| 基于劳动力市场均衡的人口多智能体模拟——快速工业化地区研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李少英,黎夏,刘小平,吴志峰,马世发,王芳.基于劳动力市场均衡的人口多智能体模拟——快速工业化地区研究[J].武汉大学学报(信息科学版),2015,40(10):1306-1311. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李少英 黎夏 刘小平 吴志峰 马世发 王芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.广州大学地理科学学院, 广东 广州, 510006; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(41401432,41101078);广东省教育厅青年创新人才资助项目(2014KQNCX107);广州市科技和信息化局国际科技交流与合作专项资助项目(2012J5100044);广州大学引进人才科研启动基金资助项目(LSY2-2221,LSY2-1407)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 已有的多智能体人口模型没有考虑劳动力供需关系对人口空间分布的影响,在快速工业化地区模拟中具有局限性。提出了基于劳动力市场均衡的人口空间分布模型(SPM-ELM),建立了经济发展的劳动力需求与人口劳动力供给之间的关系,利用多智能体方法对劳动力市场均衡条件下的人口区位选择行为进行了建模,实现人口规模估算与空间分布模拟。并选取东莞市作为试验区验证了SPM-ELM模型的有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 劳动力市场均衡 人口空间模拟 多智能体模型 东莞 |
| 收稿时间： | 2013-11-18 |
An Agent-based Model for Spatial Population Simulation Based on the Labor Equilibrium of Market: A Case Study of a Rapidly Developing Manufacturing Metropolis |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Geographical Sciences, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China;2.School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China |
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| Abstract: | In order to overcome the limitations found in the existing research, this paper presents a Spatial Population Model based on the Equilibrium of the Labor Market (SPM-ELM). In this model, the relationship between labor supply and labor demand is defined, as it has significant influence on population size. An agent-based approach is used to simulate the economic behaviors and residential decisions of individuals in the population which eventually have consequences on spatial population distribution. The SPM-ELM model was verified by simulating the spatial population distribution of Dongguan, an emerging and renowned manufacturing metropolis in the Pearl River Delta. |
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