共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 78 毫秒
1.
Mostafa Baniasadi Mohammad Reza Zare' Mehrjordi Hossein Mehrabi Boshrabadi Hamid Reza Mirzaei Khalilabad Abbas Rezaei Estakhrooye 《Ground water》2020,58(4):560-570
In recent decades, increased extraction of groundwater for human and agriculture consumption has led to a substantial drop in groundwater level in large areas of across the world. Declining groundwater levels is a serious problem in itself and has multiple economic, social, cultural, political, security-related, and environmental externalities. The negative economic-environmental externalities of overextraction of groundwater in the Orzouiyeh plain in the Kerman Province, Iran, were evaluated using methods such as replacement cost, production function, market prices, shadow price, and the value of the input marginal product. After evaluating externalities, the Positive Mathematical Programming method was used to evaluate different water policies to reduce the consumption of groundwater. The total economic losses due to the externalities were calculated to equal 2.8 U.S. million dollars. The damages caused by environmental externalities were calculated to equal 436.1 U.S. million dollars. The results related to the positive planning model show that the best policy among different options, such as deficit irrigation policy or combined policies, involves implementation of pressurized irrigation systems. 相似文献
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对流动地磁矢量观测数据进行日变通化时,需借助周边地磁台站长时段连续观测分钟值数据,以计算测点处观测时刻至通化日零时H、D和Z三分量变化量,而台站实际相对记录数据多存在相邻两日非正常台阶差值,需予以消除,以保证数据的连续性。选取满洲里、德都、蒙城、泰安、静海、隆尧、锡林浩特和长春8个固定地磁台站2020年5月相对记录数据,讨论H、D和Z分量的连接阈值。为筛选得到更多的台阶值,首选较小值进行连接尝试,分析台阶值在相邻两台站的同步性,并统计台阶值出现前后连续分钟值的正常波动幅度,讨论台阶值的合理性,进而对阈值进行调整,得到3个分量的合理阈值分别为1.0 nT、0.35 nT和0.4 nT。在实际应用中,由于不同台站的地磁观测数据质量存在差异,根据需要可适当提高阈值,尤其是Z分量阈值。 相似文献
3.
Geoenvironmental aspects are of importance in the development of regional models of spatial planning. The experience of Moscow can be used to determine the composition of spatial data, the cartographic resources to be incorporated, and the ways to improve the efficiency of their use, as well as to determine the logical structure of the model for developing the documents of spatial planning. 相似文献
4.
Gordon A. MacDonald 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1960,23(1):211-211
Prediction of Hawaiian volcanic eruptions depends primarily on the interpretation of records of earthquakes and tumescence of the volcano. Recent work byJ. P. Eaton of the U. S. Geological Survey appears to demonstrate the presence of two distinct groups of earthquakes. One group originates at a depth of 40 to 60 km, within the earth’s mantle, and is thought to mark the zone of origin of the magma. The other group is of shallower origin and results from change of shape and size of the volcanic edifice. Earthquakes of the deep group occur from time to time, often in swarms, between eruptions and are not useful in predicting an outbreak. Those of the shallow group may accompany the swelling and splitting open of the volcano preceding eruption, but they may also accompany shrinking of the volcano and sinking of the mountain top that appears to result from withdrawal of magma beneath the volcano without surface eruption. Determining whether the quakes result from swelling of shrinking of the volcano depends largely on measurements of tilting of the ground surface. If the volcano is in a swollen condition and continues to swell, a large number of earthquakes of shallow origin is highly suggestive, if not definitely indicative, of imminent eruption. The place of origin of the quakes indicates, sometimes very closely, the location of the coming eruption. It is not yet possible, however, to predict the time of outbreak except in a rather general manner. Sometimes it can be predicted within a few days. At times there may be an oscillation of ground tilting directly preceding the eruption, suggesting a pulsation of magmatic pressure at depth, but this is not yet certain. There appears to be some indication that summit eruptions of either Mauna Loa or Kilauea are preceded by a less definite earthquake pattern, and are therefore less readily predictable, than flank eruptions. No cycle of activity of any great value in predicting activity has been recognized in Hawaii. Intervals between eruptions of Mauna Loa have ranged from a few months to more than 9 years, and Kilauea has been even more variable. In the case of Mauna Loa there has been a rough alternation between summit and flank eruptions, but with many exceptions to this general sequence. Astronomical and tidal cycles have been studied in relation to both time of outbreak and strength of eruption, but without demonstration of any very definite relationship. Eruptions have occurred in every month of the year, but there is a slight tendency for them to cluster just before and after solstice, particularly winter solstice. 相似文献
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Periodograms and Fourier spectra of different experimental time series are calculated. The efficiency of the methods applied to study different signals is considered. The periodogram method often makes it possible to identify periodicities which are hardly identifiable by the Fourier analysis. First of all, it concerns the quasiperiodic processes with a considerable variability in amplitude and form of the rhythmical component, but almost constant period or very weak stable rhythm with a nonsinusoidal form. One more advantage of the periodograms is their low sensitivity to pauses and omissions in the time series. However, data preprocessing is often needed, for instance, filtration of high frequency noise, rarer data interrogation, and analysis of the rhythmical component form. The rhythms revealed by the periodogram method are commonly studied additionally to confirm their significance and to describe their properties. The low computational effectiveness, even relative to the classical Fourier transformation, is one more disadvantage of the periodogram method. 相似文献
7.
本文在理论上研究了对齐误差对测试地震计自噪声的影响。指出对齐误差影响到2台仪器记录间的计算互功率谱密度, 进而影响到被测仪器记录间相干函数计算, 最终影响到被测仪器的自噪声计算。发现当存在对齐误差时, 在信噪比较高频段计算得到的自噪声水平比仪器的实际自噪声水平要高, 在一般的实际测试中可能高20 dB以上。为了消除对齐误差对自噪声测试的影响, 提出通过投影逆变换把观测记录变换到标准坐标系下, 再用变换后的观测记录来计算地震计自噪声。给出了基于以上思路和传感参数对比测试方法的地震计自噪声计算处理流程, 合成数据、 实际测试数据的处理检验计算结果表明, 本文方法可以有效克服地震计自噪声测试中对齐误差的影响。 相似文献
8.
祁漫塔格北缘断裂处于青藏高原内部造山带地区,其构造活动反映了青藏高原的构造演化特征。本文采用活动构造和构造地貌相结合的研究方法,对该断裂的活动性进行初步分析研究。首先采用航卫片解译和野外调查,发现该断裂断错了山前全新世冲洪积扇,形成的断层陡坎高度在1.5~2.5m。通过扩散方程,并参考前人研究结果,认为祁漫塔格北缘断裂晚第四纪的抬升速率初步限定在1~2mm/a。我们基于数字高程模型提取的地形高程纵剖面和面积-高程积分,其结果也支持祁漫塔格北缘存在构造活动。 相似文献
9.
I. P. Passechnik 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1973,103(1):424-432
Summary There are considered magnitude values distortions because of not taking into account the properties of links of the system where seismic waves are excited, spread and registrated. The links are: the source, the medium, the thickness of rocks, forming the upper part of seismo-geological section at the station region, seismic channel and processing methods of considered data. The system links are divided into nonoperating (source, medium) and operating (seismogeological section at the station region, seismic channel parameters, processing methods), which can be changed to a certain extent while registrating seismic oscillations.Strong distortion of narrow band shortperiod and longperiod instrumentation of seismic records is shown. This brings to considerable decreasing magnitude values comparing with the values determined by the records of broad band instrumentation. In order to decrease the magnitude distortion there is recommended the passing to registration. In order to decrease the magnitude distortion there is recommended the passing to registration of seismic oscillations by broad band receiving channels with large dynamic range of 100–120 decibel with magnetic tape digital registration and following processing of the data by the computers.There is pointed out that seismic stations installation at unweathered crystalline rocks is the most favourable, and a special attention is drawn to necessity of correct choice of the processing methods of the net stations data while calculating the averaged magnitude values.At present before the complete passing to broad band digital registration there is suggested to determine magnitudes in the international centers on the data by specially chosen stations supplied by most broad band instrumentation, using existing standard scales, practically coinciding with Gutenberg-Richter's scales. 相似文献
10.
The degree and distribution of damage to buildings subjected to earthquakes is a concern of the Chinese Government and the public.Seismic damage data indicates that seismic capacities of different types of building structures in various regions throughout mainland of China are different.Furthermore,the seismic capacities of the same type of structure in different regions may vary.The contributions of this research are summarized as follows:1)Vulnerability matrices and earthquake damage matrices of masonry structures in mainland of China were chosen as research samples.The aim was to analyze the differences in seismic capacities of sample matrices and to present general rules for categorizing seismic resistance.2)Curves relating the percentage of damaged masonry structures with different seismic resistances subjected to seismic demand in different regions of seismic intensity(VI to X)have been developed.3)A method has been proposed to build vulnerability matrices of masonry structures.The damage ratio for masonry structures under high-intensity events such as the Ms 6.1 Panzhihua earthquake in Sichuan province on 30 August2008,was calculated to verify the applicability of this method.This research offers a significant theoretical basis for predicting seismic damage and direct loss assessment of groups of buildings,as well as for earthquake disaster insurance. 相似文献
11.
The geodynamic interpretation of the results of GPS observations among the permanently operating stations which establish the frame for defining and conserving the coordinate system and simultaneously for describing the fundamental tendencies of dynamics in the area represented by them, should be deprived of the effects of geodynamic phenomena, which can be either periodic or short-term (even non-periodic) so that secular changes may be found. Some of these influences are included in scientific processing software, others have to be modelled later. The purpose of this project is to determine the influences of the indirect effect of ocean tides and the direct deformational effect of the atmosphere on the results of GPS observations, performed at stations Pecný (Czech Republic), Wettzell (FRG) and Graz (Austria), and also for the GPS stations of the Central Europe Regional Geodynamic Project (CERGOP) in the region of Central and East Europe. On the basis of analyses and results it is possible to claim that at the present accuracy of GPS observations the influence of ocean loading and atmospheric pressure effects for geodynamic campaigns in the region of the Czech Republic is negligible. For campaigns in larger regions (i.e. Central Europe) atmospheric corrections will have to be applied to height differences. These corrections, however, due to their periodicity have negligible influence on secular changes. 相似文献
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Impact of the simulation algorithm, magnitude of ergodic fluctuations and number of realizations on the spaces of uncertainty of flow properties 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
P. Goovaerts 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1999,13(3):161-182
Geostatistical simulation algorithms are routinely used to generate conditional realizations of the spatial distribution
of petrophysical properties, which are then fed into complex transfer functions, e.g. a flow simulator, to yield a distribution
of responses, such as the time to recover a given proportion of the oil. This latter distribution, often referred to as the
space of uncertainty, cannot be defined analytically because of the complexity (non-linearity) of transfer functions, but
it can be characterized algorithmically through the generation of many realizations. This paper compares the space of uncertainty
generated by four of the most commonly used algorithms: sequential Gaussian simulation, sequential indicator simulation, p-field simulation and simulated annealing. Conditional to 80 sample permeability values randomly drawn from an exhaustive
40×40 image, 100 realizations of the spatial distribution of permeability values are generated using each algorithm and fed
into a pressure solver and a flow simulator. Principal component analysis is used to display the sets of realizations into
the joint space of uncertainty of the response variables (effective permeability, times to reach 5% and 95% water cuts and
to recover 10% and 50% of the oil). The attenuation of ergodic fluctuations through a rank-preserving transform of permeability
values reduces substantially the extent of the space of uncertainty for sequential indicator simulation and p-field simulation, while improving the prediction of the response variable by the mean of the output distribution. Differences
between simulation algorithms are the most pronounced for long-term responses (95% water cut and 50% oil recovery), with sequential
Gaussian simulation yielding the most accurate prediction. In this example, utilizing more than 20 realizations generally
increases only slightly the size of the space of uncertainty. 相似文献
14.
I. Wilkinson 《Surveys in Geophysics》1984,7(1):107-122
The magnetic fields of the Earth, Jupiter, and Saturn are now accepted as originating in a dynamo mechanism in an electrically conducting fluid region of those planets.Our extensive knowledge of the spatial and temporal variation of the geomagnetic field has been gained by observation in the recent past, and by inference from the remanent magnetisation of rocks for the distant past.The theoretical problem of predicting what sort of magnetic field can be generated by motions in a homogeneous conducting fluid is extremely intractable. In order to obtain any solution at all the problem has to be idealised until it bears little resemblance to the situation existing in planetary interiors; consequently observation and theory have little common ground.In the laboratory it is possible to construct homogeneous dynamos which, while they have a number of important differences from the mechanism which exists inside planets, nevertheless are considerably closer to reality than any theoretical model which can be shown to generate a magnetic field. Observations of the behaviour of such laboratory homogeneous self-exciting dynamos have, over the past twenty years in the Geophysics department at Newcastle University, together with theoretical predictions on one hand and palaeomagnetic observations on the other, helped towards the development of a consistent picture of both how the geomagnetic field is generated and of its morphology.This review will attempt to show the part played by experimental homogeneous dynamos in the development of the subject. 相似文献
15.
Summary A mathematical structure that takes into account the spatial non-uniformity of the source field distribution has been applied to geomagnetic data collected in Nigeria.A heuristic modelling technique, whose inverse exists, has been employed to obtain four-to sixlayered conductivity models of the earth.The results represent further delineation of fine structure in the sub-surface profile beneath Nigeria. An attempt is made to correlate these results with the feasible geological structure of the area. 相似文献
16.
Simulation of the Micro-physics of Rocks Using LSMearth 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
-- The particle-based Lattice Solid Model (LSM) was developed to provide a basis to study the physics of rocks and the nonlinear dynamics of earthquakes (M0ra and Place, 1994; Place and Mora, 1999). A new modular and flexible LSM approach has been developed that allows different micro-physics to be easily included in or removed from the model. The approach provides a virtual laboratory where numerical experiments can easily be set up and all measurable quantities visualised. The proposed approach provides a means to simulate complex phenomena such as fracturing or localisation processes, and enables the effect of different micro-physics on macroscopic behaviour to be studied. The initial 2-D model is extended to allow three-dimensional simulations to be performed and particles of different sizes to be specified. Numerical bi-axial compression experiments under different confining pressure are used to calibrate the model. By tuning the different microscopic parameters (such as coefficient of friction, microscopic strength and distribution of grain sizes), the macroscopic strength of the material and can be adjusted to be in agreement with laboratory experiments, and the orientation of fractures is consistent with the theoretical value predicted based on Mohr-Coulomb diagram. Simulations indicate that 3-D numerical models have different macroscopic properties than in 2-D and, hence, the model must be recalibrated for 3-D simulations. These numerical experiments illustrate that the new approach is capable of simulating typical rock fracture behaviour. The new model provides a basis to investigate nucleation, rupture and slip pulse propagation in complex fault zones without the previous model limitations of a regular low-level surface geometry and being restricted to two-dimensions. 相似文献
17.
Aquifers of the peninsulas of Florida and northern Yucatan are Tertiary marine carbonate formations showing many lithologic and faunal similarities. In addition, the tropical to subtropical climates of the two areas are similar, each having annual rainfall of about 1000 to 1500 mm.
Despite similarities in these fundamental controls, contrasts in the hydrologic and geochemical systems are numerous and striking. For example, Florida has many rivers; Yucatan has none. Maximum thickness of fresh ground water in Florida is about 700 meters; in the Yucatan it is less than 70 meters. In Florida the gradient of the potentiometric surface averages about 1 meter per kilometer; in the Yucatan it is exceedingly low, averaging about 0.02 meter per kilometer. In Florida the chemical character of water changes systematically downgradient, owing to solution of minerals of the aquifer and corresponding increases in total dissolved solids, sulfate, calcium, and Mg-Ca ratio; in the Yucatan no downgradient change exists, and dominant processes controlling the chemical character of the water are solution of minerals and simple mixing of the fresh water and the body of salt water that underlies the peninsula at shallow depth.
Hydrologic and chemical differences are caused in part by the lower altitude of the Yucatan plain. More important, however, these differences are due to the lack of an upper confining bed in Yucatan that is hydrologically equivalent to the Hawthorn Formation of Florida. The Hawthorn cover prevents recharge and confines the artesian water except where it is punctured by sinkholes, but sands and other unconsolidated sediments fill sinkholes and cavities and impede circulation. In the Yucatan the permeability of the entire section is so enormous that rainfall immediately infiltrates to the water table and then moves laterally to discharge areas along the coasts. 相似文献
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An approximate solution to the problem of the drift of a raft formed of two parallel wires, differentially heated, rigidly coupled and floating in a fluid of finite thickness and with linear viscosity, has been obtained and is shown to agree well with experiment up to a multiplicative constant. In addition, the solution to the problem of the drift of a solid raft with a suspended single-wire heater also shows good agreement with experiment up to a multiplicative constant. In both cases, the rafts drift with constant velocity. For small amounts of heat, the drift velocity is proportional to the first power of the heat input; for large amounts of heat, the drift velocity is proportional to the square root of the heat input. Within imponderable factors of an order of magnitude, the drift velocities are appropriate for drift of lithospheric plates containing both an oceanic and a continental part. 相似文献
20.
基于美国NGA数据库,在断层投影距小于25 km范围内挑选了1387条地震加速度记录,分别按照断层距和场地条件进行分组,对近断层速度脉冲型地震动的频谱特性、特征周期,及其与断层距、震级的相关性予以分析。结果显示:① 出现速度脉冲型地震动的比例与断层投影距之间存在明显的线性相关关系,但其与震级的变化不相关;② 地震动速度脉冲周期与震级之间存在强相关;③ 对于近断层速度脉冲型地震动,采用动态变化的加速度和速度反应谱峰值周期进行特征周期的计算,更加符合真实情况;④ 地震动速度脉冲有放大地震动特征周期的作用,水平向放大的比例与竖向相当,且放大作用与场地条件相关,在较硬场地上放大较多。本文基于上述近断层地震动的统计分析结果,对现行抗震设计规范中定义的特征周期提出了适合于工程应用的调整系数,并建立了速度脉冲周期与震级之间的关系模型,分析结果显示二者的拟合效果较好。 相似文献