| 基于合作与冲突视角的“亚洲水塔”周边国家地缘关系网络演化研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 翟晨阳,杜德斌,侯纯光,段德忠,桂钦昌.基于合作与冲突视角的“亚洲水塔”周边国家地缘关系网络演化研究[J].地理研究,2021,40(11):3118-3136. |
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| 作者姓名： | 翟晨阳 杜德斌 侯纯光 段德忠 桂钦昌 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.华东师范大学全球创新与发展研究院,上海 2000622.华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院,上海 2000623.华东师范大学国家教育宏观政策研究院,上海 200062 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A类)(XDA20100308) |
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| 摘 要： | 全球暖化背景下,发源于“亚洲水塔”的国际河流水文特征的改变加剧了区域内地缘关系的紧张性,致使周边国家间地缘关系备受关注。利用新闻大数据GDELT中的合作与冲突事件表征国家间的合作与冲突关系,对1992—2018年“亚洲水塔”周边国家间地缘关系网络演化进行研究,结果表明：①研究期内,“亚洲水塔”周边国家间的地缘关系愈加紧密,区域地缘关系网络趋于稳态。②国家间合作网络逐渐呈以中国为中心的放射形结构,巴基斯坦是区域冲突网络的核心,区域内合作与冲突水平极化现象凸显。③周边国家间地缘关系互动的对等反应特征明显,地缘关系模式的演化表现出一定的时空惯性。④国际贸易格局的改变、地缘政治环境的变化、水资源战略价值重构以及地缘文化因素的潜在作用共同推动了“亚洲水塔”周边国家地缘关系网络的演化。
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| 关 键 词： | 亚洲水塔 地缘关系 合作与冲突 GDELT |
| 收稿时间： | 2020-11-27 |
The evolution of geo-relation network in countries around the Asian Water Tower based on cooperation and conflict perspectives |
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| ZHAI Chenyang,DU Debin,HOU Chunguang,DUAN Dezhong,GUI Qinchang.The evolution of geo-relation network in countries around the Asian Water Tower based on cooperation and conflict perspectives[J].Geographical Research,2021,40(11):3118-3136. |
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| Authors: | ZHAI Chenyang DU Debin HOU Chunguang DUAN Dezhong GUI Qinchang |
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| Institution: | 1. Institute for Global Innovation and Development, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China2. School of Urban and Regional Science, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China3. National Institute of Educational Policy Research, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China |
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| Abstract: | The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas are the birthplaces of many international rivers in Asia, so it is also known as the Asian Water Tower. As a result of global warming, the hydrologic characteristics of international rivers within this area have changed. This change intensified the tension of regional geo-relation, and the development of geo-relation in countries around the Asian Water Tower arouses more and more attention. Based on the GDELT database, this paper examines the evolution of the geo-relation network in the countries around the Asian Water Tower from 1992 to 2018 based on cooperation and conflict perspectives. The results show that: (1) In the study period, the level of cooperation and conflict of countries around the Asian Water Tower increased dramatically, and the situation in the study area is characterized by cooperation rather than by conflict. The density of the geo-relation network increased obviously and the network structure tended to be balanced. (2) From the characteristics of the network of geo-relation, China tends to have more cooperation with its surrounding countries, and it works as a radial center in the connection. Pakistan is at the heart of the conflict network. The key areas of conflict are shifting from Indo-China Peninsula to South Asia. And the polarization of cooperation and conflict in the region is prominent. (3) From the perspective of cooperation and conflict, most of the relations among the countries are symmetrical in the geo-relation model, which means that the reciprocal response among the countries is obvious. And the evolution of the geo-relation model also shows certain space-time inertia. China has long been closely cooperated with many countries around the Asian Water Tower and plays an important role in promoting the development of a regional geo-relation cooperation network. (4) The evolution of the geo-relation network of the countries in the Asian Water Tower is affected by many factors. The changes of international trade pattern and geopolitical environment, the increasing strategic importance of water resources, and the potential role of geo-cultural factors have jointly promoted the evolution of the geo-relation network of countries in the Asian Water Tower. |
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| Keywords: | Asian Water Tower geo-relation cooperation and conflict GDELT |
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