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Measuring place-based accessibility under travel time uncertainty
Authors:Bi Yu Chen  Donggen Wang  Shih-Lung Shaw  Hui-Ping Chen
Institution:1. State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying, Mapping and Remote Sensing, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China;2. Department of Geography, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon, Hong Kong;3. Department of Geography, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA
Abstract:Travel time uncertainty has significant impacts on individual activity-travel scheduling, but at present these impacts have not been considered in most accessibility studies. In this paper, an accessibility evaluation framework is proposed for urban areas with uncertain travel times. A reliable space-time service region (RSTR) model is introduced to represent the space-time service region of a facility under travel time uncertainty. Based on the RSTR model, four reliable place-based accessibility measures are proposed to evaluate accessibility to urban services by incorporating the effects of travel time reliability. To demonstrate the applicability of the proposed framework, a case study using large-scale taxi tracking data is carried out. The results of the case study indicate that the proposed accessibility measures can evaluate large-scale place-based accessibility well in urban areas with uncertain travel times. Conventional place-based accessibility indicators ignoring travel time reliability can significantly overestimate the accessibility to urban services.
Keywords:Place-based accessibility  service area analysis  travel time uncertainty  reliability
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