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1.
John Douglas Hideo Aochi Peter Suhadolc Giovanni Costa 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2007,5(1):17-26
In this short article, the possible reduction in the standard deviation of empirical ground motion estimation equations through
the modelling of the effect of crustal structure is assessed through the use of ground-motion simulations. Simulations are
computed for different source-to-site distances, focal depths, focal mechanisms and for crustal models of the Pyrenees, the
western Alps and the upper Rhine Graben. Through the method of equivalent hypocentral distance introduced by Douglas et al.
[(2004) Bull Earthquake Eng 2(1): 75–99] to model the effect of crustal structure in empirical equations, the scatter associated
with such equations derived using these simulated data could be reduced to zero if real-to-equivalent hypocentral distance
mapping functions were derived for every combination of mechanism, depth and crustal structure present in the simulated dataset.
This is, obviously, impractical. The relative importance of each parameter in affecting the decay of ground motions is assessed
here. It is found that variation in focal depth is generally more important than the effect of crustal structure when deriving
the real-to-equivalent hypocentral distance mapping functions. In addition, mechanism and magnitude do not have an important
impact on the decay rate. 相似文献
2.
John Douglas Didier Bertil Agathe Roullé Pascal Dominique Philippe Jousset 《Journal of Seismology》2006,10(3):271-299
Strong-motion networks have been operating in the Caribbean region since the 1970s, however, until the mid-1990s only a few analogue stations were operational and the quantity of data recorded was very low. Since the mid-1990s, digital accelerometric networks have been established on islands within the region. At present there are thought to be about 160 stations operating in this region with a handful on Cuba, 65 on the French Antilles (mainly Guadeloupe and Martinique), eight on Jamaica, 78 on Puerto Rico (plus others on adjacent islands) and four on Trinidad.After briefly summarising the available data from the Caribbean islands, this article is mainly concerned with analysing the data that has been recorded by the networks operating on the French Antilles in terms of their distribution with respect to magnitude, source-to-site distance, focal depth and event type; site effects at certain stations; and also with respect to their predictability by ground motion estimation equations developed using data from different regions of the world. More than 300 good quality triaxial acceleration time-histories have been recorded on Guadeloupe and Martinique at a large number of stations from earthquakes with magnitudes larger than 4.8, however, most of the records are from considerable source-to-site distances. From the data available it is found that many of the commonly-used ground motion estimation equations for shallow crustal earthquakes poorly estimate the observed ground motions on the two islands; ground motions on Guadeloupe and Martinique have smaller amplitudes and are more variable than expected. This difference could be due to regional dependence of ground motions because of, for example, differing tectonics or crustal structures or because the ground motions so far recorded are, in general, from smaller earthquakes and greater distances than the range of applicability of the investigated equations. 相似文献
3.
As part of the effort to assess the seismic hazards of Singapore and the Malay Peninsula, representative ground motion prediction models have to be established. Seven existing attenuation relationships developed for shallow crustal earthquakes in stable continent and active tectonic regions are examined, and they are found to consistently over‐predict the ground motions of Sumatran‐fault earthquakes recently recorded in Singapore. This may be attributed to the differences in the regional crustal structures and distance ranges considered. Since the number of recorded ground motions in the region is very limited, a new set of attenuation relationships is derived based on synthetic seismograms. The uncertainties in rupture parameters, such as stress drop, focal depth, dip and rake angles, are defined according to the regional geological and tectonic settings as well as the ruptures of previous earthquakes. Ground motions are simulated for earthquakes with Mw ranging from 4.0 to 8.0, within a distance range from 174 to 1379km. Besides magnitude and distance, source‐to‐station azimuth is found to influence the amplitudes of the ground motions simulated. Thus, the azimuth is taken as an independent variable in the derived ground motion attenuation relationships. The Sumatran‐fault segments that have the potential to generate a specified level of response spectral accelerations in Singapore and Kuala Lumpur are identified based on the newly derived ground motion models. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
4.
Strong-motion data from large (M ≥ 7.2) shallow crustal earthquakes invariably make up a small proportion of the records used to develop empirical ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs). Consequently GMPEs are more poorly constrained for large earthquakes than for small events. In this article peak ground accelerations (PGAs) observed in 38 earthquakes worldwide with M ≥ 7.2 are compared with those predicted by eight recent GMPEs. Well over half of the 38 earthquakes were not considered when deriving these GMPEs but the data were identified by a thorough literature review of strong-motion reports from the past 60 years. These data are provided in an electronic supplement for future investigations on ground motions from large earthquakes. The addition of these data provides better constraint of the between-event ground-motion variability in large earthquakes. It is found that the eight models generally provide good predictions for PGAs from these earthquakes, although there is evidence for slight under- or over-prediction of motions by some models (particularly for M > 7.6). The between-event variabilities predicted by most models match the observed variability, if data from two events (2001 Bhuj and 2005 Crescent City) that are likely atypical of earthquakes in active regions are excluded. For some GMPEs there is evidence that they are over-predicting PGAs in the near-source region of large earthquakes as well as over-predicting motions on hard rock. Overall, however, all the considered models, despite having been derived using limited data, provide reliable predictions of PGAs in the largest crustal earthquakes. 相似文献
5.
Our previous studies show that site effects (amplification of rock motions), source and path effects are coupled when response spectra are used to characterize the amplification ratios for a soil site modelled as nonlinear or elastic. The coupling is referred to as a “side effect” of using response spectral amplification ratios. In the present study we use a suite of rock site records, well distributed with respect to magnitude and source distance, from crustal, subduction interface and slab earthquakes to evaluate the response spectral amplification ratio for soft soil sites. We compare these side-effects for ground motions generated by three types of earthquakes, and we find that, at periods much shorter or much longer than the natural period of a soil site modelled as elastic, the average amplification ratios with respect to rock site ground motions from three types of earthquakes are moderately different and are very similar for other spectral periods. These differences are not statistically significant because of the moderately large scatter of the amplification ratios. However, the extent of magnitude- and source-distance-dependence of amplification ratios differs significantly. After the effects of magnitude and source distance on the amplification ratios are accounted for, the differences in amplification ratios between crustal and subduction earthquake records are very large in some particular combinations of source distance and magnitude range. These findings may have potential impact in establishing design spectra for soft soil sites using strong motion attenuation models or numerical modelling. 相似文献
6.
This article presents equations for the estimation of vertical strong ground motions caused by shallow crustal earthquakes with magnitudes Mw 5 and distance to the surface projection of the fault less than 100km. These equations were derived by weighted regression analysis, used to remove observed magnitude-dependent variance, on a set of 595 strong-motion records recorded in Europe and the Middle East. Coefficients are included to model the effect of local site effects and faulting mechanism on the observed ground motions. The equations include coefficients to model the observed magnitude-dependent decay rate. The main findings of this study are that: short-period ground motions from small and moderate magnitude earthquakes decay faster than the commonly assumed 1/r, the average effect of differing faulting mechanisms is similar to that observed for horizontal motions and is not large and corresponds to factors between 0.7 (normal and odd) and 1.4 (thrust) with respect to strike-slip motions and that the average long-period amplification caused by soft soil deposits is about 2.1 over those on rock sites. 相似文献
7.
This paper presents results recently obtained for generating site-specific ground motions needed for design of critical facilities. The general approach followed in developing these ground motions using either deterministic or probabilistic criteria is specification of motions for rock outcrop or very firm soil conditions followed by adjustments for site-specific conditions. Central issues in this process include development of appropriate attenuation relations and their uncertainties, differences in expected motions between Western and Eastern North America, and incorporation of site-specific adjustments that maintain the same hazard level as the control motions, while incorporating uncertainties in local dynamic material properties. For tectonically active regions, such as the Western United States (WUS), sufficient strong motion data exist to constrain empirical attenuation relations for M up to about 7 and for distances greater than about 10–15 km. Motions for larger magnitudes and closer distances are largely driven by extrapolations of empirical relations and uncertainties need to be substantially increased for these cases.
For the Eastern United States (CEUS), due to the paucity of strong motion data for cratonic regions worldwide, estimation of strong ground motions for engineering design is based entirely on calibrated models. The models are usually calibrated and validated in the WUS where sufficient strong motion data are available and then recalibrated for applications to the CEUS. Recalibration generally entails revising parameters based on available CEUS ground motion data as well as indirect inferences through intensity observations. Known differences in model parameters such as crustal structure between WUS and CEUS are generally accommodated as well. These procedures are examined and discussed. 相似文献
8.
Characterization of Earthquake Strong Ground Motion 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
— Some underwater landslides are triggered by strong ground motions caused by earthquakes. This paper reviews current concepts and trends in the characterization of strong ground motion. Improved empirical ground motion models have been derived from a strong motion data set that has grown markedly over the past decade. However, these empirical models have a large degree of uncertainty because the magnitude-distance-soil category parameterization of these models often oversimplifies reality. This reflects the fact that other conditions that are known to have an important influence on strong ground motions, such as near-fault rupture directivity effects, crustal waveguide effects, and basin response effects, are not treated as parameters of these simple models. Numerical ground motion models based on seismological theory that include these additional effects have been developed and extensively validated against recorded ground motions, and used to estimate the ground motions of past earthquakes and predict the ground motions of future scenario earthquakes. 相似文献
9.
Testing the Validity of Simulated Strong Ground Motion from the Dynamic Rupture of a Finite Fault, by Using Empirical Equations 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This paper is concerned with testing the validity of the ground motions estimated by combining a boundary integral equation method to simulate dynamic rupture along finite faults with a finite difference method to compute the subsequent wave propagation. The validation exercise is conducted by comparing the calculated ground motions at about 100 hypothetical stations surrounding the pure strike-slip and pure reverse faults with those estimated by recent ground motion estimation equations derived by regression analysis of observed strong-motion data. The validity of the ground motions with respect to their amplitude, frequency content and duration is examined. It is found that the numerical simulation method adopted leads to ground motions that are mainly compatible with the magnitude and distance dependence modelled by empirical equations but that the choice of a low stress drop leads to ground motions that are smaller than generally observed. In addition, the scatter in the simulated ground motions, for which a laterally homogeneous crust and standard rock site were used, is of the same order as the scatter in observed motions therefore, close to the fault, variations in source propagation likely contribute a significant proportion of the scatter in observed motions in comparison with travel-path and site effects. 相似文献
10.
At present, dense strong motion observation networks have been established in Japan. One of the important findings based on these networks is that strong ground motions are quite site-dependent. Characteristics of observed ground motions at nearby stations can exhibit a significant variation, even when the stations are within several hundreds of meters. These observations raise one important question; if characteristics of strong ground motions exhibit large variations even for smaller regions, we should be concerned about the application of observed or predicted ground motions for the assessment of structures. In particular, if ground-motion parameters such as PGA, PGV, Spectral Intensity, etc., exhibit large variations for smaller regions, their use for the seismic design and practice will be subject to restriction. In other words, the evaluation of variation of these parameters is an important issue. From such a point of view, the authors investigated the variation of observed ground motions within a very small distance in this study. First of all, fifteen couples of adjacent strong motion stations in Japan, where the distance is within 100 m, were listed up based on our field reconnaissance. Then, microtremor measurements were carried out at each of the station pairs. Next, variation of recorded earthquake ground motions for the station pairs was examined based on various ground motion parameters and response spectra. Moreover, we investigated the key factor which is affecting the variation of observed ground motions. 相似文献
11.
An empirical predictive relationship correlating significant duration to earthquake magnitude, site-to-source distance, and local site conditions (i.e., rock vs. stiff soil) for stable continental regions is presented herein. The correlations were developed from data derived from 620 horizontal motions for stable continental regions (e.g., central and eastern North America: CENA), consisting of 28 recorded motions and 592 scaled motions. The data set encompasses the earthquake magnitude from 4.5 to 7.6 and the distance from 0.1 to 199 km. The non-linear mixed-effects regression technique was used to fit a predictive model to the significant duration data. Similar to the trend observed from active shallow crustal region motions, significant durations predicted for stable continental region motions increased with increasing earthquake magnitude and increasing site-to-source distance. In comparing the predicted durations for CENA motions with those for motions from active shallow crustal regions (e.g., western North America: WNA), it is shown that the differences in significant durations for the two regions are relatively minor for site-to-source distances less than about 100 km. Lastly, the significant durations predicted by the proposed model are shown to be in good agreement with durations of the motions recorded during the Mineral, Virginia earthquake of August 23, 2011. 相似文献
12.
John Douglas 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2010,8(6):1515-1526
Due to the limited observational datasets available for the derivation of ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) there
is always epistemic uncertainty in the estimated median ground motion. Because of the increasing quality and quantity of strong-motion
datasets it would be expected that the epistemic uncertainty in ground-motion prediction (related to lack of knowledge and
data) is decreasing. In this study the predicted median ground motions from over 200 GMPEs for various scenarios are plotted
against date of publication to examine whether the scatter in the predictions (a measure of epistemic uncertainty) is decreasing
with time. It is found that there are still considerable differences in predicted ground motions from the various GMPEs and
that the variation between estimates is not reducing although the ground motion estimated by averaging median predictions
is roughly constant. For western North America predictions for moderate earthquakes have show a high level of consistency
since the 1980s as do, but to a lesser extent, predictions for moderate earthquakes in Europe, the Mediterranean and the Middle
East. A good match is observed between the predictions from GMPEs and the median ground motions based on observations from
similar scenarios. Variations in median ground motion predictions for stable continental regions and subduction zones from
different GMPEs are large, even for moderate earthquakes. The large scatter in predictions of the median ground motion shows
that epistemic uncertainty in ground-motion prediction is still large and that it is vital that this is accounted for in seismic
hazard assessments. 相似文献
13.
David M. Boore 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2014,171(11):3023-3043
A large database of ground motions from shallow earthquakes occurring in active tectonic regions around the world, recently developed in the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Center’s NGA-West2 project, has been used to investigate what such a database can say about the properties and processes of crustal fault zones. There are a relatively small number of near-rupture records, implying that few recordings in the database are within crustal fault zones, but the records that do exist emphasize the complexity of ground-motion amplitudes and polarization close to individual faults. On average over the whole data set, however, the scaling of ground motions with magnitude at a fixed distance, and the distance dependence of the ground motions, seem to be largely consistent with simple seismological models of source scaling, path propagation effects, and local site amplification. The data show that ground motions close to large faults, as measured by elastic response spectra, tend to saturate and become essentially constant for short periods. This saturation seems to be primarily a geometrical effect, due to the increasing size of the rupture surface with magnitude, and not due to a breakdown in self similarity. 相似文献
14.
Tomotaka Iwata Takao Kagawa Anatoly Petukhin Yoshihiro Ohnishi 《Journal of Seismology》2008,12(2):223-234
We constructed a prototype of the basin and crustal structure model for the Kinki area, southwest of Japan, for the simulation
of strong ground motions of hypothetical crustal and subduction earthquakes. We collected results of the deep seismic velocity
profiles obtained by the reflection experiments and seismic imaging results, which were conducted in the Kinki area. The obtained
profiles give underground velocity structures of the crust, from the surface to the subducting slab. We also gather the basin
velocity structure information of the Osaka, Kyoto, Nara, and Ohmi basins. To examine the applicability of the constructed
velocity structure model to the ground motion simulation, we simulated waveforms of an intermediate size event occurred near
the source area of the hypothetical subduction earthquakes. Simulated ground motions using the basin and crustal velocity
structure model are fairly well reproducing the observations at most of stations, and the constructed basin and crustal velocity
structure model is applicable for the long-period ground motion simulations. 相似文献
15.
The construction of 3-D basin velocity structures is ongoing in many regions of Japan. The structure models are constructed
mainly for the prediction of long-period ground motions from future large earthquakes. In this paper, we validate the 3-D
velocity structure model of the Tokachi basin, a deep sedimentary basin located in eastern Hokkaido, Japan, based on 3-D simulation
of long-period (2–20 s) ground motions from three nearby intermediate-depth earthquakes; this model was constructed by the
National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED). We make comparisons between the observed and
synthetic long-period ground motions for the basin-induced surface waves as well as the direct S-wave. We also try to revise
the 3-D velocity structure in the western part of the Tokachi basin based on 1-D velocity structures estimated using long-period
S-wave modeling and the microtremor survey method. We then perform the 3-D simulation again to validate the revised model.
Based on quantitative comparisons of the long-period ground motions from these simulations with those observed, we conclude
that the NIED and revised velocity structure models are generally good at the central basin sites, but that both models require
modification at the basin edges to explain the details of the observed basin-induced surface waves. 相似文献
16.
17.
This article presents equations for the estimation of horizontal strong ground motions caused by shallow crustal earthquakes with magnitudes Mw 5 and distance to the surface projection of the fault less than 100km. These equations were derived by weighted regression analysis, used to remove observed magnitude-dependent variance, on a set of 595 strong-motion records recorded in Europe and the Middle East. Coefficients are included to model the effect of local site effects and faulting mechanism on the observed ground motions. The equations include coefficients to model the observed magnitude-dependent decay rate. The main findings of this study are that: short-period ground motions from small and moderate magnitude earthquakes decay faster than the commonly assumed 1/r, the average effect of differing faulting mechanisms is not large and corresponds to factors between 0.8 (normal and odd) and 1.3 (thrust) with respect to strike-slip motions and that the average long-period amplification caused by soft soil deposits is about 2.6 over those on rock sites. Disappointingly the standard deviations associated with the derived equations are not significantly lower than those found in previous studies. 相似文献
18.
本文通过格林函数反褶积方法，由台湾峡谷附近的记录资料预测峡谷区的强地面运动的时程曲线．峡谷区的理论格林函数应用２．５维ＳＨ混合方法求解．通过格林函数反褶积方法得到的峡谷区费丛１及费丛２台的位移、速度、加速度和实际资料对比，取得了满意结果．计算结果表明，峡谷底部的峰值加速度相对峡谷边缘为最小；在靠近震中的一侧，峡谷的加速度的最大振幅相对比另一侧大．还给出了其余３个台的预测结果，研究了它们的加速度傅里叶谱和反应谱． 相似文献
19.
20.
Broadband ground motion simulation using a hybrid approach of the May 21, 2021 M7.4 earthquake in Maduo,Qinghai, China 
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下载免费PDF全文 Yijun Liu Xiaofen Zhao Zengping Wen Jie Liu Bo Chen Chunyao Bu Chao Xu 《地震科学（英文版）》2023,36(3):175-199
In this study, the broadband ground motions of the 2021 M7.4 Maduo earthquake were simulated to overcome the scarcity of ground motion recordings and the low resolution of macroseismic intensity map in sparsely populated high-altitude regions. The simulation was conducted with a hybrid methodology, combining a stochastic high-frequency simulation with a low-frequency ground motion simulation, from the regional 1-D velocity structure model and the Wang WM et al. (2022 ) source rupture model, respectively. We found that the three-component waveforms simulated for specific stations matched the waveforms recorded at those stations, in terms of amplitude, duration, and frequency content. The validation results demonstrate the ability of the hybrid simulation method to reproduce the main characteristics of the observed ground motions for the 2021 Maduo earthquake over a broad frequency range. Our simulations suggest that the official map of macroseismic intensity tends to overestimate shaking by one intensity unit. Comparisons of simulations with empirical ground motion models indicate generally good consistency between the simulated and empirically predicted intensity measures. The high-frequency components of ground motions were found to be more prominent, while the low-frequency components were not, which is unexpected for large earthquakes. Our simulations provide valuable insight into the effects of source complexity on the level and variability of the resulting ground motions. The acceleration and velocity time histories and corresponding response spectra were provided for selected representative sites where no records were available. The simulated results have important implications for evaluating the performance of engineering structures in the epicentral regions of this earthquake and for estimating seismic hazards in the Tibetan regions where no strong ground motion records are available for large earthquakes. 相似文献