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我国海岸带主要灾害地质因素及其影响 总被引：13，自引：2，他引：13
我国海岸带灾害地质主要有构造、坡地重力、水动力、地下水、岩土与地层结构、海平面上升、地球化学、风力灾害等地质因素，具有复杂、连锁和差异性空间分布的特征。根据验潮资料，近百年来我国海平面上升19～20cm，上升率为2～3mm／a。整体以海平面上升为主，但也有岸段下降，主要是山东半岛，平均速率为-0．13cm／a。预测2050年上升幅度：天津70～100cm；黄河三角洲40～50cm；长江三角洲50～70cm；珠江三角洲40～60cm。地面沉降大部分是由过量开采地下水引起的。我国96个地面沉降城市和地区中80％在沿海地区，如天津、上海、苏州、常州、无锡、嘉兴、宁波、湛江、台北等。累计沉降量为460～2780mm，沉降速率10～56mm／a。由于地下水的过量开采，20世纪80年代以来，我国辽宁、河北、天津、山东、江苏、上海、广西、海南和台湾等省市，均发生不同程度的海水入侵，给国民经济和社会发展造成重大损失。我国70％砂质海岸和大部分淤泥质海岸发生侵蚀。这种态势始于上世纪50年代，80年代明显加强。海岸侵蚀主要有区域环境变化、河流水利工程拦截泥沙以及海岸人工采沙等因素。 相似文献
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Stylianos Bitharis Christos Pikridas Aristeidis Fotiou Dimitrios Rossikopoulos Harald Schuh 《Marine Geodesy》2017,40(5):297-314
In this study, we show how the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-derived vertical velocities contribute to the correction of tide gauge (TG) measurements used for the sea level rise estimation in Greece. Twelve sites with records of local sea level heights are processed in order to estimate their trend. Certain error sources related to TGs, e.g. equipment changes, data noise, may lead to biased or erroneous estimations of the sea level height. Therefore, it would be preferred to follow a robust estimation technique in order to detect and reduce outlier effects. The geocentric sea level rise is estimated by taking into account the land vertical motion of co-located GNSS permanent stations at the Hellenic area. TGs measure the height of the water relative to a monitored geodetic benchmark on land. On the other hand, using GNSS-based methods the vertical land motion can be derived. By means of extended models fitted to the GNSS time-series position, obtained from seven years of continuous data analysis, periodic signals are well described. The synergy of the two co-located techniques results in the correction of TG relative sea level heights taking into account the GNSS vertical velocities and consequently obtaining the conversion to absolute (geocentric) sea level trend. 相似文献
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The Jason-1 verification phase has proven to be a unique and successful calibration experiment to quantify the agreement with its predecessor TOPEX/Poseidon. Although both missions have met prescribed error budgets, comparison of the mean and time-varying sea surface height profiles from near simultaneous observations derived from the missions' Geophysical Data Records exhibit significant basin scale differences. Several suspected sources causing this disagreement are identified and improved upon, including (a) replacement of TOPEX and Jason project POE with enhanced orbits computed at GSFC within a consistent ITRF2000 terrestrial reference frame, (b) application of waveform retracking corrections to TOPEX significant wave height and sea surface heights, (c) resultant improved efficacy of the TOPEX sea state bias estimation from the value added sea surface height, and (d) estimation of Jason-1 sea state bias employing dual TOPEX/Jason crossover and collinear sea surface height residuals unique to the validation mission. The resultant mean sea surface height comparison shows improved agreement at better than 60 percent level of variance reduction with a standard deviation less then 0.5 cm. 相似文献
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修建海岸水库是满足滨海地区淡水资源的保障的一个重要方式,为了进一步分析海岸水库的建立对滨海含水层的海水入侵的影响,采用SUTRA(saturated-unsaturatedtransport)模型建立具有代表性的二维海岸模型开展定量和定性研究,结果表明:潮汐作用抑制底层盐水楔的入侵,加快海陆物质交换;实例中计算表明建坝后,海岸水库坝体的建立加剧了海水入侵;水库水位在平均海平面以下时,潮汐动力因素占主导,海水入侵严重且随着水位抬高,海水入侵程度基本保持不变,应注意海水入侵的防治;库区水位在平均海平面以上时,海水入侵程度随着库区水位的抬高而减少,可以调节水库水位进行滨海含水层的海水入侵的防控;海岸水库在建设中存在一个控制水位,当水库水位在控制水位以上,库区水体盐度和含水层淡水储量能得到保证;库区高水位时内陆物质运移时间较长,运移区域较广,氮类污染物易在库底含水层堆积,需重视含水层的地下水污染防治。 相似文献
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为明确高海况下海况等级对无人水下航行器横摇运动的影响,得出满足某型无人水下航行器安全回收的海况条件,对高海况下无人水下航行器的横摇运动进行分析。运用频率响应法,分别在4级、5级和6级海况下,根据海浪谱密度函数和该型航行器的横摇频率响应函数,求得其横摇运动谱密度函数。再运用公式推导,得到其横摇运动的时域函数。使用MATLAB仿真软件对该型航行器进行横摇运动仿真,得到3种海况条件下,其横摇运动的时域函数图像,并验证仿真结果的准确性。仿真结论:高海况下的海况等级对无人水下航行器的横摇幅度有较大影响,满足其安全回收的海况条件为5级海况。 相似文献
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基于高光谱遥感的渤海海冰厚度半经验模型 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Sea ice thickness is one of the most important input parameters for the prevention and mitigation of sea ice disasters and the prediction of local sea environments and climates. Estimating the sea ice thickness is currently the most important issue in the study of sea ice remote sensing. With the Bohai Sea as the study area, a semiempirical model of the sea ice thickness(SEMSIT) that can be used to estimate the thickness of first-year ice based on existing water depth estimation models and hyperspectral remote sensing data according to an optical radiative transfer process in sea ice is proposed. In the model, the absorption and scattering properties of sea ice in different bands(spectral dimension information) are utilized. An integrated attenuation coefficient at the pixel level is estimated using the height of the reflectance peak at 1 088 nm. In addition, the surface reflectance of sea ice at the pixel level is estimated using the 1 550–1 750 nm band reflectance. The model is used to estimate the sea ice thickness with Hyperion images. The first validation results suggest that the proposed model and parameterization scheme can effectively reduce the estimation error associated with the sea ice thickness that is caused by temporal and spatial heterogeneities in the integrated attenuation coefficient and sea ice surface. A practical semi-empirical model and parameterization scheme that may be feasible for the sea ice thickness estimation using hyperspectral remote sensing data are potentially provided. 相似文献
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J. Christopher Rutherford Christopher C. Palliser Alastair MacCormick 《新西兰海洋与淡水研究杂志》2019,53(1):128-161
OVERSEER is used in New Zealand to estimate nutrient losses from farmland, but does not quantify subsequent movement through the catchment, or attenuation. This paper uses the ROTAN model, based on the Scandinavian HBV-N model, to route nitrogen losses from 1900–2015 to Lake Rotorua where groundwater age ranges from 14 to 170 years. ROTAN conceptualises three delivery pathways (quickflow, groundwater and streamflow) with different attenuation. When calibrated to measured stream and groundwater concentrations, several combinations of attenuation gave equally good fits largely because of sparse and uncertain input and calibration data. Nevertheless, lake N loads were predicted for current land use (754?±?39?t y?1) and with proposed N loss reductions (431?±?26?t y?1). Probabilities were also calculated that the reductions are more (12%–18%) or less (82%–88%) than required to meet the target lake N load (405?t y?1). ROTAN shows promise for calculating nitrogen movement in catchments dominated by groundwater where there is limited data. 相似文献
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中国沿岸现代相对海平面上升加剧 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
本文用线性回归方法,分两个时段分析了中国沿岸２５个验潮站相对海平面的年变化速度,计算了相应时段的平均海面,结果表明,中国沿岸现代相对海平面上升加剧。另外,本文还对海平面变化原因进行了讨论。 相似文献
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Sea turtle bycatch to fish catch ratios for differentiating Hawaii longline-caught seafood products 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Sea turtles can be incidentally caught in pelagic longline fishing gear targeting tuna and swordfish. Bycatch to fish catch (B/C) ratios can differentiate seafood based on sea turtle impacts. This study demonstrates the use of B/C ratios indexed to the weight of fish catch: (1) to report on the significant progress in reducing sea turtle bycatch in Hawaii's swordfish longline sector and (2) to compare Hawaii and other Pacific longline fisheries by number of sea turtle interactions per weight of catch. Hawaii's longline tuna fishery sets the benchmark of 1 sea turtle interaction per 190,000 kg of tuna caught. 相似文献
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为了研究起伏海面对雷电电磁传播的影响,本文利用Barrick表面阻抗理论和Wait近似算法,采用改进二维分形海面模型模拟起伏海面,利用数值模式,分析起伏海面的雷电电磁传播特征,并进一步讨论了起伏海面对时差法闪电定位系统定位精度的影响。结果表明:起伏海面对垂直电场和磁场的峰值的影响不显著,但会引起波形的上升期时间的延长,浪高越大,影响越明显;随着观测距离的增加,雷电垂直电场波形的上升时间逐渐变长;风速的变化与雷电垂直电场波形的上升时间成正比;由于海面起伏引起雷电电磁场波形在传播中的变化会影响基于时差法闪电定位系统的定位精度,定位误差可达几至十几公里。 相似文献
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《Ocean & Coastal Management》2000,43(1):51-64
Because of its tectonic setting, the Pacific coast of Colombia is subject to a variety of geological hazards, including earthquakes, tsunamis and associated phenomena such as regional and local coastal subsidence, flooding and soil liquefaction. Erosional trends are prevalent along much of the 700 km long, low barrier island's shorelines of the Pacific littoral and land losses are enhanced by factors such as 30 cm regional sea level rises associated to the occurrence of El Niño. Marine erosion is threatening more seashore littoral villages and worsening the already difficult socioeconomic conditions of most part of the inhabitants. Because of diverse and strong motivations to stay near the sea, the responses of barriers island's inhabitants to marine erosion has consisted in most cases of repetitive in-shore and along-shore directed relocations of villages, rather than definitive abandonment of the islands. In the long run, this procedure only has postponed the problem and led to repetitive relocations and economical losses. The recent inland relocation of El Choncho village, on the San Juan River delta, illustrates a different response to marine erosion. Although a new along-shore relocation was physically possible, inhabitants decided to abandon the barrier island and migrate to an interior, ancient beach ridge complex, applying a prudent solution which will be the most appropriate for other threatened villages of the Pacific littoral. A detailed geomorphologic mapping program must be conducted in order to identify appropriate sites for inland relocation of existing villages on the barriers islands of the Colombian Pacific coast. 相似文献
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海底承压含水层排泄是海底地下水排泄的一种主要形式。由于这一过程发生在海水层下部,探测难度较大。为探讨海洋多电极电阻率法对该过程的探测能力,根据典型海底承压含水层地质模型构建不同排泄阶段地电模型,模拟海面和海床面两种探测情形分别进行多电极电阻率法理论探测结果计算和物理模拟,并对所得电阻率剖面进行对比分析。研究结果表明,水面多电极电阻率探测剖面能够清晰刻画出排泄入海的淡水体在海水中迁移、混合过程,但剖面异常特征和分辨率受探测装置形式、电极极距、海水深度影响;海床面探测则对沉积层中咸淡水交换过程反映能力更强,沉积层中的锲形海水侵入体可得到良好反映。 相似文献
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In this work the estimation of the load from the ice level on freeze into the ice structure is presented. Nowadays a big uncertainty exists when estimating a freeze-in effect. Considerable inexactness in the ice loads estimation could lead to great differences in the cost of the structures. Proper estimation of ice loads will reduce the cost of constructions. If the structure is freezing-in during no change of sea level — ice collars are occurring. Ice collars could lead to increase of the horizontal ice load from the ice level on the structure. The overview of the existing recommendations is presented. The thermo-dynamical task for calculating ice collar profile was investigated during the present work. The numerical methods were used to calculate an increase of the load when freeze-in effect occurs. Physical experiments were conducted to verify the models. Results of the work provide provisional method for estimation of the ice loads on the freeze into the ice structures. 相似文献
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The oceans are in trouble. Poorly understood and unprecedented environmental and economic changes are underway in our world's oceans that will significantly affect life in the sea as well as on land. Only in the last thirty years has the contribution of the ocean sector to the economy been measured. An examination of these studies has exposed definitional, conceptual and methodological differences in measuring marine-related economic activity in the economy, making comparisons difficult. Both the ocean and the coastal economies face a world of volatile changes. In the ocean economy marine transport faces unpredictable fuel costs. Coastal tourism also faces losses from climate change impacts and sea level rise. Finally, a warming ocean and increasing acidification of the oceans from greenhouse gases is already affecting coral reefs and a range of fish stocks. Economic measures are important to predict these impacts, as are economic measures of the resilience of different areas of the ocean and coastal economies. This article demonstrates how knowledge of both the ocean, coastal and national economies can help governments address the future impacts and demands posed by nature and human populations on our coasts and oceans. 相似文献
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海洋大型底栖动物群落次级生产力估算模型研究进展及应用评价 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
大型底栖动物是海洋生态系统的重要组成部分,在生态系统物流和能流中占有重要地位。定量估算海洋大型底栖动物次级生产力在其功能研究中具有重要意义。本文综述了海洋大型底栖动物次级生产力估算模型研究的3个阶段:起步阶段(1979-1990)、发展与完善(1990-2001)、成熟并广泛应用(2001-至今)。国内关于海洋大型底栖动物次级生产力估算基本都采用Brey(1990)经验公式,采用经验公式的方式可分为3类:逐种计算、按站位计算和按类群计算,逐种和按类群计算最符合Brey(1990)给出的参考步骤。不同方法估算同一海域次级生产力结果不同,同一估算方法估算不同生境不同群落次级生产力结果偏差也不同。今后的工作应注重种群次级生产力研究,积累大量基础数据,以便建立适宜我国特定海域的大型底栖动物次级生产力估算模型。 相似文献
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The Newlyn Tidal Observatory is the most important sea level station in the United Kingdom. It commenced operations in 1915 as part of the Second Geodetic Levelling of England and Wales, and the mean sea level determined from the tide gauge during the first six years (May 1915–April 1921) defined Ordnance Datum Newlyn (ODN) which became the national height datum for the whole of Great Britain. The 100 years of sea level data now available have contributed significantly to many studies in oceanography, geology, and climate change. This paper marks the centenary of this important station by reviewing the sea level (and, more recently, detailed land level) measurements and Newlyn's contributions to UK cartography, geodesy and sea-level science in general. Recommendations are made on how sea and land level measurements at Newlyn might be enhanced. 相似文献
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基于Newton法优化ARMA模型参数的船舶升沉运动预测研究 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
为解决波浪补偿系统中时延现象导致的控制性能下降问题,通过建立Newton-ARMA模型提前预测船舶升沉运动来消除时延现象。首先设计卡尔曼滤波器对船舶升沉运动加速度信号进行降噪滤波处理;然后使用加速度二次积分模块将加速度信号转换为位移信号;最后建立自回归滑动平均(ARMA)模型,并使用牛顿(Newton)法对模型参数进行优化,得到船舶升沉运动的Newton-ARMA预测模型。仿真结果表明,Newton-ARMA模型对船舶升沉运动的预测时间可达10 s,预测误差随着预测时间的增加而增大; Newton-ARMA模型对二级海况、三级海况和四级海况下的船舶升沉运动平均预测精度分别达到89.43%、88.53%以及87.78%,远高于ARMA模型对船舶升沉运动预测的精度,说明采用Newton法优化ARMA模型参数可以显著提高船舶升沉运动的预测精度,也即Newton-ARMA模型对控制波浪补偿系统时延具有较好的补偿效果。 相似文献
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A study is conducted to estimate the accurate attitude of a ship's motion and the estimation is used to arrive at the corrections required for a farfield pattern of a coaxial circular array. The relevant analytical expression is developed for the computation of moving average filter weights to estimate the ship's attitude for beamsteerings at different sea conditions. Farfield patterns are presented for different steered directions for the coaxial circular array of the additive type, and the multiplicative array technique is also used for beamsteering for higher steering angles to observe its control on the sidelobes as well as for the main beamwidths. In order to introduce an adaptive filter to estimate the accurate attitude for stable sonar platform, an adaptive parameter is examined for bathymetric applications where nonstationary ship movement prevails. 相似文献