| 未来长江三峡水库诱发地城垢预测技术探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 严尊国,杨福平,等.未来长江三峡水库诱发地城垢预测技术探讨[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2002,22(1):101-109. |
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| 作者姓名： | 严尊国 杨福平 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地震局地震研究所 武汉430071
(严尊国，杨福平，周昕，廖武林，狄莉莎，薛军蓉)，中国地震局地震研究所 武汉430071(李普丽) |
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| 基金项目： | 中国地震局“九五”重点课题 (95 -12 -0 5 -0 2 )资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 为做好未来三峡水库诱发地震预测实践的技术准备，根据水库诱发地震的特殊性和三峡地区的区域性特点，主要论述了测震学方面部分方法的适用性。结果表明，应变蠕变曲线形态方法，小震活动“密集－平静”等常有方法和序列频度衰减系数h值，震级－频度关系系数b值，波速比，振幅比等方法是在未来预测实践中值得推荐或进一步探索的方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 水库诱发地震 长江三峡 预测方法 应变蠕变曲线 测震学 b值 震级 波速比 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-5942(2002)01-0101-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年9月12日 |
EXPLORATION OF FORECASTING METHODS FOR EARTHQUAKES INDUCED BY THE THREE GORGES RESERVOIR ON THE YANGTZE RIVER IN FUTURE |
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| Yan Zunguo,Yang Fuping,Zhou Xing,Liao Wulin,Di Lisha,Xue Junrong and Li Puli\,\,.EXPLORATION OF FORECASTING METHODS FOR EARTHQUAKES INDUCED BY THE THREE GORGES RESERVOIR ON THE YANGTZE RIVER IN FUTURE[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2002,22(1):101-109. |
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| Authors: | Yan Zunguo Yang Fuping Zhou Xing Liao Wulin Di Lisha Xue Junrong and Li Puli\ \ |
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| Abstract: | According to the particularity of the earthquakes induced by the reservoir and the locality character of The Yangtze Gorges area,in this paper, the applicability of some seismometry methods to future earthquake prediction in the area is discussed.The following methods are worthy of recommendation or further research in future,such as the strain release curve,the concentraition-quietude of small earthquakes, and the \%h\% value(the factor of frequency attenuation of sequence),the \%b\% value(the relative factor between earthquake magnitude and frequency),the ratio of wave velocitys, the ratio of amplitudes and the like. |
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| Keywords: | earthquake induced by reservoir the Three Gorges on the Yangtze River forecasting method |
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