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1.
汶川地震强地面运动模拟   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3       下载免费PDF全文
常莹  周红  俞言祥 《地震学报》2012,34(2):224-234
基于确定性震源模型的方法主要用于计算低频(11 Hz)地震动常用经验格林函数法或随机方法,对低频地震动模拟不够准确.本文在确定性震源模型方法基础上,尝试采用分解给定的震源模型的方法来模拟宽频带(0.1——10 Hz)强地面运动,即采用分级离散断层面和分解断层面破裂单元上升时间的方法,增加震源时间函数中的高频信号,从而避免了对地震记录丰富程度和准确性的依赖.文中模拟计算了汶川MS8.0地震在8个地震观测台的地震动,将模拟结果和观测记录进行了加速度时程曲线和傅里叶振幅谱的对比分析.对比结果显示,模拟估计的地震动峰值加速度和持续时间与观测记录的数据基本在plusmn;50%的精度范围内相同,傅里叶振幅谱显示模拟结果有得到10 Hz左右的高频成分. 四川盆地中的台站模拟结果高频衰减比观测记录要快,原因是模拟过程没有考虑场地效应.对强地震动模拟还是要综合考虑震源、传播路径和场地的影响.研究结果表明,此改变震源输入的确定性方法可应用于模拟近断层宽频强地面运动.   相似文献   

2.
基岩地震动的一个相干函数模型-走滑断层情形h   总被引:5,自引:1,他引:5       下载免费PDF全文
目前研究地震动空间变化的主要方法是利用密集台阵(如SMART1台阵等)的强震观测记录进行统计分析,由于地震动观测资料的不足,因而缺少基岩及不同场地类别地震动相干函数模型. 本文利用数值方法了模拟理论地震图,进而研究采用震源位错模型的基岩随机地震动的空间变化规律,并考虑震源破裂速度、子源个数、震源深度和介质传播速度等因素的影响. 其具体思路为:首先对应于每个样本,用有限差分数值模拟方法计算弹性半空间近场地震动场,而后对所有样本的计算结果进行统计,给出了一个走滑断层情形下的近场基岩表面及沿基岩竖直方向水平分量地震动的相干函数模型.   相似文献   

3.
提出了一种改进的考虑非线性场地效应的概率地震危险性分析方法。文中应用实例展示了考虑吉尔罗伊2号场地土层非线性效应的危险性曲线。在卡拉韦拉斯断层上指定了震源参数和地震发生模型,假设该断层为影响该场地的主要震源。采用3次地震的记录经NONLI3程序(可计算土层对强地面运动的非线性响应)建立了该处地表和基岩加速度之间的关系。对一定的基岩运动,估算出的地面峰值加速度(PGA)标准误差的不同值可作敏感性分析。实例研究中包括一个可替换的非线性关系。除了非线性模型,在吉尔罗伊2号场地上的相同土壤剖面也采用了线性响应模型。结果显示,危险性曲线对估算的该处地表加速度峰值的标准误差非常敏感。如果对场地土壤的非线性程度考虑不足,危险性曲线将严重失真。得自回归分析的可替换的非线性模型和线性响应模型在考虑非线性场地效应的危险性评估时是不适用的。  相似文献   

4.
提出了一种改进的考虑非线性场地效应的概率地震危险性分析方法。文中应用实例展示了考虑吉尔罗伊2号场地土层非线性效应的危险性曲线。在卡拉韦拉斯断层上指定了震源参数和地震发生模型,假设该断层为影响该场地的主要震源。采用3次地震的记录经NONLI3程序(可计算土层对强地面运动的非线性响应)建立了该处地表和基岩加速之间的关系。对一定的基岩运动,估算出的地面峰值加速度(PGA)标准误差的不同值可作敏感性分析。实例研究包括一个可替换的非线性关系。除了非线性模型,在吉尔罗伊2号场地上的相同土壤剖面也采用了线性响应模型。结果显示,危险性曲线对估算的该处地表加速度峰值的标准误差非常敏感。如果对场地土壤的非线性程度考虑不足,危险性曲线将严重失真。得自回归分析的可替换的非线性模型和线性响应模型在考虑非线性场地效应的危险性评估是不适用的。  相似文献   

5.
北天山地区S波非弹性衰减和场地效应研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
采用中小地震的数字观测资料,依据地震观测谱和震源谱、传播路径衰减因子及场地效应的关系式,在对场地效应约束的条件下,反演S波非弹性衰减和软基岩场地效应,确定研究区路径、 场地参数. 该方法确定的参数, 避免了台站地形效应的影响,真实地反映了研究区自由软基岩场地的地震效应和传播路径非弹性衰减的影响. 研究区的平均软基岩场地效应, 在2~4 Hz频率范围为1.5倍左右; S波品质因子为QS=278 f 0.346.这些参数可以直接用于研究区的地面运动随机模拟.   相似文献   

6.
用随机模拟方法研究设定地震地面运动   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
用随机模拟方法研究设定地震地面运动可分两步进行:(1)采用中小地震的数字观测资料确定研究区路径、场地参数;(2)把确定的参数应用到研究区的强地面运动随机模拟中. 为此,本文首先采用了一种可行的方法,分离软基岩场地效应和非弹性衰减的影响,并把二者分别确定出来. 研究区北部中软基岩场地的平均效应在2~4Hz频率范围为15倍左右;研究区的S波品质因子为QS=278f[KG*2]0.346. 把这些参数用于研究区的场地和路径模型中,并选择单拐角频率震源谱模型,随机模拟了研究区未来中强地震可能在北天山中段可能造成的地面运动,模拟加速度时程和反应谱可以服务于本地区的地震灾害预测和建筑物可靠性验算.  相似文献   

7.
北京凹陷地震地面运动超声模拟   总被引:5,自引:1,他引:5       下载免费PDF全文
1976年唐山大地震震害调查表明,北京城区震害异常带的分布与北京凹陷的西北及东南两翼相对应。 垂直于北京凹陷长轴切取场地剖面,分別将覆盖层和基岩简化为均质体,按相似性要求设计模型。设震源位于场地的东南方向,选择与天然地震震源辐射特征相似的发射换能器模拟之,同时采用对不同方向的振动具有不同灵敏度的换能器,来拾取模拟地震地面运动的各分量。 由模拟实验观测得到,在随震中距离增加而衰减的总趋势之上,天坛、前门和西四附近模拟地震地面运动大大加强,这与宏观震害的分布吻合较好。模拟地震地面运动表现为先颠后摇,并且铅垂向振动具有一定强度,水平振动的大能量段持续时间较长,其反应谱呈现双峰乃至多峰形。另外,同一时刻不同地点水平地震力存在差异,这是产生水平力偶的原因之一,1976年唐山大地震时北京城区的地震破坏与上述结果较为一致。 进一步的分析研究揭示了埋藏基岩面形态对地震地面运动影响的物理实质。 本文还就基岩面的变化对地震波影响的规律方面也进行了探讨。   相似文献   

8.
基岩地震动的一个相干函数模型--倾滑断层情形   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
本文研究了基岩随机地震动的空间变化规律,考虑了震源破裂速度、子源个数、震源深度和介质传播速度等因素的影响。对应于每个样本,用数值模拟方法计算了采用震源位错模型的弹性半空间近场地震动场,最后通过统计方法给出了一个倾滑断层情形下的近场基岩地震动的相干函数模型。这一方法可以补充常用的统计方法因观测资料有限而导致的欠缺。  相似文献   

9.
1999年台湾集集地震震源破裂过程   总被引:21,自引:5,他引:16       下载免费PDF全文
使用GPS同震位移资料和远场P波记录,研究了1999年台湾集集地震震源破裂过程.根据地质构造和余震分布引入了一个由弯曲断层面构造的三段“铲状”断层模型.在使用静态GPS位移资料反演集集地震的断层破裂滑动分布时,由于集集地震断层北部近地表破裂的复杂性,在位错模型中考虑拉张分量对地表同震位移的贡献,可更好地同时拟合GPS观测资料的水平和垂向分量.而纯剪切位错弹性半空间模型和分层地壳模型都无法同时拟合水平和垂向GPS观测资料.在此基础上,同时使用静力学同震位移资料和远场地震波形记录,反演集集地震的震源破裂过程.结果表明,一种垂直于断层面的“挤压性”(负)拉张分量几乎集中分布于地震断层的浅部和北部转折处,而这一带地表破裂远较没有(负)拉张分量出现的南部断层复杂.“冒起构造”的数字模拟表明,这种在集集地震破裂转折处及北部断裂带广为出现的典型破裂造成的地表位移可以用具有负拉张分量(挤压)的逆冲断层更好地模拟.而这种负拉张分量(挤压)的分布正是地震破裂性质和几何复杂性的综合反映,震源破裂过程也显示北部转折处破裂在空间和时间上的复杂性.高滑区域与余震分布表现为负相关.  相似文献   

10.
对日本K-net和KiK-net台网中6 466条浅壳与上地幔地震动记录进行了统计分析,考虑四种场地类别分别建立了浅壳与上地幔地震的加速度谱阻尼修正系数模型,并利用随机效应模型将模型总残差分离为事件间残差、事件内残差(分为场地间残差和场地内残差),计算其相应的标准差,探究地震震源、路径、场地等因素对模型误差的影响。研究结果显示:所提出的模型能较好地拟合实际计算值,其随机误差整体随谱周期和阻尼比的增大而增大;震源效应导致的随机误差在谱周期小于2.0 s时小于其它效应;在大部分谱周期上,场地效应导致的随机误差小于路径效应及其它效应;事件间残差与震源和震源深度显著相关,场地内残差与震源距显著相关。   相似文献   

11.
The strong ground motion produced by the 17 October, 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake in northern California was recorded at over 100 stations. Accelerograms were generated at sites with significantly different geology, including land fill and soft sedimentary soil sites. In this study, the attenuation characteristics of the peak vertical and horizontal ground accelerations are studied for freefield recording conditions within 100 km of the source by the application of a non-linear multi-regression procedure. Two sets of attenuation models for weighted and unweighted observations are compared with those reported by other investigators for this earthquake and for regional and worldwide data. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) observations for this earthquake exceed previous predictions of standard attenuation models, particularly beyond 30 km (approximately 60 percent at 50 km). Higher attenuation of the vertical component compared to the horizontal is confirmed. The regression considers site geology as an independent parameter. Soil sites display as much as 23 per cent amplification relative to rock sites for horizontal PGA and as much as 40 per cent for vertical PGA. Amplification of the ground motion at sites characterized by soft soil geology is examined by comparing the recorded PGA with the corresponding prediction at sites underlain by stiff soil. Eight of ten of the soft soil sites display significant amplification relative to stiff soil sites (as much as 300 per cent for horizontal and 200 per cent for vertical components). Particular attention is paid to the so-called anomalous observations at distances beyond 50 km. The anomalous observations between 50 and 80 km may be attributed to various factors such as geology, basic geometry, azimuthal dependence, source mechanism and normal scatter of observations.  相似文献   

12.
A model is presented for estimating vapor concentrations in buildings because of volatilization from soil contaminated by non- aqueous phase liquids (NAPL) or from dissolved contaminants in ground water. The model considers source depletion, diffusive- dispersive transport of the contaminant of concern (COC) and of oxygen and oxygen-limited COC biodecay. Diffusive-advective transport through foundations and vapor losses caused by foundation cross-flow are considered. Competitive oxygen use by various species is assumed to be proportional to the product of the average dissolved-phase species concentration and a biopreference factor. Laboratory and field data indicate the biopreference factor to be proportional to the organic carbon partition coefficient for the fuel hydrocarbons studied. Predicted indoor air concentrations were sensitive to soil type and subbase permeability. Lower concentrations were predicted for buildings with shallow foundations caused by flushing of contaminants by cross-flow. NAPL source depletion had a large impact on average exposure concentration. Barometric pumping had a minor effect on indoor air emissions for the conditions studied. Risk-based soil cleanup levels were much lower when biodecay was considered because of the existence of a threshold source concentration below which no emissions occur. Computed cleanup levels at NAPL-contaminated sites were strongly dependent on total petroleum hydrocarbon (TPH) content and COC soil concentration. The model was applied to two field sites with gasoline-contaminated ground water. Confidence limits of predicted indoor air concentrations spanned approximately two orders of magnitude considering uncertainty in model parameters. Measured contaminant concentrations in indoor air were within model-predicted confidence limits.  相似文献   

13.
In glaciated areas, the Earth is responding to the ongoing changes of the ice sheets, a response known as glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). GIA can be investigated through observations of gravity change. For the ongoing assessment of the ice sheets mass balance, where satellite data are used, the study of GIA is important since it acts as an error source. GIA consists of three signals as seen by a gravimeter on the surface of the Earth. These signals are investigated in this study. The ICE-5G ice history and recently developed ice models of present day changes are used to model the gravity change in Greenland. The result is compared with the initial measurements of absolute gravity (AG) change at selected Greenland Network (GNET) sites.We find that observations are highly influenced by the direct attraction from the ice and ocean. This is especially evident in the measurements conducted at the GNET station near the Helheim Glacier. The effect of the direct attraction diminishes at sites that are more than one degree from the source. Here, the dominant signal is the effect of the elastic signal from present day ice mass changes. We find agreement between the measured and modelled gravity changes at all but one site. This agreement only holds when the direct attraction is considered. For one site, there is no agreement, indicating that some improvements to the modelling results or the processing of the gravity data are needed. In addition, more AG measurements are needed to strengthen the time series of gravity change.  相似文献   

14.
The hydrostatic model SALSA is used to simulate a particular event observed during the Greenland Ice Margin EXperiment “GIMEX” (on July 12th, 1991). The time evolution of the large-scale flow was incorporated in the model through time dependent boundary conditions which were updated using the closest upwind sounding. A turbulent scheme for the stable boundary layer and an appropriate parametrization of the surface fluxes implemented in the same model, are used for this study. The simulation results are discussed and compared to the available observations. The computed turbulent fluxes are correctly estimated. The model predicts a mixing zone of about 1500 m high which is in good agreement with tundra site observations. Over the ice cap, the katabatic layer is correctly simulated by the model. Its height of 80–300 m is well estimated. The comparison between the simulation and observations taken at ice cap sites is reasonably valid. The ablation computed along the ice cap corresponds well to the values reconstructed of observations at sites 4 and 9. Finally, a sensibility study to a specified westward geostrophic wind (2 ms−1) shows that the consideration of this latter improves the simulated tundra wind evolution.  相似文献   

15.
Shape Analysis of Isoseismals Based on Empirical and Synthetic Data   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
—?We present an attempt to compare modeled ground-motion acceleration fields with macroseismic observations. Two techniques for the representation of the observed intensities by isoseismals, a smoothing technique and one which visualizes the local uncertainty of an isoseismal, are tested with synthetic and observed data. We show how noise in the data and irregularities in the distribution of observation sites affect the resolution of the isoseismal's shape. In addition to “standard” elongated shapes, we identify cross-like patterns in the macroseismic observations for two Italian earthquakes of strike-slip type; similar patterns are displayed by the theoretical peak acceleration fields calculated assuming the point source models given in the literature.  相似文献   

16.
A geochemical and end‐member mixing analysis (EMMA) is undertaken in Devil Canyon catchment, located in southern California, to further understanding of watershed behaviour and source water contributions after an acute and extensive wildfire. Physical and chemical transformations in post‐fire watersheds are known to increase overland flow and decrease infiltration, mainly due to formation of a hydrophobic layer at, or near, the soil surface. However, less is known about subsurface flow response in burned watersheds. The current study incorporates EMMA to evaluate and quantify source water contributions before, and after, a catchment affected by wildfires in southern California during the fall of 2003. Pre‐ and post‐fire stream water data were available at several sampling sites within the catchment, allowing the identification of contributing water sources at varying spatial scales. Proposed end‐member observations (groundwater, overland flow, shallow subsurface flow) were also collected to constrain and develop the catchment mixing model. Post‐fire source water changes are more evident in the smaller and faster responding sub‐basin (interior sampling point). Early post‐fire storm events are dominated by overland flow with no significant soil water or groundwater flow contribution. Inter‐storm streamwater in this smaller basin shows an increase in groundwater and a decrease in soil water. In the larger, baseflow‐dominated system, source water components appear less affected by fire. A slight increase in lateral flow is observed with only a slight decrease in baseflow. Changes in the post‐fire flow regimes affect nutrient loading and chemical response of the basin. Relatively rapid recovery of the chaparral ecosystem is evidenced, with active re‐growth and evapotranspiration evidenced by the fourth post‐fire rainy season. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

17.
Observations of suspended sediment concentration and discharge at two sites on the proglacial river network draining from a predominantly cold-based, High-Arctic glacier (Austre Brøggerbreen) are described. Analysis of these observations illustrates: (i) the relatively low suspended sediment yield from this basin in comparison with many other glacier basins reported in the open literature; (ii) sustained and possibly increasing availability of suspended sediment to the fluvial system as the ablation season progresses; and (iii) the role of the proglacial sandur as both a sediment source and sink. Field observations coupled with the results of the data analysis are used to make inferences concerning the changing nature and relative importance of sediment sources within the basin. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

18.
Long Valley Caldera is an active volcanic region in east central California. Surface deformation on the resurgent dome within the caldera was an order of magnitude higher for the five-month period September 1997 through January 1998 compared to the previous three-year average. However, the location of the immediate (shallow) source of deformation remained essentially constant, 5–7 km beneath the dome, near the top of a region of probable magma accumulation defined by seismic data. Similarly, although the rate of seismic moment release increased dramatically, earthquake locations remained similar to earlier periods. The rate of deformation increased exponentially between April–May 1997 and late November 1997 with a time constant of ∼55–65 days, after which it decreased exponentially with about the same time constant. We develop a model consistent with these observations and also consistent with independent constraints on sub-surface rheology from thermal, geochemical and laboratory data. Deformation at sites on the resurgent dome most sensitive to the shallow deformation source are well fit by a model with a single pressure source at 6 km depth which experienced a pressure pulse that began in late 1996, peaked in November 1997, close to the time of major seismic moment release, and essentially ended in mid-1999. The pressure source in our model is surrounded by a 1 km thick “shell” of Maxwell viscoelastic material (shell viscosity 1016 Pa s) within an elastic half space, and has peak values that are much lower than corresponding purely elastic half space models. The shell viscosity is characteristic of a weak, deformable solid, e.g. quartz-bearing country rock surrounding the magma chamber at temperatures in the range 500–600°C, i.e. above the brittle–ductile transition, and/or largely crystallized rhyolite near its solidus temperature of ∼670°C, material that probably exists near the top of the zoned magma chamber at Long Valley.  相似文献   

19.
Methodology for comparing source and plume remediation alternatives   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
Falta RW 《Ground water》2008,46(2):272-285
It is often difficult at contaminated sites to decide whether remediation effort should be focused on the contaminant source, the dissolved plume, or on both zones. The decision process at these sites is hampered by a lack of quantitative tools for comparing remediation alternatives. A new screening-level mass balance approach is developed for simulating the transient effects of simultaneous ground water source and plume remediation. The contaminant source model is based on a power function relationship between source mass and source discharge, and it can consider partial source remediation at any time after the initial release. The source model serves as a time-dependent mass flux boundary condition to a new analytical plume model, where flow is assumed to be one dimensional, with three-dimensional dispersion. The plume model simulates first-order sequential decay and production of several species, and the decay rates and parent/daughter yield coefficients are variable functions of time and distance. This new method allows for flexible simulation of natural attenuation or remediation efforts that enhance plume degradation. The plume remediation effort may be temporary or delayed in time, limited in space, and it may have different chemical effects on different contaminant species in the decay chain.  相似文献   

20.
Based on the empirical formulation formed from coda observations, the digital waveforms from 33 local events with magnitude M L ranging between 2.1 and 3.5, recorded at Changli station of Beijing Telemetered Seismographic Network from 1989 to 1991, are used to compute coda Q for the Changli region and the source factors of all earthquakes by single-station coda method. Furthermore, assuming a certain source model, we have obtained the station site frequency response and source spectra, as well as source parameters such as corner frequencies, seismic moments and stress drops and so on. Their variations with time are monitored before and after larger earthquakes. Because the coda method can more effectively reduce the influence of source radiation pattern and a particular propagation path than direct wave method, more data can be used and more accurate results can be obtained, which provided a possible approach to study the source properties and reveal the variation of source parameters before larger earthquakes. Contribution No. 97A0107, Institute of Geophysics, SSB, China.  相似文献   

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