| 中美在中国周边地区的商品贸易发展及影响力对比北大核心CSCDCSSCI |
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| 引用本文： | 陈小强,袁丽华,宋长青,程昌秀,曹丹萍,王翔宇,梁晓瑶,王元慧,易红.中美在中国周边地区的商品贸易发展及影响力对比北大核心CSCDCSSCI[J].地理研究,2022,41(3):663-680. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈小强 袁丽华 宋长青 程昌秀 曹丹萍 王翔宇 梁晓瑶 王元慧 易红 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.北京师范大学地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室,北京 1008752.北京师范大学地理科学学部,北京 1008753.北京师范大学地理数据与应用分析中心,北京 100875 |
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| 基金项目： | 次青藏高原综合考察研究项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 中美两国之间激烈的贸易竞争不仅集中在双边贸易领域,而且延伸为全球市场范围内的博弈。尤其在中国周边地区,厘清两国贸易影响力此消彼长的竞争态势,对维护中国的经济安全与发展具有重要现实意义。基于1996—2017年国家间商品贸易数据,利用时间约束聚类识别中国及周边地区贸易发展的阶段,构建贸易网络对比各阶段中美两国在中国周边地区的贸易发展及影响力变化。研究发现:①1996—2017年间中国及周边地区贸易呈三阶段跳跃式发展,贸易规模不断扩大。②中国在周边地区贸易的总体规模和覆盖程度均超越美国,中国在周边地区贸易收支中普遍存在日益扩大的顺差,而美国在中国周边地区始终保持着稳定大量的贸易逆差。③中国在周边地区的贸易影响力实现了对美国的赶超,中国的出口影响力优势突出,而美国仍旧拥有不俗的进口影响力。④中国与日本的贸易呈阶段式跳跃发展,而美国与日本始终保持着稳定的贸易联系。中国同日本在机电产品上的垂直型产业内贸易发达,但处于产业分工下游的相对不利地位,美国是日本的机电制成品和运输设备等高端产品的最终消费市场。研究结果对于中国维护周边地区经贸合作的稳定与发展和应对美国的冲击有所启示。
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| 关 键 词： | 商品贸易 中美竞争 贸易网络分析 中国周边地区 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021-08-16 |
Comparison on the trade development and influence of China and the U.S.in the surrounding areas of China |
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| CHEN Xiaoqiang,YUAN Lihua,SONG Changqing,CHENG Changxiu,CAO Danping,WANG Xiangyu,LIANG Xiaoyao,WANG Yuanhui,YI Hong.Comparison on the trade development and influence of China and the U.S.in the surrounding areas of China[J].Geographical Research,2022,41(3):663-680. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Xiaoqiang YUAN Lihua SONG Changqing CHENG Changxiu CAO Danping WANG Xiangyu LIANG Xiaoyao WANG Yuanhui YI Hong |
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| Institution: | 1. State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China2. Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China3. Center for Geodata and Analysis, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China4. School of Geographical Science, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, China |
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| Abstract: | There is fierce trade competition between China and the U.S. not only in bilateral trade, but also in multilateral trade within the global market, especially in China's surrounding areas. Clarifying the competitive situation, where the trade influence between the two countries is ebb and flow, is of great significance to ensuring China's economic security and development. Based on bilateral trade data from 1996 to 2017, this paper uses time-constrained clustering to identify the stages of trade development of China with its surrounding areas, and builds three trade networks to compare the trade influence of China and the United States in China's surrounding areas at different stages. Four main results are presented. First, from 1996 to 2017, the trade of China and its neighboring countries showed a three-stage leaping development, and the scale of trade continued to expand; Second, the volume and coverage of China's trade with neighboring countries surpassed those of the United States. China had a widening surplus in the trade balance with its neighboring countries, while the United States had maintained a large and stable trade deficit with neighboring countries of China. Third, China's comprehensive trade influence in the surrounding areas surpassed that of the United States. China had a prominent advantage in export influence, while the United States still had a good import influence. Fourth, China's trade with Japan grew in leaps and bounds, while the United States had maintained close trade ties with Japan. The vertical intra-industry trade between China and Japan in mechanical and electrical products was developed, and China was in a relatively unfavorable position in the downstream of the industrial chain. The United States was the final consumer market for Japanese high-end products such as mechanical and electrical products and transportation equipment. The results of this study have implications for China's response to the impact of the United States while maintaining the stability and development of economic cooperation in the surrounding aeras of China. |
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| Keywords: | commodity trade Sino-US competition trade network analysis the surrounding areas of China |
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