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1.
基于MCMC法的非饱和土渗流参数随机反分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
左自波  张璐璐  程演  王建华  何晔 《岩土力学》2013,34(8):2393-2400
基于贝叶斯理论,以马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法(Markov chain Monte Carlo Simulation, MCMC法)的自适应差分演化Metropolis算法为参数后验分布抽样计算方法,建立利用时变测试数据的参数随机反分析及模型预测方法。以香港东涌某天然坡地降雨入渗测试为算例,采用自适应差分演化Metropolis算法对时变降雨条件下非饱和土一维渗流模型参数进行随机反分析,研究参数后验分布的统计特性,并分别对校准期和验证期内模型预测孔压和实测值进行比较。研究结果表明,DREAM算法得到的各随机变量后验分布标准差较先验分布均显著减小;经过实测孔压数据的校准,模型计算精度很高,校准期内95%总置信区间的覆盖率达到0.964;验证期第2~4个阶段95%总置信区间的覆盖率分别为0.52、0.79和0.79,模型预测结果与实测值吻合程度较高。  相似文献   

2.
地下工程围岩分类的神经网络可视化评价   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
围岩分类是地下工程技术基础研究的重要课题之一。影响围岩类别的因素有很多,并且具有高度的随机性和模糊性。神经网络方法具有自组织、自学习和高度非线性映射的能力,并且既能考虑定量因素又能考虑定性因素,因此,在围岩分类的应用方面,神经网络具有广泛的前景。文章基于改进的BP神经网络的一般原理,依据有关地下工程围岩的分类标准,选取岩体结构、岩石饱和单轴抗压强度、岩体结构面、岩石纵波速度作为围岩分类的评价指标,利用MATLAB语言构建了可视化的围岩分类神经网络模型,并收集了大量的工程资料对网络进行训练和检验。结果表明,网络的预测结果与实际结果比较一致。证明神经网络是能够在工程岩体分类方面得到推广应用的。  相似文献   

3.
模糊神经网络法在隧洞围岩分类中的应用   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
宋国新  杨子荣  孙祥 《岩土工程技术》2004,18(5):224-226,229
应用模糊集和神经网络相结合 ,运用模糊积分来综合各个子网的输出 ,提出了围岩稳定性模型及围岩分类的方法。根据收集到的围岩分类资料作为样本来训练和检验网络模型。计算结果表明 ,该方法克服了传统人工神经网络计算容易陷入局部最小的缺点。应用此模型对工程隧洞围岩进行分类 ,为工程施工提供了依据  相似文献   

4.
预测岩石单轴抗压强度的神经网络方法   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文提出一种根据岩石点荷载强度、密度、岩石类型、孔隙率和粒度预测单轴抗压强度(Rc)的神经网络方法。以反向传播算法和包含96个样本的训练集训练网络模型,以包含71个样本的试验集检验网络。最后,以本模型预测黑沟铁矿钙质千枚岩的30个试件的抗压强度。结果表明,对于预测的单轴抗压强度,神经网络模型能给出比回归模型高得多的精度,比试验方法节省成本和时间。  相似文献   

5.
工程围岩是一种高度非线性的复杂动态系统,其影响因素众多,单一的评价指标已不能准确描述围岩分类情况。目前,综合考虑多种指标评价围岩分类的方法很多,但围岩评价指标之间或多或少存在一定的相关性,其评价指标中存在一些服从非高斯分布的指标,无法满足概率神经网络(PNN)样本层中采用高斯分布作径向基函数的要求,因此,提出一种对称Alpha稳定分布(SaS)。SaS有更广泛的数学表达,其径向对称特性还可充当PNN样本层中高斯分布。在SaS的基础上,建立广州抽水蓄能电站二期工程围岩分类评价的SaS-PNN模型。预测结果表明,SaS-PNN模型具有良好的预测效果,其误判率为为4.55%。可为地下工程围岩分类评价提供一种新思路。  相似文献   

6.
工程围岩是一种高度非线性的复杂动态系统,其影响因素众多,单一的评价指标已不能准确描述围岩分类情况。目前,综合考虑多种指标评价围岩分类的方法很多,但围岩评价指标之间或多或少存在一定的相关性,其评价指标中存在一些服从非高斯分布的指标,无法满足概率神经网络(PNN)样本层中采用高斯分布作径向基函数的要求,因此,提出一种对称Alpha稳定分布(SaS)。SaS有更广泛的数学表达,其径向对称特性还可充当PNN样本层中高斯分布。在SaS的基础上,建立广州抽水蓄能电站二期工程围岩分类评价的SaS-PNN模型。预测结果表明,SaS-PNN模型具有良好的预测效果,其误判率为为4.55%。可为地下工程围岩分类评价提供一种新思路。  相似文献   

7.
基于网格搜索法优化支持向量机的围岩稳定性分类模型   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为科学评价围岩稳定性,本次研究借助支持向量机(SVM)处理小样本、非线性问题能力强的特性,对围岩的稳定性进行了分类。选取16组围岩数据作为学习样本,以岩石质量指标、岩石单轴饱和抗压强度、完整性系数、结构面强度系数和地下水渗水量5个指标作为模型输入,围岩稳定程度为模型输出,建立了基于支持向量机的围岩稳定性分类模型。为增强模型的推广性能,提高其预测准确率,运用改进的网格搜索方法(GSM)寻找最优的支持向量机参数,并对8组围岩数据进行预测,并同BP神经网络模型的预测结果进行对比。结果表明,建立的GSM-SVM模型对预测样本的评判结果与实际结果一致,其预测精度较BP神经网络有很大的提升。  相似文献   

8.
基于模糊神经网络的油气综合评判方法研究   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
针对常规模式识别方法进行油气预测时,存在样本数量大、参数非线性及已知样本数类型分类有明显的模糊性等特点。本文根据神经网络的自适应谐振理论结合模糊K均值聚类算法、特征参数非线性映射的有效性校验,构成了一个性能完善的地震参数油气预测系统。该系统对样本特征空间用模糊神经网络建立未知样本的预测度量,更加符合客观地质特征和油气分布规律,从而能判别油气富集的有利区域。数值分析和实践应用表明,该方法数值稳定可靠  相似文献   

9.
基于东北地区多目标区域地球化学调查获得的海量土壤地球化学数据,利用BP神经网络模型,在土壤地球化学性质与油气田空间位置之间建立模型,构造最优的油气资源预测模型. 以土壤54项地球化学指标以及XY坐标值共同作为模型输入层,以样本是否在油气田内(1代表油气田内,0代表油气田外)作为模型输出层,基于随机抽取的油气田内和油气田外各500个土壤样本数据进行模型训练. 结果显示,多次训练后识别准确率保持在90%左右,说明该模型分类效果较好,可用于油气资源预测. 利用该模型获得了松嫩平原11 291个土壤样本的含油气概率,并绘制了油气资源预测图. 研究表明,神经网络对于解决复杂的非线性地质问题可以发挥重要作用.  相似文献   

10.
遥感图像目标检测一直是遥感图像领域中的热点和难点问题,旨在分类和定位感兴趣目标.近年来卷积神经网络理论技术的快速发展,有效地解决了传统目标检测方法特征提取不足的问题.在公开的遥感数据集RSOD-Dataset上,基于YOLOv3算法模型进行目标检测,为了适应遥感图像中目标小、背景复杂等难分类样本的特点,在检测模型中引入...  相似文献   

11.
Pant-y-ffynnon Quarry in South Wales yielded a rich cache of fossils in the early 1950s, including articulated specimens of new species (the small sauropodomorph dinosaur Pantydraco caducus and the crocodylomorph Terrestrisuchus gracilis), but no substantial study of the wider fauna of the Pant-y-ffynnon fissure systems has been published. Here, our overview of existing specimens, a few described but mostly undescribed, as well as freshly processed material, provides a comprehensive picture of the Pant-y-ffynnon palaeo-island of the Late Triassic. This was an island with a relatively impoverished fauna dominated by small clevosaurs (rhynchocephalians), including a new species, Clevosaurus cambrica, described here from a partially articulated specimen and isolated bones. The new species has a dental morphology that is intermediate between the Late Triassic Clevosaurus hudsoni, from Cromhall Quarry to the east, and the younger C. convallis from Pant Quarry to the west, suggesting adaptive radiation of clevosaurs in the palaeo-archipelago. The larger reptiles on the palaeo-island do not exceed 1.5?m in length, including a small carnivorous crocodylomorph, Terrestrisuchus, and a possible example of insular dwarfism in the basal dinosaur Pantydraco.  相似文献   

12.
Robert L. Linnen   《Lithos》2005,80(1-4):267-280
The solubilities of columbite, tantalite, wolframite, rutile, zircon and hafnon were determined as a function of the water contents in peralkaline and subaluminous granite melts. All experiments were conducted at 1035 °C and 2 kbar and the water contents of the melts ranged from nominally dry to approximately 6 wt.% H2O. Accessory phase solubilities are not affected by the water content of the peralkaline melt. By contrast, solubilities are affected by the water content of the subaluminous melt, where the solubilities of all the accessory phases examined increase with the water content of the melt, up to 2 wt.% H2O. At higher water contents, solubilities are nearly constant. It can be concluded that water is not an important control of accessory phase solubility, although the water content will affect diffusivities of components in the melt, thus whether or not accessory phases will be present as restite material. The solubility behaviour in the subaluminous and peralkaline melts supports previous spectroscopic studies, which have observed differences in the coordination of high field strength elements in dry vs. wet subaluminous granitic glasses, but not for peralkaline granitic glasses. Lastly, the fact that wolframite solubility increases with increasing water content in the subaluminous melt suggests that tungsten dissolved as a hexavalent species.  相似文献   

13.
Calcite samples were extracted both from the rock matrix and the superficial coating of a karstified fault plane of an underground quarry, located in the eastern border of the Paris basin. The karstification is dated as Quaternary. Analysis of mechanical calcite twinning reveals that only the calcite matrix has also undergone a compression trending WNW that can be attributed to the Mio-Pliocene alpine collision. Both coating and matrix have undergone a strike-slip regime with σ1 roughly trending north–south, that could correspond to the regional present-day state of stress, a strike-slip compression rather trending NNW, modified by local phenomena. To cite this article: M. Rocher et al., C. R. Geoscience 335 (2003).  相似文献   

14.
HYDROGEOLOGY     
正20141756 Chen Ruige(Mathematical College,China University of Geosciences,Beijing100083,China);Zhou Xun Numerical Simulation of Groundwater Level Fluctuation in a Coastal Confined Aquifer with Sloping Initial Groundwater Level Induced by the Tide(Geological Bulletin of China,ISSN1671-2552,CN11-4648/P,32(7),2013,p.1099-1104,6 illus.,16 refs.) Key words:confined water,groundwater level  相似文献   

15.
正20141408 Cai Jia(Institute of Geology,Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences,Beijing100037,China);Liu Fulai Petrogenesis and Metamorphic P-T Conditions of Garnet-Spinel-Biotitebearing Paragneiss in Danangou Area,Daqingshan-Wulashan Metamorphic Complex Belt(Acta Petrologica Sinica,ISSN1000-0569,CN11-1922/P,29(7),  相似文献   

16.
17.
正20142386An Guoying(China Aero Geophysical Survey and Remote Sensing Center for Land and Resources,Beijing 100083,China)Application of Satellite Remote Sensing in Regional Hydrogeological Investigation:Taking Cenozoic Strata in Wenquan Sheet(1∶250 000)of Karakoram Range as an Example(Geosci-  相似文献   

18.
正20141016An Chengbang(Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental Systems,Ministry of Education,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China);Zhao Yongtao Lake Records during the Last Glacial Maximum from Xinjiang,NW China and Their Climatic Impli-  相似文献   

19.
正20141538 Cao Qing(School of Earth Sciences and Engineering,Xi’an Petroleum University,Xi’an 710065,China);Zhao Jingzhou Characteristics and Significance of Fluid Inclusions from Majiagou Formation,Yichuan Huangling Area,Ordos Basin(Advances in Earth Science,ISSN1001-8166,CN62-1091/P,28(7),2013,p.819-828,7 illus.,3 tables,43 refs.)  相似文献   

20.
GEOCHEMISTRY     
正20142002 Wei Hualing(Institute of Geophysical and Geochemical Exploration,Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences,Langfang065000,China);Zhou Guohua Element Content and Mineral Compositions in Different Sizes of Soil in Tongling Area,Anhui Province(Geological Bulletin of China,ISSN1671-2552,CN11-4648/P,32(11),2013,p.1861  相似文献   

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