| 湖泊水质预测模型的建立及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 万幼川,李植生,梁小民,刘良明.湖泊水质预测模型的建立及其应用[J].武汉大学学报(信息科学版),1996(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 万幼川 李植生 梁小民 刘良明 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉测绘科技大学信息工程学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 测绘遥感信息工程国家重点实验室开放研究基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据东湖多年监测数据分析，建立了多元相关预测模型、基于灰色理论灰色系统的预测模型和质量平衡模型。为了提高灰色预测精度，利用残差对模型进行了相应的修正，并利用３种模型对影响东湖水质主要因子——经济、人口、ＢＯＤ、ＣＯＤ、ＴＮ、ＴＰ进行了２０００年的预测，提出了东湖污染防治对策
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 多元回归 灰色模型 质量平衡 |
Establishment and Application of Water Quality Forecasting Model of Lake |
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| Wan Youchuan,Li Zhisheng,Liang Xiaomin,Liu Liangming.Establishment and Application of Water Quality Forecasting Model of Lake[J].Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University,1996(4). |
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| Authors: | Wan Youchuan Li Zhisheng Liang Xiaomin Liu Liangming |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,forecasting models,such as multivariate regression model,grey model and mass balance model have been established on the basis of analysis of monitoring data for East Lake,Wuhan City.In order to improve precision,the grey model has been revised by using residual error equation.The population, economy,BOD,COD,TN,TP about 2000 have been forecasted with these models.The proposals of administering for East Lake have been advanced. |
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| Keywords: | forecasting multivariate regression grey model mass balance |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
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