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1.
S. A. Sitnov 《Climate Dynamics》2009,32(1):1-17
Using the longest and most reliable ozonesonde data sets grouped for four regions (Japan, Europe, as well as temperate and
polar latitudes of Canada) the comparative analysis of regional responses of ozone, temperature, horizontal wind, tropopause
and surface pressure on the equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO effects), manifesting in opposite phases of the 11-year
solar cycle (11-yr SC) was carried out. The impact of solar cycle is found to be the strongest at the Canadian Arctic, near
one of two climatological centres of polar vortex, where in solar maximum conditions the QBO signals in ozone and temperature
have much larger amplitudes, embrace greater range of heights, and are maximized much higher than those in solar minimum conditions.
The strengthening of the temperature QBO effect during solar maxima can explain why correlation between the 11-yr SC and polar
winter stratospheric temperature is reversed in the opposite QBO phases. At the border of polar vortex the 11-yr SC also modulates
the QBO effect in zonal wind, strengthening the quasi-biennial modulation of polar vortex during solar maxima that is associated
with strong negative correlation between stratospheric QBO signals in zonal wind and temperature. Above Japan the QBO effects
of ozone, temperature, and zonal wind, manifesting in solar maxima reveal the downward phase dynamics, reminding similar feature
of the zonal wind in the equatorial stratosphere. Above Europe, the QBO effects in solar maxima reveal more similarity with
those above Japan, while in solar minima with the effects obtained at the Canadian middle-latitude stations. It is revealed
that the 11-yr SC influences regional QBO effects in tropopause height, tropopause temperature and surface pressure. The influence
most distinctly manifest itself in tropopause characteristics above Japan. The results of the accompanying analysis of the
QBO reference time series testify that in the period of 1965–2006 above 50-hPa level the duration of the QBO cycle in solar
maxima is 1–3 months longer than in solar minima. The differences are more distinct at higher levels, but they are diminished
with lengthening of the period. 相似文献
2.
Summary In this paper the modulation of storm and depression tracks over North Indian Ocean by the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO)
of zonal winds in the equatorial stratosphere is discussed for the period 1953–1991. It was observed that during post monsoon
season the storms and depressions of Bay of Bengal were mostly confined to south of 17° N and move in west/North-westward
direction during easterly phase of QBO. However during the westerly phase no such similar type influence of QBO on the system
tracks was observed. Also such type of QBO-System tracks association was not observed during pre-monsoon season.
Received February 6, 1998 Revised January 20, 1999 相似文献
3.
Stratospheric zonal wind and temperature in relation to summer monsoon rainfall over India 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Summary The interannual variability of the Indian summer monsoon (June–September) rainfall is examined in relation to the stratospheric
zonal wind and temperature fluctuations at three stations, widely spaced apart. The data analyzed are for Balboa, Ascension
and Singapore, equatorial stations using recent period (1964–1994) data, at each of the 10, 30 and 50 hPa levels. The 10 hPa
zonal wind for Balboa and Ascension during January and the 30 hPa zonal wind for Balboa during April are found to be positively
correlated with the subsequent Indian summer monsoon rainfall, whereas the temperature at 10 hPa for Ascension during May
is negatively correlated with Indian summer monsoon rainfall. The relationship with stratospheric temperatures appears to
be the best, and is found to be stable over the period of analysis.
Stratospheric temperature is also significantly correlated with the summer monsoon rainfall over a large and coherent region,
in the north-west of India. Thus, the 10 hPa temperature for Ascension in May appears to be useful for forecasting summer
monsoon rainfall for not only the whole of India, but also for a smaller region lying to the north-west of India.
Received July 30, 1999 Revised March 17, 2000 相似文献
4.
A nonlinear principal component analysis (NLPCA) is applied to a set of monthly mean time series from January 1956 to December 2007 consisting of the Arctic oscillation (AO) index derived from 1,000-hPa geopotential height anomalies poleward of 20°N latitude and the zonal winds observed at seven pressure levels between 10 and 70?hPa in the equatorial stratosphere to investigate the relation of the AO with the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). The NLPCA is conducted using a new, compact neural network model. The NLPCA modeling of the dataset of the AO index and QBO winds offers a clear picture of the relation between the two oscillations. In particular, the phase of covariation of the oscillations defined by the two nonlinear principal components of the dataset progresses with a predominant 28.4-month periodicity. This predominant cycle is modulated by an 11-year cycle. The variation of the AO index with the QBO phase also shows that the average AO index is positive when the westerly QBO phase descends past 30?hPa and, conversely, the average AO index is negative when the easterly QBO phase descends past 30?hPa. This relationship is evident during the boreal cold season from November to April but non-existent during the boreal warm season from May to October. 相似文献
5.
Summary By analyzing 12-year (1979–1990) 200 hPa wind data from National Centers for Environmental Prediction-National Center for
Atmospheric Research reanalysis, we demonstrate that the intraseasonal time scale (30–60 days) variability of the Tropical
Easterly Jet (TEJ) reported in individual case studies occurs during most years. In the entrance region (east of ∼70° E),
axis of the TEJ at 200 hPa is found along the near equatorial latitudes during monsoon onset/monsoon revivals and propagates
northward as the monsoon advances over India. This axis is found along ∼5° N and ∼15° N during active monsoon and break monsoon
conditions respectively. Examination of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis wind data also confirms
the northward propagation of the TEJ on intraseasonal time scales.
During the intraseasonal northward propagations, axis of the TEJ is found about 10°–15° latitudes south of the well-known
intraseasonally northward propagating monsoon convective belts. Because of this 10°–15° displacement, axis of the TEJ arrives
over a location about two weeks after the arrival of the monsoon convection. Systematic shifting of the locations by convection,
low level monsoon flow and TEJ in a collective way during different phases of the monsoon suggests that they all may be related. 相似文献
6.
低平流层准两年变率研究 总被引：6，自引：2，他引：4
分析ＮＣＡＲ／ＮＣＥＰ４０年分析资料得出,赤道低平流层纬向风年际变率的平均周期约２８．２个月,最大振幅的２０ｈＰａ,西（东）风距平平垂直下传平均速度１．２１（１．０４）ｋｍ／月。用１０ｈＰａ和７０ｈＰａ月平均纬向风标准化距平之差反映整层准两年变率的相位。低平流层两半球中纬气温有与之配合的振荡,西（东）风切变时,中纬气温偏低（高）。赤道纬向风准两年变率引起的经圈环流异常是联系低续续向风与中纬气温准年 相似文献
7.
8.
Summary Teleconnections between the seasonal rainfall anomalies of March through May (“long-rains”) over eastern Africa (Uganda,
Kenya and Tanzania) and the lower equatorial stratospheric (30-mb) zonal winds for the 32-year period 1964–1995 are examined
using statistical methods. The analysis is based on the application of the simple correlation method and QBO/rainfall composite
analysis. A statistical study of spatial correlation patterns is made in an effort to understand the climatic associations
between the equatorial stratospheric zonal wind and regional rainfall at the interannual scale. The aim of this analysis is
to establish whether this global signal can be employed as predictor variable in the long-range forecasts. The study is part
of an ongoing investigation, which aims at designing a comprehensive and objective, multi-variate-forecast system of seasonal
rainfall over eastern Africa. The correlation parameters include simultaneous (zero lag), and the non-zero lag correlations.
The statistical significance of the correlation coefficient [r] is tested based on the Monte Carlo t-statistical method, and
the standard correlation tables.
Our results indicate significant positive simultaneous and non-zero lag correlations between rainfall over parts of East Africa
and lower equatorial stratospheric zonal wind during the months of March–May and June–August. Significantly high correlations
are concentrated over the western regions of eastern Africa with peak values of (+ 0.8) observed over these areas. These associations
have been observed to be more prominent during lag than in the simultaneous correlations. Strong month to month lag coherence
is observed after June prior to the onset of the March to May seasonal rainfall and persists for more than 4 months. Correlation
indices for the eight homogeneous rainfall regions over eastern Africa which are derived from our Empirical Orthogonal Function/Cluster
analysis shows a clear annual cycle with significant relationships between QBO and seasonal rainfall occurring during boreal
summer (June–August). The season with the weakest relationship is December–February. It is however, noted that although the
coherence between QBO-Index and rainfall during the long-rains is significantly high, there are some wet/dry years for which
the relationship between the long rains and the lower equatorial zonal wind are not significant (for example in 1966, 1973
and 1983). These years have been associated with strong and prolonged ENSO events. Preliminary comparison of the QBO-Index
and the newly found Indian Ocean dipole mode index (DMI) indicates that the two climate variables may be significantly related.
Of the six high dipole mode events in the Indian Ocean that were observed in 1961, 1967, 1972, 1982, 1994 and 1997, all except
1967 coincided with the easterly phase of the QBO-Index and below normal rainfall over western highlands of eastern Africa.
Contingency analyses indicate 60 percent likelihood for the occurrence of above normal rainfall during the westerly phase
of the QBO and 63 percent likelihood of below normal rainfall during the east phase of the QBO. Our correlation analysis results
indicate that about 36 percent of the variability of the long-rains season over eastern Africa are associated with the QBO-Index.
Our results further show that the tendency of the lower equatorial stratosphe ric zonal wind prior to the season is a good
indicator of the performance of the long rains of eastern Africa. A positive OND minus JJA QBO trend is a good indicator for
the non-occurrence of drought over eastern Africa. Similarly, a negative trend is a good indicator for the non-occurrence
of high rainfall over the region. The identified characteristics and domain of influence of the QBO signal in different regions
of East Africa suggests that this global oscillator may offer useful input to objective multi-variate rainfall prediction
models for eastern Africa.
Received June 4, 1999 Revised November 25, 1999 相似文献
9.
1. Introduction The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) of the mean zonal wind in the equatorial stratosphere was discov- ered by Reed et al. (1961) and Veryard and Ebdon (1961). Later, Funk and Garnham (1962) and Ra- manathan (1963) were the first to descri… 相似文献
10.
E. A. Afiesimama 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2007,90(1-2):103-111
Summary The paper examines the annual cycle of the mid-tropospheric easterly jet (MTJ) over West Africa against the background of
many reviews indicating different locations and characteristics of the jet and considering it as a summer feature. NCEP–NCAR
reanalysis zonal wind datasets for the period 1971–2000 and upper air datasets over the region are used. The results exhibit
realistic spatial structure of the easterly jet. The long-term mean of the datasets suggests that the jet over West Africa
is not only a summer feature but can also be found in winter with the same order of magnitude in the wind velocity at the
core. The jet axis is located at about lat. 2° N close to the Guinean Coast in winter and at lat. 14° N in summer. The meridional
oscillation of the jet suggests that as it advances northward, it maintains an altitude of 700 hPa in winter and transits
in mid-spring to 650 hPa and reaches 600 hPa in summer. In the retreat, it displaces to 650 hPa at the end of September rather
sharply to reach 700 hPa in October. The jet’s core has been observed to have a northeast–southwest orientation from season
to season, covering a longitude of 29° from its southernmost to the northernmost positions. 相似文献
11.
R. D. Bojkov E. Kosmidis J. J. DeLuisi I. Petropavlovskikh V. E. Fioletov S. Godin C. Zerefos 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2002,79(3-4):127-158
Summary Umkehr observations taken during the 1957–2000 period at 15 stations located between 19 and 52° N have been reanalyzed using
a significantly improved algorithm-99, developed by DeLuisi and Petropavlovskikh et al. (2000a,b). The alg-99 utilizes new
latitudinal and seasonally dependent first guess ozone and temperature profiles, new vector radiative transfer code, complete
aerosol corrections, gravimetric corrections, and others. Before reprocessing, all total ozone values as well as the N-values
(radiance) readings were thoroughly re-evaluated. For the first time, shifts in the N-values were detected and provisionally
corrected. The re-evaluated Umkehr data set was validated against satellite and ground based measurements. The retrievals
with alg-99 show much closer agreement with the lidar and SAGE than with the alg-92. Although the latitudinal coverage is
limited, this Umkehr data set contains ∼ 44,000 profiles and represent the longest (∼ 40 years) coherent information on the
ozone behavior in the stratosphere of the Northern Hemisphere. The 14-months periods following the El-Chichon and the Mt.
Pinatubo eruptions were excluded from the analysis. Then the basic climatological characteristics of the vertical ozone distribution
in the 44–52° N and more southern locations are described. Some of these characteristics are not well known or impossible
to be determined from satellites or single stations. The absolute and relative variability reach their maximum during winter–spring
at altitudes below 24 km; the lower stratospheric layers in the middle latitudes contain ∼ 62% of the total ozone and contribute
∼ 57% to its total variability. The layer-5 (between ∼ 24 and 29 km) although containing 20% of the total ozone shows the
least fluctuations, no trend and contributes only ∼ 11% to the total ozone variability. Meridional cross-sections from 19
to 52° N of the vertical ozone distribution and its variability illustrate the changes, and show poleward-decreasing altitude
of the ozone maximum. The deduced trends above 33 km confirm a strong ozone decline since the mid-1970s of over 5% per decade
without significant seasonal differences. In the mid-latitude stations, the decline in the 15–24 km layer is nearly twice
as strong in the winter-spring season but much smaller in the summer and fall. The effect of including 1998 and 1999 years
with relatively high total ozone data reduces the overall-declining trend. The trends estimated from alg-99 retrievals are
statistically not significantly different from those in WMO 1998a; however, they are stronger by about 1% per decade in the lower stratosphere and thus closer to the estimates by sondes.
Comparisons of the integrated ozone loss from the Umkehr measurements with the total ozone changes for the same periods at
stations with good records show complete concurrence. The altitude and latitude appearances of the long-term geophysical signals
like solar (1–2%) and QBO (2–7%) are investigated.
Received April 12, 2001 Revised September 19, 2001 相似文献
12.
Influence of vegetation changes during the Last Glacial Maximum using the BMRC atmospheric general circulation model 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
The influence of different vegetation distributions on the atmospheric circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM,
21 000 years before present) is investigated. The atmospheric general circulation model of the Bureau of Meteorology Research
Center was run using a modern vegetation and in a second experiment with a vegetation reconstruction for the LGM. It is found
that a change from conifer to desert and tundra causes an additional LGM cooling of 1–2 °C in Western Europe, up to −4 °C
in North America and −6 °C in Siberia. An expansion of dryland vegetation causes an additional annual cooling of 1–2 °C for
Australia and northern Africa. On the other hand, an increase of temperature (2 °C) is found in Alaska due to changes in circulation.
In the equatorial region the LGM vegetation leads to an increased modelled temperature of 0.5–1.5 °C and decreased precipitation
(30%) over land due to a reduction of the tropical rainforest, mainly in Indonesia, where the reduction of precipitation over
land is associated with an increase of precipitation of 30% over the western Pacific.
Received: 15 December 1999 / Accepted: 10 January 2001 相似文献
13.
Reanalysis datasets potentially offer the opportunity to examine the tropical quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in greater
detail than in the past, including the associated meridional circulation and the links with other parts of the atmosphere.
For such studies to be useful, the QBO represented by the reanalyses should be realistic. In this work, the QBO in the ERA
and NCEP reanalyses is validated against rawinsonde observations from Singapore. Monthly mean data are used. In the lower
stratosphere (at 50 hPa and 30 hPa) the ERA QBO is reasonable, although the wind extrema in both phases are too weak and the
vertical shear and the temperature anomalies are too small. The NCEP QBO is weaker still. At 10 hPa neither reanalysis system
performs well, both systems failing to reproduce the westerlies, possibly because of the proximity of the upper boundary.
The Singapore wind is representative of the zonal means in the reanalyses. The weak wind extrema in the reanalyses would not
support a wave-mean flow interaction theory of the QBO, because a large portion of the gravity wave spectrum which would be
absorbed in reality would be transmitted beyond 10 hPa. The stronger shear zones captured in the ERA data are associated with
larger, more realistic temperature perturbations near 30 hPa. The northward velocities in the NCEP data show a more realistic
structure than in the ERA reanalysis, where they are dominated by a vertical “gridpoint wave” structure in the lowermost stratosphere.
Despite the shortcomings of the reanalyses, the high correlations of the wind at 30 hPa and 50 hPa with the observations at
Singapore mean that the reanalyses could potentially be used to examine the effects of the QBO away from the tropical stratosphere.
Future reanalyses need to take full account of the wind shears evident in the rawinsonde observations and use models with
an adequate resolution to capture these vertical scales.
Received: 23 June 1997/Accepted 17 December 1998 相似文献
14.
前期印度洋海温异常对夏季高原“湿池”水汽含量的影响及其可能原因 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用Hadley中心提供的逐月海温资料、ERA-Interim再分析资料以及NOAA（National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration）的逐月向外长波辐射（OLR）资料探讨了1979~2011年夏季青藏高原“湿池”的水汽含量与前期印度洋海温异常的关系,并对可能的原因进行了分析。结果表明,夏季青藏高原水汽（去趋势）EOF第二模态与前期印度洋海温存在密切的正相关,前期3~4月关键区（5°S~20°N,45°E~75°E）的海温异常可以作为夏季高原水汽的预测信号。在暖水年,赤道附近显著的东风异常对夏季高原水汽输送起到了至关重要的作用。500 hPa上副热带高压显著增强并西移,600 hPa上赤道附近为显著的异常东风,将水汽从西太平洋、南海、孟加拉湾向西输送到印度半岛,并在异常反气旋环流西侧的南风作用下,将水汽带向青藏高原。高层风场上,西太平洋地区辐合,青藏高原上空辐散。以上环流形势表明暖水年夏季青藏高原水汽偏多;冷水年则相反。就影响机制而言,前期春季印度洋海温显著偏暖,引起其上空异常的对流上升运动,驱动异常沃克环流从春到夏显著维持,副热带高压的季节性北跳和异常增强西移,有利于赤道东风异常的增强和西移,并经过水汽输送通道将水汽带向青藏高原上空。 相似文献
15.
A singular value decomposition (SVD) is used to calculate SVD-selected fields of ozone and geopotential, which exhibit maximum
covariance, from the observed zonally asymmetric total ozone field and that of the three-dimensional geopotential field thus
leaving almost purely dynamical induced variations in the remaining ozone field. This procedure was applied to Total Ozone
Mapping Spectrometer data (TOMS) and to geopotential values from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction in the
boreal mid-latitudes in the winter months of 1979–1992. Intraseasonal variability (December–February) and trend-eliminated
interannual winter mean variability of total ozone and geopotential are analyzed. The first four modes of SVD analysis explain
more than 70% of the covariance for the intraseasonal variability and more than 80% of that for the interannual variability.
The vertical structure of geopotential regression maps reveals a clear wave-1 pattern for modes one and two and a wave-2 pattern
for modes three and four. These patterns show differently but generally westward tilted phases and are more complex at heights
below 70 hPa. Further a linear transport model of a conservative tracer was applied to each individual geopotential mode found
by the SVD analysis in connection with an observed height and latitude dependent zonal mean ozone distribution. The model
results of total ozone reproduce the spatial patterns of the SVD-selected total ozone field quite well whereas their magnitudes
are variously underestimated. This method allows us to assess the vertical distribution of the contribution of single modes
to the total ozone variability. Maximum contributions are found between 150 and 70 hPa. Smaller amplitude maxima are found
around 10 hPa, which result from contributions of horizontal advection of ozone alone. These results reflect an expected dynamical
link between the variability of the zonally asymmetric parts of geopotential and ozone.
Received: 7 November 1997 / Accepted: 10 June 1998 相似文献
16.
赤道低平流层纬向风垂直切变与ENSO变率的关系 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用NCEP／NCAR 40a再分析资料研究了赤道低平流层纬向风垂直切变与ENSO变率间的关系。结果得出，赤道低平流层纬向风的垂直切变呈现明显的准两年振荡，SOI和Nino3区SSTA的准两年周期成分与赤道低平流层纬向风垂直切变分别呈现反位相和同位相关系。赤道低平流层西（东）风切变位相时，OLR、1000hPa高度，2000hPa高度和温度、850hPa温度等要素的距平分布与其在El Nino(La Nina)时段的分布相似。 相似文献
17.
Sergei A. Sitnov 《Climate Dynamics》2009,33(5):591-602
On the basis of total column ozone (TO) data obtained in the period of 1957–2007 at 10 ground-based European stations, characterized
by long and highly reliable measurements, the effects of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and 11-year solar cycle (11-year
SC), manifesting in TO are investigated. The results of comparative analysis of seasonal differences between different QBO/solar
extremes convincingly demonstrate interrelation between the QBO and 11-year SC effects. It is shown that solar activity modulates
the phase of the QBO effect so that the quasi-biennial TO signals during solar maximum and solar minimum are nearly in opposite
phase. It is also demonstrated that isolated under permanent conditions of solar minimum or solar maximum the QBO effects
in TO have the time scale of about 20 months. Solar modulation of the QBO effect makes the QBO a conductor of the solar cycle
impact on TO over Europe. The mechanism of influence of the 11-year SC on the QBO and probably includes its impact on the
QBO amplitude in the equatorial lower stratosphere, mainly through weakening of the equatorial easterlies during solar maximum. 相似文献
18.
The predictability of atmospheric responses to global sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies is evaluated using ensemble
simulations of two general circulation models (GCMs): the GENESIS version 1.5 (GEN) and the ECMWF cycle 36 (ECM). The integrations
incorporate observed SST variations but start from different initial land and atmospheric states. Five GEN 1980–1992 and six
ECM 1980–1988 realizations are compared with observations to distinguish predictable SST forced climate signals from internal
variability. To facilitate the study, correlation analysis and significance evaluation techniques are developed on the basis
of time series permutations. It is found that the annual mean global area with realistic signals is variable dependent and
ranges from 3 to 20% in GEN and 6 to 28% in ECM. More than 95% of these signal areas occur between 35 °S–35 °N. Due to the
existence of model biases, robust responses, which are independent of initial condition, are identified over broader areas.
Both GCMs demonstrate that the sensitivity to initial conditions decreases and the predictability of SST forced responses
increases, in order, from 850 hPa zonal wind, outgoing longwave radiation, 200 hPa zonal wind, sea-level pressure to 500 hPa
height. The predictable signals are concentrated in the tropical and subtropical Pacific Ocean and are identified with typical
El Ni?o/ Southern Oscillation phenomena that occur in response to SST and diabatic heating anomalies over the equatorial central
Pacific. ECM is less sensitive to initial conditions and better predicts SST forced climate changes. This results from (1)
a more realistic basic climatology, especially of the upper-level wind circulation, that produces more realistic interactions
between the mean flow, stationary waves and tropical forcing; (2) a more vigorous hydrologic cycle that amplifies the tropical
forcing signals, which can exceed internal variability and be more efficiently transported from the forcing region. Differences
between the models and observations are identified. For GEN during El Ni?o, the convection does not carry energy to a sufficiently
high altitude, while the spread of the tropospheric warming along the equator is slower and the anomaly magnitude smaller
than observed. This impacts model ability to simulate realistic responses over Eurasia and the Indian Ocean. Similar biases
exist in the ECM responses. In addition, the relationships between upper and lower tropospheric wind responses to SST forcing
are not well reproduced by either model. The identification of these model biases leads to the conclusion that improvements
in convective heat and momentum transport parametrizations and basic climate simulations could substantially increase predictive
skill.
Received: 25 April 1996 / Accepted: 9 December 1996 相似文献
19.
Summary ?This paper presents an objective analysis of the structure of daily rainfall variability over the South American/South Atlantic
region (15°–60° W and 0°–40° S) during individual austral summer months of November to March. From EOF analysis of satellite
derived daily rainfall we find that the leading mode of variability is represented by a highly coherent meridional dipole
structure, organised into 2 extensive bands, oriented northwest to southeast across the continent and Atlantic Ocean. We argue
that this dipole structure represents variability in the meridional position of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ).
During early and later summer, in the positive (negative) phase of the dipole, enhanced (suppressed) rainfall over eastern
tropical Brazil links with that over the subtropical and extra-tropical Atlantic and is associated with suppressed (enhanced)
rainfall over the sub-tropical plains and adjacent Atlantic Ocean. This structure is indicative of interaction between the
tropical, subtropical and temperate zones. Composite fields from NCEP reanalysis products (associated with the major positive
and negative events) show that in early and late summer the position of the SACZ is associated with variability in: (a) the
midlatitude wave structure, (b) the position of the continental low, and (c) the zonal position of the South Atlantic Subtropical
High. Harmonic analysis of the 200 hPa geopotential anomaly structure in the midlatitudes indicates that reversals in the
rainfall dipole structure are associated primarily with variability in zonal wave 4. There is evidence of a wave train extending
throughout the midlatitudes from the western Pacific into the SACZ region. During positive (negative) events the largest anomalous
moisture advection occurs within westerlies (easterlies) primarily from Amazonia (the South Atlantic). In both phases a convergent
poleward flow results along the leading edge of the low-level trough extending from the tropics into temperate latitudes.
High summer events differ from those in early and late summer in that the rainfall dipole is primarily associated with variability
in the phase of zonal wave 3, and that tropical-temperate link is not clearly evident in positive events.
Received May 31, 2001; revised October 17, 2001; accepted June 13, 2002 相似文献
20.
夏季长江淮河流域异常降水事件环流差异及机理研究 总被引：10，自引：5，他引：5
长江、淮河同处东亚中纬度,天气过程的大尺度环流背景相似,大量相关研究基本是把江淮流域天气气候事件作为一个整体研究,然而对长江、淮河流域夏季降水的时空变化进行分析发现,长江、淮河流域夏季异常降水事件有各自不同的年际、年代际变化特征,但环流差异及成因并不十分清楚。本文根据中国台站降水资料及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,利用物理量诊断和现代统计学等方法,重点分析长江、淮河流域梅雨期降水异常事件发生时南北半球大气环流内部动力过程的差异及成因。研究指出:长江（淮河）流域梅雨期降水异常偏多年500 hPa位势高度场亚洲中高纬度环流呈现为南北向（东西向）的波列与东亚中高纬鄂霍茨克海阻塞频次增多（减少）以及200 hPa高度场上东亚副热带高空西风急流强度加强（减弱）、稳定（移动）有关;长江（淮河）流域梅雨期降水异常偏多年主要水汽来源与南半球澳大利亚高压、马斯克林高压位置偏东（西）造成西太平洋150°E～180°（阿拉伯海50°E～60°E）地区越赤道气流加强有关。长江（淮河）流域梅雨期异常降水事件大气环流内部动力过程最显著的差异表现为:东亚副热带高空西风急流加强（减弱）以及南半球澳大利亚高压、马斯克林高压位置偏东（西）。 相似文献