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1.
Limestone varves from the Todilto Basin, New Mexico (United States), are studied. These deposits cover a time interval of 1592 years and belong to the Jurassic (ca. 200–145 Ma B.P.). Via the construction of a combined spectral periodogram, quasiharmonic components are revealed in the initial data. The periods of these components are close to the basic contemporary solar activity cycles: the periods of 13 and 20 years agree with the Schwabe and Hale cycles; that of 78 years is in accord with the Gleissberg cycle (with both branches of 69 and 105 years represented); and the components of 179 and 235 years can be probably related to the Suess or de Vries cycles. The results indicate the influence of solar activity on the terrestrial climate in the geological past.  相似文献   

2.
The occurrence frequency of SAR arcs during 1997–2006 has been analyzed based on the photometric observations at the Yakutsk meridian (Maimaga station, corrected geomagnetic coordinates: 57° N, 200° E). SAR arcs appeared in 114 cases (～500 h) during ～370 nights of observations (～3170 h). The occurrence frequency of SAR arcs increases to 27% during the growth phase of solar activity and has a clearly defined maximum ～36% at a decline of cycle 23. The SAR arc registration frequency corresponds to the variations in geomagnetic activity in this solar cycle. The dates, UT, and geomagnetic latitudes of photometric observations are presented for 1997–2006.  相似文献   

3.
Recent years allowed us to study long-term variations in the cosmic ray (CR) intensity at an unusually deep solar activity (SA) minimum between cycles 23 and 24 and during the SA growth phase in cycle 24, which was the cycle when SA was the lowest for the epoch of regular ground-based CR observations since 1951. The intensity maximum, the value of which depends on the particle energy, was observed in CR variations during the period of an unusually prolonged SA minimum: the CR density during the aformentioned period (2009) is higher than this density at previous CR maxima in cycles 19–23 for low-energy particles (observed on spacecraft and in the stratosphere) and medium-energy particles (observed with neutron monitors). After 2009 CR modulation at the SA growth phase was much weaker over three years (2010–2012) than during the corresponding SA growth periods in the previous cycles. The possible causes of this anomaly in CR variations, which are related to the CR residual modulation value at a minimum between cycles 23 and 24 and to variations in SA characteristics during this period, were examined. The contribution of different solar magnetic field characteristics and indices, taking into account sporadic solar activity, has been estimated.  相似文献   

4.
The magnetization of ceramics from the eastern Mediterranean dated within a short period (mostly shorter than ±20 years) has been studied, which made it possible to specify the geomagnetic field variations on the time interval 5th–3rd centuries BC. The 11-year time series of the geomagnetic field strength values has been constructed. The field strength changes have been considered, which indicated that the centennial variation with a characteristic time of ～130 years (according to the obtained data) is observed on this time interval as well as during the last two millennia. The ceramic material from the Mayskaya Gora archeological site (Taman), the preparation succession of which was established based on the shape of pottery but the problem of absolute dating was not solved, has been dated.  相似文献   

5.
Long-period variations in the cyclonic activity at middle and subpolar latitudes of the North Atlantic are studied on the basis of the data from the MSLP archive of the surface pressure (Climatic Research Unit, UK) for 1874–1995. It has been found that in the cold half year (the period of the most intense formation and development of extra-tropical cyclones) in the studied region, oscillations of the surface pressure with periods close to the main periods of solar activity (～80 and ～11 years) are observed. The obtained results make it possible to assume that solar activity and related variations in the galactic cosmic rays are one of the factors influencing the intensity of cyclonic processes at midlatitudes on the time scales of ～10 to ～100 years.  相似文献   

6.
The variations in the total electron content (TEC), obtained from the data of 11 ground-based GPS stations in the region (5°S–80°N; 110–160°E) in the period August 2–15, 2006, have been analyzed in order to search for possible ionospheric manifestations of the SAOMAI powerful typhoon (August 5–11, 2006) near the south-eastern coast of China. The global TEC maps (GIM) have also been used. In the region of the typhoon action during the magnetic storm of August 7, 2006, an intensification of the TEC variations in the evening local time within the 32–128 min periods range was detected. However, this effect was most probably caused by the dynamics of the irregular structure of the equatorial anomaly and by the disturbed geomagnetic situation (Kp ～ 3–6, Dst varied from ?74 to ?153 nT). The analysis of the diurnal variations in the absolute values of TEC and TEC variations with periods of 2–25 min did not reveal a substantial increase in the intensity and changes in the spectrum of the TEC variations in the period of typhoon action as compared to the adjacent days. Thus, we failed to detect ionospheric disturbances unambiguously related to the SAOMAI typhoon.  相似文献   

7.
祁连山东北缘黄土磁组构记录的古风向重建   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文
近年来,利用黄土磁化率各向异性/磁组构（AMS）研究古风向变化被广泛应用.在对祁连山东北缘厚755 m的中路黄土剖面岩石磁学和磁组构研究的基础上,恢复了该区14 Ma以来古风向变化序列.磁组构指示的古风向表明,在14～078 Ma期间,本区的地面主导风向为NW-SE;从078 Ma开始,地面主导风向逐渐向NE-SW过渡;至05 Ma时,该区地面主导风稳定为NE-SW向.对青藏高原隆升的研究显示,在12～08 Ma期间青藏高原发生过称为“昆黄运动”的大规模隆起.结合我们对主导风向变化驱动因子的分析表明,祁连山东北缘近地面主导风向的第一次转变很可能是同时期青藏高原构造强烈隆升对大气环流影响产生的环境后果.  相似文献   

8.
The persistent activity of Yasur volcano, a post-caldera scoria cone in the southern Vanuatu Arc, along with the uniformity exhibited by its eruptive products, indicates that it is a “steady-state” volcano. This implies that rates of magma replenishment and tapping are in equilibrium. Examination of recently exposed tephra sequences suggests that Strombolian-style activity at Yasur has persisted in its current form for the last 630–850 years. Eruption of tephra with uniform grain size and texture throughout this period indicates invariant eruption magnitude and style. Based on tephra accumulation rates, a uniform, time-averaged eruption flux of ～410–480 m3 days?1 is estimated. Major and trace element analyses of glass shards and mineral grains from these tephra deposits show limited variation in magma composition throughout that time, consistent with a chemically buffered magma reservoir and models for steady-state volcanism. Similarly, mineral crystallisation temperature estimates are within error, suggesting the magma reservoir has retained a constant temperature through this time, while pressure estimates suggest shallow crystallisation. Eruptions appear to be driven by gas release, with small fluctuations in magma chemistry and eruptive behaviour governed by perturbations in volatile flux. This period of steady-state activity was preceded by ～600 years of higher-magnitude, lower-frequency eruptions during which less evolved compositions were erupted. Variation between these two styles of eruptive behaviour may be explained by a shift from a periodically closed to fully opened conduit, allowing more regular magma release and changes to degassing regimes. New radiocarbon ages suggest a period of irregular eruptive behaviour extending >1,400 year B.P. Overall, a transition from an irregular to a very steady magmatic system has occurred over the past ～2 kyr. Previously determined tectonic indicators for caldera resurgence in the area suggest revived magma replenishment after a hiatus following the caldera-forming Siwi eruption. This replenishment, while now supplying today’s constant activity, has not yet manifested itself in variations in composition or style/magnitude of eruptions.  相似文献   

9.
In the later part of the Pleistocene, variations in global ice volume have been dominated by an approximate 100,000-year cycle. Analysis of 2-Myr-long oxygen isotope record from an equatorial Pacific core indicates that this is true only for the last 900,000 years. Prior to this time the amplitude of the 100,000-year cycle is much reduced, as is the variance of all oscillations with periods greater than 60,000 years. Based on results of time series analysis of this 2-Myr-long record, the Pleistocene glacial cycles can be divided into three sections: (1) the late Pleistocene (0–900 kyr B.P.) where the variations in the isotope record are dominated by the 100,000-year cycle; (2) the middle Pleistocene (900–1450 kyr B.P.) in which low-frequency components are not as important as in the later period of the Pleistocene, and (3) the early Pleistocene/late Pliocene (1450–2000 kyr B.P.) where general reductions of importance at all frequencies is seen as compared to the later intervals. Recent modeling efforts which describe variations in global ice volume show that the dominant low-frequency component observed in the late Pleistocene can result from different time constants for the rate of glacial growth and decay in response to variations in the Earth's orbital parameters. It is hypothesized that during the early Pleistocene the rate of growth and decay of glaciers were more similar and that continental erosion by successive glacial advances lowered the land surface in areas of ice-cap formation to below sea level. When the ice caps became marine-based, more rapid decay of the ice became possible.  相似文献   

10.
Relative variations in the number of sunspots and sunspot groups in activity cycles have been analyzed based on data from the Kislovodsk Mountain Astronomical Station and international indices. The following regularities have been established: (1) The relative fraction of small sunspots decreases linearly and that of large sunspots increase with increasing activity cycle amplitude. (2) The variation in the average number of sunspots in one group has a trend, and this number decreased from ～12 in cycle 19 to ～7.5 in cycle 24. (3) The ratio of the sunspot index (Ri) to the sunspot group number index (G gr) varies with a period of about 100 years. (4) An analysis of the sunspot group number index (G gr) from 1610 indicates that the Gnevyshev-Ohl rule reverses at the minimums of secular activity cycles. (5) Ratio of the total area to area of Ssp/Sum nuclei has long-term variation with a period approximately 8 cycles. Minimum ratio falls on 16–17 cycles of activity. (6) It has been indicated that the magnetic field intensity and sunspot area in the current cycle are related to the amplitude of the next activity cycle.  相似文献   

11.
The latitude-time evolution of large high-latitude coronal holes (CHs) and polar faculae (PF) during the period 1975–2010 has been studied. Their spatial distribution relative to each other has been considered. CHs and PF are shown to pass two significantly different phases in their evolution during an 11-year cycle. At phase I, i.e., during the period of an increase and maximum in the 11-year cycle, large CHs and PF exhibit a sequential motion from heliolatitudes of 40°–50° to the polar region and form a series of discrete chains with a periodicity of 1.25 ± 0.3 years in the 21st cycle. The magnetic field in CH chains corresponds to the trailing polarity of spot groups of this cycle. The anomaly of the 23rd cycle at high latitudes manifested itself in a break of the aforesaid periodicity in the N-hemisphere by the formation of a discontinuity between the second and third chains with a duration of three years. This shifted the beginning of the next 24th cycle by three years.  相似文献   

12.
Great magnetic storms (geomagnetic index C9 is ≥8 for St. Petersburg, which can correspond to Kp ≥ 8 or Dst < ?200 nT), registered from 1841 to 1870 at the St. Petersburg, Yekaterinburg, Barnaul, Nerchinsk, Sitka, and Beijing (at the Russian embassy) observatories are analyzed. A catalog of intensive magnetic storms during this period, which includes solar cycles 9–11, has been compiled. The statistical characteristics of great magnetic storms during this historical period have been obtained. These results indicate that high solar activity played a decisive role in the generation of very intense magnetic storms during the considered period. These storms are characterized by only one peak in a solar cycle, which was registered in the years of the cycle minimum (or slightly earlier): the number of great geomagnetic storms near the solar activity maximum was twice as large as the number of such storms during less active periods. A maximum in September–October and an additional maximum in February are observed in the annual distribution of storms. In addition, the storm intensity inversely depends on the storm duration.  相似文献   

13.
Based on the published analysis of the average monthly variations in solar activity and temperature of the upper atmosphere in the region of the mesopause and lower thermosphere (after elimination of the average long-term variations during different 11-year cycles), it was indicated that the periods and amplitudes of the observed quasibiennial variations monotonically decrease in the course of time. The regularity of these variations is described by the Airy function, which represents a wave train with decreasing amplitude and period and reflects cyclic hydrodynamic processes in the Sun’s interior. A spectral analysis of the quasibiennial variations modelly described by the Airy function has been performed. It has been revealed that the period amplitudes near the average value for 2.25 years (27 months) are distributed normally with a dispersion of ～0.5 years. According to several publications, similar periods are obtained by analyzing measurements of long-term variations in solar activity and parameters of the lower and middle atmosphere. This indicates that the values of the periods are obtained randomly. Therefore, a standard Fourier analysis does not make it possible to determine a real character of the quasibiennial variations since a real physical process is not revealed in the course of this analysis.  相似文献   

14.
The analysis of variations in angular elements of the geomagnetic field during the period since 350 B.C. to the present day according to the findings from the study of thermal magnetization of baked archaeological samples from England, France, and East Europe showed that the key feature in the behavior of the geomagnetic inclination in all three regions is a millennial variation. The trend in the behavior of the inclination of the geomagnetic field can be regarded as a manifestation of a variation with a characteristic time scale of several thousand years. Despite the general likeness of variations in inclination and declination of the ancient geomagnetic field, they also exhibit a noticeable dissimilarity. The paths of the virtual geomagnetic pole reconstructed from the variations of angular elements of the geomagnetic field in East Europe indicate that the geomagnetic polar motion is quasi-cyclic. The duration of the first cycle was about 1000 years, while the second cycle has not been completed due to the change of the motion to the opposite direction in the middle of the XVII century.  相似文献   

15.
As a critical water discharge term in basin‐scale water balance, accurate estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) is therefore important for sustainable water resources management. The understanding of the relationship between ET and groundwater storage change can improve our knowledge on the hydrological cycle in such regions with intensive agricultural land usage. Since the 1960s, the North China Plain (NCP) has experienced groundwater depletion because of overexploitation of groundwater for agriculture and urban development. Using meteorological data from 23 stations, the complementary relationship areal evapotranspiration model is evaluated against estimates of ET derived from regional water balance in the NCP during the period 1993–2008. The discrepancies between calculated ET and that derived by basin water balance indicate seasonal and interannual variations in model parameters. The monthly actual ET variations during the period from 1960 to 2008 are investigated by the calibrated model and then are used to derive groundwater storage change. The estimated actual ET is positively correlated with precipitation, and the general higher ET than precipitation indicates the contributions of groundwater irrigation to the total water supply. The long term decreasing trend in the actual ET can be explained by declining in precipitation, sunshine duration and wind speed. Over the past ~50 years, the calculated average annual water storage change, represented by the difference between actual ET and precipitation, was approximately 36 mm, or 4.8 km3; and the cumulative groundwater storage depletion was approximately 1700 mm, or 220 km3 in the NCP. The significantly groundwater storage depletion conversely affects the seasonal and interannual variations of ET. Irrigation especially during spring cause a marked increase in seasonal ET, whereas the rapid increasing of agricultural coverage over the NCP reduces the annual ET and is the primary control factor of the strong linear relationship between actual and potential ET. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

16.
Variations in the length-of-day (LOD) reflect the effects of several mechanisms in the Earth's rotation dynamics, including Earth–Sun and Earth–Moon line-up, geomagnetic effects and gravitational changes. Several studies showed that signatures of cycles occurring over a wide range of time scales are present in the LOD variations. The present work uses a fractal scaling study based on detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) to study persistence of LOD variations and to provide insights in the different cycling mechanisms. The results showed that that the LOD variations are persistent over a wide range of time scales, meaning that an increment (resp., decrement) is more likely to be followed by an increment (resp., decrement). The temporal variation of the scaling exponent obtained from the DFA showed that several cycles already reported from the direct LOD variations analysis are inherited by the scaling properties. Inter-annual cycles, including 4.3 and 18.6 years cycles, are linked to the variations of the stochastic dynamics of LOD fluctuations. In this way, the 18.6 years cycle attains a period where variations are mostly affected by white noise effects, reducing the predictability of the LOD anomalies. The results are discussed in terms of the different lunar tidal and core–mantle mechanisms and related to recent results in the literature.  相似文献   

17.
A non-stationary transient oscillating process of the solar magnetic field polarity reversal of ≈3 years in duration has been established: a U-shaped dynamics in the wavelet representation of variations in the scintillation index of galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) (≈7, 13–14, and ≈7 solar rotations). The transient oscillating process of the field reversal is concluded with a sharp and deep decrease in the GCR intensity at the branch of 11-year cycle decline (1972, 1982, 1991, and 2003). The duration of the transient process inversely depends on the 11-year cycle amplitude. Retardation of relaxation oscillations during “weak” cycles (20 and 23) explains “anomalous” solar activity in 1972 and 2003. A decrease in the amplitude of the current cycle 23 is accompanied by an increase in its duration, which can mean that the 11-year cyclicity has become anomalous. The constancy of the energy released in a single cycle indicates that the 11-year cycle is the mechanism of energy regulation preventing the Sun from “overheating” at the critical temperature.  相似文献   

18.
The climate during the past hundreds of thousands of years has been characterized by a rather distinct periodicity of about 100000 yr with brief warming periods (interglacials) lasting approximately 10000–12000 yr. Today, mankind is living in an interglacial period that began about 11 ka ago. In light of the discussion about global warming observed in recent decades, which advocates of an anthropogenic impact associate with emission of greenhouse gases due to combustion of fossil fuel, the question arises concerning the duration of the current interglacial. The data available on climate change and solar radiation on a time scale of the last millions of years are critically analyzed in this article and the problem of the length of the current interglacial is discussed.  相似文献   

19.
A joint analysis of paleodata on variations in cosmic ray fluxes, solar activity, geomagnetic field, and climate during the period from ～10000 to ～100000 years ago has been performed. Data on the time variations in the concentration of 14C and 10Be cosmogenic isotopes, which are generated in the Earth’s atmosphere under the action of cosmic ray fluxes modulated by solar activity and geomagnetic field variations, were used to detect variations in solar activity and the geomagnetic dipole. Information about climate changes has been obtained mainly from variations in the concentration of stable isotopes in the natural archives. A performed analysis indicates that the variations in cosmic ray fluxes under the action of variations in the geomagnetic field and solar activity are apparently one of the most effective natural factors of long-term climate changeability on a large time scale.  相似文献   

20.
A. Hassani 《Water Resources》2013,40(6):621-630
Knowing the rate of evaporation from surface water resources such as channels and reservoirs is essential for precise management of the water balance. Few detailed evaporation studies exist for small lakes or reservoirs in arid regions of the world. In this study, monthly evaporation was determined by Bowen Ratio Energy Budget technique (BREB) for Alghadir reservoir (Saveh, Iran) from 1995–2007 and compared with class-A pan. Daily data were obtained from IMO (Iran Meteorological Organization) weather station, located near the reservoir, for all of these years. Some variations have been observed on the estimated evaporation of the energy budget at different years, ranging from 151 cm for 1997 to 174 cm for 2006. There is no specific evaporation pattern for all the years, but evaporation rates were low in winter (January and February) and highest during the summer (July and August). However, the times and month of highest evaporation rates varied during the study period. Surveying of reservoir thermal structure showed that, inflow and outflow energy fluxes to this water volume have large variations. In addition, incoming solar shortwave radiation, incoming atmospheric longwave radiation, and longwave atmospheric radiation emitted from the water surface are largest energy fluxes for this small and deep reservoir. Results of this study could explain the importance and sensible contribution of the evaporation rates as a fundamental parameter in the hydrological cycle of reservoirs ecosystem in the arid regions of Iran.  相似文献   

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