Impacts of water conservancy and soil conservation measures on annual runoff in the Chaohe River Basin during 1961–2005 |
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| Authors: | Zijun Li Xiubin Li Zhimei Xu |
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| Institution: | (1) School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Xue Yuan Road No. 37, HaiDian District, Beijing, 100191, China;(2) Jilin University, Changchun, 130023, China;(3) University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, 230026, China; |
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| Abstract: | Taking the Chaohe River Basin above the Miyun Reservoir in North China as a study area, the characteristics and variation
trends of annual runoff and annual precipitation during 1961–2005 were analyzed applying Mann-Kendall test method on the basis
of the hydrologic data of the major hydrological station (Xiahui Station) located at the outlet of the drainage basin and
the meteorological data of 17 rainfall stations. Human activities including water conservancy projects construction and water
diversion as well as implementation of soil and water conservation from 1961 to 2005 were carefully studied using time series
contrasting method. The referenced period (1961–1980) that influenced slightly by human activities and the compared period
(1981–2005) that influenced significantly by water conservancy and soil conservation measures were identified according to
the runoff variation process analysis and abrupt change points detection during 1961–2005 applying double accumulative curve
method, mean shift t-test method and Mann-Kendall mutation test technique. Based on the establishment of a rainfall-runoff
empirical statistical model, impacts and the runoff-reducing effects of water conservancy and soil conservation measures on
runoff reduction were evaluated quantitatively. The major results could be summarized as follows: (1) The annual precipitation
in the drainage basin tends to decrease while the runoff has declined markedly since the 1960s, the average annual runoff
from 1991 to 2000 was only 90.9% in proportion to that from 1961 to 1970. (2) The annual runoff variations in the drainage
basin are significantly related to human activities. (3) During 1981–1990, 1991–2000, 2001–2005 and 1981–2005, the average
annual runoff reduction amounts were 1.15×108, 0.28×108, 1.10×108 and 0.79×108 m3 respectively and the average annual runoff-reducing effects were 31.99%, 7.13%, 40.71% and 23.79% accordingly. Runoff-reducing
effects by water conservancy and soil conservation measures are more prominent in the low water period. |
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| Keywords: | impacts water conservancy and soil conservation measures annual runoff rainfall-runoff empirical statistical model the Chaohe River Basin |
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