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1.
天然气水合物物理化学状态平衡及其在冲绳海槽的应用   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
根据自由能优化算法计算了气、水、盐、水合物的平衡态(稳定态)条件,建立了天然气水合物的状态方程和(水合物、液态溶液和气体)相平衡模型,编制了计算天然气水合物稳定带厚度的计算机软件;并针对研究内容收集了冲绳海槽和东海陆坡的热流、地温梯度、地形(水深)、地貌等资料,根据这些资料模拟计算预测了该区天然气水合物稳定带厚度、分布有利区带和BSR底界深度,进而编绘了相关图件。  相似文献   

2.
天然气水合物相平衡研究的实验技术与方法   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
介绍了水溶液中天然气水合物相平衡研究的各种实验技术及测定方法 ;对于沉积物中水合物相平衡条件的研究 ,着重探讨了电阻法、超声法及 TDR法等探测技术。实验装置的发展完善和探测技术的提高 ,将极大地推动沉积物中天然气水合物的相平衡条件的研究。  相似文献   

3.
基于遗传算法和BP神经网络的海洋工程材料腐蚀预测研究   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
李海涛  袁森 《海洋科学》2020,44(10):33-38
为提高海洋工程材料腐蚀速率预测的精度,提出了一种基于遗传算法(GA)优化反向传播(Back Propagation,BP)神经网络的海洋工程材料海洋环境腐蚀速率预测模型。通过遗传算法对BP神经网络的权值和阈值进行优化,利用优化后的BP神经网络对试验数据进行预测。GA-BP模型选取具有代表性的2Cr1312不锈钢、Q235B碳钢和6082铝合金三种基本海洋工程材料数据进行试验,预测结果误差小于传统BP神经网络,并且在网络训练时间上有所缩短,预测精度上有所提高。本模型在海洋工程材料于海洋环境中腐蚀速率的实际预测中具有良好的推广价值。  相似文献   

4.
天然气水合物饱和度的计算通常采用阿尔奇公式、双水模型、Wood 方程等方法,这些方法均基于孔隙度的求取,并需要配合岩心分析来获得公式中的有关参数,存在误差传递导致结果不正确的问题.由于天然气水合物是以固态形式赋存于地层当中,因此研究适用于含天然气水合物储层的评价模型也是解决准确评价天然气水合物储层需考虑的因素.针对沿用油气测井评价方法计算天然气水合物的孔隙度和饱和度中存在的问题,采用径向基函数作为人工神经网络,计算了我国首次采获水合物样品的神狐海域某井天然气水合物的饱和度,以其中一口井的分析数据为样本训练并建立径向基函数神经网络,有效地求出了另一口井的天然气水合物饱和度,其结果与现场孔隙水分析的饱和度基本吻合.避开了天然气水合物饱和度的模型建立及参数求取难题.  相似文献   

5.
赵健  刘展  樊彦国  丁宁 《海洋科学》2018,42(11):59-63
在对BP算法进行深入分析的基础上,将测量数据处理与误差理论中的精度评定方法应用到BP神经网络的精度估计中,通过分别计算BP神经网络学习训练过程及预测过程的输出层中误差,实现对神经网络模型的精度评定。最后以海洋油气资源预测为例,结合实测资料建立了BP神经网络预测模型并分别进行了学习训练过程及预测过程的精度评定,以期为神经网络模型结构的优化设计提供有效参考,为提高神经网络模型的适用性提供科学依据。  相似文献   

6.
赵健  刘展 《海洋科学》2016,40(5):103-108
作者针对BP神经网络结构设计中存在的问题,提出利用灵敏度分析方法对BP神经网络预测模型进行优化。通过BP算法与参数灵敏度分析的结合,寻找网络输入属性与输出属性之间的影响因子;在保证精度的前提下优选网络输入属性,简化网络结构,以增强网络的泛化能力,减少人为主观因素对网络设计的影响。最后以海洋油气资源预测为例,结合实测资料建立BP神经网络预测模型并进行了优化及预测精度评价,表明优化后的模型既能有效提高油气资源预测结果的稳定性,又不损失预测精度。  相似文献   

7.
大量的实验模拟计算需要知道天然气水合物的形成条件。可利用方程式来确定天然气水合物形成条件的数据。目前这种模式和等式的准确性取决于实验数据和理论值的准确性,二者相互依存。实验数据代表实际的物理条件,数据的获取较困难。虽然理论方法略有改变,但从宏观来讲实验方法和数据仍相对稳定。实验通常测试的是液相,而预测的是固相水合物。有关固相水合物实验数据的准确性很难完全通过实验阐述清楚,因为,固相天然水合物的测试遇到了不少困难,如流体堵塞、多相性、取样困难和固相样品描述等。在预测含低硫天然气和含微量CO2和/或H2S的天然…  相似文献   

8.
针对目前存在的海水水质受多因素影响、评价难的现状,提出了一种基于粒子群算法(PSO)优化误差反向传播(BP)神经网络的海水水质评价模型。该模型通过PSO得到BP神经网络最优的权值和阈值,结合青岛东部海域10个监测站点的数据得到水质评价结果。实验证明,该模型和单因子评价、传统的BP神经网络评价相比较,具有训练时间短、预测精度高的特点,在海水水质评价中具有良好的应用价值。  相似文献   

9.
针对目前天然气水合物沉积成矿因素复杂、预测难度大的问题,通过利用高分辨率三维地震、测井和岩心等资料来分析南海北部神狐海域BSR分布及天然气水合物成矿带的沉积特征、地震属性和物性特征,表明研究区天然气水合物分布在一定沉积相带、地震属性和物性范围内;然后根据实际资料情况,选择合理的建模方法,建立了天然气水合物沉积相、地震属性和物性模型;综合考虑3种模型中天然气水合物分布有利区,对层序Ⅴ天然气水合物分布的有利区带进行了预测,主要分布在S2和S3以南至S5之间,S4井周围少量分布,这种预测方法具有一定的科学意义和较好的实际参考价值。  相似文献   

10.
针对赤潮灾害等级预测难的现状,提出了一种基于C4.5决策树与二分分割算法优化的BP(反向传播)神经网络赤潮等级预测模型。该模型针对传统BP神经网络输入参数难以选择和隐含层节点数量难以确定的问题,通过决策树分类获取最优的属性组合,来解决输入参数难以选择的问题;通过"二分分割算法",来解决隐含层节点数难以确定的问题。实验结果表明,该模型在青岛近海海域赤潮灾害等级预测中,预测结果的均方根误差(RMSE)小于传统BP神经网络的预测误差,并且在网络训练时间上有所缩短,预测精度上有所提高,能够获得良好的预测结果,可为赤潮等级预测提供新的解决方法。  相似文献   

11.
In the Shenhu area of the northern South China Sea (SCS), canyon systems and focused fluid flow systems increase the complexity of the gas hydrate distribution in the region. It also induces difficulties in predicting the hydrate reservoir characteristics and quantitatively evaluating reservoir parameters. In this study, several inversion methods have been executed to estimate the velocities of strata and gas hydrate concentrations along a profile in the Shenhu area. The seismic data were inverted to obtain the reflection coefficient of each stratum via a spectral inversion method. Stratigraphic horizons were then delineated by tracking the inverted reflectivities. Based on the results of spectral inversion, a low-frequency velocity field of the strata was constructed for acoustic impedance inversion. Using a new iterative algorithm for acoustic impedance inversion, reflection coefficients were converted into velocities, and the velocity variations of the strata along a 2D seismic line were then obtained. Subsequently, gas hydrate saturations at well SH2 were estimated via the shale-corrected resistivity method, the chloride ion concentration method and three different rock physics models. The results were then compared to determine the optimal rock physics model, and the modified Wood equation (MWE) was found to be appropriate for this area. Finally, the inverted velocities and MWE were used to predict the distribution and concentrations of gas hydrates along the seismic line. The estimated spatial distribution of gas hydrates is consistent with that from sonic logging and resistivity data at well SH2, and with the drilling results. Therefore, this method is applicable in areas with no well data, or with few wells, and provides an effective tool for predicting and evaluating gas hydrates using seismic data.  相似文献   

12.
天然气水合物甲烷资源量的估算是天然气水合物研究中的热点问题。运用体积法计算含水合物沉积物中的甲烷资源量时,存在参数赋值不确定的问题,从而影响了计算结果的可信度。采用蒙特卡罗法,通过计算样本的频率可以较好地评价和描述计算结果的信度,弥补体积法的不足。对采用蒙特卡罗法估算甲烷资源量的原理进行了分析和探讨,并以麦肯齐三角洲和南海海域水合物为例,计算了水合物赋存区的甲烷资源量。  相似文献   

13.
天然气水合物研究的新进展   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2  
天然气水合物的调查评价刚刚起步,有关其成藏机理等许多问题有待解决。最近国际上关于天然气水合物资源和成藏机理的研究有新的进展,现根据大量的实际调查资料重新估算了天然气水合物资源量,并认为过去报道的资源量过高;海底天然气水合物的聚集与烃流体的垂向运移有关,泥火山底辟构造控制了海底天然气水合物的聚集和分布;天然气水合物的开采方式与常规油气藏开发不同,宜采用简单加热法、抑制剂法和减压法开采;近期应主要进行海底及浅层的天然气水合物勘探。  相似文献   

14.
For the past decades, gas hydrate reservoirs have beneficiated from an increasing attention in the academic and industrial worlds. As a result, there is a growing need to develop specific and comprehensive gas hydrate reservoir characterization methods. This study explores the use of a stochastic Bayesian algorithm to integrate well-logs and 3D acoustic impedance in order to estimate gas hydrate grades (product of saturation and total porosity) over a representative volume of the Mallik gas hydrate field, located in the Mackenzie Delta, Northwest Territories of Canada. First, collocated log data from boreholes Mallik 5L-38 and 2L-38 are used to estimate the statistical relationship between acoustic impedance and gas hydrate grades. Second, conventional stochastic Bayesian simulation is applied to generate multiple gas hydrate grade 3D fields integrating log data and lateral variability of 3D acoustic impedance. These equiprobable scenarios permit to quantify the uncertainty over the estimation, and identify zones where this uncertainty is greater. Contrary to conventional stochastic reservoir modeling workflows, the proposed method allows integrating non Gaussian and non linear distributions. This permits to handle bimodal distributions without using complex stochastic transforms. The results present gas hydrate grade values that are in accordance with well-log data. The relatively low standard deviation calculated at each pixel using all realizations suggests that gas hydrate grades is well explained by acoustic impedance and log data.  相似文献   

15.
南海北部大陆边缘天然气水合物稳定带厚度的地热学研究   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
The exploration of unconventional and/or new energy resources has become the focus of energy research worldwide,given the shortage of fossil fuels.As a potential energy resource,gas hydrate exists only in the environment of high pressure and low temperature,mainly distributing in the sediments of the seafloor in the continental margins and the permafrost zones in land.The accurate determination of the thickness of gas hydrate stability zone is essential yet challenging in the assessment of the exploitation potential.The majority of previous studies obtain this thickness by detecting the bottom simulating reflectors(BSRs) layer on the seismic profiles.The phase equilibrium between gas hydrate stable state with its temperature and pressure provides an opportunity to derive the thickness with the geothermal method.Based on the latest geothermal dataset,we calculated the thickness of the gas hydrate stability zone(GHSZ) in the north continental margin of the South China Sea.Our results indicate that the thicknesses of gas hydrate stability zone vary greatly in different areas of the northern margin of the South China Sea.The thickness mainly concentrates on 200–300 m and distributes in the southwestern and eastern areas with belt-like shape.We further confirmed a certain relationship between the GHSZ thickness and factors such as heat flow and water depth.The thickness of gas hydrate stability zone is found to be large where the heat flow is relatively low.The GHSZ thickness increases with the increase of the water depth,but it tends to stay steady when the water depth deeper than 3 000 m.The findings would improve the assessment of gas hydrate resource potential in the South China Sea.  相似文献   

16.
为了研究频率域2.5维非线性共轭梯度反演在海洋天然气水合物探测中的实际应用效果,利用美国Scripps研究所在South Hydrate海域采集的可控源电磁探测数据进行2.5维非线性共轭梯度反演计算,结合其他地球物理方法在同一海区的研究结果,综合分析2.5维反演计算的准确性和有效性。结果表明,非线性共轭梯度反演能够清晰地反映出该区域海底面以下1~2 km地层的电导率结构分布,其局部反演结果与地震反射、地震层序、测井分析结果基本一致,且对小尺寸异常、浅层高阻体分辨力较强,尤其在海洋天然气水合物探测方面具有较大潜力。  相似文献   

17.
We investigate the estimation of gas hydrate and free gas concentration using various rock physics models in the Cascadia accretionary prism, which is one of the most intensively studied regions of natural gas hydrate occurrences. Surface seismic reflection data is the most useful and cost-effective in deriving seismic velocity, and hence estimating gas hydrate and free gas across a BSR with depth, if a proper background (without gas hydrate and free gas) velocity is chosen. We have used effective medium theory of Helgerud et al. (EMTH) and, a combination of self-consistent approximation and differential effective medium (SCA-DEM) theory coupled with smoothing approximation for crystalline aggregate. Using the SCA-DEM (non-load-bearing) and EMTH (load-bearing) modeling, we calculate the average saturations of gas hydrate as 17 and 19%, respectively within ~100 m thick sedimentary column using velocity, derived from the surface seismic data. The saturations of gas hydrate are estimated as 15 and 18% using the SCA-DEM, and 20 and 25% using EMTH from the logging-while-drilling and wire-line sonic velocities, respectively. Estimations of gas hydrate from Poisson’s ratio are in average 50% for EMTH and 10% for SCA-DEM theory. We obtain the maximum saturation of free gas as 1–2% by employing the SCA-DEM theory either to seismic or sonic velocities, whereas the free-gas saturation varies between 0.1 and 0.4% for EMTH model. The gas hydrate saturation estimated from the sonic velocity and the free gas saturation derived from both the seismic and sonic velocities using the SCA-DEM modeling match quite well with those determined from the pressure core data in the study region.  相似文献   

18.
利用新一代卫星遥感数据所提供的天然气水合物的特殊标志信息:海表温度热异常、海表大气层甲烷成分异常和特殊的构造环境等,在综合分析水合物已知区的地质、地球物理、地球化学与卫星遥感之间的耦合关系基础上,通过对综合分析模型的认真分析和各种方法的相互验证,可以初步建立一套识别国际海底天然气水合物的标准,以指导国际海底天然气水合物的勘探。  相似文献   

19.
This paper presents a computational model for mapping the regional 3D distribution in which seafloor gas hydrates would be stable, that is carried out in a Geographical Information System (GIS) environment. The construction of the model is comprised of three primary steps, namely: (1) the construction of surfaces for the various variables based on available 3D data (seafloor temperature, geothermal gradient and depth-pressure); (2) the calculation of the gas function equilibrium functions for the various hydrocarbon compositions reported from hydrate and sediment samples; and (3) the calculation of the thickness of the hydrate stability zone. The solution is based on a transcendental function, which is solved iteratively in a GIS environment.The model has been applied in the northernmost continental slope of the Gulf of Cadiz, an area where an abundant supply for hydrate formation, such as extensive hydrocarbon seeps, diapirs and fault structures, is combined with deep undercurrents and a complex seafloor morphology. In the Gulf of Cadiz, the model depicts the distribution of the base of the gas hydrate stability zone for both biogenic and thermogenic gas compositions, and explains the geometry and distribution of geological structures derived from gas venting in the Tasyo Field (Gulf of Cadiz) and the generation of BSR levels on the upper continental slope.  相似文献   

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