首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Summary The Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) model developed at Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms at Oklahoma State University, USA is used for simulation of monsoon depression and tropical cyclone over Indian region. The radiosonde data are included in the initial analyses and subsequently; the simulations are performed with 50km and 25km grid resolutions. Two sets of forecast experiments produced by two types of analyses (with radiosonde and without radiosonde data) are compared. It is found that predicted mean sea-level pressure of the depression becomes closer to mean sea level pressure reported in Indian Daily Weather Reports when initialized with analyses containing radiosonde data. The precipitation forecast also is improved when initialized with the analyses containing radiosonde data. The simulation of tropical cyclone with 25km grid resolution is able to simulate some subsynoptic scale features of the system.  相似文献   

2.
Summary In terms of heavy precipitation, the MAP IOP 5 was a two-phase event. During the first phase – on 3 October 1999 – there was strong precipitation in the Lago Maggiore MAP target area, while the prefrontal precipitation was mainly limited to the mountain ranges of the MAP mission area in the Julian and the Karnic Alps involving a series of thunderstorms developing continuously for about 15 hours and contributing most to precipitation levels. During the second phase – on 4 October – the main precipitation was limited to the Julian and the Karnic Alps where a frontal passage was noted by a squall line moving from Veneto region towards the east, accompanied by a strong SW upper-level jet. At the same time, a strong low-level cold flow invaded the region to the north of Adriatic Sea from the east as a significant amount of cold air moving ageostrophically around the eastern edge of the Alps was arriving in the area. To study MAP IOP 5 in detail, we describe the development for mesoscale features of the events radar images, time-height cross-sections and estimates of Convective Available Poteintial Energy (CAPE) based on radio-sounding data, and how surface-measured precipitation offers some smaller scale information. Surface potential temperature and winds are also studied. Very large precipitation accumulation gradients are diagnosed (150mm per day/25km in S–N direction) and time distributions of hourly precipitation shows completely diverse regimes in the Friuli plain and in the Alps with peak intensities in the Julian Alps. The mesometeorological mechanisms for high precipitation rate in the SE Alps are diagnosed and some characteristics of the squall line are discussed.  相似文献   

3.
Summary ¶An Objective 500-hPa cyclone detection and analysis is performed during the warm-dry period (16 April to 15 October) of the year for the Central and Eastern Mediterranean Region (30°N–50°N, 5°E–35°E). The 40-year NCEP/NCAR reanalyzes gridded data of geopotential height and temperature employed in the study, enable a climatic approach with a spatial (2.5°×2.5°) and a 6-hour temporal (00, 06, 12, 18 UTC) resolution. The occurrence frequency for the entire region shows a high interannual variability without significant trends. The frequency maximization over land in the middle of the warm period indicates a possible relationship with land-air temperature difference. Three primary activity centers (Turkey, Black Sea and Genoa) are objectively determined in the frequency domain as local maxima and their intensity is assessed in terms of average geopotential height and temperature values. The Turkey center, though the most frequent, consists of shallow lows in contrast to the Black Sea center, which is second in frequency, but on average, contains the deepest lows amongst the three. The Genoa center, which comes third in frequency, shows the highest variability in the intensity of the lows. Frequency distributions in the area, during the three sub periods (Early, Middle and Late Warm Period) and during the four synoptic hours, provide insight in to the origins of these systems at the three locations and reveal secondary centers, such as the centers in the Adriatic (at 18 UTC), Northern Greece (during Middle Warm Period) and the South Aegean Sea (during Late Warm Period).Received February 20, 2002; revised November 4, 2002; accepted January 16, 2003 Published online July 30, 2003  相似文献   

4.
Summary A 1290MHz wind profiler (Radian Lap-3000), at present one of three operational wind profilers in Austria, is operated at Vienna airport. In spite of quality assurance procedures as consensus averaging included in the data evaluation process from profiler raw data, some spurious peaks of wind speed and unrealistic changes of the wind vector in time or height occur in the wind measurements. This is especially true for sampling intervals of only 5 minutes which are used to resolve the temporal evolution of summer thunderstorms and frontal passages. Averaging periods of only a few minutes are rather the lower limit apt for wind profiler observations and result in a low data availability of 28%, whereas about 55% of data (relative to the maximum height range according to the parameter setting) are available for 10 to 30 minutes profiles.Approaches to a posteriori quality control using checks for automatic error detection are proposed and tested on a one and a half year data-set: Flagging data when the three-dimensional wind divergence exceeds a predefined limit (0.5s–1) is in most cases successful in combination with thresholds for wind speed (2 times the median of the daily data-set) or wind shear (0.2s–1).The wind profiler data is compared to wind profiles from the next radiosonde station where soundings are launched 4 times a day at Hohe Warte, approx. 20km northwest, at the hill-side of the Viennese Woods. Deviations of about 1m s–1 in wind speed are found between the observations of the two systems. Differences between the wind profiles within the boundary layer can be explained by local differences in the wind regime observed at the airport and the radiosounding – blocking effects of the Viennese Woods during south-easterly flow. Comparing the profiler data to radiosoundings on a monthly basis gives a tool to monitor the profiler performance.  相似文献   

5.
Summary This study addresses simulation of the local bora wind and its properties as reflected on typical trajectories. Trajectory calculations are implemented in the Eta Model. The Eta Model has a vertical coordinate which permits a step-like representation of mountains and quasi-horizontal coordinate surfaces, the so-called eta coordinate. A realistic real data simulation of a bora wind case in achieved using the model with a 28 km horizontal resolution and 16 layers in the vertical. Numerical experiments with different mountain heights and shapes in the bora wind region are performed. These are motivated by observational indications and theoretically based expectations that a certain intermediate mountain elevation is required for generation of downslope windstorms with bora wind properties. Three-dimensional trajectories over various mountains mimicing real mountains but differing primarily in elevation are calculated and analysed. The maximum bora wind speed is predicted as expected through three-dimensional channels in the step mountain representations. The results illustrate and are in agreement with the observational evidence that mountain barriers of the elevation of about 1000 m are a necessary requirement for the occurrence of the bora-type downslope windstorms.With 10 Figures  相似文献   

6.
Summary Numerical simulations of the 24 October 1999 south foehn (MAP-IOP 10) are performed with the Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model MM5 for the Wipp Valley and the adjacent parts of the Inn Valley. The model is run in a multiple-nest configuration, the area of interest being resolved at a mesh size of 800m in most experiments. The study serves to complement an earlier work in which typical flow features of the foehn in the Wipp Valley region were investigated by means of idealized simulations, assessing whether it is possible to reproduce the temporal evolution and the spatial structure of a particular foehn case. A further objective of the paper is to examine the dependence of the model performance on the horizontal resolution, giving some information which resolution will probably be needed for future high-resolution forecasts.An encouragingly large part of the observed flow features could be well reproduced in the simulations. Except for a small region to the east of Innsbruck, the foehn breakthrough is predicted correctly to within an hour. The spatial structure of the so-called pre-foehn, an enhanced westerly wind occurring at Innsbruck prior to the breakthrough of the foehn, also agrees very well with the observations. Moreover, the maximum extent of the foehn in the Inn Valley, the structure of the gravity wave field above the Wipp Valley and the upvalley progression of a shallow cold front in the evening are consistent with the observations. Except for a few places where the airmass boundary between the warm foehn air and the adjacent colder air is not captured correctly throughout the time, the simulated surface temperatures range within 2K of the observed values. Discrepancies between the model results and the observations are found in the vicinity of Innsbruck where a flow-splitting phenomenon induces a very complex flow pattern at low levels. Another source of problems is the surface potential temperature along the Wipp Valley. The observed potential-temperature increase between the Brenner Pass and Innsbruck, which appears to be related to turbulent vertical mixing of stably stratified air, is underestimated by the model. Reducing the horizontal resolution from 800m to 1.4km deteriorates the model performance in marginally resolved side valleys, but the results obtained for the Wipp Valley and the Inn Valley are still of high quality.  相似文献   

7.
Summary The interaction of a cold front with the Alps is studied by means of real-case numerical simulations for a case occurring at the end of the Alpine Experiment (ALPEX) on 28 April–2 May, 1982. Simulations are performed with the numerical weather prediction model chain Europa-Modell (EM) and its one-way nested high-resolution model (HM) of the German and Swiss Weather Services. The outer EM simulation (56 km horizontal resolution) uses initial and lateral boundary fields taken from the ALPEX-IIIb reanalysis data set. This reanalysis data set is based on the operational EM analysis scheme, but takes into consideration a wide range of field phase data taken during the ALPEX field campaign. A comparison of simulations driven by the ALPEX and ECMWF reanalysis (ERA) data is performed. The simulation driven by the former captures the intensity and vertical depth of the developing lee cyclone substantially better than the corresponding run driven by the ERA. The transient development of the impingement of a cold front on the Alps induces a wide range of mesoscale phenomenon such as flow splitting, mistral, north foehn, cyclogenesis, anticyclonic vortex and bora. These flow evolutions are analyzed using HM simulations with a horizontal resolution of 14 km and visualized performing comprehensive trajectory calculations. Received September 9, 2000/Revised November 28, 2000  相似文献   

8.
  相似文献   

9.
Denamiel  Cléa  Pranić  Petra  Quentin  Florent  Mihanović  Hrvoje  Vilibić  Ivica 《Climate Dynamics》2020,55(9-10):2483-2509

This numerical work aims to better understand the behavior of extreme Adriatic Sea wave storms under projected climate change. In this spirit, 36 characteristic events—22 bora and 14 sirocco storms occurring between 1979 and 2019, were selected and ran in evaluation mode in order to estimate the skill of the kilometer-scale Adriatic Sea and Coast (AdriSC) modelling suite used in this study and to provide baseline conditions for the climate change impact. The pseudo-global warming (PGW) methodology—which imposes an additional climatological change to the forcing used in the evaluation simulations, was implemented, for the very first time, for a coupled ocean–wave–atmosphere model and used to assess the behavior of the selected storms under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 greenhouse gas projections. The findings of this experiment are that, on the one hand, the AdriSC model is found capable of reproducing both the Adriatic waves associated with the 36 storms and the northern Adriatic surges occurring during the sirocco events and, on the other hand, the significant wave heights and peak periods are likely to decrease during all future extreme events but most particularly during bora storms. The northern Adriatic storm surges are in consequence also likely to decrease during sirocco events. As it was previously demonstrated that the Adriatic extreme wind-wave events are likely to be less intense in a future warmer climate, this study also proved the validity of applying the PGW methodology to coupled ocean–wave–atmosphere models at the coastal and nearshore scales.

  相似文献   

10.
The development of the bora in case of strong southeastern wind in the area of Novaya Zemlya in the winter-spring of 2016 is simulated using the WRF-ARW numerical atmosphere circulation model with high spatial resolution. The features of wind speed and air temperature fields are considered which define the formation of the intensive near-surface flow, the bora, over the lee western slope of the mountain range. It is demonstrated that the bora development leads to the air temperature rise over the eastern part of the Barents Sea, to the increased surface heat fluxes, and to the formation of the cloudless zone over the sea westward of Novaya Zemlya. It was found that the main reason for the bora development is the high stability of the atmospheric boundary layer over the Kara Sea. It is shown that in case of western wind the Novaya Zemlya archipelago does not exert considerable influence on the air exchange in the Kara Sea area.  相似文献   

11.
Summary The aim of this study is to point to the very large improvements that are taking place in a range of modelling applications in the urban areas. The particular phenomenon chosen in this study is a supercell, but it could well have been any other aspect of urban modelling. The Sydney hailstorm of 14 April 1999 was a long-lived, high precipitation supercell that produced a massive damage bill of over 2 billion Australian dollars from its hail swath. The Sydney hailstorm was poorly forecast for a number of reasons including: the severe weather season had officially ended so there were no specialist staff on duty when the hailstorm struck Sydney; the storm proved very difficult to predict and it was expected to continue heading out to sea; and the forecast guidance from all available operational numerical models was inadequate at the resolution required for a supercell simulation. Here, our interest is on the last of the problems, namely, the quality of the operational numerical model guidance, especially given the impact it had on a densely populated urban region.In this study, we compare the numerical guidance available at the time with current modeling capability which, although in research mode at present, will soon be available in real-time mode. The operational models were hydrostatic models run at horizontal resolutions of 25km at best, compared with 1km horizontal resolution for the non-hydrostatic research model. The research model also had a high-order differencing scheme and a sophisticated six phase cloud physics scheme compared with the much simpler parameterized convection in the operational models. The operational model produced very little convective precipitation and it was displaced well to the north of Sydney. The research model generated a supercell with a track and a hail size distribution that was encouragingly close to the observed.  相似文献   

12.
The wind stress in the marine surface layer under unstable conditions and low wind speed has been studied using a Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) image of the sea surface and time series of the horizontal and vertical wind velocities and of the wind stress recorded on board the C.N.R. research platform, in the northern Adriatic Sea, during a SAR overflight.A conditional sampling technique has been used on the wind stress time series and on the SAR image to detect downward (sweep) and upward (ejection) bursts of the momentum flux, as well as the two-dimensional structure of the radar backscatter.From the ensemble average of both the wind stress and the backscatter structures, it has been possible to estimate the mean duration of the upward (11 s) and the downward (15 s) wind stress bursts and the mean size of the bright patches of the SAR image (120 m). The front of the mean backscatter structure, associated with the downward wind stress bursts, has been related to the time length of the mean sweep stress structure to get, after accounting for a threshold of the wind stress for the generation of the sea surface wavelets, the translation velocity Ut of the mean wind stress of sweep, very close to the mean wind speed. The vertical coherence of the wind stress structures has permited to refer the translation velocity to a level very close to the sea surface, but above the viscous sublayer. The variability of Ut with height has been studied through comparison with the mean wind speed at different heights z calculated by a boundary-layer model. Accounting for the results reported in the literature, there is an indication that Ut is constant with height in the range 0.5 m z 15 m.The two-dimensional pattern of the wind stress structures has been derived from the SAR image. The structures appear elongated crosswind, as with microfronts, with an average cross- to down-wind ratio of 4. The area covered by the downward wind stress structures represents 13% of the total area.  相似文献   

13.
Summary A statistical analysis and inter-comparison of the solar UVB, UVA and global radiation for Beer Sheva and Neve Zohar (Dead Sea) are presented utilizing data measured from January 1995 through December 2002. Beer Sheva is located approximately 65km to the west of and 700m above Neve Zohar. The monthly average hourly and daily values for all radiation types at both sites are reported. The standard errors of the monthly average daily values have been calculated in order to ascertain whether the average daily radiation intensities are representative, i.e. if the magnitude of the standard error is less than the inherent measurement uncertainty of the instruments, and, thereby, justify an inter-comparison between the two sites. The relative magnitude of the global, UVB and UVA radiation intensity at the two sites is attributed to the enhanced scattering of the incident solar radiation at the Dead Sea location due to the longer optical path length it must traverse to arrive at the Dead Sea, the lowest terrestrial point on earth. The degree of attenuation of solar radiation due to the scattering phenomena is inversely proportional to the wavelength raised to some power and, consequently, it is greatest for UVB and negligible for global radiation.  相似文献   

14.
Summary The skill of the FSU Superensemble technique as applied to global numerical weather prediction is evaluated extensively in this paper. The global mass and motion fields for year 2000 and precipitation over the domain 55S to 55N for year 2001, as predicted by the Superensemble, the ensemble member models, and the mean of the ensemble members, are evaluated by standard statistical measures of skill to determine the performance of the Superensemble in relation to the other models. The member models are global forecast models from 5 of the worlds operational forecast centers in addition to the FSU global spectral model. For precipitation 5 additional versions of the FSU global model are utilized in the ensemble, as defined by different initial conditions provided by various physical initialization algorithms. Statistical parameters calculated for the mass and motion fields include root mean square (RMS) error, systematic error (or bias), and anomaly correlation. These are applied to the mean sea level pressure, 500hPa heights, and the wind fields at 850hPa and 200hPa. Statistical parameters that were calculated for precipitation include RMS error, correlation, equitable threat score (ETS), and a special definition of bias appropriate for the precipitation field. For the mass and motion fields the performance of the Superensemble was considered for the annual global case, as well as for each hemisphere (north and south) and for each of the four seasons. For precipitation only the annual case was considered over the domain cited above.For the mass and motion fields the RMS calculations showed the Superensemble to be superior (to have the smallest total forecast error) in all comparisons to the ensemble member models, and to be superior to the ensemble mean in the vast majority of comparisons. Performance in comparison to the other models was generally better in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere, and better in the transition seasons of fall and spring than in the extreme seasons of winter and summer. The Superensemble had the best success with mean sea level pressure, followed in order by 500hPa geopotential heights, 850hPa winds, and 200hPa winds.In the calculations of 500hPa geopotential height anomaly correlation the Superensemble had higher scores in all comparisons to the ensemble member models, as well as higher scores in the majority of comparisons to the ensemble mean. As with the RMS error results, the Superensemble performed better in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere, and better in fall than in summer, in comparison to the other models. The superior anomaly correlation scores of the Superensemble attest to the ability of the model to forecast daily perturbations from the climatological means, perturbations that are associated with transient synoptic scale features, given the horizontal resolution in the forecast models.In terms of systematic error reduction the Superensemble produces its most impressive results. Annual global mean sea-level pressure systematic errors for day 5 forecasts are generally in the range of ±1hPa (compared to errors as high as 8hPa in other models), and day 2 forecasts of 500hPa geopotential height produced systematic errors generally in the range of ±10 meters (compared to errors as high as 60 meters in other models). The Superensemble was able to reduce systematic errors in forecasts of a variety of important features in the global mass and motion fields: surface equatorial trough, wave amplitude in geopotential heights at 500hPa, trade winds and Somali Jet at 850hPa, mid-latitude westerlies, subtropical jet, and Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ) at 200hPa.In terms of forecasting precipitation the Superensemble outperforms all ensemble member models and the ensemble mean in terms of RMS error, correlation coefficient, equitable threat score, and bias. The superior correlation scores indicate that the Superensemble is more reliable than the other models in predicting perturbations in the area distribution of precipitation, perturbations that are essentially associated with migrant synoptic scale disturbances, considering the horizontal resolution of the forecast models.The Superensemble is a valuable tool for significantly improving upon the global model forecasts of the worlds operational forecast centers. These forecasts are used daily as important guidance in making weather forecasts in all regions of the world. This paper will demonstrate that the Superensemble improves upon the ensemble member model forecasts: (1) in a statistical sense considering broad areas of the globe, (2) in a synoptic climatology sense through focus on the improved forecasts of climatological features seen in the global mass and motion fields, (3) in a synoptic sense through use of anomaly correlation and correlation coefficient where improvement is demonstrated in the forecasts of perturbations from mean fields which are essentially associated with transient synoptic scale disturbances.  相似文献   

15.
Summary The increases in the erythemal UV exposures to horizontal planes and to inclined planes over three surfaces that are found in an urban environment (water, concrete and sand) due to the albedo of these surfaces have been estimated. For the cloud free case, the additional daily estimated UV exposures to a horizontal plane have a maximum value of 222 (Jm–2)ER, where the index after the unit is there to indicate that it refers to a biologically effective exposure. In comparison, the daily erythemal UV exposures over a year to a horizontal plane ranged from 425 to 8,321 (Jm–2)ER. For a vertical receiving plane that is rotating about a vertical axis, the additional erythemal daily UV exposures for the sub-tropical latitude location of this research for the ranges of solar azimuth angles encountered over the days in each season ranged from 16 to 311 (Jm–2)ER, 29 to 566 (Jm–2)ER and 46 to 905 (Jm–2)ER for water, concrete and sand respectively. The estimated error is ±20% and the calculations are based on clear-sky conditions. The additional erythemal UV averaged over each of the seasons was higher for the receiving plane inclined at 45° below the horizontal plane. In a similar fashion, the vertical surface has the higher additional erythemal UV exposures compared to the surfaces inclined at an angle above the horizontal.  相似文献   

16.
Summary Dramatic examples of forecast failures in global models of moderate resolution (i.e., T106) have been shown to occur during periods of the negative phase of the Pacific/North American (PNA) pattern in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Specifically, in these periods forecast skills at 500hPa as measured by the standard anomaly correlation index dropped to rather low values by days 4 and 5 of the forecasts. This paper examines systematically some of the factors that may have contributed to the failure of these model forecasts.In particular, strong winds approaching intensities on the order of 100ms–1 south of Japan at the 200hPa level were degraded by the initialization and data assimilation procedures of the models. These observed winds were found to be supergradient in nature and representative of the anomalous solution of the gradient wind equation. Procedures such as the multivariate optimum interpolation (with its geostrophic constraints) and the normal-mode initialization including several vertical modes apparently were factors that led to the degradation of these strong winds in the initial model states. In this paper, an analysis of these factors is presented, and it is shown that uninitialized analyses (with no constraints) based on a simple successive correction procedure can retain the strong winds evident in the observations. Forecasts thus performed appear to retain wave trains, a characteristic feature of negative PNA initial states, leading to a significant improvement in forecast skill.  相似文献   

17.
Summary A numerical prediction model is described which uses the full set of prognostic equations on a domain roughly the size of the United States with a 96 km horizontal grid resolution and six sigma-coordinate levels. Within this grid resides a nested domain of approximately 1000×1000 km with 24 km horizontal resolution. In this nested grid only modifications to the wind field by the better resolved terrain are considered on the lowest two sigma levels. The terrain effects necessitate adjustments in the location of these two sigma levels. Adjusted wind fields cause modifications in the mass and moisture divergence fields, hence in precipitation. These modifications are averaged into the appropriate meteorological fields on the larger grid.The algorithms used by our model allow continuous interaction between both grids with high computational efficiency.The relative importance of synoptic forcing and terrain is demonstrated for the cases of the Big Thompson, Colorado, flood of 1976 and the Cheyenne, Wyoming, flood of 1985.With 15 Figures  相似文献   

18.
Summary The purpose of this study is to better understand the dynamical and microphysical processes within Arctic clouds, which occurred in April 1998 over the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) ship during the First ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project) Regional Experiment Arctic Cloud Experiment (FIRE.ACE). The observations from the four cases in the present study were collected by instruments mounted onboard the National Research Council (NRC) Convair, as well as, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) satellite, the SHEBA surface based NOAA Doppler radar (35GHz, Ka-Band), and the NOAA depolarization lidar (0.523µm) measurements. The aircraft observations were collected at 32Hz (3-m scale). The Meteorological Services of Canada (MSC) lidar (1.064µm) was operated onboard the Convair-580. The AVHRR observations, representing a 5-km horizontal resolution, were used to estimate particle size, phase, and optical thickness. Constant altitude flight legs were made at about 100m over the ocean surface. Vertical air velocity (w), reflectivity and Doppler velocity, and backscatter and depolarization ratio values were used to define the size of the important dynamical structures. Ice crystal number concentration (Ni), ice water content (IWC), droplet number concentration (Nd), liquid water content (LWC) and characteristic particle size and shape were summarized for each case. The effective radius (reff) values for liquid clouds obtained from in-situ and AVHRR observations were found comparable. The large variability in IWC can be due to undetected ice crystals at small size ranges. Mixed phased conditions in the AVHRR retrievals complicated the comparisons with in-situ data. Ni was found to be directly related to the history of the air-parcel dynamics e.g., w. The variability and differences in the parameters obtained from various platforms can be attributed to their instrumental capabilities, resolution, as well as the cloud development.  相似文献   

19.
Summary The effects of varying horizontal and vertical grid resolution on the numerical simulation of upper-tropospheric frontal structures are examined using a, two-dimensional, dry, hydrostatic sigma-coordinate primitive equation model. These effects are illustrated with the results of 72 h model integrations in which frontogenesis is forced solely by confluence. Four different horizontal grid spacings, ranging from 100 km to 12.5 km, and four different vertical, grid resolutions, varying from 10 to 70 layers (90 mb to 13 mb), are considered.The intensity and integrity of the frontogenesis as a function of grid resolution are diagnosed in terms of time histories and spatial distributions of frontal parameters, such as the speed of the along-front jet, maxima of absolute vorticity and potential temperature gradient, and ageostrophic motions. The time histories show that, provided the vertical resolution is sufficient, increasing horizontal resolution leads to better-defined frontal structure due to the decrease in cross-frontal scale. They also indicate that for a given horizontal resolution there exists an optimal vertical resolution beyond which frontal parameters change only slightly. This optimal vertical resolution increases with increasing horizontal resolution, and apparently is related to the horizontal resolution through the slope of the frontal zone.The time histories for simulations combining low vertical resolution with high horizontal resolution exhibit substantial high-frequency variability. Cross sections show that this temporal variability appears to be manifested spatially in the form of gravity waves characterized by wavelengths on the order of 200 km and periods of 12 h, over the range of horizontal and vertical resolution that is considered. Although the source mechanism for these waves cannot be established definitively, it likely involves a grid-induced ageostrophic component of the along-front wind which disrupts thermal wind balance. This results thus demonstrates the potential risk of flawed frontal simulations, when incompatible combinations of horizontal and vertical resolution are used.With 7 Figures  相似文献   

20.
Summary The relative strength of the stabilizing effect of buoyancy and the destabilizing effect of velocity shear in a stratified shear flow, such as a stable atmospheric boundary layer, is measured by the gradient Richardson number, Rig. The boundary layer static stability, as described by the buoyancy frequency, N, can be calculated from the virtual potential temperature gradient derived from RASS temperature profiles. The mean wind profiles from a sodar can be used to calculate the mean vertical velocity shear. In combination these profilers are potentially a powerful tool for the remotely sensing the dynamic stability of the boundary layer. However, experience shows that the combinations of two experimentally derived quantities, like N and shear, may give highly variable results. On the other hand, a simple sensitivity analysis shows that reasonable estimates of Rig are achievable over a range of conditions in the stable nocturnal boundary layer. To test this conclusion, high spatial and temporal resolution temperature and velocity soundings were obtained above 50m in the stable nocturnal boundary layer using a 920MHz continuous wave Radio Acoustic Sounding System (RASS) and 1.875kHz and 5.00kHz Doppler sodars. Examples of the evolution of Rig are presented from 24 hours of observations of the boundary layer in Canberra, on the tablelands in south- eastern Australia. Most of the boundary layer had Rig between 0.1 and 1. Thus, it was marginally dynamically stable, even with the gradient Richardson number calculated from finite differences over a vertical interval of 68m. A comparison of the results from the two sodars showed that the velocity shear increased significantly when the vertical differencing interval was decreased from 68m to 20m.  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号