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1.
近年来,南极冰架发生较多消融、崩解等现象。利用已有的1997年和2000年的Radarsat全南极海岸线产品、2003/2004年和2008/2009年的MODIS全南极海岸线产品,以及基于2006年、2012年和2015年MODIS影像提取的海岸线,共7期数据,对南极Ross,Filchner-Ronne和Amery三大冰架前端的变化进行了分析,以变化面积、累积变化量(Shoreline Change Envelope,SCE)和净变化量(Net Shoreline Movement,NSM)3个指标来评估冰架前端的变化。结果表明,1997—2015年,Amery冰架一直呈现增长趋势,前端大部分区域往外延伸20~25 km,增长面积达3.03×103km2;Ross冰架和Filchner-Ronne冰架在发生崩解后受上游冰川推进作用仍不断向外增长,但增长面积小于崩解退缩面积,冰架面积分别减少9.39×103km2和5.86×103km2,冰架崩解区域前端退缩最大达到53 km和39 km。  相似文献   

2.
新一代冰流模式乌阿及其在南极埃默里冰架的应用   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
李腾  陈卓奇  李慧林  程晓  韦屹  刘岩 《冰川冻土》2020,42(1):254-264
南极冰盖不仅是全球环境变化的指示器, 其消融所产生成的淡水输入也是未来海平面上升的主要不确定性来源。数值模式是诊断冰流动力机制、 评估冰盖物质损耗的重要手段。本文首先介绍了乌阿(冰岛语úa或英语Ua)冰流模式的基本原理, 并利用该模式模拟东南极埃默里冰架的动态变化。乌阿冰流模式基于质量和动量守恒方程的垂直积分, 在自适应不规则三角网格上求解微分方程, 仅用少数参数规则即可构造适应冰流动力特征的网格结构, 有效缩减运算时间。采用当前主流的模式边界数据集, 针对埃默里冰架设计了两个试验。试验一为反演试验, 试验中模式的代价函数在100次迭代后下降三个数量级, 表明模拟的流速与遥感观测吻合(RMSE = 13.35 m·a-1), 但高频细节仍有待提高; 试验二为预测试验, 测试了模拟冰厚变化率的不确定性, 以自由漂移量接近零为标准选出一组最优模型参数, 最后假设埃默里冰架解体情景开展模拟, 结果表明冰架解体会导致海平面上升(45.36 ± 0.08) mm。随着资料更新迭代, 基于最新发布的南极底部地形数据模拟效果是否提升还有待未来检验。  相似文献   

3.
Landsat-7机载扫描行校正器(Scan Line Corrector,SLC)失效后的ETM+影像(SLC-OFF影像)约有22%的数据缺失,严重限制了该影像在冰川研究中的应用,特别对长期缺乏高质量遥感影像的高亚洲地区冰川运动连续监测产生较大影响。以Karakoram 中部最大的锡亚琴冰川为例,初步评估了Landsat-7 ETM+SLC-OFF影像在山地冰川表面流速提取方面的适用性和可行性。选取2009年和2010年两景SLC-OFF影像,运用局部直方图匹配法(Local Linear Histogram Match,LLHM)和加权线性回归法(Weighted Liner Regression,WLR)修复缺失数据条带,并利用亚像元互相关方法对修复后两景影像进行冰川表面流速估算。结果表明,LLHM和WLR两种方法均能有效修复冰川区Landsat-7 SLC-OFF影像,其冰流估算结果与同期Landsat-5TM 影像的冰流结果较为一致,三者冰流速估算精度分别为±5.9m ·a-1、±6.3m ·a-1和±4.0m ·a-1,验证了Landsat-7 SLC-OFF 影像在山地冰川流速监测中的应用潜力。  相似文献   

4.
南极海冰和陆架冰的时空变化动态   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
利用美国冰中心和雪冰中心提供的海冰资料和我国南极考察现场的海冰观测资料, 对南极海冰的长期变化进行了研究.结果表明: 20世纪70年代后期是多冰期; 80年代是少冰期; 90年代南极海冰属于上升趋势, 后期偏多; 区域性变化差别大, 东南极海冰偏多, 西南极海冰即南极半岛两侧特别是威德尔海(Weddell Sea)区和别林斯高晋海(Bellingshausen Sea)的冰明显偏少.东南极和西南极海冰的变化趋势总是反相的.90年代后期普里兹湾的海冰明显偏多, 南极大陆陆架冰外缘线总体没有明显的收缩, 有崩解也有再生的自然变化现象.西南极威德尔海的龙尼冰架(Ronne Ice Shelf)和罗斯海冰架(Ross Ice Shelf)东部崩解和收缩趋势明显, 东南极的冰架也有崩解和收缩, 但没有西南极明显.陆架冰崩解向海洋输送的冰山对全球海平面升高有一定的影响.目前, 南极冰盖断裂崩解形成的冰山, 向海洋输入的水量可使全球海平面上升约14 mm.南极海冰没有随着全球气候温暖化而明显减少, 而是按照东南极和西南极反相的变化规律进行周期性的变化、调整和制约.  相似文献   

5.
冰架是南极冰盖物质损失的主要出口。南极冰架动态变化和物质平衡的研究对揭示南极地区的气候变化具有重要的参考价值。本文从表面融化、冰流速、前缘崩解、底部融化和物质平衡五个方面入手,对近些年来南极冰架变化监测的研究进展进行梳理和归纳总结,综述了它们的观测方法、观测结果、机制分析及当前面临的问题。极地观测卫星和现场观测网络的发展、冰架多维度综合分析及数值模拟研究的推进,将有助于进一步揭示冰架变化因子之间的耦合作用及其演变机制,为全球增温影响南极冰盖/冰架的物理机制研究及其变化预测提供重要依据。  相似文献   

6.
基于InSAR和ICESat的南极冰盖地区DEM提取和精度分析   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2  
万雷  周春霞  鄂栋臣  邓方慧 《冰川冻土》2015,37(5):1160-1167
结合InSAR和ICESat测高数据,以东南极PANDA断面4个实验区为例,进行DEM生成研究.在干涉相位转换成高程前,引入ICESat测高数据作为控制点优化干涉对基线,消除基线线性误差趋势的影响.利用控制点之外的ICESat测高数据分析4个实验区的DEM精度及其差异,并探讨了引起DEM误差的原因.冰流和地貌特征是影响InSAR生成冰盖DEM精度的重要因素.针对冰流的影响,从理论上进行了分析并结合冰流速数据进行了分析验证.最后利用克里金插值法改正InSAR DEM残余误差,并利用GPS实测控制点对改正效果进行验证.结果表明:对于高纬区流速较小且分布一致的区域,改正效果很好,DEM精度可达3 m;而对于冰流速较大且复杂的地区,需采用多基线等算法进一步消弱冰流引入的误差.  相似文献   

7.
利用被动微波探测青海湖湖冰物候变化特征   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1  
湖冰物候是气候变化的敏感因子,不仅能反映区域气候变化特征,还可以反映区域气候与湖泊相互作用。利用长时间序列(1978—2018年)被动微波遥感18 GHz和19 GHz亮度温度数据、MODIS数据(2000—2018年)、实测湖冰厚度数据(1983—2018年)和气温、风速、降水(雪)数据(1961—2018年),分析青海湖湖冰变化特征及其对气候变化的响应。结果表明:青海湖流域呈现显著的变暖趋势(1961—2018年),气温上升2.85 ℃,在这种气候条件下,青海湖湖冰封冻日推迟(0.23 d·a-1),消融日呈现明显的提前趋势(0.33 d·a-1),湖冰封冻期天数明显减少,减少速率为0.57 d·a-1;同时,湖冰厚度以0.29 cm·a-1的速率减薄。此外,总结归纳了青海湖冻结-融化空间特征,青海湖主要由东部海晏湾地区开始冻结,从西部黑马河等地区开始消融,冻结和消融过程存在空间差异。通过分析湖冰冻融特征和气候因子关系发现,青海湖流域冬季气温是影响青海湖湖冰物候变化的主要因素,同时风速和降水(雪)也是影响湖冰发育和消融的重要因素。  相似文献   

8.
程晓  张艳梅  李震  邵芸 《水科学进展》2005,16(2):268-273
简单介绍了微波辐射的原理与应用现状,利用美国国防气象卫星计划DMSP F系列卫星携带的SSM/I辐射计南极地区极投影网格亮温数据进行了分析与处理。结合微波亮温等温线图和南极等高线图分析了南极地区亮温分布的特点。选取8个特征区域,对1992-2000年的日亮温数据进行了时间序列分析,分析了冰盖和冰架的亮温特性、季节和年度变化、短期波动等特征。研究表明南极大陆外围冰架和南极半岛地区的亮温呈增高趋势,而内陆冰盖地区则保持相对稳定;揭示了近年来随全球气候的变暖,南极冰架和南极半岛的融化正在加剧的趋势。  相似文献   

9.
乌鲁木齐河源冰雪及多年冻土径流过程特征   总被引:7,自引:6,他引:1  
在全球气候变暖背景下,乌鲁木齐河源自20世纪90年代中后期呈现出显著气温升高和明显降水增加趋势,乌鲁木齐河源区1号冰川及空冰斗山坡春季冰雪消融径流开始产流的时间有明显的推后趋势;同时径流结束、河道断流的时间也有不太显著的推后现象,其间接说明了高山区冰川及多年冻土融冻过程有了明显的消融季节推后特征.2000年以后春季径流明显大于20世纪80年代,其中冰川主要消融期径流变幅明显小于前期,空冰斗山坡夏季径流显著增大且变幅明显变大.分析认为,乌鲁木齐河源径流的这些变化,主要是河源区冬、秋季的明显升温,大气降水、季节性积雪融水和冻土活动层融冻过程变化等的反映.  相似文献   

10.
近50年来北极斯瓦尔巴地区冰川物质平衡变化特征   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1  
利用长时间序列的冰川物质平衡资料,详细分析了北极斯瓦尔巴地区冰川的物质平衡变化特征以及气候因子对物质平衡的影响。结果表明:近50年来斯瓦尔巴地区冰川物质平衡变化主要呈负平衡、零平衡/略微增长两种状态。冰川净平衡一般为负值,年际变化波动幅度较大且呈负平衡趋势,累积物质平衡表现出长期稳定的负平衡增长态势。除Kongsvegen冰川外,其他冰川不存在短期内的平衡波动。季节变化表现为夏季消融、冬季积累,且夏季消融比冬季积累波动更大,冰川净平衡与夏季消融保持同步变化趋势。冰川净平衡与平衡线高度(ELA)呈负相关(平均相关系数为-0.89),与积累区面积比率(AAR)呈正相关(平均相关系数为0.84),该地区大多数冰川AAR减小,说明冰川物质补给处于劣势,冰川物质平衡向负平衡发展。夏季气温升高是斯瓦尔巴地区冰川表面物质加速亏损的直接原因。  相似文献   

11.
国际南极冰盖与海平面变化研究述评   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
海平面上升是全球变暖的主要后果之一。尽管有少数冰川学家认为,气候变暖并不能确保雪积累量的显著增加,同时可能出现冰流的突然变化,因此南极冰盖在未来海平面变化中的作用存在很大的不确定性。但近几十年来南极半岛气温的急剧上升,已使大量的冰架崩解。冰架崩解并不对海平面产生真正的影响,但反映出南极洲气候与冰川存在急剧变化的可能。  相似文献   

12.
Ascertaining the location of palaeo‐ice streams is crucial in order to produce accurate reconstructions of palaeo‐ice sheets and examine interactions with the ocean–climate system. This paper reports evidence for a major ice stream in Amundsen Gulf, Canadian Arctic Archipelago. Mapping from satellite imagery (Landsat ETM+) and digital elevation models, including bathymetric data, is used to reconstruct flow‐patterns on southwestern Victoria Island and the adjacent mainland (Nunavut and Northwest Territories). Several flow‐sets indicative of ice streaming are found feeding into the marine trough and cross‐cutting relationships between these flow‐sets (and utilising previously published radiocarbon dates) reveal several phases of ice stream activity centred in Amundsen Gulf and Dolphin and Union Strait. A large erosional footprint on the continental shelf indicates that the ice stream (ca. 1000 km long and ca. 150 km wide) filled Amundsen Gulf, probably at the Last Glacial Maximum. Subsequent to this, the ice stream reorganised as the margin retreated back along the marine trough, eventually splitting into two separate low‐gradient lobes in Prince Albert Sound and Dolphin and Union Strait. The location of this major ice stream holds important implications for ice sheet–ocean interactions and specifically, the development of Arctic Ocean ice shelves and the delivery of icebergs into the western Arctic Ocean during the late Pleistocene. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

13.
Predicting the future response of ice sheets to climate warming and rising global sea level is important but difficult. This is especially so when fast-flowing glaciers or ice streams, buffered by ice shelves, are grounded on beds below sea level. What happens when these ice shelves are removed? And how do the ice stream and the surrounding ice sheet respond to the abruptly altered boundary conditions? To address these questions and others we present new geological, geomorphological, geophysical and geochronological data from the ice-stream-dominated NW sector of the last British–Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS). The study area covers around 45 000 km2 of NW Scotland and the surrounding continental shelf. Alongside seabed geomorphological mapping and Quaternary sediment analysis, we use a suite of over 100 new absolute ages (including cosmogenic-nuclide exposure ages, optically stimulated luminescence ages and radiocarbon dates) collected from onshore and offshore, to build a sector-wide ice-sheet reconstruction combining all available evidence with Bayesian chronosequence modelling. Using this information we present a detailed assessment of ice-sheet advance/retreat history, and the glaciological connections between different areas of the NW BIIS sector, at different times during the last glacial cycle. The results show a highly dynamic, partly marine, partly terrestrial, ice-sheet sector undergoing large size variations in response to sub-millennial-scale climatic (Dansgaard–Oeschger) cycles over the last 45 000 years. Superimposed on these trends we identify internally driven instabilities, operating at higher frequency, conditioned by local topographic factors, tidewater dynamics and glaciological feedbacks during deglaciation. Specifically, our new evidence indicates extensive marine-terminating ice-sheet glaciation of the NW BIIS sector during Greenland Stadials 12 to 9 – prior to the main ‘Late Weichselian’ ice-sheet glaciation. After a period of restricted glaciation, in Greenland Interstadials 8 to 6, we find good evidence for rapid renewed ice-sheet build-up in NW Scotland, with the Minch ice-stream terminus reaching the continental shelf edge in Greenland Stadial 5, perhaps only briefly. Deglaciation of the NW sector took place in numerous stages. Several grounding-zone wedges and moraines on the mid- and inner continental shelf attest to significant stabilizations of the ice-sheet grounding line, or ice margin, during overall retreat in Greenland Stadials 3 and 2, and to the development of ice shelves. NW Lewis was the first substantial present-day land area to deglaciate, in the first half of Greenland Stadial 3 at a time of globally reduced sea-level c. 26 kabp , followed by Cape Wrath at c. 24 kabp. The topographic confinement of the Minch straits probably promoted ice-shelf development in early Greenland Stadial 2, providing the ice stream with additional support and buffering it somewhat from external drivers. However, c. 20–19 kabp , as the grounding-line migrated into shoreward deepening water, coinciding with a marked change in marine geology and bed strength, the ice stream became unstable. We find that, once underway, grounding-line retreat proceeded in an uninterrupted fashion with the rapid loss of fronting ice shelves – first in the west, then the east troughs – before eventual glacier stabilization at fjord mouths in NW Scotland by ~17 kabp. Around the same time, ~19–17 kabp , ice-sheet lobes readvanced into the East Minch – possibly a glaciological response to the marine-instability-triggered loss of adjacent ice stream (and/or ice shelf) support in the Minch trough. An independent ice cap on Lewis also experienced margin oscillations during mid-Greenland Stadial 2, with an ice-accumulation centre in West Lewis existing into the latter part of Heinrich Stadial 1. Final ice-sheet deglaciation of NW mainland Scotland was punctuated by at least one other coherent readvance at c. 15.5 kabp , before significant ice-mass losses thereafter. At the glacial termination, c. 14.5 kabp , glaciers fed outwash sediment to now-abandoned coastal deltas in NW mainland Scotland around the time of global Meltwater Pulse 1A. Overall, this work on the BIIS NW sector reconstructs a highly dynamic ice-sheet oscillating in extent and volume for much of the last 45 000 years. Periods of expansive ice-sheet glaciation dominated by ice-streaming were interspersed with periods of much more restricted ice-cap or tidewater/fjordic glaciation. Finally, this work indicates that the role of ice streams in ice-sheet evolution is complex but mechanistically important throughout the lifetime of an ice sheet – with ice streams contributing to the regulation of ice-sheet health but also to the acceleration of ice-sheet demise via marine ice-sheet instabilities.  相似文献   

14.
It is summarized based on previous studies that warm and salty Atlantic Water (AW) brings huge amount of heat into Arctic Ocean and influences oceanic heat distribution and climate. Both heat transportation and heat release of AW are key factors affecting the thermal process in Eurasian Basin. The Arctic circumpolar boundary current is the carrier of AW, whose flow velocity varies to influence the efficiency of the warm advection. Because the depth of AW in Eurasian Basin is much shallower than that in Canadian Basin, the upward heat release of AW is an important heat source to supply sea ice melting. Turbulent mixing, winter convention and double-diffusion convention constitute the main physical mechanism for AW upward heat release, which results in the decrease of the Atlantic water core temperature during its spreading along the boundary current. St. Anna Trough, a relatively narrow and long trough in northern continental shelf of Kara Sea, plays a key role in remodeling temperature and salinity characteristics of AW, in which the AW from Fram Strait enters the trough and mixes with the AW from Barents Sea. Since the 21st Century, AW in the Arctic Ocean has experienced obvious warming and had the influence on the physical processes in downstream Canada Basin, which is attributed to the anomalous warming events of AW inflowing from the Fram Strait. It is inferred that the warming AW is dominated by a long-term warming trend superimposed on low frequency oscillation occurring in the Nordic Seas and North Atlantic Ocean. As the Arctic Ocean is experiencing sea ice decline and Arctic amplification, the role of AW heat release in response to the rapid change needs further investigation.  相似文献   

15.
In recent years, melting and calving happen in the Antarctic ice shelves. In this paper, seven periods of coastlines were applied to provide an analysis of the ice front changes of Ross, Filchner-Ronne and Amery ice shelves with the inclusion of 1997 and 2000 Radarsat products, 2003/2004 and 2008/2009 MODIS products and 2006, 2012, 2015 coastline which were extracted from MODIS images. Change area, SCE (Shoreline Change Envelope) and NSM (Net Shoreline Movement) were applied to analyze the variation of the ice shelf front. The results shows that, the ice front of Amery ice shelf has advanced since 1997 and the total outward extension distance of the ice front was about 20 to 25 km while the advance area reached 3.03×103 km2. Ross ice shelf and Filchner-Ronne ice shelf continued to advance after ice calving events under the driver action of glacier. However, the advance area was less than the retreat area and the net change area is respectively -9.39×103 km2 and -5.86×103 km2. The retreat distance of the collapse area were up to 53 km and 39 km in the two biggest ice shelves.  相似文献   

16.
南极半岛近百年气温的年代际振荡   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
利用南极半岛及邻近地区(30°~70°W,50°S以南)气象观测资料较好的12个站,建立了该地区近百年的气温距平序列.结果表明:1)近百年南极半岛气温有3个跃变点,分别在1919-1923年1947-1953年和1976-1982年之间,两个跃变点之间的稳定气候阶段的平均长度约30a左右;2)各阶段平均气温成阶梯式的上升,近百年年气温增加了0.730℃,但增温幅度各季不同:冬季最大,夏季最小;3)南极半岛年冰密集度指数倾向率为-0.2053·(10a)-1,而且夏半年(12~翌年5月)比冬半年(6~11月)大;4)南极半岛温度与它的冰密集度指数呈反相关,夏季、秋季和年的相关系数都超过了5%信度.  相似文献   

17.
The palaeoceanographic evolution of the SW Svalbard shelf west of Hornsund over the last 14 000 years was reconstructed using benthic foraminiferal assemblages, stable oxygen and carbon isotopes, and grain‐size and ice‐rafted debris data. The results reveal the complexity of the feedbacks influencing the shelf environment: the inflow of Atlantic and Arctic waters (AW and ArW, respectively), and the influence of sea ice and tidewater glaciers. The inflow of subsurface AW onto the shelf gradually increased with the first major intrusion at the end of the Bølling‐Allerød. During the Younger Dryas, the shelf was affected by fresh water originating from sea ice and glacier discharge. Glaciomarine conditions prevailed until the earliest Holocene with the intense deliveries of icebergs and meltwater from retreating glaciers and the occasional penetration of AW onto the shelf. Other major intrusions of AW occurred before and after the Preboreal oscillation (early Holocene), which resulted in more dynamic and open‐water conditions. Between 10.5 and 9.7 cal. ka BP, the shelf environment transformed from glaciomarine to open marine conditions. Between c. 9.7 and 6.1 cal. ka BP the AW advection reached its maximum, resulting in a highly dynamic and productive environment. At c. 6.1 cal. ka BP, the inflow of AW onto the Svalbard shelf decreased due to the intensification of the Greenland Gyre and the subduction of AW under the sea‐ice‐bearing ArW. Bioproductivity decreased over the next c. 5500 years. During the Little Ice Age, bioproductivity increased due to favourable conditions in the marginal sea‐ice zone despite the effects of cooling. The renewed advection of AW after AD 1850 started the climate warming trend observed presently. Our findings show that δ18O can be used to reconstruct the dominances of different water‐masses and, with some caution, as a proxy for the presence of sea ice in frontal areas over the northwestern Eurasian shelves.  相似文献   

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