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1.
F. G. Piccinelli M. Mucciarelli P. Federici D. Albarello 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1995,145(1):97-108
The Ridracoli Dam has been operating since 1981. Around the reservoir ISMES installed and operated for 10 years a seismic network, now reduced to a 3-D station. Earthquakes were recorded with completeness from magnitude 0.8 onwards. In the same period, all the parameters relevant to the dam and the environment were measured. This provided a complete data base for RIS studies, unique in its kind in Italy. The main findings of the analyses performed are the following:
- The filling of the reservoir has not influenced the seismicity of the area for most significant events (M L>3.5).
- Lesser seismicity around the reservoir seems to be correlated with water level in the reservoir, but also shows to be dependent on regional seismicity.
- b value shows a slight increase with time. This may indicate an increase in rock fracturing, which is known to precede the disappearing of Type II RIS.
2.
The various useful source-parameter relations between seismic moment and common use magnitude lg(M 0) andM s,M L,m b; between magnitudesMs andM L,M s andm b,M L andm b; and between magnitudeM s and lg(L) (fault length), lg (W) (fault width), lg(S) (fault area), lg(D) (average dislocation);M L and lg(f c) (corner frequency) have been derived from the scaling law which is based on an “average” two-dimensional faulting model of a rectangular fault. A set of source-parameters can be estimated from only one magnitude by using these relations. The average rupture velocity of the faultV r=2.65 km/s, the total time of ruptureT(s)=0.35L (km) and the average dislocation slip rateD=11.4 m/s are also obtained. There are four strong points to measure earthquake size with the seismic moment magnitudeM w.
- The seismic moment magnitude shows the strain and rupture size. It is the best scale for the measurement of earthquake size.
- It is a quantity of absolute mechanics, and has clear physical meaning. Any size of earthquake can be measured. There is no saturation. It can be used to quantify both shallow and deep earthquakes on the basis of the waves radiated.
- It can link up the previous magnitude scales.
- It is a uniform scale of measurement of earthquake size. It is suitable for statistics covering a broad range of magnitudes. So the seismic moment magnitude is a promising magnitude and worth popularization.
3.
Research on the principle and methodology of seismic zonation 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Based on the cognizance of the temporal-spatial inhomogeneity of seismicity in North China, adopting the results of earthquake prediction in the past two decades and the currently used methods of seismic hazard analysis, and after some zonation trials in North China, some improvements on the zonation principle and methodology were made:
- Seismic zones were taken as statistic units where seismicity parameters were obtained. Tendency analysis was introduced. Earthquake annual average occurrence rates were estimated corresponding to the seismicity level in the future period;
- Average annual earthquake occurrence rates for a given magnitude interval of a specific seismic zone were assigned to potential sources considering the relative risk level among these sources. Thus, the risk of great earthquakes can be estimated.
- The probabilistic spatial distribution function under the condition of magnitude interval was suggested to reflect the temporal and spatial inhomogeneity of seismicity.
- An orientation function in the seismic hazard analysis model was adopted, which reflects the real condition of earthquake foci in China.
4.
A modified formula of the cumulative frequency-magnitude relation has been formulated and tested in a previous paper by the authors of this study. Based on the modified relationship, the following reoccurrence formulas have been obtained.
- For the ‘T-years period’ larger earthquake magnitude,M T $$M_T = \frac{1}{{A_3 }}ln\frac{{A_2 }}{{(1/T) + A_1 }}.$$
- For the value of the maximum earthquake magnitude, which is exceeded with probabilityP inT-years period,M PT $$M_{PT} = \frac{{ln(A_2 .T)}}{{A_3 }} - \frac{{ln[A_1 .T - ln(1 - P)]}}{{A_3 }}.$$
- For the probability of occurrence of an earthquake of magnitudeM in aT-years period,P MT $$P_{MT} = 1 - \exp [ - T[ - A_1 + A_2 \exp ( - A_3 M)]].$$
5.
Microearthquake digital data collected at Campi Flegrei during the recent (1982–1985) ground uplift episode have been analyzed in order to infer source and medium seismic properties. The main results obtained from these analyses are:
- Hypocenter distribution and the size of the seismic zone do not change with time and do not depend on the ground uplift rate. Events occurred clustered in time with no simple causal relations between the cluster occurrences and their energy.
- Anelastic attenuation does not depend strongly on frequency, showing a constant pattern at high frequencies. The observed values of low and high frequency attenuation, due to the short source receiver distances, do not seriously affect the spectral content of signals radiated by the sources.
- A constant Brune stress drop pattern (～4–5 bars) as a function of seismic moment is observed. This indicates that the manner of fracturing is almost independent on magnitude of earthquakes (hypothesis of self-similarity (Aki, 1967)). Seismic processes in a prefractured medium can explain the observed small stress drop values.
- Focal mechanisms from moment tensor estimates show that radiation patterns are mostly well interpreted in terms of double couple source models.
- The scaling of peak ground motion parameters (A max andV max vs seismic moment) can be explained by an ω2 source model (constant stress drop) multiplied by an exponential function with a small decay parameter, which takes into account the measured attenuation.
6.
For most previous geomagnetic surveys, the time variations of the observatory closest to the site of observation have been used for reduction. The accuracy of repeat station measurements depends upon the distance between the station and the observatory. Nowadays, the requirements for the accuracy of repeat station measurements are much higher, especially with respect to local secular variation anomalies. On the other hand, transportable variograph stations are available, by means of which time variations can be recorded closer to the station site. The reduction steps for this method are: - the stability of the base-line values of the variographs; - the question as to what degree a quiet night value represents the normal value at that time (e.g. influence of aD st field and/or other fields). A repeat station survey of the Federal Republic of Germany was carried out in 1982. During the same time, eleven stations recorded the time variations in that area. We discuss the aforementioned aspects by way of an example taken from this survey. 相似文献
- Reduction of measured values to the base-line of the nearby variograph station;
- Computation of the nearest quiet night value using the baseline of the variograph;
- Computation of the difference between this value and the corresponding one at the observatory.
7.
Four volcanic units have been distinguished on the islanf of Fayal. In order of decreasing age, these are: the eastern rift, and products of the activity preceding the collapse of the caldera visible at the summit of the stratovolcano, characterized by an alkaline series: basalt-hawaiite-mugearite-trachyte; the products of the explosive and postcaldera activity where only evolved lavas occur (benmoreites and trachytes); the recent basaltic activity of the Horta region; the western fissural activity — recent and historical. The two last units are characterized by exclusively basaltic, frequently picritic, eruptions. The lava groups cannot be distinguished by chemical criteria and have thus been treated as a single suite. Ninety samples have been analysed by X-ray fluorescence, and the mineralogy of 6 representative specimens has been determined by microprobe. The data were used to work out the evolution of the lava. The series is shown to have been produced by crystal fractionation under moderate water pressure from an alkali basalt. Moderate fractionation of amphibole during the last stages allow the liquids to remain weakly undersaturated from initial basalts until final trachytes. Mineralogical and chemical diversity between the most evolved lavas, benmoreites and trachytes, is an evidence of the strong influence ofpH2O and/orfO2 on the composition of such residua. 相似文献
8.
S. M. Spottiswoode 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1989,129(3-4):673-680
This paper summarizes seismic and rockburst research activities related to South African deep-level gold mines over the period 1983 to 1987. It covers continued research in directions that were considered in the Seismicity in Mines Symposium in 1982 as well as in several new areas of research. Five broad areas are identified:
- Seismic data acquisition and processing. Improved seismic systems are being developed. Velocity models related to known stratigraphy are being used to provide more accurate estimates of seismic locations.
- Source mechanisms and near-source effects on seismic wave transmission. This work provides fundamental insights into seismicity and rock behaviour and is being applied in rockburst prediction research.
- Mine layouts. Excess shear stress is being investigated as a design parameter by analyzing mining configurations and resultant seismicity. In addition, better understanding of the behaviour of highly stressed remnants and pillars is also being obtained from seismic studies.
- Strong ground motion studies. Evaluation of the performance of support elements, including recently developed backfill materials, requires better knowledge of ground motion around underground excavations during seismic events and rockbursts.
- Rockburst prediction and control. Rockburst prediction research continues with some reported success. In addition, the feasibility of actively triggering fault slip or conditioning the rock ahead of the stope face to ameliorate the rockburst hazard is currently being investigated.
9.
Weiping Qin 《地震科学（英文版）》1992,5(1):177-185
This paper gives a complete commentary on some popular gradings which based on the 2×2 contingency table, for one—dimensional seismologic prediction. It contains:
- In view of the statistical correlation, the Wallen gradingV=√QS is the most equitable one amomg all gradings.
- Each one of the three gradings: Zhenchao Gu gradingS, Obuhov gradingQ and Shaoxie Xu gradingR, has its own inadequacy although they are so easy for use.
- A set of gradings can be derived fromV. The harmonic mean ofS andQ, H(S,Q) and the Hedike gradingS H are the members of this set. The order of some popular gradings are given in Theorem 5. 3.
- In view of the measure of the overlapping part a gradingW is introduced. Another set of gradings may be derived from it. The index of efficiencyh is the severest one among this set.
10.
<Emphasis Type="Italic">M</Emphasis><Subscript>W</Subscript>9 Tohoku earthquake in 2011 in Japan: precursors uncovered by natural time analysis 
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下载免费PDF全文 Panayiotis A. Varotsos Nicholas V. Sarlis Efthimios S. Skordas Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos 《地震科学（英文版）》2017,30(4):183-191
This paper reviews the precursory phenomena of the 2011 M W9 Tohoku earthquake in Japan that emerge solely when we analyze the seismicity data in a new time domain termed natural time. If we do not consider this analysis, important precursory changes cannot be identified and hence are missed. Natural time analysis has the privilege that enables the introduction of an order parameter of seismicity. In this frame, we find that the fluctuations of this parameter exhibit an unprecedented characteristic change, i.e., an evident minimum, approximately two months before Tohoku earthquake, which strikingly is almost simultaneous with unique anomalous geomagnetic field variations recorded mainly on the z component. This is consistent with our finding that such a characteristic change in seismicity appears when a seismic electric signal (SES) activity of the VAN method (from the initials of Varotsos, Alexopoulos, Nomicos) initiates, and provides a direct confirmation of the physical interconnection between SES and seismicity. 相似文献
11.
Pradeep Talwani 《Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors》1979,18(4):288-302
We have monitored seismic activity induced by impoundment of Lake Jocassee in northwest South Carolina for about two years. Low-level shallow activity was recorded. The larger felt events (2.0 ? ML ? 2.6) were found to be associated with precursory changes in one or more of the following; number of events, tS/tp ratio values and radon concentrations in groundwater.The microearthquakes in the precursory period were accurately located in time and space, and their location pattern was used to develop an empirical earthquake prediction model.The precursory period consists of two phases; α-phase or a period of slow (or no) increase in seismicity, and β-phase, a period when the activity increase is more rapid. The main shock was found to be located within a cluster, a “target” area defined by the location of events in the β-phase. There is a general absence of seismic activity in the “target” area in the α-phase. The main shock occurred soon after a period of quiescence in the seismic activity in the β-phase. The magnitude of the shock, ML is given by: ML = 2 log D ? 0.07, where D is the duration of the precursory period in days.The model was successfully tested with data for a magnitude 2.3 event on February 23, 1977 which was also accompanied by radon and ts/tp anomalies. 相似文献
12.
In this paper, the relations of the changes of earth resistivity (ρ) s recorded at 100 geoelectrical stations in 31 earthquakes occurred in the continent of China, to the active faults (active abyssal faults or badly active faults near the focal zone) and the causative stress fields are discussed and the following conclusions are obtained:
- On the condition that a station is near the active fault and in the direction of the causative stress (DCS) of an earthquake (EQ), the immediate variation ofρ s to the earthquake (called “immediate variation” for short) could be recorded generally at the station.
- The active fault which lies between a station and the epicenter of an earthquake seems to play a role in “obstructing” the recording of the imminent variation when the strike of the fault is close to the DCS of the earthquake. When that is parrallel with the DCS the “obstructing” function of the fault is strongest; when normal with the DCS, weakest.
13.
Some recent calc-alkaline andesites and dacites from southern and central Martinique contain basic xenoliths belonging to two main petrographic types: The most frequent one has a hyalodoleritic texture (« H type ») with hornblende + plagioclase + Fe-Ti oxides, set in an abundant glassy and vacuolar groundmass. The other one exhibits a typical porphyritic basaltic texture (« B type ») and mineralogy (olivine + plagioclase + orthopyroxene + clinopyroxene + Fe-Ti oxides and scarce, or absent hornblende). Gradual textural and mineralogical transitions occur between these two types (« I type ») with the progressive development of hornblende at the expense of olivine and pyroxenes. Mineralogical and chemical studies show no primary compositional correlations between the basaltic xenoliths and their host lavas, thus demonstrating that the former are not cognate inclusions; they are remnants of basaltic liquids intruded into andesitic to dacitic magma chambers. This interpretation is strengthened by the typical calc-alkaline basaltic composition of the xenoliths, whatever their petrographic type (« H », « I » or « B »). The intrusion of partly liquid, hot basaltic magma into colder water-saturated andesitic to dacitic bodies leads to drastic changes in physical conditions. The two components; the basaltic xenoliths are quenched and homogeneized with their host lavas with respect to To;fO2 andpH2O conditions. « H type » xenoliths represent original mostly liquid basalts in which such physical changes lead to the formation of hornblende and the development of a vacuolar and hyalodoleritic texture. The temperature increase of the acid magma depends on the amount of the intruding basalt and on the thermal contrast between the two components. The textural diversity which characterizes the xenoliths reflects the cooling rate of the basaltic fragments and/or their position relative to the basaltic bodies (chilled margins or inner, more crystallized, portions). In addition to physical equilibration (T, fO2) between the magmas, mixing involves: mechanical transfer of phenocrysts from one component to another, in both directions; volatile transfer to the basaltic xenoliths, with chemical exchanges. It is here demonstrated that a short period of time (some ten hours to a few days) separates the mixing event from the eruption, outlining the importance of magma mixing in the triggering of eruption. The common occurrence of basaltic xenoliths (generally of « H » type) in calc-alkaline lavas is emphasized, showing that this mechanism is of first importance in calc-alkaline magma petrogenesis. 相似文献
14.
—The 1989 M s = 7.1 Loma Prieta earthquake was preceded for 12 days by what have been claimed as precursory ultra-low-frequency (ULF) magnetic noise anomalies ten times background, and by a very high peak up to 100 times background just 3 hours before the earthquake. We propose that these anomalous fields could have been due to the formation of a long thin highly-conductive region along the earthquake fault, which magnified the external electromagnetic waves incident on the earth’s surface. We use a simplified quantitative model, assuming a highly-conductive elliptic cylinder embedded in a layered resistivity structure, which we base on independent magnetotelluric measurements. The magnetic-field anomaly observed 3 hours before the main shock can be modeled by assuming an elliptic conductor extending from the surface to the hypocenter with a conductivity of 5 S · m?1. Our computed anomaly matches the observed anomaly to within a deviation of 35% over an observed frequency range of over 2 orders of magnitude, over which the measured anomaly varies from only about twice background (at 5 Hz) to about 100 times background (at 0.01 Hz). In addition, other anomalies recorded up to 12 days before the earthquake, can be modeled in detail by varying only the size of the elliptic conductor.¶We show that such an increase in conductivity could be caused by a precursory reorganization of the geometry of fluid-filled porosity in the fault-zone, which we call a dilatant-conductive effect. The extreme observed magnetic anomalies can be modeled using the high fault-zone porosity (c. 10%) and fluid conductivity (equivalent to 2 M NaCl) implied by other workers’ magneto-telluric measurements, but without requiring the large-scale precursory fluid flow characteristic of other published models for the magnetic-field precursors. 相似文献
15.
Steam samples from six wells (Colombaia, Pineta, Larderello 57, Larderello 155, Gabbro 6, and Gabbro 1) in a south to north section across the Larderello geothermal field have been analyzed for inorganic and hydrocarbon gases and for oxygen-18 and deuterium of steam. The wells generally decrease in depth and increase in age toward the south. The steam samples are generally characterized by
- Total gas contents increasing south to north from 0.003 to 0.05 mole fraction;
- Constant CO2 (95±2 percent); near constant H2S (1.6±0.8), N2 (1.2±0.8), H2 (2±1), CH4 (1.2±1), and no O2 in the dry gas;
- Presence of numerous, straight chain and branched C2 to C6 hydrocarbons plus benzene in amounts independent of CH4 contents with highest concentrations in the deeper wells;
- Oxygen-18 contents of steam increasing south to north from ?5.0‰ to ?0.4‰ with little change in deuterium (?42±2‰).
- Decreasing gas contents with amount of production because the proportion of steam boiled from liquid water increases with production;
- Synthesis of CH4 from H2 and CO2 with CO2 and H2 produced by thermal metamorphism and rock-water reactions;
- Extraction of C2 to C6 hydrocarbons from rock organic matter;
- Either oxygen isotope exchange followed by distillation of steam from the north toward the south (2 plates at ～220°C) or mixture of deeper more-exchange waters from the north with shallow, less-exchanged recharging waters from the south.
16.
René Gächter 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1987,49(2):170-185
Data obtained from Lakes Baldegg and Sempach, two artificially mixed and oxygenated lakes, show that it is technically possible to significantly improve redox conditions, even in large eutrophic lakes. It is discussed why - the well-known release of phosphorus from anoxic sediments does not necessarily result from an abiotic reduction of phosphorus containing iron compounds, - net phosphorus retention by sediments is not simply linearly related to the phosphorus content of a lake, - artificial oxygenation of a previously anoxic hypolimnion does not permanently increase phosphorus retention capacity of lake sediments. From this it is concluded that improvement of hypolimnic redox conditions by lake internal measures such as aeration or oxygenation may accelerate the rate of recovery induced by a reduction of the external phosphorus loading, but that oxygenation per se will hardly be able to cause a reduction of trophic state. 相似文献
17.
V. S. Geyko 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1980,119(4):880-887
It is shown that when the travel-time curve of a refracted wave from a surface source is known and at least one of the following conditions is satisfied, i.e. when
- the travel-time curve of a wave reflected from a horizontal interface lying below the deepest low velocity layer is known, or
- the travel-time curve of a wave from a deep source situated below the deepest low velocity layer is known, or
- the measureH(u)=mes {z∶z≥0,v ?1 (z)≥u} is analytical in some segment [c, d], where \(0< c< d< \infty , c< a_n , H(a_n ) = \bar z_n ,\bar z_n\) is the depth of the lower end of the deepest low velocity layer and in the interval [c, ∞) an analytical functionH(u)) exists which providesH(u)≡H(u)) ifu∈[c, d], then (1) velocityv(z) outside the low velocity layers and (2) the measureH k (u)=mes {z∶z∈L k,v ?1 (z)≥u} for each low velocity layerL k,k=1, 2, ..., n, are defined unambiguously.
18.
Geomagnetic solar and lunar daily variationsS andL, at Alibag, India are derived, by the well-known Chapman-Miller method, from the series of homogeneous mean hourly magnetic data of the years 1932 to 1972. The data for all the three elements — declinationD and horizontal and vertical intensitiesH andZ — are analysed, by dividing the data suitably for a study of the seasonal variations, the effect of the changes in the solar and magnetic activities onS andL, the oceanic dynamo contribution toL, and their interactions with each other. The main results are as follows.
- ForS the daily pattern and its seasonal progression conform to the type expected from a northern-hemisphere station. On the other hand, the amplitudes of all the four harmonics ofL systematically have higher values in winter, and inD andZ the harmonics show large phase differences between summer and winter. The pattern ofL in winter suggests that the lunar current system consists of a single set of vortices in the summer hemisphere rather than the conventional vortices, one set in each of the hemispheres.
- Solar-cycle modulation on the solar ranges as well as on the amplitudes of the first three harmonics ofS is greater than that expected solely from the increase in E-region conductivity, whereas the corresponding modulation onL is comparable to that on the E-region conductivity.
- With increasing magnetic activity the first harmonic ofS shows an increase, and the first three harmonics ofL indicate a general decrease, in amplitude.
- Of the variability inS 96%, but inL only 32%, is found to be accounted for by the combined effect of the variations in the solar and magnetic activities.
19.
Two categories of earthquake precursors,physical and tectonic,and their roles in intermediate-term earthquake prediction 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Katsuhiko Ishibashi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1988,126(2-4):687-700
I suggest that earthquake precursors can be divided into two major categories, physical and tectonic. I define physical precursor to be a direct or indirect indication of initiation or progression of an irreversible rupture-generating physical process within the preparation zone of a forthcoming earthquake. Tectonic precursor is defined as a manifestation of tectonic movement which takes place outside the preparation zone of an impending earthquake as a link in a chain of particular local tectonism in each individual area preceding the earthquake.Most intermediate-term, short-term and immediate precursors of various disciplines within the source regions of main shocks are considered physical ones. Some precursory crustal deformations around the source regions are, however, possibly tectonic precursors, because they may be caused by episodic plate motions or resultant block movements in the neighboring regions of the fault segments that will break. A possible example of this phenomena is the anomalous crustal uplift in the Izu Peninsula, Japan, before the 1978 Izu-Oshima earthquake ofM
s
6.8. Some precursory changes in seismicity patterns in wide areas surrounding source regions also seem to be tectonic precursors, because they were probably caused by the particular tectonic setting of each region. A typical example is a so-called doughnut pattern before the 1923 Kanto, Japan, earthquake ofM
s
8.2.Although most studies on earthquake precursors so far seem to regard implicitly all precursory phenomena observed as physical ones, the two categories should be distinguished carefully when statistical analysis or physical modeling is carried out based on reported precursory phenomena. In active plate boundary zones, where a practical strategy for earthquake prediction may well be different from that in intraplate regions, tectonic precursors can be powerful additional tools for intermediate-term earthquake prediction. 相似文献
20.
Andrea R. Ventling-Schwank Hans Jürg Meng 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1995,57(1):1-13
Using an acoustic system in a 9 m deep enclosure, the daily vertical distribution patterns of whitefish larvae were studied from hatching to the age of two months. Four patterns of daily vertical distribution and migration were observed in accordance to different developmental stages:
- Newly hatched larvae dispersed in the enclosure during the day and congregated at the water surface at night.
- After 2 weeks of age larvae stayed close to the water surface during day and night.
- At 15 to 18 mm length, larvae showed distinct vertical migration at dawn and dusk, they stayed close to the surface during the day and dispersed at night.
- At 28 mm length the depth pattern was reversed. These fish frequented greater depths during the day than at night.