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1.
本文根据影响岩溶水位的因素,利用改进的BP神经网络建立一个能够反映济南市泉域岩溶地下水动态变化的随机模型,并进行检验,与运用多元回归模型预测的结果相比较,结果表明:BP神经网络模型进行岩溶地下水动态变化预测是可行的,该模型具有较强的学习、容错和联想功能,对岩溶地下水动态变化的预测精度大大的提高。最后在模拟的基础上,又对泉水喷涌的宏观趋势作了进一步的预测和分析。  相似文献   

2.
基于L-M优化神经网络算法的地下水动态模拟与预测   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1  
常亮  解建仓  王少波  肖志娟 《地下水》2005,27(5):380-383
本文根据地下水与其影响因素之间存在的非线性映射关系,在BP网络模型的基础上,提出一种Levenberg-Marquart优化神经网络算法,并将其应用于某地地下水的动态模拟与预测.通过与BP算法的仿真结果比较分析,发现该算法稳定性好,收敛速度快,预测精度高.  相似文献   

3.
基于遗传神经网络的瓦斯含量预测研究   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
吴财芳  曾勇 《地学前缘》2003,10(1):219-224
瓦斯含量预测取决于多因素、非线性的函数关系的建立 ,预测模型建立的准确与否决定于各个影响因素之间的相互作用、相互耦合的特性。文中将神经网络与遗传算法有机地结合起来 ,以神经网络理论为基础 ,利用遗传算法优化隐含层神经元个数和网络中的连接权值 ,建立瓦斯含量预测模型。在实验室测试数据的基础上 ,建立遗传神经网络训练和检验样本集 ,其中包含有 38个典型样本 ,并且将检验结果分别与回归模型、标准BP神经网络、自适应BP神经网络的预测结果进行比较。结果表明 :遗传神经网络模型可靠 ,预测精度高 ,为促进软计算技术与瓦斯地质的结合奠定了基础。  相似文献   

4.
为解决以往模型未考虑地下水位相关影响因素的问题,探讨长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络在地下水位预测中的应用,利用长短期记忆神经网络,采用多变量输入的方式,构建了基于多变量LSTM神经网络的地下水水位预测模型。以泰安市岱岳区J1号监测井为例,采用2001-2014年地下水水位动态监测资料与相关影响因素数据,利用多变量LSTM神经网络对2015-2016年地下水位进行预测,并与单变量LSTM神经网络和反向传播(BP)神经网络进行对比。研究结果表明:以相关影响变量为输入的BP神经网络无法考虑时序变化规律,预测均方根误差最大,为2.399 3;以地下水位为变量输入的单变量LSTM神经网络仅能根据时序变化作出相应预测,无法考虑相关变量影响,预测均方根误差为2.102 2;基于多变量输入的LSTM神经网络的预测精度显著高于单变量LSTM神经网络和BP神经网络,预测均方根误差最小,仅为1.919 1。总体上,多变量LSTM神经网络地下水位预测模型仅在某些峰值处误差较大,但总体预测效果较为理想。  相似文献   

5.
人工神经网络在水源地影响评价中的应用   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5       下载免费PDF全文
为了评价水源地开采过程中对周围地下水环境的影响,本文运用BP神经网络模型建立了有4个输入、2个输出的三层网络模型,通过BP网络学习训练,得到水源地的BP网络模型,并运用该模型预测了在不同条件下因水源地开采所引起的降落漏斗秒地下水补给量,计算表明,BP神经网络用于模拟地下水系统简便,实用,能很好地预测地下水动态变化情况。  相似文献   

6.
随着淮北市相山区岩溶水开采量不断增大,区内岩溶水水位降落漏斗范围不断增大,为保障岩溶水的安全开采与地质环境安全,进行本区岩溶水安全开采量计算十分必要。目前神经网络模型已被广泛应用于岩溶水水位动态计算,但由于网络全局寻优能力不理想,网络训练容易陷入局部极小值,导致网络泛化能力不理想。针对人工神经网络的不足,利用遗传算法(GA)对较为常用的BP神经网络权值、阈值进行优化,将此方法应用于相山区岩溶水水位动态的预测,并以该区岩溶水临界开采水位为控制条件,经模型计算得到相山区岩溶水多年平均安全开采量为3 001.7×10~4m~3。计算结果表明:与BP神经网络相比,GA-BP神经网络具有更高的预测精度,遗传算法可以有效提高BP网络的泛化能力。  相似文献   

7.
基于RBF神经网络的地下水动态模拟与预测   总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10       下载免费PDF全文
罗定贵  郭青  王学军 《地球学报》2003,24(5):475-478
RBF网络具有结构自适应确定、输出与初始权值无关的优良特性。以matlab为平台将该网络应用于某地的地下水动态模拟与预测,较为系统地研究了训练样本集与检测样本集的构建、原始数据的预处理、神经网络的构建、训练、检测及结果评价整个过程,取得了良好效果。同时,还与BP网进行了对比,认为,RBF网络是一种值得推广的地下水动态模拟与预测神经网络模型。  相似文献   

8.
地下水位是衡量生态环境优劣和地下水资源的一个重要指标.地下水位下降,将引发地面沉降、地面塌陷和降落漏斗等.因此,地下水位预测对保护地质生态环境和实现地下水资源严格管理至关重要.由于BP算法存在极易收敛于局部极小点与过拟合等缺点,导致网络泛化能力不足,本文在构建小波神经网络基础上并引入遗传算法加以优化,以解决上述不足,并与BP和WNN对比预测了天津市深层承压水水位.预测结果表明,GA-WNN模型拟合精度较高,模型的预测能力有较大幅度提高.  相似文献   

9.
多隐层BP神经网络模型在径流预测中的应用   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3       下载免费PDF全文
崔东文 《水文》2013,33(1):68-73
基于人工神经网络基本原理和方法,构建多隐层BP神经网络径流预测模型,以新疆伊犁河雅马渡站径流预测为例进行分析,并构建常规单隐层BP以及RBF、GRNN神经网络模型作为对比分析模型,将各模型预测结果与文献[1]中的预测结果进行比较,结果表明:(1)多隐层BP神经网络径流预测模型泛化能力强,预测精度高,算法稳定,模型精度优于IEA-BP网络模型,表明研究建立的多隐层BP神经网络模型用于径流预测是合理可行的,是一种可以应用于水文径流预测预报的新方法.(2)RBF、GRNN神经网络径流预测模型预测精度高于常规单隐层BP网络模型,且RBF与GRNN神经网络模型具有收敛速度快、预测精度高、调整参数少,不易陷入局部极小值等优点,可以更快地预测网络,具有较大的计算优势.  相似文献   

10.
提出了一种基于遗传算法(genetic algorithms,GA)的BP神经网络模型来进行径流量预测。此模型融合了遗传优化算法的全局寻优能力和BP神经网络的局部搜索的优势,有效地防止了网络陷入局部极小值,同时又保证了预测结果的精确性。仿真实验结果表明:在黄河三门峡1950~1985年年径流量预测方面,GA-BP模型预测的平均相对误差为5.67%,标准BP算法的模型平均预测误差为11.05%,说明提出的GA-BP径流量方法行之有效。  相似文献   

11.
Pant-y-ffynnon Quarry in South Wales yielded a rich cache of fossils in the early 1950s, including articulated specimens of new species (the small sauropodomorph dinosaur Pantydraco caducus and the crocodylomorph Terrestrisuchus gracilis), but no substantial study of the wider fauna of the Pant-y-ffynnon fissure systems has been published. Here, our overview of existing specimens, a few described but mostly undescribed, as well as freshly processed material, provides a comprehensive picture of the Pant-y-ffynnon palaeo-island of the Late Triassic. This was an island with a relatively impoverished fauna dominated by small clevosaurs (rhynchocephalians), including a new species, Clevosaurus cambrica, described here from a partially articulated specimen and isolated bones. The new species has a dental morphology that is intermediate between the Late Triassic Clevosaurus hudsoni, from Cromhall Quarry to the east, and the younger C. convallis from Pant Quarry to the west, suggesting adaptive radiation of clevosaurs in the palaeo-archipelago. The larger reptiles on the palaeo-island do not exceed 1.5?m in length, including a small carnivorous crocodylomorph, Terrestrisuchus, and a possible example of insular dwarfism in the basal dinosaur Pantydraco.  相似文献   

12.
Lithostratigraphy, physicochemical stratigraphy, biostratigraphy, and geochronology of the 77–70 Ma old series bracketing the Campanian–Maastrichtian boundary have been investigated by 70 experts. For the first time, direct relationships between macro- and microfossils have been established, as well as direct and indirect relationships between chemo-physical and biostratigraphical tools. A combination of criteria for selecting the boundary level, duration estimates, uncertainties on durations and on the location of biohorizons have been considered; new chronostratigraphic units are proposed. The geological site at Tercis is accepted by the Commission on Stratigraphy as the international reference for the stratigraphy of the studied interval. To cite this article: G.S. Odin, C. R. Geoscience 334 (2002) 409–414.  相似文献   

13.
Robert L. Linnen   《Lithos》2005,80(1-4):267-280
The solubilities of columbite, tantalite, wolframite, rutile, zircon and hafnon were determined as a function of the water contents in peralkaline and subaluminous granite melts. All experiments were conducted at 1035 °C and 2 kbar and the water contents of the melts ranged from nominally dry to approximately 6 wt.% H2O. Accessory phase solubilities are not affected by the water content of the peralkaline melt. By contrast, solubilities are affected by the water content of the subaluminous melt, where the solubilities of all the accessory phases examined increase with the water content of the melt, up to 2 wt.% H2O. At higher water contents, solubilities are nearly constant. It can be concluded that water is not an important control of accessory phase solubility, although the water content will affect diffusivities of components in the melt, thus whether or not accessory phases will be present as restite material. The solubility behaviour in the subaluminous and peralkaline melts supports previous spectroscopic studies, which have observed differences in the coordination of high field strength elements in dry vs. wet subaluminous granitic glasses, but not for peralkaline granitic glasses. Lastly, the fact that wolframite solubility increases with increasing water content in the subaluminous melt suggests that tungsten dissolved as a hexavalent species.  相似文献   

14.
Calcite samples were extracted both from the rock matrix and the superficial coating of a karstified fault plane of an underground quarry, located in the eastern border of the Paris basin. The karstification is dated as Quaternary. Analysis of mechanical calcite twinning reveals that only the calcite matrix has also undergone a compression trending WNW that can be attributed to the Mio-Pliocene alpine collision. Both coating and matrix have undergone a strike-slip regime with σ1 roughly trending north–south, that could correspond to the regional present-day state of stress, a strike-slip compression rather trending NNW, modified by local phenomena. To cite this article: M. Rocher et al., C. R. Geoscience 335 (2003).  相似文献   

15.
HYDROGEOLOGY     
正20141756 Chen Ruige(Mathematical College,China University of Geosciences,Beijing100083,China);Zhou Xun Numerical Simulation of Groundwater Level Fluctuation in a Coastal Confined Aquifer with Sloping Initial Groundwater Level Induced by the Tide(Geological Bulletin of China,ISSN1671-2552,CN11-4648/P,32(7),2013,p.1099-1104,6 illus.,16 refs.) Key words:confined water,groundwater level  相似文献   

16.
正20141408 Cai Jia(Institute of Geology,Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences,Beijing100037,China);Liu Fulai Petrogenesis and Metamorphic P-T Conditions of Garnet-Spinel-Biotitebearing Paragneiss in Danangou Area,Daqingshan-Wulashan Metamorphic Complex Belt(Acta Petrologica Sinica,ISSN1000-0569,CN11-1922/P,29(7),  相似文献   

17.
18.
正20142386An Guoying(China Aero Geophysical Survey and Remote Sensing Center for Land and Resources,Beijing 100083,China)Application of Satellite Remote Sensing in Regional Hydrogeological Investigation:Taking Cenozoic Strata in Wenquan Sheet(1∶250 000)of Karakoram Range as an Example(Geosci-  相似文献   

19.
正20141016An Chengbang(Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental Systems,Ministry of Education,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China);Zhao Yongtao Lake Records during the Last Glacial Maximum from Xinjiang,NW China and Their Climatic Impli-  相似文献   

20.
正20141538 Cao Qing(School of Earth Sciences and Engineering,Xi’an Petroleum University,Xi’an 710065,China);Zhao Jingzhou Characteristics and Significance of Fluid Inclusions from Majiagou Formation,Yichuan Huangling Area,Ordos Basin(Advances in Earth Science,ISSN1001-8166,CN62-1091/P,28(7),2013,p.819-828,7 illus.,3 tables,43 refs.)  相似文献   

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