| 乌鲁木齐天文站的耀斑预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 宋淑敏.乌鲁木齐天文站的耀斑预报[J].紫金山天文台台刊,1999,18(2):154-156. |
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| 作者姓名： | 宋淑敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院乌鲁木齐天文站!830011 |
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| 摘 要： | 鉴于预报太阳耀斑的重要性和难度，我们在文中介绍了怎样用太阳色球望远镜观测太阳色球层的耀斑先兆（ 现象） ，并且根据太阳活动特点和十几年的观察经验及观测资料，综合分析，判断出太阳色球耀斑将要产生的大概时间，大致规模及耀斑在日面上的可能位置。通过第２２ 周峰年资料验证，准确率可达７０ ％ 。
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| 关 键 词： | 太阳活动 色球耀斑 耀斑先兆 |
FORECAST OF SOLAR FLARES AT WULUMUQI ASTRONOMICAL STATION |
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| Authors: | Song shu min |
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| Abstract: | In view of the importance and difficulty of forecasting the solar flares, the author introduces the way to observe the solar flare precusors with the solar chromospheric telescope. The approximately time, the class and the location on the sun of the coming solar flares are deduced through comprehensively analyzing the solar activity peculiarity and observing experience and data accumulated over ten years. The accuracy rate hits 70%. which is verified with the data of cycle 22. |
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| Keywords: | solar activity chromospheric flares precursors flaxes |
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