| 非洲在世界石油供给格局中的地位演变 |
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| 引用本文： | 郝丽莎,赵媛.非洲在世界石油供给格局中的地位演变[J].地理研究,2012,31(3):507-520. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郝丽莎 赵媛 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京师范大学地理科学学院, 南京 210046 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(40971289);教育部博士点基金(20093207110010);江苏高校优势学科建设工程专项基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 21世纪以来,非洲已成为世界石油进口大国寻求来源地多元化、保障自身石油安全的战略高地,也成为我国的第二大石油来源地。考察非洲在世界石油供给格局中的地位及演变,有利于系统把握非洲石油供给的优劣势,为优化我国对非石油合作战略提供依据。本文以国家为研究单元,综合运用箱线图和空间聚类分析法,创新份额和位序综合分析法,对比考察了...
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| 关 键 词： | 非洲 石油供给 地位演变 箱线图 空间聚类 石油合作 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-04-21 |
| 修稿时间： | 2011-09-02 |
Africa's position shift in world oil supply pattern |
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| HAO Li-sha,ZHAO Yuan.Africa's position shift in world oil supply pattern[J].Geographical Research,2012,31(3):507-520. |
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| Authors: | HAO Li-sha ZHAO Yuan |
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| Institution: | School of Geographical Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210046, China |
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| Abstract: | In the 21st century,Africa has been a strategic place for major oil importers seeking to diversify imports in order to achieve greater oil security,and also Africa has been the second biggest source for China,so that analyses of Africa's position shift in world oil supply pattern could help us to get a better understanding of Africa's advantages and disadvantages in the oil supply,in order to optimize China's strategy for oil cooperation with Africa.In this paper,boxplots and spatial cluster analysis are integrated,together with modified share and rank analysis,to examine and compare Africa's positions and their shift in the patterns of world oil proved reserves,oil production,reserves-to-production ratio,and exports.The results show that,Africa is the most concentrated area of oil supplying countries besides Middle East,and with the supersession of the old by the new,its overall supply position is relatively steady or even promoted;Africa's relative advantages in world oil supply pattern are its high reserves-to-production ratio and high export ratio,so that it is one of the key areas to provide sustained growth of oil production and export in the future;Africa has gradually penetrated the world's heartland of oil supply,and its oil geopolitical importance is enhanced greatly;in the long-term perspective,Africa will still be one of the major oil sources for China,and China should promote diverse strategies to Africa and enter Africa's core oil market,in order to enlarge supply,and achieve risk diversification. |
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| Keywords: | Africa oil supply position shift boxplots spatial cluster analysis oil cooperation |
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