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1.
Abstract

A new method is presented to generate stationary multi-site hydrological time series. The proposed method can handle flexible time-step length, and it can be applied to both continuous and intermittent input series. The algorithm is a departure from standard decomposition models and the Box-Jenkins approach. It relies instead on the recent advances in statistical science that deal with generation of correlated random variables with arbitrary statistical distribution functions. The proposed method has been tested on 11 historic weekly input series, of which the first seven contain flow data and the last four have precipitation data. The article contains an extensive review of the results.

Editor D. Koutsoyiannis

Citation Ilich, N., 2014. An effective three-step algorithm for multi-site generation of stochastic weekly hydrological time series. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (1), 85–98.  相似文献   

2.
Abstract

A simple method is used to study the response of runoff in the Sahel to climate change. The statistical characteristics of rainfall are calculated over the western part of the Sahel for the period 1961–1990, using the BADOPLU network. Daily rainfall is simulated using a Markov process with Weibull distribution for rainfall depths. Runoff is modelled using a conceptual SCS model and the curve numbers are calculated for West Africa. Climate change is provided by simulations using the Arpège GCM (Scenario A1B), and a perturbation method is used on the parameters which describe the rainfall. Changes in rainfall are assumed to occur through increases in frequency, not intensity. Using Arpège, runoff is mainly found to increase, in depth and in number of events, by the end of the 21st century. Changes in evaporation and land use are not included in the analysis. The impact of this 21st century potential climate change (rainfall) on the runoff is found to be of the same magnitude as the impact of changes in land use.  相似文献   

3.
A new method has been developed for recovering paleointensities from igneous rocks which requires only a single heating to the Curie temperature, utilizing partial ARM acquisition measurements before and after the heating to carefully separate distortions of the coercivity spectrum, caused by the heating, from viscous components present in the natural remanence. In addition, the changes in the partial ARM curves may be used to correct to some extent for chemical alterations that occur during the heating. As a result, the method allows one to use a number of samples for paleointensities that would normally be rejected by the Thellier-Thellier method, especially those contaminated by strong viscous overprints. The key to this process is the high sensitivity to changes in the TRM and ARM acquisition spectrum (and hence the coercivity spectrum) of partial ARM acquisition curves, which may be obtained at room temperature.Paleointensity results from recent historic Hawaiian lava flows have demonstrated the reliability of the ARM correction method.  相似文献   

4.
目前,底部剪力法是各国计算水平地震作用的基本方法,应用该方法时需要使用各自国家的抗震设计反应谱。本文汇总了中、美、欧抗震设计规范的反应谱和底部剪力法,在相同重现期和场地条件的基础上,对比了不同烈度下3本规范反应谱的异同,并通过算例对比了分别采用3本规范的底部剪力法算出的不同设防烈度下同一结构的底部地震剪力和层间地震剪力。对比结果表明,3本规范的反应谱和底部剪力法在本质上是相同的,只在表达形式和参数设置上存在差异。  相似文献   

5.
本文介绍了关于低频交流电法的试验和研究结果: (1) 现场观测证实,低频交流电法与直流电法观测的电阻率数据(包括ρ,曲线变化)是同步的和相近的。(2) 交流电法的抗干扰(噪声)能力比直流电法有所增强。采用交流电法守将干扰(噪声)背景由通常的100μv压低到10μv,並可以完全消除风扰。(3) 采用交流电法可以提高观测精度,其观测精度为10~(-3)(直流电法精度为10~(-2),还可有效地分辨1—2%的地电前兆异常。(4) 探测同样深度,交流电法可比直流电法功耗减少一倍。  相似文献   

6.
三维直流电场数值模拟的拟解析近似法:张量近似   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
拟解析近似方法是一种解决电磁场散射问题的快速求解积分方程的近似方法,它绕开了传统数值方法中的求解大型代数方程组或大型矩阵问题,适用于强散射和大扰动问题.本文应用孙建国提出的求解异常电场积分方程的张量拟解析近似理论公式,研究用其求解直流电场积分方程.利用接近实际的地电模型对异常电场进行模拟,研究了均匀场中异常球体的张量拟解析近似解;并对均匀场中的立方体异常体进行了数值计算.效果良好并具有很高的计算速度.研究结果为三维直流电场快速正反演模拟打下基础.  相似文献   

7.
逐次线性化衰减层析成像方法研究   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
在时间域衰减成像的基础上,建立了一种与当前走时层析成像类似的衰减成像方法——逐次线性化衰减层析成像方法,这是一种基于射线理论的方法.文中推导了逐次线性化过程的一系列公式,给出了相应的迭代算法及实现技术,并通过数值实验验证了方法的可行性.作为走时层析成像的补充方法,实现多参数成像.工程勘察实践表明,走时与衰减联合成像方法的应用效果良好.  相似文献   

8.
Wave-equation migration velocity analysis. I. Theory   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
We present a migration velocity analysis (MVA) method based on wavefield extrapolation. Similarly to conventional MVA, our method aims at iteratively improving the quality of the migrated image, as measured by the flatness of angle‐domain common‐image gathers (ADCIGs) over the aperture‐angle axis. However, instead of inverting the depth errors measured in ADCIGs using ray‐based tomography, we invert ‘image perturbations’ using a linearized wave‐equation operator. This operator relates perturbations of the migrated image to perturbations of the migration velocity. We use prestack Stolt residual migration to define the image perturbations that maximize the focusing and flatness of ADCIGs. Our linearized operator relates slowness perturbations to image perturbations, based on a truncation of the Born scattering series to the first‐order term. To avoid divergence of the inversion procedure when the velocity perturbations are too large for Born linearization of the wave equation, we do not invert directly the image perturbations obtained by residual migration, but a linearized version of the image perturbations. The linearized image perturbations are computed by a linearized prestack residual migration operator applied to the background image. We use numerical examples to illustrate how the backprojection of the linearized image perturbations, i.e. the gradient of our objective function, is well behaved, even in cases when backprojection of the original image perturbations would mislead the inversion and take it in the wrong direction. We demonstrate with simple synthetic examples that our method converges even when the initial velocity model is far from correct. In a companion paper, we illustrate the full potential of our method for estimating velocity anomalies under complex salt bodies.  相似文献   

9.
Abstract

By means of the energy-budget method, measurements of evaporation losses from four reservoirs on Salt River, Ariz., were determined to range from 57.5 to 69.9 inches for the 12-month period April 1958 to March 1959. Water is withdrawn from Roosevelt Lake at considerable depth and released through three run-of-the-river reservoirs. Because the water released from Roosevelt Lake is cold, evaporation losses from the downstream reservoirs are considerably lower than those from Roosevelt Lake. Evaporation pan coefficients computed for the various reservoirs ranged from 0.53 to 0.65. A base evaporation rate was computed for each reservoir as the evaporation rate that would have occurred had there been no change in energy storage and the net advected energy equalled zero during the year.  相似文献   

10.
Bolgov  M. V.  Sarmanov  I. O. 《Water Resources》2020,47(4):517-520
Water Resources - A method for constructing two-dimensional distribution law in a symmetrical case for three-parameter Kritskii and Menkel distribution is considered, and some results of the...  相似文献   

11.
A new method of reducing Magsat orbits was developed to produce a map of the Kursk magnetic anomaly at satellite altitude. Two different techniques to estimate the direction of magnetization were applied to the components of the anomaly to determine the presence of remanent magnetization. We propose that there is a significant component of remanent magnetization, however, we are unable to determine the importance of remanence relative to induced magnetization.  相似文献   

12.
本文通过地震模拟振动台试验研究用耗能减震装置修复后震后有损伤钢筋混凝土框架的效果和可行性,文中制作了两层和三层两座钢筋混凝土剪切型框架,首先进行了地震损伤模拟试验,其次提出了震后有损伤结构的参数识别方法,修复准则和修复用耗能减震装置的设计准则;在此基础上,采用了软钢屈服型耗能器驿两座试验框架在地震损伤后进行修复,并再次对修复后的框架模型进行地震模拟试验,证实了采用这种修复措施可以恢复震后有损伤结构  相似文献   

13.
In this work, the problem of interpreting linear marine magnetic anomalies in the context of the spreading model is considered. Analysis and a comparison of the methods proposed earlier for solving this problem are carried out and the analytic signal method is considered in detail. In terms of a simplest example, it is shown that the AS method has significant restrictions associated primarily with the size and/or occurrence depth of the bodies.  相似文献   

14.
基于独立分量分析的多次波自适应相减技术   总被引:29,自引:7,他引:22       下载免费PDF全文
针对多次波自适应相减这个关键问题,文中首次提出利用独立分量分析技术来实现多次波和一次波的分离(简称ICAAMS). 现有的多次波自适应相减技术大都是采用输出信号(一次波)能量最小准则,基于二阶统计量的技术. 本文提出的ICAAMS采用了输出信号非高斯性最大准则,并利用高阶统计量来表征非高斯性. 简单的褶积模型和复杂的有限差分模型资料处理结果表明, 本文提出的方法可以有效地分离一次波和多次波.  相似文献   

15.
Abstract

The hydrodynamic derivation of a variable parameter Muskingum method and its solution procedure for estimating a routed hydrograph were presented in Part I of this series (Perumal, 1994a). In this paper, the limitations of the method, the criterion for its applicability and its accuracy are discussed based on the assumptions used. The method is verified by routing a given hypothetical inflow hydrograph through uniform rectangular cross-section channels and comparing the results with the corresponding numerical solutions of the St. Venant equations. The stage hydrographs as computed by the method are also compared with the corresponding St. Venant solutions. It is demonstrated that the method closely reproduces the St. Venant solutions for the discharge and stage hydrographs subject to the compliance of the assumptions of the method by the routing process.  相似文献   

16.
When an electric current is introduced to the earth, it sets up a distribution of charges both on and beneath the earth's surface. These charges give rise to the anomalous potential measured in the d. c. resistivity experiment. We investigate different aspects of charge accumulation and its fundamental role in d. c. experiments. The basic equations and boundary conditions for the d. c. problem are first presented with emphasis on the terms involving accumulated charges which occur wherever there is a non-zero component of electric field parallel to the gradient of conductivity. In the case of a polarizable medium, the polarization charges are also present due to the applied electric field, yet they do not change the final field distribution. We investigate the precise role of the permittivity of the medium. The charge buildup alters the electric fields and causes the refraction of current lines; this results in the well-known phenomenon of current channelling. We demonstrate this by using charge density to derive the refraction formula at a boundary. An integral equation for charge density is presented for whole-space models where the upper half-space is treated as an in-homogeneity with zero conductivity. The integral equation provides a tool with which the charge accumulation can be examined quantitatively and employed in the practical forward modelling. With the aid of this equation, we investigate the effect of accumulated charges on the earth's surface and show the equivalence between the half-space and whole-space formulations of the problem. Two analytic examples are presented to illustrate the charge accumulation and its role in the d. c. problem. We investigate the relationship between the solution for the potential via the image method and via the charge density. We show that the essence of the image method solution to the potential problem is to derive a set of fictitious sources which produce the same potential as does the true charge distribution. It follows that the image method is viable only when the conductivity structure is such that the effect of the accumulated charge can be represented by a set of point images. As numerical examples, we evaluate quantitatively the charge density on the earth's surface that arises because of topography and the charge density on a buried conductive prism. By these means, we demonstrate the use of the boundary element technique and charge density in d. c. forward modelling problems.  相似文献   

17.
基于波射线路径偏移压制多次波   总被引:24,自引:10,他引:14       下载免费PDF全文
波射线路径压制多次波的反射波成像是在偏移过程去除多次波同时仅对反射波成像.通过在共炮道集和共检波点道集分别计算炮点射线的入射角和检波点射线的出射角计算射线的路径.从炮点入射的射线与从检波点出射的射线的交点形成的走时,若等于观测走时,可以判断此条射线是反射波;反之,若不相等,则是多次波.数值实验表明此方法可以有效地去掉由于多次波能量产生的假成像点和压制多次波,因此界面可以正确归位,同时去掉由于多次波引起的假成像位置.  相似文献   

18.
大地电磁测深资料的二次函数逼近非线性反演   总被引:12,自引:4,他引:8       下载免费PDF全文
将二次函数逼近非线性优化首次应用于大地电磁测深反演问题,该反演方法利用二次函数有唯一最小值的特点进行逼近大地电磁反演模型,从而避免了常规的迭代反演过程中陷入局部极小问题,实现了对目标函数求全局极小,较好地解决了非唯一性问题;同时该方法不用求灵敏度矩阵,且对初始模型无任何要求。通过理论模型检验、井旁MT点反演结果与测井曲线的对比及MT测线的反演电阻率深度剖面与地震测线的时间剖面对比均表明,本文方法取得较好的应用效果。  相似文献   

19.
 This paper deals with the problem of spatial data mapping. A new method based on wavelet interpolation and geostatistical prediction (kriging) is proposed. The method – wavelet analysis residual kriging (WARK) – is developed in order to assess the problems rising for highly variable data in presence of spatial trends. In these cases stationary prediction models have very limited application. Wavelet analysis is used to model large-scale structures and kriging of the remaining residuals focuses on small-scale peculiarities. WARK is able to model spatial pattern which features multiscale structure. In the present work WARK is applied to the rainfall data and the results of validation are compared with the ones obtained from neural network residual kriging (NNRK). NNRK is also a residual-based method, which uses artificial neural network to model large-scale non-linear trends. The comparison of the results demonstrates the high quality performance of WARK in predicting hot spots, reproducing global statistical characteristics of the distribution and spatial correlation structure.  相似文献   

20.
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