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| 引用本文： | 梁全强,林淑冰,黄声明,刘序俨.?α???????????????[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2007,27(5):76-81. |
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| 作者姓名： | 梁全强 林淑冰 黄声明 刘序俨 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 厦门地震勘测研究中心,厦门,361021
2. 福建省地震局,福州,350003 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省地震局青年学术骨干科研基金 |
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| 摘 要： | ?????????г???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????α?????????黯???α?????????????????????????????????α?????????????????????????????????????е????????????,??????????α???????????
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| 关 键 词： | ???? ?α??????? ???????? ?α??????? ???????? |
| 文章编号： | 1671-5942（2007）05-0076-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-05-10 |
MULTI-LAYERED HIERARCHICAL ANALYSIS OF DEFORMATION FORECAST MODEL |
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| Liang Quanqiang,Lin Shu Bing,Huang Shengming,Liu Xuyan.MULTI-LAYERED HIERARCHICAL ANALYSIS OF DEFORMATION FORECAST MODEL[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2007,27(5):76-81. |
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| Authors: | Liang Quanqiang Lin Shu Bing Huang Shengming Liu Xuyan |
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| Abstract: | In view of the shortcoming that the recursion algorithm is usually used to model time series, a new algorithm suitable for the forecast model parameter’s estimatation is proposed, which naturalizes the deformation model noise to the deformation forecast model parameter based on the principle of dynamic system model parameter randomisation,and uses the multi layer hierarchical analysis method to establish deformation forecast model. The analysis of the Tianma and Xiamen station’s data indicates that the deformation forecast precision is improved obviously. |
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| Keywords: | earthquake deformation observation sequence dynamic observation system forecast model of deformation multi-layered hierarchical analysis |
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