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1.
广东省森林火险等级的评价模式   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用美国NOAA-CAC、夏威夷大学、中国气象局提供的热带太平洋海温,水位及风场资料和“TOGA-COARE”(1992年11月-1993年2月)提供的赤道西太平洋深层海温资料,对1993年全球大气及热带海洋异常状况作了诊断分析,认为1993年世界气象灾害频频发生的原因是:(1)大气环流的异常变化对1993年东传型ENSO事件的响应几乎同步。(2)1991、1993年两次东传型ENSO事件在短期内  相似文献   

2.
南海夏季风爆发的气候特征   总被引:8,自引:4,他引:8  
利用TOGA-COARE强化期“实验3”号科学考究船所取得的表面气象的探空资料,对考察期间的热通量进行详尽的分析和计算,特别是对发生在IOP期间的两次西风爆发过程中西太平洋热带海域热通量的特征进行了重点分析,并讨论了它们与大尺度环流及其中高纬度环流的关系。  相似文献   

3.
TEMPERATURE-MEASURINGRADIO-ACOUSTICSOUNDINGSYSTEM(RASS)¥LiJianguo(李建国),WangPing(王坪)andMengZhaolin(孟昭林)TEMPERATURE-MEASURINGRA...  相似文献   

4.
通过在IAPAGCM中加进太平洋和印度洋海温异常的数值模拟,证实了实况月平均850hPa上的异常环流特征:ElNino海温位相时低纬太平洋低层大气出现异常的西风气流以及在东南亚沿海出现向赤道的异常气流;而在LaNina位相时,低纬太平洋低层大气出现异常的东风气流和在东南亚沿海出现离赤道的异常气流。若在模式中仅引入太平洋的海温异常或在模式中去掉地形以后,模拟的低纬低层异常气流与上述结果有所不同。用该模式还模拟出了与观测相符的低纬地区降水的异常  相似文献   

5.
模式大气中的年代际变化   总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3  
用1945~1993年COADS SST强迫AGCM进行了连续49年的模拟积分,分析了模式大气中的年代际变化,并和NCEP再分析资料进行了比较。结果表明,模式大气中,无论是热带太平洋风场,还是中、高纬大气环流均存在显著的年代际变化;AGCM基本上能较好地模拟热带太平洋和中、中纬大气环流年代际信号的是分布和时间变化趋势;从时间变化上盾,热带太平洋风场的模拟结果要好于中、高纬大气,说明SST仍然是膨响  相似文献   

6.
PROGRESSONTIBETANPLATEAUFIELDEXPERIMENT(TIPEX)ANDITSRESEARCHPROGRAMME¥ChenLianshou(陈联寿)andXuXiangde(徐祥德)PROGRESSONTIBETANPLAT...  相似文献   

7.
IMPLICATIONOFCLIMATECHANGEFORAGRICULTURALPRODUCTIONINEASTERNAREASOFCHINAWangFutang(王馥棠)IMPLICATIONOFCLIMATECHANGEFORAGRICULTU...  相似文献   

8.
PROGRESSESOFTHESTUDYONIMPACTSOFCLIMATECHANGEONAGRICULTURALPRODUCTIONINCHINA¥WangFutang(王馥棠)PROGRESSESOFTHESTUDYONIMPACTSOFCLI...  相似文献   

9.
本文根据TOGA研究计划第1,2,3,8个航次考察结果,计算了热带西太平洋海-气热量交换值。研究结果表明:在热带气旋环流内海-气界面热量交换非常强烈,在双子台风环流内Qk出现负值,在台风环流内Qe也出现减弱现象。1986/1987年ElNino事件发生后,热带中太平洋水温异常增暖,热带西太平洋西部洋域表层水也在增暖,但是,热带西太平洋洋域海-气界面间热量交换反而减弱。西风爆发首先出现在中太平洋热带洋域,然后逐渐往西扩展。  相似文献   

10.
THECHANGESANDCLIMATICJUMPSINFERREDFROMTHEAGRICULTURALDRYNESSANDWETNESSINTHECHANGJIANG-HUAIHEVALLEYFORTHELAST500YEARSXueHeng(薛...  相似文献   

11.
Summary The TOGA Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment (COARE) concentrated a variety of observational systems in the warm pool of the western equatorial Pacific for an Intensive Observation Period (IOP) November 1992 through February 1993. In this paper, aspects of the largescale variations of the tropical atmosphere and Pacific Ocean surrounding the observations of air-sea interaction in the Intensive Flux Array (IFA) during the IOP are described, with the objective of providing a context for the future analyses of these observations.The evolution of the 1991–1992 El Niño/Southern Oscillation event was unusual: Warm SST anomalies in the equatorial cold tongue region switched to colder than climatology in the last half of 1992, but waters warmer than 30°C remained displaced eastward just west of the dateline, coninuing to fuel anomalous convection there during the IOP. Fortunately, SST in the IFA remained warmer than 29°C during most of the IOP, and convective activity was observed over the IFA. The Southern Oscillation Index, which had relaxed to near zero prior to the experiment, decreased during the IOP, reflecting sea level presure changes associated with renewed westerly wind activity. In response to these westerly wind events, the warm pool migrated back into the central equatorial Pacific, leading to a reintensification of the ENSO warm SST anomalies east of the dateline.With 10 Figures  相似文献   

12.
利用1958—2001年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,探讨了热带太平洋(100°E~60°W,10°S~10°N)10 m风场的时空变化特征及其与东亚大气环流的可能联系。结果表明:1)热带太平洋风场异常存在两种主模态,第一模态对应中西太平洋一致的西(东)风异常,关于赤道呈准对称分布,与ENSO(El Nio-Southern Oscillation)暖(冷)位相时风场的分布对应;第二模态则关于赤道呈反对称分布,西北太平洋存在显著的反气旋(气旋)式环流,中太平洋异常西风不再位于赤道上,而是南移到了10°S左右,对应ENSO暖(冷)位相向相反位相转换时的风场分布特征。2)两模态时间系数的主振荡周期不同,与ENSO循环的位相关系也不同。研究发现,当两模态呈正(负)位相分布时,贝加尔湖南侧(South to Lake Baikal,SLB)容易发生持续的高压(低压)异常环流。3)两模态与SLB异常环流的联系途径不同。第一模态正位相对应热带中东太平洋大范围暖海温引起的二极型Walker环流异常,SLB异常高压不仅能通过东亚沿岸北风和南海低槽的作用促进第一模态的前期发展,还对其后期维持起重要作用。负位相时,情况相反。该环流系统既与热带中东太平洋大范围垂直运动有关,还与邻近的中国东南沿海低层异常辐合有关;第二模态则对应热带西太平洋及东印度洋为主、大西洋为辅的暖海温引起的热带四极型Walker环流异常。此时热带西太平洋到东印度洋局地偏强的经圈Hadley环流可能是SLB异常环流维持的主要原因。  相似文献   

13.
TheWesterlyAnomaliesovertheTropicalPacificandTheirDynamicalEfectontheENSOCyclesduring1980-1994①HuangRonghui(黄荣辉),ZangXiaoyun(...  相似文献   

14.
In this paper, the zonal wind anomalies in the lower troposphere over the tropical Pacific during 1980–1994 are analyzed by using the observed data. The results show that during the formation of the 1982/83, 1986/87 and 1991 / 92 ENSO events, there were the larger westerly anomalies in the lower troposphere over the equatorial Pacific. Moreover, it is explained by using the correlation analyses that the westerly anomalies over the equatorial Pacific could cause the warm episodes of the equatorial central and eastern Pacific. A simple air-sea coupled model is used to discuss theoretically the dynamical effect of the observed westerly anomalies of wind stress near the sea surface of the equatorial Pacific on the ENSO cycle occurred in the period of 1981–1983. It is shown by using the theoretical calculations of the equatorial oceanic Kelvin wave and Rossby waves responding to the forcing of the observed anomalies of zonal wind stress near the sea surface of the equatorial Pacific that the westerly anomalies of wind stress near the sea surface of the equatorial Pacific make significant dynamical effect on the ENSO cycles occurred in the period of 1982–1983.  相似文献   

15.
郑玉琼  陈文  陈尚锋 《大气科学》2020,44(2):435-454
根据观测资料的研究指出春季北极涛动(Arctic Oscillation, AO)对随后冬季厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(El Nino–Southern Oscillation, ENSO)的影响具有明显不对称性。春季AO处于正位相时,它对随后冬季厄尔尼诺(El Nino)事件的影响显著,然而春季AO负位相对随后冬季拉尼娜(La Nina)的影响不明显。本研究分析了30个来自CMIP5的耦合模式对春季AO与随后冬季ENSO不对称性关系的模拟能力。30个CMIP5耦合模式中,只有CNRM-CM5和GISS-E2-H-CC模式能较好地抓住春季AO与冬季ENSO的联系。进一步分析这两个模式中春季AO与冬季ENSO的不对称性关系,发现CNRM-CM5模式能较好地再现春季AO与冬季ENSO的非对称关系,即春季AO正(负)位相会导致赤道中东太平洋出现El Nino(La Nina)型海表温度增暖(冷却)。然而,GISS-E2-H-CC模式的模拟结果显示,春季AO对随后冬季ENSO的影响是对称的。本文随后解释了CNRM-CM5(GISS-E2-H-CC)模式能(不能)模拟出春季AO与冬季ENSO不对称关系的原因。对于CNRMCM5模式,在春季AO正位相年,副热带西北太平洋上空存在明显的异常气旋和正降水异常,正降水异常通过Gill型大气响应对赤道西太平洋异常西风的形成和维持起着重要作用,异常西风通过激发向东传播的暖赤道Kelvin波对随后冬季El Nino事件的发生产生显著的影响;然而,在春季AO负位相年,副热带北太平洋的异常反气旋和负降水异常较弱,导致赤道西太平洋的异常东风不明显,因此,春季AO负异常对随后冬季La Nina的影响不显著。所以,CNRM-CM5模式能够较好地抓住春季AO对随后冬季ENSO事件的非对称性影响。相比之下,对于GISS-E2-H-CC模式,春季AO正(负)位相年副热带西北太平洋上存在显著的正(负)降水异常,通过Gill型大气响应在赤道西太平洋激发出明显的异常西(东)风从而影响随后冬季的El Nino(La Nina)事件。因此,在GISS-E2-H-CC模式中,春季AO对随后冬季ENSO具有对称性影响。另外,模式捕捉春季AO对随后冬季ENSO非对称性影响的能力与模式对春季AO空间结构的模拟能力有一定的联系。  相似文献   

16.
An analysis on the physical process of the influence of AO on ENSO   总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3  
The influence of the spring AO on ENSO has been demonstrated in several recent studies. This analysis further explores the physical process of the influence of AO on ENSO using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data over the period 1958–2010. We focus on the formation of the westerly wind burst in the tropical western Pacific, and examine the evolution and formation of the atmospheric circulation, atmospheric heating, and SST anomalies in association with the spring AO variability. The spring AO variability is found to be independent from the East Asian winter monsoon activity. The spring AO associated circulation anomalies are supported by the interaction between synoptic-scale eddies and the mean-flow and its associated vorticity transportation. Surface wind changes may affect surface heat fluxes and the oceanic heat transport, resulting in the SST change. The AO associated warming in the equatorial SSTs results primarily from the ocean heat transport in the face of net surface heat flux damping. The tropical SST warming is accompanied by anomalous atmospheric heating in the subtropical north and south Pacific, which sustains the anomalous westerly wind in the equatorial western Pacific through a Gill-like atmospheric response from spring to summer. The anomalous westerly excites an eastward propagating and downwelling equatorial Kelvin wave, leading to SST warming in the tropical central-eastern Pacific in summer-fall. The tropical SST, atmospheric heating, and atmospheric circulation anomalies sustain and develop through the Bjerknes feedback mechanism, which eventually result in an El Niño-like warming in the tropical eastern Pacific in winter.  相似文献   

17.
在GFDL海洋模式的基础上发展了一个高分辨率的太平洋环流模式,模式较好地模拟出太平洋上层海温的气候状态及其季节和年际变化的主要特征。用观测的1985~1995年海表风应力去强迫模式,清楚地模拟出相应的暖事件和冷事件。敏感性试验揭示,日界线附近持续的西风距平愈强,赤道中、东太平洋增暖愈大,其影响向东传播扩展,5个月左右可达太平洋东岸,传播速度与西风应力距平强度关系不大。  相似文献   

18.
Tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the western North Pacific (WNP) has changed interdecadally with an approximately 20-year period between 1951 and 1999. The cause and mechanism of interdecadal variability of TC frequency in the WNP is investigated using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and the result obtained from a high-resolution coupled general circulation model (CGCM). The interdecadal variability of TC activity in the WNP correlates with long-term variations in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical central Pacific and with those of westerly wind anomalies associated with the monsoon trough that appears over the tropical WNP during the typhoon season of July to October. The westerly wind anomalies at near 10°N show positive feedback with the SST anomalies in the central Pacific. Therefore, the interdecadal variability of TC frequency is related to long-term variations in atmosphere–ocean coupling phenomena in the tropical North Pacific. A 50-year long-run simulation using the high-resolution CGCM showed the robustness of interdecadal variability of TC frequency.  相似文献   

19.
Summary Interannual variations of the summer monsoon onset over the South China Sea (SCS) have been studied using data from over seventeen years (1979–1995) of NMC global analysis and of Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) observed with NOAA polar-orbitting satellites. It was found that the summer monsoon onset in the SCS occurs abruptly with a sudden change of zonal wind direction from easterly to westerly and an exploding development of deep convection in the whole SCS region in the middle of May. Based on the criteria defined in this paper for the SCS summer monsoon onset, the average onset date over the SCS from 1979 to 1995 is around the fourth pentad of May. The airflow and general circulation over the SCS changes dramatically after the onset. The ridge of the subtropical high in the western Pacific in the lower troposphere weakens and retreats eastward from the SCS region with an establishment of westerly winds over the whole region. During the SCS monsoon onset, the most direct impact in the vicinity of the SCS are the equatorial westerlies in the Bay of Bengal through their eastward extension and northward movement. An indirect influence on the SCS onset is also caused by the enhancement of the Somali cross-equatorial flow and the vanishing Arabian High over the sea; the latter may be a signal for the SCS onset. There are quite significant interannual variations in the SCS onset. In the years of a delayed onset, the most profound feature is that the easterly winds stay longer in the SCS than on average. Deep convection activities are suppressed. The direct cause is the abnormal existence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the SCS region. Moreover, compared to the average, the equatorial westerlies in the Bay of Bengal are also weaker in the years of a delayed onset. No significant changes for the cross-equatorial flow at 105 °E are observed for these years. It has also been found that the interannual variations of the SCS onset are closely related with the ENSO events. In the years of a delay, the Walker circulation is weaker, and the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the western Pacific are negative. Received April 14, 1997 Revised July 11, 1997  相似文献   

20.
Based on analyses of the relationship between Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) and number of tropical cyclones (TCs) activity over the western North Pacific, the impacts of the PMM on Tc activity over the western North Pacific are studied using numerical simulations with an Atmospheric General Circulation Model (CAM3) of National Center for Atmospheric Research (of USA). The result shows that the PMM has impacts on the large-scale generating environment of TCs, thus affecting their number and strength. The numerical simulations using the NCAR CAM3 indicate that with the inclusion of the forcing from sea surface temperature (SST) of the PMM, there appears a decreased magnitude of the vertical zonal wind shear, large proportion of relative humidity, anomalous westerly wind at low levels and anomalous easterly wind at high levels, in association with anomalous cyclonic circulation at low levels and anomalous anti-cyclonic circulation at high levels over the tropical western Pacific. Thus, the PMM provides favorable environment for the typhoon genesis. In the sensitivity experiment, TCs have larger strength, lower SST at the center, stronger tangential wind at 850 hPa and intensified warm cores at high levels. In this paper, the simulation results are similar to that in the data analyses, which reveals the important impact of the PMM on TC activity over the western North Pacific.  相似文献   

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