510640;嘉应学院,地理系,广东,梅州,514015;中山大学,地球资源与地球环境研究中心,广州,510640;中国科学院研究生院,北京,100039
2. 中山大学,地球资源与地球环境研究中心,广州,510640
3. 中国科学院广州地球化学研究所,广州,510640
基金项目:广东省科技厅科技计划项目(2004B20501002),广东省自然科学基金项目(5008167)
摘    要:研究了近35年来海南岛耕地动态变化,认为政策、经济因素是耕地变化的最主要驱动力。选择区域总人口、国内生产总值、人均GDP、固定资产投资、城市化水平等驱动因子建立了与耕地减少量间的相关模型,结果显示研究区人口增长、经济发展与耕地减少量之间存在着比较明显的呈类似库兹涅茨曲线倒“U”型关系。认为要实现保护耕地的目标,除了依靠最严格的耕地保护政策外,还应当依靠特色农业、非农业的发展以及产业结构的升级和合理安排城乡建设用地,从而积极提高土地利用集约度。

关 键 词:耕地变化  经济发展  库兹涅茨曲线  海南岛
文章编号:1001-5221(2006)01-0056-05
收稿时间:2005-04-11
修稿时间:2005-09-06

Relationship between the Change of Cultivated Land and Socio-Economic Development in Hainan Province
ZHANG Zheng-dong,ZHOU Yong-zhang,XIA Bin.Relationship between the Change of Cultivated Land and Socio-Economic Development in Hainan Province[J].Tropical Geography,2006,26(1):56-60.
Authors:ZHANG Zheng-dong  ZHOU Yong-zhang  XIA Bin
Abstract:The dynamic change of cultivated land in Hainan Island for last 35 years is studies.It is pointed out that the main driving forces of the change of cultivated land are socio-economic and policy factors.Four correlative models are built up on the relationship between the decrement of cultivated land and population,total investment in fixed assets,per-capita GDP and urbanization level.The results indicate that: the cultivated land decreased with the increase of population and economic growth,showing a Kuznets Curve.In order to realize sustainable use of cultivated land in Hainan Island,it is rather important to raise specific productivity of cultivated land by increasing investment both in capital and in agricultural technique,upgrading the industrial structure and arranging reasonably the construction land in urban and rural areas, in addition to strict management regulations for cultivated land.
Keywords:The changing of cultivated land  Economic development  Kuznets Curves  Hainan Island
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