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1.
Given a set of test criteria that determine a quality specification,the question often arises whether anyof the tests are redundant because of intercorrelations.Simple selection of tests on the basis of partialcorrelations with the other tests is rejected on the basis that the random error in the data may be causingspurious correlations.One method is to use cross-validation to define the systematic principal components and examine thecorrelation structure in this reduced space.It is shown that the presence of principal componentsdominated by individual tests(‘variable specific’PCs),which are indicated by cross-validation as beingnon-systematic,must be taken into account.Having defined the dimensionality,a variable reductionmethod based on Procrustes rotation selects subsets of tests that preserve the structure of the samples inmultivariate space.This is an attractive proposition in the context of maintaining a quality controlspecification.It is also shown that the variable reduction technique can be used to aid the identificationof the true dimensionality of the data space.This approach is applied to a number of routine tests carriedout on aviation turbine fuel. 相似文献
2.
TAN Fang-Lin 《湿地科学》2007,5(2):105-110
Spartina is a kind of very important and invasive grass. In its native range, it is very important for erosion control, fish, wildlife, and estuary reclamation. Therefore, it was introduced to many countries. Since 1963, it was introduced to China. Up to now, it was intentionally or accidentally planted nearly all estuaries in the east coast of China and the area was estimated over 0.1×106 hm2. As other introduced plants, Spartina grows very vigorously in China, and this caused many environmental and economical problems. So, it is an emergency to develop a Spartina control strategy of China. In the paper, the history of Spartina introduction in China was reviewed, and several methods which were probably feasible for China to control Spartina were introduced, including physical/mechanical (such as mowing, digging, and dredging), chemical, and biological methods. Before taking any measurments to control Spartina, 2 things should be done. The first was to develop a plan and make an inventory; the second was to select a feasible method according to local climatic, economic, social, and ecological conditions. It was suggested that it would be very important to assess the possible effect of control methods on the environment in order to prevent from causing other environmental problems. 相似文献
3.
Direct tests of the random topology model have traditionally employed the 0.05 level of significance. As exercises in model confirmation, these tests should have used a larger significance level and because they did not, the tests have been biased in favor of the model. This bias has contributed to the limitations of the model being overlooked. When all published tests of topologically distinct channel networks and ambilateral classes are repeated using a significance level of 0.30 rather than 0.05, the proportion of tests in which the model is rejected increases from 15 to 46 percent. 相似文献
4.
Use of a Probabilistic Neural Network to Reduce Costs of Selecting Construction Rock 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Rocks used as construction aggregate in temperate climates deteriorate to differing degrees because of repeated freezing and thawing. The magnitude of the deterioration depends on the rock's properties. Aggregate, including crushed carbonate rock, is required to have minimum geotechnical qualities before it can be used in asphalt and concrete. In order to reduce chances of premature and expensive repairs, extensive freeze-thaw tests are conducted on potential construction rocks. These tests typically involve 300 freeze-thaw cycles and can take four to five months to complete. Less time consuming tests that (1) predict durability as well as the extended freeze-thaw test or that (2) reduce the number of rocks subject to the extended test, could save considerable amounts of money. Here we use a probabilistic neural network to try and predict durability as determined by the freeze-thaw test using four rock properties measured on 843 limestone samples from the Kansas Department of Transportation. Modified freeze-thaw tests and less time consuming specific gravity (dry), specific gravity (saturated), and modified absorption tests were conducted on each sample. Durability factors of 95 or more as determined from the extensive freeze-thaw tests are viewed as acceptable—rocks with values below 95 are rejected. If only the modified freeze-thaw test is used to predict which rocks are acceptable, about 45% are misclassified. When 421 randomly selected samples and all four standardized and scaled variables were used to train aprobabilistic neural network, the rate of misclassification of 422 independent validation samples dropped to 28%. The network was trained so that each class (group) and each variable had its own coefficient (sigma). In an attempt to reduce errors further, an additional class was added to the training data to predict durability values greater than 84 and less than 98, resulting in only 11% of the samples misclassified. About 43% of the test data was classed by the neural net into the middle group—these rocks should be subject to full freeze-thaw tests. Thus, use of the probabilistic neural network would meanthat the extended test would only need be applied to 43% of the samples, and 11% of the rocks classed as acceptable would fail early. 相似文献
5.
MASSIMOBARONI SERGIOCLEMENTI GABRIELECRUCIANI GABRIELECOSTANTINO DANIELARIGANELLI ERMANNO OBERRAUCH 《地理学报(英文版)》1992,(6)
A procedure called GOLPE is suggested in order to detect those variables which increase the predictivityof PLS models.The procedure is based on evaluating the predictive power of a number of PLS modelsbuilt by different combinations of variables selected according to a factorial design strategy.Examplesare given of the efficiency of this variable selection procedure,which shows how these predictive PLSmodels are better than those obtained by all variables and better than the corresponding ordinaryregression models. 相似文献
6.
In an accompanying paper, we used waveform tomography to obtain a velocity model between two boreholes from a real crosshole seismic experiment. As for all inversions of geophysical data, it is important to make an assessment of the final model, to determine which parts of the model are well-resolved and can confidently be used for geological interpretation. In this paper we use checkerboard tests to provide a quantitative estimate of the performance of the inversion and the reliability of the final velocity model. We use the output from the checkerboard tests to determine resolvability across the velocity model. Such tests can act as good guides for designing appropriate inversion strategies. Here we discovered that, by including both reference-model and smoothing constraints in initial inversions, and then relaxing the smoothing constraint for later inversions, an optimum velocity image was obtained. Additionally, we noticed that the performance of the inversion was dependent on a relationship between velocity perturbation and checkerboard grid-size: larger velocity perturbations were better-resolved when the grid-size was also increased. Our results suggest that model assessment is an essential step prior to interpreting features in waveform tomographic images. 相似文献
7.
我国环境污染的变化规律与调控对策 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
本文在分析了我国水体、大气与土地污染的现状及其变化规律的基础上,认为我国由于自然条件的区域差异与经济发展水平的不同,环境污染的变化也是存在着很强的区域分异特征的。为此,必须按照我国自然、经济的变化规律,提出相应的环境对策,以便有效地利用环境本身的自净功能,全面规划,合理布局工农业生产,并充分利用科学技术手段,改革生产流程,控制污染物的排放,同时还应该采取多种途径,改进环境管理措施与立法功能。 相似文献
8.
基于VIC模型的逐日土壤含水量模拟 总被引：11，自引：6，他引：5
基于VIC(Variable Infiltration Capacity)大尺度水文模型,采用实测的日降水和日最高、最低气温数据,模拟了近35年(1971~2005)全国范围30 km×30 km分辨率的逐日土壤含水量。文章利用43个流域的实测流量资料,率定模型水文参数,建立和验证水文参数移用公式,确定无资料地区的水文参数。选取全国范围内的28个站19年的土壤含水量实测值,对模拟的土壤含水量进行了验证。结果表明,VIC模型较好地模拟了土壤含水量,尤其是在湿润和半湿润地区。模拟的0~100 cm的土壤含水量多年平均值与实际的全国土壤水分分布较为一致。 相似文献
9.
基于GIS建模的海水环境质量可变模糊识别评价 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
基于对立统一与质量互变定理的可变模糊评价方法引入海水水质综合评价,构建基于对立统一与质量互变定理的海洋环境质量可变模糊评价模型,首先分析可变模糊评价方法的原理和方法,然后结合GIS栅格数据在表达空间信息方面具有的独特优势,以栅格数据为基础,利用地理信息系统空间叠置分析、地理信息系统空间建模等计算,建立基于多源栅格数据的海水环境可变模糊综合评价模型,得到莱州湾2004~2010年海水环境空间分布图。实践证明,该模型应用于海水水质综合评价是完全可行的,为海洋环境领域的多目标综合评价与决策提供了新的思路与方法。 相似文献
10.
广东的洪涝及其对农业的危害与防御对策 总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1
对广东省的洪涝灾害进行了分类，主要从气候的角度揭示洪涝的成因，及其对农业生产的危害。广东的洪涝按水分过多的程度，可分为洪水、涝害和湿害；按季节划发，洪涝分成春季洪涝、春夏洪涝、夏秋洪涝和连阴雨等几种类型。洪涝与湿害的气候指标常用年或某的降雨异常来描述。洪涝和湿害的农业气象指标用水分平均旱涝指标来表示。洪涝灾害的形成与季风活动密切有关。地形对洪涝影响明显，洪涝对农业的危害主要有物理性破坏、生理性损伤、生态性危害。防御洪涝的对策主要有加强防灾减灾的组织管理，改善生态环境，提高天气预报准确率等措施。 相似文献
11.
12.
30多年来呼伦贝尔草原沙漠化的演变特点及防治对策研究 总被引：14，自引：4，他引：10
采用遥感技术与野外调查相结合的方法,通过3个典型小区对呼伦贝尔草原30多年来的沙漠化演变特点进行了系统研究。结果表明:该区的樟子松林区发生着强烈的沙漠化逆转,许多地段已转变为非沙漠化土地;其它地区除部分地段由于人类的积极治理而发生沙漠化逆转外,仍处于不断发展的过程中。因此,对于樟子松天然分布区,可充分利用樟子松的优良防风固沙特性和较强的扩展能力来防治沙漠化,而对其它地区则应以封育为主,加强人工抚育和草原建设。 相似文献
13.
Jonathan D. Phillips 《The Professional geographer》1986,38(3):246-252
Soil conservation programs and management of sediment pollution in streams are both concerned with land conservation and water quality, but specific management goals are usually governed by separate considerations. Geomorphic concepts, especially the fluvial sediment budget, can be used to examine the relationship between upland soil erosion and sediment pollution in waterways. An example of such an application is given for the upper Tar River basin of North Carolina, showing that achieving soil loss goals will not prevent continuing high stream sediment concentrations and water quality deterioration. The budget concept can also be used to determine whether direct control of sediment input to waterways is needed in addition to on-site erosion control. Usually such applications require assumptions of a constant qualitative character of the sediment budget. 相似文献
14.
GIS支持下青海湖地区草地蝗虫发生的地形分析 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
草地蝗虫发生的地形分析是建立草地蝗虫发生预报模型的基础，以青海湖地区为实验区，在Arc/Info和ArcView地理信息系统的支持下，进行草地蝗虫发生与各地形变量（包括海拔高度、坡度与坡向）的叠置分析，提取草地蝗虫发生的地形信息数据库，然后，分别采用T－检验（对连续变量－海拔高度和坡度）和卡方（Chisquare)检验（对类变量－坡向类型）进行各地形变量对草地蝗虫发生的差异显著性检验，结果表明，海拔高度和坡度对草地蝗虫发生的影响极为显著（显著性水平p=0.000)，而坡向地草地蝗虫发生的影响不是特别明显（显著性水平p=0.039)。 相似文献
15.
水是最重要的自然资源之一,水资源的可利用量取决于自然条件和人为因素两个方面。亚洲中部干旱区水资源有限,近年来河湖萎缩、生态环境系统退化,已成为区域社会经济持续发展的瓶颈。以丝绸之路经济带沿线国家之一哈萨克斯坦内按照水资源需求程度划分的八大流域作为研究区,在进行各个流域水质及水资源现状特征分析的基础上,通过径流占比、人为影响程度以及水资源需求程度等3项指标分别对八大流域水资源进行综合评估,并采用可变模糊优选模型评价哈萨克斯坦境内不同流域人类活动对水资源的影响程度,对八大流域进行轻微、中等和显著等3个影响程度的等级划分。结果表明：人类活动对锡尔河-咸海及伊希姆河流域水资源以及水环境的影响程度处于显著水平,而且前者流域水质污染问题较为严重;乌拉尔河-里海流域的地表径流占比最高,但该区域因大量油气资源开发对水资源需求量非常高,处于危险等级。巴尔喀什湖-阿拉湖流域的用水需求处于临界程度,属于第三类（处于危重程度）。额尔齐斯河流域水储量最为丰富,但流域中游哈萨克斯坦境内矿产开发引起的水质污染严重。另外,近几十年来哈萨克斯坦地表径流变化分析表明,1965年以来年总径流量减少39.4 km3,其中跨境径流量减少23 km3,境内径流减少16.5 km3。近年虽然灌溉面积和工业活动减少,年均耗水量也有所减少,但是人口增长导致公共服务和生活等方面耗水量增加2.58 km3,区域水资源供需矛盾日益凸显。因此,需要综合考虑各国利益和整个区域社会经济与生态环境的和谐可持续发展,共同商定水资源开发利用及保护的措施。 相似文献
16.
The dynamic strain and strength of frozen silt under long-term dynamic loading are studied based on creep tests. Three groups of
tests are performed (Groups I, II, and III). The initial deviator stresses of Groups I and II are same and the dynamic stress amplitude
of Group II is twice as that of Group I. The minimum value of dynamic stress in Group III is near zero and its dynamic stress
amplitude is larger than those of Groups I and II. In tests of all three groups there are similar change trends of accumulative strain,
but with different values. The accumulative strain curves consist of three stages, namely, the initial stage, the steady stage, and the
gradual flow stage. In the tests of Groups I and II, during the initial stage with vibration times less than 50 loops the strain amplitude
decreased with the increase of vibration times and then basically remained constant, fluctuating in a very small range. For the
tests of Group III, during the initial and steady stages the strain amplitude decreased with the increase of vibration times, and then
increased rapidly in the gradual flow stage. The dynamic strength of frozen silt decreases and trends to terminal dynamic strength
as the vibration times of loading increase. 相似文献
17.
Bo Yang Minxuan Lan Zengli Wang Hanlin Zhou Hongjie Yu 《International journal of geographical information science》2020,34(9):1740-1764
ABSTRACT Accurate crime prediction can help allocate police resources for crime reduction and prevention. There are two popular approaches to predict criminal activities: one is based on historical crime, and the other is based on environmental variables correlated with criminal patterns. Previous research on geo-statistical modeling mainly considered one type of data in space-time domain, and few sought to blend multi-source data. In this research, we proposed a spatio-temporal Cokriging algorithm to integrate historical crime data and urban transitional zones for more accurate crime prediction. Time-series historical crime data were used as the primary variable, while urban transitional zones identified from the VIIRS nightlight imagery were used as the secondary co-variable. The algorithm has been applied to predict weekly-based street crime and hotspots in Cincinnati, Ohio. Statistical tests and Predictive Accuracy Index (PAI) and Predictive Efficiency Index (PEI) tests were used to validate predictions in comparison with those of the control group without using the co-variable. The validation results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm with historical crime data and urban transitional zones increased the correlation coefficient by 5.4% for weekdays and by 12.3% for weekends in statistical tests, and gained higher hit rates measured by PAI/PEI in the hotspots test. 相似文献
18.
A curve-fit model of the relationship between soil pH (A horizon) and climate forms the basis of a map of predicted pH for the conterminous United States. This map was produced with the aid of a large climatic data base, a computer mapping program and subroutines to map modeled values of soil pH. Patterns of pH follow well-recognized patterns of climate, although the pH of 7 line deviates greatly from Marbut's line dividing pedalfers from pedocals. The overall accuracy of the map and model was checked using a validation data set. Geographic patterns of pH are realistic, although land use, topography, and parent material may cause local variations about the predicted mean for a given region. Several apparently anamolous map patterns were also checked but found to be accurate. Prediction of the detailed pattern of pH will require variables in addition to climate. 相似文献
19.
塔里木河水化学变化及其控制途径 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
内陆干旱地区的生态环境退化,除沙漠化、盐渍化外,水质盐化也是一个十分突出的问题。塔里木河1958年前是一条淡水河,全河各段河水矿化度没有超过1g/l的。现塔里木河每年只有3个月的淡水期,3个月是1—3g/l的微咸水,6个月为大于3g/l的咸水。塔里木河水质盐化主要是人为活动改变了地区性的水盐与水量平衡,所以,今后在干旱地区进行水土资源开发,必须注意水盐与水量平衡。 相似文献
20.
论广州市建设国际大都市大气环境质量控制 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1
建设国际大都市要求有优美的环境和清新的空气，广州市与国际大都市比较还有较大差距。本文分析了影响广州市大气质量的重要因素和主要大气污染物的发展趋势，提出了控制广州市大气环境质量的对策。 相似文献