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Land use change     
R.D. Hill 《Geoforum》1984,15(3):457-461
Despite decades of interest by geographers in patterns and processes of land use change, the data base for such studies is at best fragmentary. In the absence of an adequate land inventory, it is difficult to see how an effective land planning and allocation system can be devised to meet future social, economic and ecological needs. It is argued that a more comprehensive system for monitoring land use change is required, and the role and accuracy of remote sensing in providing a land use survey base is assessed.  相似文献   

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粮食产量对气候变化驱动水资源变化的响应   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
水资源是支撑粮食生产的重要因素之一,气候变化驱动下的水资源变化及对粮食产量的影响是当前研究的国际前沿和热点问题。以汾河流域冬小麦和夏玉米2种主要粮食作物为研究对象,利用线性回归、人工神经网络、支持向量机、随机森林、径向基网络、极限学习机等6种机器学习算法构建粮食产量模拟模型,基于气候弹性系数法分析水资源量对气候变化响应关系,在流域尺度上研究粮食产量对气候变化驱动水资源变化的综合响应。结果表明:①机器学习算法能够较好地模拟汾河流域的冬小麦和夏玉米产量;②降水增加10%导致汾河流域水资源量增加19.4%,气温升高1℃导致水资源量减少4.3%;③当降水减少10%~30%时,冬小麦产量减少6.4%~19.3%,夏玉米产量减少4.0%~15.0%;④当气温升高0.5~3.0℃时,冬小麦产量预计增加1.8%~17.1%,夏玉米产量预计增加1.2%~7.9%;⑤汾河流域冬小麦产量对降水和气温变化的敏感性大于夏玉米。相关成果对于区域水资源管理和农业生产策略制定具有重要的科学意义和实用价值。  相似文献   

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Martin Ekman 《地学学报》1991,3(4):390-392
The result obtained hitherto on the Fennoscandian land uplift gravity line indicates that the postglacial uplift process might be more complicated than a pure horizontal flow of mantle (‘Bouguer model’). Simple formulae, valid for a more arbitrary model, are developed for the change of the geoid and for the remaining land uplift. Numerical applications yield a geoid change of about 0.4 mm yr-1 and a remaining land uplift of the order of 50 m, but the latter quantity is very difficult to determine with reasonable accuracy.  相似文献   

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地下水与环境变化研究   总被引:12,自引:2,他引:12  
王焰新  马腾  郭清海  马瑞 《地学前缘》2005,12(Z1):14-21
环境变化研究是当前国际地球科学和环境科学界最为活跃的研究领域之一。作为全球水循环的重要环节,地下水是全球环境变化的受体和信息载体。地下水及其沉积物的物理、化学指标,诸如地下水水位、宏量组分、微量组分、同位素、惰性气体等可以用作不同时间尺度上环境变化的指示剂。从地下水及其沉积物中识别和提取高分辨率的环境变化信息,实现对环境变化的预警功能是地下水科学向环境科学延伸的重要方向;而随着全球淡水资源紧缺形势不断恶化,全球环境变化、特别是全球气候变化对地下水资源的影响成为水文地质研究的新课题。  相似文献   

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《GeoJournal》1987,15(4):440-442
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Consideration is given to the case of a daughter population of a sexual species that becomes successfully established in an area previously lacking that species, as has occurred recently in the Krakataus. If the new area is isolated geographically and if the number of founder individuals is small, conventional wisdom foresees a reduction of genetic variability within the colony. This might obstruct genetic adjustment to new conditions. Recent studies of the genetics of such bottlenecked populations, however, show that, in some instances, genetic variability for quantitative traits may actually increase rather than decrease after a bottleneck event. Whereas loss of some quasi-neutral biochemical alleles may occur, the quantitative polygenic balances on which adaptation depends can be carried through the bottleneck into the new population. Novel phenotypes may result from natural selection during the generations that immediately follow the bottleneck. Growing shield volcanoes in particular show rapid turnover of their surfaces such that organisms surviving there must continually recolonize or become extinct. Such species, existing as metapopulations, should be prone to bottleneck effects that produce genetic shifts. Examples are given from Drosophila silvestris on the island of Hawaii. The relevance of such genetic shifts to population structure and evolutionary change in populations is discussed, emphasizing the probable role of metapopulation structure.  相似文献   

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《GeoJournal》1990,20(2):83-83
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Natural Hazards - We analysed in the work how change in land use/land cover influences on flood characteristics (frequency and magnitude) using a model inter-comparison approach, statistical...  相似文献   

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Environmental change in karst areas   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
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C.D. Ollier 《地学学报》1992,4(3):312-319
Landscape evolution is on the same time-scale as global tectonics, biological evolution, and major climatic change. Some features of global change reflected in landscape evolution result from the breakup of Pangaea. Others relate to major climatic changes, and yet others to a major change from a dominantly plains landscape of the Mesozoic to an increasingly mountainous landscape in the Tertiary. Worldwide deep weathering profiles of Cretaceous and early Tertiary age suggest widespread planation and warm, moist climates. Erosion of deeply weathered regolith following the formation of new continental margins and tectonic uplift led to the deposition of unusual mature sediments. Many river patterns can be traced to early Tertiary or older antecedents.
Some climatic changes are due to orbital forcing, but others may be related to changing positions of continents, creation of new seaways, or to mountain building. The timing of mountain uplift, climatic changes and biological changes must be resolved to test models of their mutual interaction. Geomorphic input on tectonics, drainage evolution, and deep weathering will be an essential component in dealing with these problems.  相似文献   

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