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1.
Although the urban heat island (UHI) is a well-documented phenomenon, relatively little information in the literature is available about its impact on summer extreme heat event (EHE). As UHI is characterized by increased temperature, it can potentially increase the magnitude and duration of EHEs within cities. Based on daily maximum temperature records from 62 observation stations in Zhejiang province from the period 1971-2011 and satellite-measured nighttime light imagery from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) Operational Linescan System (OLS) during 1992-2010, we analyzed the long-term change of summer EHEs and its association with the rapid urbanization process. The results could be concluded as follows: (1) Zhejiang has experienced rapid urbanization and dramatic growth in urban areas in the past two decades, especially after 2000. (2) The summer mean maximum temperature and the 95th percentile of summer daily maximum temperature in most of its stations have increased, with the most significant increase occurring in the highly urbanized areas including the city belt around Hangzhou Bay, Taizhou–Wenzhou and Jinghua–Yiwu city belts. (3) The hot days and hot-day degrees, defined by both daily 95th percentile and the threshold of 35℃, show that the UHI effect causes additional hot days and heat stress in urban stations compared to rural stations. The results in this study suggest that the UHI effect should be determined and incorporated in preparing high temperature forecasts in cities.  相似文献   

2.
上海城市集群化发展显著增强局地高温热浪事件   总被引:8,自引:1,他引:7  
谢志清  杜银  曾燕  高苹  项瑛 《气象学报》2015,73(6):1104-1113
上海作为中国城市集群化发展的典型代表,经过30余年圈层式、集群化扩张,城市建设用地面积比例高达47.9%,接近50%的生态阈值。城市群快速扩张诱发了一个以徐家汇为中心覆盖周边40 km的区域性热岛,影响高温热浪的时空分布。基于DMSP/OLS遥感夜间灯光数据构建的城市发展指数,客观地反映出1992—2013年上海西郊嘉定、青浦和东郊的浦东集群化发展特征最凸出。利用Chow检验最优分段建模法,研究发现高温热浪期间城市群热岛突变转折与区县城市发展指数超过60%的年份相对应。城市发展指数超过60%后,近郊城市继续扩张将缩小城、郊气象站的温差,诱发更大范围热岛,增强高温热浪。1977—2000年近郊区县城市发展指数低于60%,高温热浪各要素项城郊差值显著上升,而2000年西郊城市发展指数超过60%后,和市中心差值减小,快速城市化明显增强西郊高温热浪强度和持续时间。1978年以来上海西郊与远郊高温日数差值增加了1.6倍,平均气温差值增加了34.4%,平均最高气温差值增加了41.7%。高温热浪期间遥感数据显示,向西郊伸展的城市群地表温度高值区规模扩大了32.8%,是西郊高温热浪增强的驱动因子。  相似文献   

3.
The determination of the anthropogenic impact on the thermal regime of a megalopolis is discussed. The nominal boundaries of the megalopolis thermal effects are determined taking into account orographic and landscape effects and the variability of temperature difference between the center of the city and its suburbs. It is proposed to use the data of stations located within 40-50 km from the urban agglomeration boundaries for calculating the anthropogenic component of the urban heat island. The parameters of the heat island in Moscow are determined from the measurement data on maximum and minimum daily surface air temperature in 2012-2016, and their significant seasonal and intradaily variability is revealed. It is corroborated that anthropogenic causes for the higher air temperature in Moscow as compared with suburbs during the cold season are the release and loss of heat of heating systems; in the absence of snow cover the anthropogenic effect of these sources is enhanced by the thermal radiation of the urban surface.  相似文献   

4.
城市热岛效应研究进展   总被引:14,自引:0,他引:14       下载免费PDF全文
随着城市规模的高速发展和城市人口的急剧膨胀,因城市下垫面结构的急剧变化和城市人为热排放的迅速增加所引起的城市热岛效应已逐渐成为严重影响城市人居环境和居民健康的重要因素。城市热岛效应研究已成为城市气候和区域气候研究中的热点问题。为更好地研究城市热岛效应,及时追踪国内外最新进展,综述了城市热岛的概念和形成机制,重点介绍了地面气象资料观测法、遥感监测法和边界层数值模式模拟法等3种城市热岛效应研究方法,总结了城市热岛效应国内外最新研究进展。最后基于现有城市热岛效应研究不够完善和深入,研究过于简单化和表面化,尺度局限于宏观大尺度以及各种方法自身的局限性等不足,指出在未来的城市热岛效应研究中,应突破现有的大中尺度,注意结合高分辨率卫星遥感影像进行多尺度多平台监测以及综合考虑气溶胶粒子对辐射强迫的影响等。  相似文献   

5.
应用基于多层城市冠层方案BEP(Building Environment Parameterization)增加室内空调系统影响的建筑物能量模式BEM(Building Energy Model)方案的WRF模式,模拟研究重庆热岛的特征、成因以及局地环流对热岛形成的影响。文中共有两个算例,一为重庆真实下垫面算例,称之为URBAN算例,二为将城市下垫面替换为耕地下垫面的对比算例,称之为NOURBAN算例。结果表明:1)WRF方案模拟结果与观测2 m气温的对比吻合较好,误差主要出现在正午温度峰值和凌晨温度谷值处,由城市下垫面特性及城市内建筑分布误差引起。2)BEP+BEM方案较好地模拟出了重庆地区的热岛分布的空间和时间特征。重庆市温度的分布受地形和城市下垫面的双重影响,越靠近城区,温度的分布受城市化影响就越大,在海拔低处,温度就越高。3)城区立体三维表面对辐射的陷阱作用导致城市表面总体反射率小,向上短波辐射小于郊区约20 W/m~2。城市表面以感热排放为主,而郊区则表现为潜热的作用占主导。夜间城市地表储热以及空调废热向大气释放,是城市热岛形成的重要原因。4)模拟区域背景风场主要为东南风,局地环流呈现出越靠近山区风速越大、城市区域风速较小的特性,体现了城市密集的建筑群对低层大气流场的空气动力学效应,以及复杂山谷地形的山谷风环流特性。在市区的西侧和东南侧均有高大山脉阻挡,山脉对城市出流的阻碍作用、气流越山与绕流运动对城市热岛的形成有一定影响。  相似文献   

6.
热浪对人体健康的影响及其研究方法   总被引:17,自引:1,他引:16  
由于全球气候变化和城市热岛效应,热浪成为世界范围内频繁发生的极端天气事件,这使得热浪对人体健康的影响问题成为许多国际机构,如世界气象组织(WMO)、世界卫生组织(WHO)、联合国环境规划署(UNEP)和各国气象、环境和流行病等方面科学家关注的焦点.作者介绍近年来世界各地频繁发生的热浪及其原因、热浪对人体健康的影响、热浪研究的指标法、多元回归分析和天气气候分型等多种方法,同时也提出防御热浪的一些措施.  相似文献   

7.
利用Landsat卫星数据分别反演了2005年和2014年临沂市的地表温度和不透水层指数,分析了城市化进程对临沂市热岛效应的影响。结果表明,2005年临沂市表现为中等强度的热岛效应,2014年表现为强热岛效应。利用地面站点资料统计分析来看,2005~2014年,临沂市热岛强度总体呈波动增加的趋势,冬季最强,春秋季次之,夏季较弱。分析城市化因子发现,城市经济、人口、用电消耗、城市房屋面积增量等多个因素对城市热岛强度变化的影响,其相关系数分别为0.86、0.82、0.67、0.81,其中房屋面积增量与热岛强度增强密切相关。从不透水层指数分布图的动态变化来看,也说明了城市化进程中城镇建筑和硬化的路面的增多导致了热岛强度的增强。  相似文献   

8.
华北-华东地区高温热浪与土壤湿度的关系研究   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
王丽伟  张杰 《气象科学》2015,35(5):558-564
利用观测站点的日最高气温、土壤湿度旬观测资料以及土壤湿度再分析资料等,分析了华北-华东地区高温热浪次数的时空变化特征及其与土壤湿度的关系。结果表明:1960s以及1990-2010年为高温热浪次数的高值期,1970s-1980s为低值期。利用旋转经验正交函数分解得到土壤湿度的3个气候分区,分区内前期(3-5月)和同期(6-7月)的土壤湿度与6、7月份高温热浪次数基本呈负相关关系,并且同期相关性更显著。在华北-华东北部与中部,5月下旬土壤湿度与6月高温热浪次数、6月上、中旬平均土壤湿度与6月高温热浪次数、7月平均土壤湿度与7月高温热浪次数的相关性均显著。  相似文献   

9.
重庆市城市热岛效应变化特征及减缓措施   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
利用1961~2016年重庆市逐日气温资料,分析讨论了重庆市主城区56年城市热岛效应的变化趋势和年变化特征,并利用2009~2016年的逐时气温资料分析讨论了城市热岛效应的日变化特征。结果表明:56年来重庆市城市热岛效应总体呈上升趋势,各季节中盛夏上升最明显;重庆市城市热岛效应存在明显的年变化特征,盛夏的热岛效应最强,初春次之,仲春至初夏的热岛效应最弱;重庆市城市热岛效应具有较明显的日变化特征,各季节热岛效应均表现为白天弱,夜间强。重庆市城市热岛效应的形成及其变化,既受到地理位置、气象条件等自然因素的影响,更由城市下垫面变化(绿地和水体的面积及分布)、大气污染、人为热排放等城市化进程因素所决定。结合重庆城市特点综合运用多种措施可以减缓重庆城市热岛效应。   相似文献   

10.
利用阳泉市3个国家级气象站资料分析了阳泉市城市热岛效应的年际变化、季节变化、月变化和日变化特征,结果表明:阳泉市存在弱的城市热岛效应,1972年-2011年平均热岛强度0.554℃。阳泉市热岛强度冬、秋季强,春、夏季弱;12月最强,5月最弱;阳泉市热岛强度整体呈显著上升趋势,热岛强度的增加主要是由于夏季热岛强度的增强。热岛强度日变化表现为12时最小,从傍晚开始随降温逐渐增大,到早晨气温降到最低时最大,日出之后迅速减小;2008年-2011年最强热岛强度出现在2010年1月14日08时达7.9℃。阳泉市主要城市发展因子与霾日数、气温呈显著正相关,在目前的经济发展水平条件下,城市化发展可能使阳泉城市温度增高,城市绿地面积的增加可能对热岛效应有缓解。  相似文献   

11.
The characteristics of the urban heat island effect and the climate change in Shanghai and its possible mechanism are analyzed based on monthly meteorological data from 1961 to 1997 at 16 stations in Shanghai and its adjacent areas. The results indicate that Shanghai City has the characteristics of a heat island of air temperature and maximum and minimum air temperature, a cold island of surface soil temperature, a weak rainy island of precipitation, and a turbid island of minimum visibility and aerosols, with centers at or near Longhua station (the urban station of Shanghai). Besides theses, the characteristics of a cloudy island and sunshine duration island are also obvious, but their centers are located in the southern part of the urban area and in the southern suburbs. A linear trend analysis suggests that all of the above urban effects intensified from 1961 to 1997. So far as the heat island effect is concerned, the heat island index (difference of annual temperature between Longhua and Songjiang stations) strengthens (weakens) as the economic development increases (decreases). The authors suggest that the heating increase caused by increasing energy consumption due to economic development is a main factor in controlling the climate change of Shanghai besides natural factors. On the other hand, increasing pollution aerosols contribute to the enhancement of the turbid island and cooling. On the whole, the heating effect caused by increasing energy consumption is stronger than the cooling effect caused by the turbid island and pollution aerosols.  相似文献   

12.
南京市夏季热岛特征及其与土地利用覆盖关系研究   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
裴欢  房世峰 《干旱气象》2008,26(1):23-27
利用南京市7月的Landsat TM热红外波段数据,根据单窗算法反演得到南京市地表温度,讨论了南京市热岛特征,并分析了产生这种现象的原因。通过遥感和地理信息系统相结合,运用Landsat TM数据,提取出南京市下垫面类型,分析了不同地表覆盖类型的热辐射特征并定量地分析了土地利用及植被对地表温度的影响。结果显示,南京市夏季主要存在3个热岛中心,分别是建成区、大厂区和八卦洲。南京城区地表温度明显比郊区地表温度高,通过地表温度对比分析发现,城区平均地表温度比城市边缘和远郊区地表温度分别高出3.5℃和5.7℃,城市热岛效应明显。不同地表覆盖类型的地表温度也有显著差异,从高到低依次为:城镇建设用地、耕地、草地、林地、水体。城镇建设用地与水体的表面温度最大相差14℃。城市地表温度与植被覆盖度具有明显的负相关关系,城市地表植被覆盖度低是城市热岛出现的主要原因,今后应当更加注重城市绿地建设,提高植被覆盖率。  相似文献   

13.
利用建站以来鞍山站和海城乡村站的一日四次观测数据和逐日平均、最低和最高气温资料,对1951-2017年鞍山市年、四季和各月平均气温和极端气温变化特征及其变率进行了分析,并对鞍山城市热岛变化进行探讨。结果表明:1951-2017年鞍山市年平均最低气温的递增趋势最强、平均气温次之、平均最高气温最弱,且均通过显著性检验。1951-2017年鞍山市年极端最高气温变化呈弱递减趋势,1951-1987年(突变前)呈递减趋势、1988-2017年(突变后)为递增趋势。1951-2017年鞍山市年极端最低气温呈显著递增趋势,1951-1987年(突变前)较整个阶段递增趋势更强,1988-2017年(突变后)呈递减趋势;突变前后极端最高和极端最低气温呈反相变化特征。1958-2017年鞍山市年最低气温的城市热岛强度最大、平均气温次之,最高气温最小、递增趋势最弱;秋、冬季鞍山城市热岛强度较其他季节更强,热岛指数递增显著;在每日4次定时气温观测中,14时鞍山市热岛强度最小,热岛指数呈递减趋势,其余时次均呈显著递增趋势,其中,02时鞍山热岛强度最强;鞍山市平均气温变化呈显著增暖趋势,城市热岛强度和热岛指数均呈显著递增,夜间递增尤为突出,说明鞍山城市热岛的显著增强是鞍山市气候变暖的一个主要原因。  相似文献   

14.
近50a南京市气温和热岛效应变化特征   总被引:8,自引:5,他引:3  
杨英宝  江南 《气象科学》2009,29(1):88-91
利用南京市常规气象观测气温资料,分析1951年以来气温的变化趋势、季节特征以及年际特征,通过市区气象站和郊区六合县气象站的统计资料对比分析,了解南京市热岛效应的强度变化,以1985和2000年两期遥感影像探讨南京市热岛效应分布范围的变化特征.结果表明:1951-2000年期间南京市日最高、最低气温和日平均气温的年平均呈现上升趋势;日均气温和日最高气温夏季呈现下降趋势,春季、秋季和冬季表现为上升趋势,日最低气温所有季节都呈现上升趋势;1990s是南京市1951-2000年间增温幅度最大的时期;南京市热岛效应强度呈现增强趋势;分布范围扩大,自1985年以来热岛效应面积共增加了107.88 km2,高强度热岛中心1985年两个,到2000年已增加到3个.  相似文献   

15.
An extraordinary heat wave occurred in Serbia from July 14 to July 24 in 2007. Record values of the maximum temperatures were observed over almost the whole territory of Serbia and in Smederevska Palanka, a temperature of 44.9°C was registered, which was the absolute maximum value ever recorded. The highest increase over the previous absolute maximum temperature, dating back to 1888, of 3.1°C was registered in Belgrade. The Warm Spell Duration Indicator, from which the duration and severity of the heat waves are estimated, was applied to the series of the daily maximum temperatures in Smederevska Palanka. An analysis of the daily maximum temperatures and heat waves during the summer of 2007 revealed significant changes in the trends of anomalies and extreme (90%) quantiles. In addition, the main characteristics of the heat wave and the circulation conditions which caused the heat wave in Serbia during the summer 2007 were analyzed.  相似文献   

16.
南京市最高温度场的数值模拟   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
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17.
Criteria for heat and cold wave duration indexes   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
Many areas of society are susceptible to the effects of extreme temperatures. Without an adequate definition of what constitutes heat and cold waves, it is impossible to assess either their changes in the past or their possible consequences for the future. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recommended criteria for heat wave duration indexes based on two arbitrarily defined constants. The principal weakness of this approach is that it does not yield comparable results for different geographical locations. This paper remedies the current lack of a meteorologically based definition of heat and cold waves and offers a preliminary test of its performance. Having previously shown that maximum daily temperature values follow normal frequency distribution, we derive statistical thresholds (e.g., below and above normal) from that distribution. These thresholds are thus climate specific and their change can be compared across geographical locations. These criteria are then tested on the homogeneous time series of maximum daily temperature observed for the period 1961–2008 with respect to three different geographical locations. The results obtained show an increase in the frequency of heat waves for the period 1991–2008 in comparison with the normal climatological period 1961–1990.  相似文献   

18.
This paper studies the maximum intensity of the urban heat island (UHI) that develops in Volos urban area, a medium-sized coastal city in central Greece. The maximum temperature difference between the city center and a suburb is 3.4°C and 3.1°C during winter and summer, respectively, while during both seasons the average maximum UHI intensity is 2.0°C. The UHI usually starts developing after sunset during both seasons. It could be attributed to the different nocturnal radiative cooling rate and to the different anthropogenic heat emission rate that are observed at the city center and at the suburb, as well as to meteorological conditions. The analysis reveals that during both seasons the daily maximum hourly (DMH) UHI intensity is positively correlated with solar radiation and with previous day’s maximum hourly UHI intensity and negatively correlated with wind speed. It is also negatively correlated with relative humidity during winter but positively correlated with it during summer. This difference could be attributed to the different mechanisms that mainly drive humidity levels (i.e., evaporation in winter and sea breeze (SB) in summer). Moreover, it is found that SB development triggers a delay in UHI formation in summer. The impact of atmospheric pollution on maximum UHI intensity is also examined. An increase in PM10 concentration is associated with an increase in maximum UHI intensity during winter and with a decrease during summer. The impact of PM10 on UHI is caused by the attenuation of the incoming and the outgoing radiation. Additionally, this study shows that the weekly cycle of the city activities induces a weekly variation in maximum UHI intensity levels. The weekly range of DMH UHI intensity is not very large, being more pronounced during winter (0.4°C). Moreover, a first attempt is made to predict the DMH UHI intensity by applying regression models, whose success is rather promising.  相似文献   

19.
Global warming is one of the greatest environmental, economic, and social threats in the world. There are many assessments to estimate climate variability over many regions. A change in the Earth’s surface temperature leads to increase in extreme temperature events, which are harmful to the ecosystem, and moreover, they create danger on human health. In this study, we have selected the western part of Turkey as the study area, since climate change projections for Turkey point out that the highest temperature change can be expected on this region during summer, and the Turkish population is very dense here to be affected by extreme events. We have used apparent temperatures to define the heat waves which we have determined their frequencies for the summer months (June–August) of 1965–2006. Since the regional comparisons of station results are intended, we selected the 90th percentile value for each station as a threshold value to be used in the delineation of heat waves. Then, the number of heat waves is determined by imposing the constraint that apparent temperatures stay above the threshold value at least for three consecutive days. Then, the changes in the number of hot days and heat waves and also their durations are analyzed by using the linear least square method. We have found that the number of hot days, heat waves, and heat wave durations is increased between 1965 and 2006 on the western part of Turkey. Additionally, their rate of change is larger within the last decade and extremes are frequently observed after 1998. Regional distributions show that the tendency of the number of heat wave events increases towards the southern latitudes of the domain. Moreover, we investigated the relationship between the number of hot days and the sea surface temperatures of the Mediterranean Sea and Black Sea. Correlation analyses are carried out by the number of hot days and averaged sea surface temperatures on the regions of the western, central, and eastern Mediterranean Sea and the Black Sea. It is found that the number of hot days of west Turkey is better correlated with the sea surface temperatures averaged over eastern Mediterranean and Black Seas. The number of heat waves is found significantly correlated with the fire occurrences for most of the stations.  相似文献   

20.
选取1971—2017年7个国家级气象站的气温资料,分析年代际气温变化特征及城郊温差、城县温差;选取2014—2017年103个国家考核区域气象站及7个国家级气象站逐时气温资料,利用标准化相对气温法,研究西安市城市热岛、冷岛的年、季平均空间分布特征,以及逐日热岛、冷岛变化规律。结果显示:1971—2017年城区、郊区和郊县气温均呈上升趋势,城区增温速率最大,郊县增温速率最小,进入21世纪后,城市热岛效应较为显著。西安市城市热岛、冷岛现象明显,且均呈"多中心"特征,热岛中心多为老城区及旅游中心,建筑物面积和人口密度占绝对优势;冷岛中心多为地势较高、水域绿被覆盖较大、非人口密集区的秦岭坡脚线附近。城区代表站的年、春季、夏季、秋季基本处于平稳状态,年、春季、夏季06—07时热岛强度最大,秋季、冬季23时热岛强度最大;郊区代表站和郊县代表站的年及四季热岛、冷岛强度均有明显的日变化特征,且变化趋势相反;郊区代表站10时热岛转为冷岛,春、夏季16—17时转为热岛,年及秋、冬两季19—20时转为热岛;郊县代表站年、春季、夏季06—07时冷岛强度最大,秋季、冬季2时冷岛强度最大,08时后冷岛开始减弱,12—13时为最弱后开始增强。  相似文献   

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