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1.
大气环流异常对云南8月低温的影响   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
应用1951-2005年NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析资料与云南8月气温资料进行相关分析,发现在云南8月低温年,位势高度场的显著相关区在欧亚大陆地区具有"- -"的波列结构,显著相关区在副热带地区表现也较好;据此讨论了云南8月低温发生时的大气环流特征,得出200hPa南亚高压偏弱,500hPa欧亚大陆西风槽脊异常发展,副高偏弱是导致云南8月低温的主要原因.  相似文献   

2.
采用英国Hadley中心1974-2006年逐月的北太平洋海表温度资料和NCEP/NCAR的北半球500hPa和1000hPa高度场资料,利用一元回归和相关分析等统计方法,研究各月北太平洋海温的变化特征、探讨冬季西北太平洋海温关键区,然后分析关键区海温与气象场的联系.结果表明,北太平洋海温变率较大的地方出现在我国东部的西北太平洋地区,年代际变化为上升趋势;海温与前一年12月和同期1月500hPa位势高度场的相关最好.表现为冬季东亚大槽对关键区海温的显著影响.1月关键区海温与后期5-6月西太平洋副高存在较显著的正相关,即1月关键区海温升高,同年5-6月副高亦加强,即反映冬季北太平洋SST对西太平洋副高的影响.  相似文献   

3.
为了揭示不同年代际背景下1963年和1996年华北盛夏降水的不同特点及其成因,利用ECWMF逐月再分析资料和中国160站逐月降水等资料,采用合成分析、统计t检验等方法,重点从大气环流和大尺度降水条件方面对比分析1963年和1996年华北盛夏降水产生原因的不同。主要结论如下:1963年华北盛夏降水要多于1996年华北盛夏降水;1963年华北盛夏降水为季风降水,而1996年华北盛夏降水为系统降水;影响1963年华北盛夏降水的中国东部地区500hPa位势高度场的距平分布为"北高南低"型,而影响1996年华北盛夏降水的中国东部500hPa位势高度场的距平分布为"西高东低"型。  相似文献   

4.
选取广东省86个气象观测站的观测资料,采用气候趋势分析和通径分析方法,对广东省1961~2003年小型蒸发皿蒸发量及其相关气象影响因子进行了分析。结果表明:虽然汛期广东省整体平均蒸发量呈下降趋势,前汛期、后汛期线性倾向率分别为-15.86 mm/10a和-13.79 mm/10a;但变化趋势在广东省内空间分布并不均匀,前汛期、后汛期粤东、中部部分地区分别有16、12个站呈上升趋势;前汛期6种气象因子单独对蒸发的决定程度按大小依次为:日照时数>气温>风速>降水>饱和差>气温日较差,后汛期6种气象因子单独对蒸发的决定程度按大小依次为:日照时数>降水>饱和差>风速>气温>气温日较差,整个汛期日照时数与其它各要素的协同作用对蒸发皿蒸发量的决定作用都很大。日照时数和风速总体上的下降是导致广东省汛期蒸发皿蒸发量逐年减少的重要原因。  相似文献   

5.
为了加强高原高空西风变化及其与降水关系的研究,利用NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析资料及中国160个测站月降水资料,采用线性倾向估计、小波分析、相关分析等方法,对青藏高原夏季200hPa西风近几十年的变化特征及其与中国降水的关系进行分析。结果表明:自1948年青藏高原夏季200hPa西风整体呈现显著增强趋势;且高原西风在20世纪50年代前期偏弱,在50年代中后期开始增强,并在80年代出现近62年的最大值,90年代末高原高空西风略有减弱,但不明显;小波分析表明高原200hPa西风具有2~4a的周期,且这一周期成分在50年代及70年代末至80年代前期这两个时段比较显著;高原西风的突变分析表明在1954年发生了一次较明显的增强突变。高原夏季200hPa西风与中国降水关系的分析表明:高原西风增强时在长江流域以北的中国大部分地区降水偏多,以江淮流域、川渝地区西部和东部省界以及中国西北、东北的部分地区表现显著,长江流域以南的大部分地区降水偏少,其中华南沿海及中国西南地区西南部降水偏少更加明显,降水场与大气环流有较好的配置关系。  相似文献   

6.
为了进一步提高川渝地区汛期降水量的预报准确率,建立了一种多因子集合相似模型应用于川渝地区汛期(6-8月)降水预测中,该模型使用了相似系数法和欧氏距离法选取影响川渝地区汛期降水的主要因子,不仅考虑影响川渝汛期降水的环流因子、天文因子、海洋因子等外强迫因子,而且将降水自身的年际、年代际变化特征引入预测模型中.用该模型对1999-2009年11年川渝地区汛期降水进行预测检验,预测结果的平均PS评分值比同期四川省气候中心业务预报评分68.4分高约13分,且效果稳定.  相似文献   

7.
用1961—2008年NOAA的月平均再分析资料和1980—2006年云南5个探空站的资料,采用大气可降水量和水汽通量公式计算分析大气可降水量和水汽通量,并用线性趋势分析其变化特征。结果表明:云南四季的可降水量北少南多,呈“u”型分布,夏季最大,冬季最小。对云南地区四季的水汽通量分析表明,四季的水汽净收入主要集中在对流层低层;地面-300hPa的水汽净收入在夏季最大、秋季次之,而冬季最小。云南经向的水汽输送和纬向的水汽输送呈反相关,近48年,云南四季水汽呈增加趋势,其中夏季增加最多,春季次之。  相似文献   

8.
针对新疆地区1969-2009年近40年对流层中下层以及地面温湿变化特征,利用经过质量控制的中国新疆地区14个探空站1969-2009年比湿和温度资料,采用线性回归、滑动t检验等方法对新疆地区温度、湿度变化趋势和突变年进行分析,并用同一时期12个地面站的降水资料对比分析新疆地区降水量的变化特征。结果表明:南疆和北疆500hPa和850hPa高空比湿在1980年中后期均有增加的趋势,2005年后均又发生了由升转降的变化;地面比湿和降水总体均呈显著增加趋势,南疆地区降水在2005年后为持续负距平,与高空比湿变化特征一致;41年期间两个区域的温度变化在对流层中下层和地面都呈显著增加趋势,且地面增温最显著,增温速率随高度增加而降低。北疆和南疆地区500hPa比湿分别在1989年、1985年,南疆850hPa在1986年均发生由降转升的显著性突变,且均在2005年发生由升转降的显著性突变;北疆地区850hPa和两个区域地面比湿均在1986年发生突变,之后显著变湿;北疆和南疆500hPa温度分别在1985年、1986年发生由降转升的显著突变,两个区域850hPa和地面温度均在1996年发生相同突变,显著水平都达到0.01。  相似文献   

9.
利用NCEP/NCAA再分析资料,国家气候中心74项环流指数及云南省122个观测站资料,结合诊断、合成和相关分析等方法,探讨2011年初云南东部极端低温冰冻灾害天气气候特征及成因,并与2008年初低温冰冻灾害进行对比分析。旨在寻找云南低温冰冻天气的预报着眼点,为提前做好防灾减灾工作提供决策依据。研究表明:500hPa高度场欧亚中高纬呈两槽一脊,西西伯利亚高压脊异常强大,贝巴之间为东西向横槽,东亚中高纬呈"+-+"的高度场距平分布,西太平洋副热带高压异常偏东偏弱,南海副高异常偏南偏弱是2011年1月云南东部频遭冷空气影响的大尺度大气环流背景。另外,相关分析发现NINO4区海温持续异常偏冷对应云南东部气温异常偏低。较2008年初持续近2个月的低温雨雪冰冻灾害相比,虽然2011年灾害影响时间较短,范围较小,但冷空气过程频发,昆明准静止锋长时间控制云南东部,最终造成近50年来的极端低温冰冻灾害。  相似文献   

10.
本文用36年(1951~1986)我国汛期(4~9月)160个站的降水距平百分率资料,用RPCA(Rotated Principal Component Analysis))的方法对我国汛期降水进行研究,结果表明:我国汛期降水有六种典型结构,它代表了我国汛期降水的空间分布特征;而相应的时间系数代表着年际变化。如果将各主分量的时间系数做5年滑动平均,按文献所定义的气候跃变,则在六十年代,我国黄河流域、长江下游及以南、东北地区的降水发生了气候跃变。  相似文献   

11.
12.
归纳总结了四川盆地珍珠冲组植物化石7类50属128种,须家河组植物化石10类71属267种,并将珍珠冲组植物群划分为上、下两个组合.通过分析两组植物群的发育特点及演化规律,结合区域有关资料,对侏罗系与三叠系界线进行了厘定.在四川盆地北部大巴山前缘地区,依据珍珠冲组(白田坝组)的岩性特征和所含植物化石特征,将侏罗系与三叠系的界线置于含Coniopteris植物化石的珍珠冲组(白田坝组)底部石英质砾岩或石英砂岩之下的假整合面或剥蚀面上;在四川盆地东北部的云阳、奉节及长江以南万县地区,侏罗系与三叠系的界线划在云阳南溪剖面上含Coniopteris murrayana植物化石8.3 m之下的珍珠冲组黄绿色泥质粉砂岩夹粉砂质泥岩地层之底.  相似文献   

13.
古代,雷州半岛信仰的海神主要有伏波将军和妈祖,尤其是元代以后,妈祖影响超过伏波,这主要有三方面原因:1)妈祖得到上层统治阶级的青睐,2)雷州半岛的汉人多为福建移民,3)雷州半岛少数民族的外迁。  相似文献   

14.
Based on the analysis of Levitus data, the climatic states of the warm pool in the Indian Ocean (WPIO) and in the Pacific Ocean (WPPO) are studied. it is found that WPIO has a relatively smaller area, a shallower bottom and a slightly lower seawater temperature than those of WPPO. The horizontal area at different depths, volumes, central positions, and bottom depths of both WPIO and WPPO show quite apparent signals of seasonal variation. The maximum amplitude of WPIO surface area’s seasonal variation is 58% larger over the annual mean value. WPIO’s maximum volume variation amplitude is 66% larger over the annual mean value. The maximum variation amplitudes of the surface area and volume of WPPO are 20.9% and 20.6% larger over the annual mean value respectively. WPIO and WPPO show different temporal and spatial characteristics mainly due to the different wind fields and restriction of ocean basin geometry. For instance, seasonal northern displacement of WPIO is, to some extent, constrained by the basin of the Indian Ocean, while WPPO moves relatively freely in the longitudinal direction. The influence of WPIO and WPPO over the atmospheric motion must be quite different.  相似文献   

15.
The change trends of air temperature,precipitation and evaporation from 1999 to 2008 shows that the climate in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau permafrost region had become warmer.The analysis of the systematic active-layer data monitoring network along the Qinghai-Tibet Highway indicated that the active-layer thickness had been increasing and the soil temperature was rising.The soil temperature was rising in winter but not at the end of spring or during the entire summer.With thickening and warming of the active layer,the liquid water content of the active layer had an obvious downward migration and liquid water content in the top horizons decreased,but in the deeper horizons it increased.  相似文献   

16.
In this paper, the sea-air heat exchange over the Kuroshio in the East China Sea during the winters of 1954–1972 is computed and analysed. The results indicate that the year to year anomalies of sea-air heat exchange are obvious and the values are mainly controlled by the intensity of the cold air at the same time. The authors have found a close relationship between sea-air heat exchange and precipitation in the region of the Changjiang River during the early summer. Finally, the predicting indication for forecasting this precipitation around the middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River in June is given. Contribution No. 839 from the Institute of Oceanology, Academia Sinica. This paper was published in Chinese inOceanologia et Limnologia Sinica 14 (3): 256–262, 1983.  相似文献   

17.
CTD data on standard levels coolected during July and December in 1998 and the cubic spline interpolating method were used to study the characteristics of the transition layer temperature and salinity.The thermocline undergoes remarkable seasonal variation in the South China Sea (SCS),and especially in the region of the north shelf where the thermocline disappears in december.The thermocline is stronger and thicker in July than in December,There is no obvious seasonal variation in the halocline.Due to the upper Ekman transport caused by monsoon over the SCS,the thermocline slopes upward in July and downward in december from east to west in the northern SCS.The characteristics of the thermocline and halocline are influenced by local eddies in the SCS.The Zhujiang diluted flow influences significantly the SCS shelf‘s halocline.  相似文献   

18.
对广东省中山市三角镇的低盐度鱼虾混养池进行连续采样分析,结果表明,混养池中的蓝藻主要有螺旋藻(Spirulina sp.),鱼腥藻(Anabaena sp.),颤藻(Oscillatoria sp.)、铜绿微囊藻(Microcystis aeruginosa)等,其中盐泽螺旋藻的优势度为0.52~0.73。蓝藻是水体中的优势微藻种群,蓝藻细胞数量占微藻细胞数量的88%~99%,蓝藻细胞数为0.99×10~9~5.89×l0~9 cell/L。混养池微藻多样性指数(H’)为1.16~2.49,养殖水体处于中度污染状态。溶解性无机氮的质量浓度为0.13~2.30 mg/L,正磷酸盐质量浓度为0.25~2.39 mg/L,化学需氧量的质量浓度为1.94~13.79 mg/L。微囊藻毒素(MC-LR)在水中质量浓度为0.18~0.79μg/L。蓝藻细胞数量与化学需氧量之间呈显著的正相关关系,表明蓝藻的生长情况与养殖池中的有机污染程度有密切联系,低盐度的富营养化的水体能促进蓝藻的生长,成为微藻群落中的优势种群。MC-LR的质量浓度与蓝藻细胞数量之间无显著相关。  相似文献   

19.
Among the factors influencing tourist trail network development are political issues, including the presence of state borders, the possibility of crossing them and the accessibility of border zones. In the article, it was decided to look at changes in the offer of tourist trails(hiking and cycling) along the entire border of the Czech Republic after the extension of the Schengen area(within this area, crossing the border is possible anywhere, and not only at official border crossings). It should be emphasized here that the borders of the Czech Republic over most of their length run through mountainous areas and, apart from political factors, natural features should have a major impact on the development of tourist routes. In order to determine the coherence of the current network of trails on both sides of the Czech Republic state border, modern tourist maps have been analyzed, determining the number of places where it is possible to cross the state border with the help of a marked tourist trail. Based on that, two indicators were introduced to determine the degree of openness with all neighboring countries as regards the opportunity to cross on a tourist trail. Changes in the historical situation, a comparison of the accessibility of the border area before entering the Schengen area and 2019, were analyzed for two study areas using archival maps. Over a decade after the extension of the Schengen area, the number of places where tourist trails of neighboring countries approach the border has clearly increased. Crossing is more often made possible using hiking trails than cycling routes(trails of the first type cross the border every 7.91 km, while the latter every 13.3 km), but considering the speed of movement, it can be assessed that the openness for cyclists is higher than for hikers. Moreover, in many places there is still significant potential for further integration of tourist trail networks as trails created in one country often do not have a continuation on the other side of the border.  相似文献   

20.
With parameterized wave mixing, the circulation and the tidal current in the Bering Sea were simulated simultaneously using the three-dimensional Princeton Ocean Model. The simulated circulation pattern in the deep basin is relatively stable, cyclonic, and has little seasonal change. The Bering Slope Current between 200-1000 m isobaths was estimated to be 5 Sv in volume transport. The Kamchatka Current was estimated to be 20 Sv off the Kamchatka Peninsula. The Bering shelf circulations vary with season, driven mainly by wind. These features are consistent with historical esti- mates. A counter current was captured flowing southeastward approximately along the 200 m isobath of the Bering Slope, opposite to the northwestward Bering Slope Current, which needs to be validated by observations. An upwelling current is located in the shelf break ( 120-1000 m) area, which may imply the vertical advection of nutrients for supporting the Bering Sea Green Belt seasonal plankton blooms in the breakslope area. The Bering Slope Current is located in a downwelling area.  相似文献   

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