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1.
Through time people have been mobile, for a variety of complex reasons at a range of scales from local through regional and continental to intercontinental. Some are voluntary, others are made under pressure and the force of various circumstances, with environmental, socio-economic and political factors often interrelating to cause movements. We are now more mobile than at any time in the past, there are more people to move, the means to move are greater, and political boundaries are either open or often crossed without great difficulty. These movements have considerable consequences for human health, for disease transmission and diffusion and for measures for health improvement. They are viewed at a global scale, and then for two major regions in more detail to illustrate their significance for one old and one new disease, for malaria in Southeast Asia and for HIV/AIDS in West Africa. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

2.
峰值速度和加速度对环境剪应力的依赖性   总被引:42,自引:5,他引:42       下载免费PDF全文
从导出的地震定标律和地震破裂过程的断裂力学模式出发,得到了震源平均位移、速度和加速度谱的表达式,进而又推导出震源的峰值位移d_m,速度v_m和加速度a_m的表达式:d_m=k_dM_0~2/~3τ_0~(2/3),v=k_vM_0~(1/3)τ_0~(4/3),a_m=k_aτ_0~2式中M_0是地震矩,τ_0是环境剪应力值,k_d,k_v,k_a为适当的常数.我们选用了66个地震的观测资料,这些地震的矩震级范围包括了从1级左右的极微震,3-5级的小震,直到6-7级的大震;地震矩从10~9-10~(20)Nm,跨越了10个数量级,并用这些地震检验了上述公式. 令所有地震的平均应力为5MPa,定出常数k_d,k_v,k_a,进而由速度和加速度观测资料求得66个地震的环境剪应力τ_0值,这些数值相当稳定.多数极微震的τ_0值在2-4MPa之间;小震的τ_0值多数在4-8MPa左右;大震的τ_0值为10MPa左右。τ_0值对震源深度和断层类型有明显的依赖性.一般深度很浅的小震和极微震,τ_0值很低;正断层地震的τ_0值相对较低;逆断层地震的τ_0值较高;走滑断层地震的τ_0值则居中.  相似文献   

3.
国内阻尼器工程应用越来越多,阻尼器生产和应用时需要进行型式检验和出厂检验。中国和欧盟均制定了阻尼器产品检验标准,但在检测参数、检测方法和数据处理等方面存在一些差异,有些参数的检测还存在一些困难和争议,通过比较研究,指出中欧阻尼器检测标准的异同点,并分析各自的特点。以应用量较大的位移型软钢阻尼器和速度型黏滞流体阻尼器为例,比较中国和欧盟检测标准的异同点,内容包括检测方法、检测设备和数据处理方法等,提出一些对现有检测标准的改进建议,供同行参考。  相似文献   

4.
Love wave dispersion in various semi-infinite media consisting of inhomogeneous layers is discussed. The phase and group velocities are computed when shear wave velocity and density in each inhomogeneous layer are varying exponentially with depth. At the beginning one or two inhomogeneous layers over a homogeneous semi-infinite medium are considered. The dispersion results for these structures are compared with those for their approximations with homogeneous layers. Comparisons show that differences of phase and group velocities for the original models from those for their approximated models (i) increase with the increase of wave number and (ii) are larger for group velocity than for phase velocity. The difference is approximately proportional to the rate of change of parameters in the layers. Finally, dispersion curves are obtained for model IP3MC, which consists of many inhomogeneous and homogeneous layers over a homogeneous semi-infinite medium. The results are compared with the observed group velocity data across the Indian Peninsula.  相似文献   

5.
Shutov  V. A. 《Water Resources》2004,31(3):247-255
Methods of the use of radar information in applied hydrology (in particular, for calculation of runoff probability) are developed. Examples of treatment and statistical analysis of such information are presented. Operations with matrices of precipitation fields obtained with the help of radars are described. Examples of probability estimation for different precipitation gradations and the quantization of precipitation fields are given. Prospects for application of the limiting intensity method in runoff calculations are discussed. Different procedures are proposed to improve the calculation method for the maximum specific rate of rainfall runoff from small river basins, with the allowance made for the statistics of spatial distributions of the initial variables and parameters.  相似文献   

6.
Modal properties of tuned mass damper (TMD)-structure two-degree-of-freedom (2DOF) linear systems are studied employing a perturbation technique. Using the perturbation solutions, formulas relevant to designing the TMD for various types of loading are obtained; they are expressed as a function of mass ratio, tuning ratio, damping ratio of the TMD and damping ratio of the structure. Equivalent additional dampings of the structure due to the TMD are derived for random and harmonic forces. Matched expressions of equivalent damping, which are valid for detuned, i.e. non-optimal, conditions are also presented. The stability boundary of TMD-structure systems subject to linear self-excited forces is derived in a closed form. Using the perturbation solutions, procedures for optimizing the TMD parameters for various types of loading are explained and the optimal values are derived. The formulas obtained in this study can be used with good accuracy for mass ratios less than 0.02.  相似文献   

7.
Aquifer parameter estimation from surface resistivity data   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
This paper is devoted to the additional use, other than ground water exploration, of surface geoelectrical sounding data for aquifer hydraulic parameter estimation. In a mesoscopic framework, approximated analytical equations are developed separately for saline and for fresh water saturations. A few existing useful aquifer models, both for clean and shaley sandstones, are discussed in terms of their electrical and hydraulic effects, along with the linkage between the two. These equations are derived for insight and physical understanding of the phenomenon. In a macroscopic scale, a general aquifer model is proposed and analytical relations are derived for meaningful estimation, with a higher level of confidence, of hydraulic parameter from electrical parameters. The physical reasons for two different equations at the macroscopic level are explicitly explained to avoid confusion. Numerical examples from existing literature are reproduced to buttress our viewpoint.  相似文献   

8.
The advective monthly mean transfer of water vapour in the layer below 700 mbar is investigated for India for the years 1962 to 1972 and for the months January to September. The average zonal and meridional components of the transfer of water vapour for India are obtained. They are further averaged for different combinations of the pre-monsoon months from January to May and are correlated with the summer monsoon rainfall. The correlation coefficients for zonal transfer of water vapour are either negative or small positive for different combinations of the months mentioned above. The correlation coefficients for the meridional transfer of water vapour are positive. The maximum value is 0.74 for the March to May combination and is statistically significant at the 1% level.An extensive investigation is, therefore, made for the March to May averages of water vapour transfer for four broad regions of India. The parameters of water vapour transfer for these regions are compared with the threshold values and the prediction category, normal or drought, for the subsequent summer monsoon season is determined for all years. The correlation coefficient between the index of drought, as determined from parameters of water vapour transport and rainfall departure, is statistically significant at the 2% level.  相似文献   

9.
地震安全性评价工程师资格考试大纲已审定通过   总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12  
把美国西部地区作为参考区,采用我国地震动参数区划图工作时所使用的美国西部地区强震资料建立参考区水平向基岩短周期加速度反应谱衰减关系;采用美国南加州地区数字宽频带记录建立参考区水平向基岩长周期加速度反应谱衰减关系。与由丰富的等震线资料统计得出的我国东部地区和西部地区的地震烈度衰减关系一起,用转换方法分别得到了我国东部和西部地区水平向基岩加速度反应谱衰减关系。对该衰减关系在重大工程地震安全性评价工作中的应用提出了建议。  相似文献   

10.
吴小平  黄雍  康国发  冒蔚 《地震研究》2002,25(2):166-172
在进行潮汐应力对发震断层作用研究的基础上,对云南、四川两区域受到潮汐应力触发作用的强震和中强震发震时的月日赤纬及黄经差进行了计算,得到了其分布图象。结果表明:云南、四川两不同构造区域上受到潮汐触发作用地震时的月日赤纬和黄经差分布图象是不同的,受到潮汐应力触发作用的强震和中强震的地震频次随月日黄经差的分布特征有明显差别,这些图象初步揭示了这两个区域的地震最易受到潮汐触发的日、月位置。  相似文献   

11.
桥梁抗震设计规范的现状与发展趋势   总被引:12,自引:3,他引:9  
本文对世界主要桥梁结构抗震设计规范的现状进行了较为详细的对比,指出我国现行《公路工程抗震设计规范》中存在的一些缺点。本文还对目前国际上桥梁结构抗震设计规范的发展动向进行了总结,提出了修订我国新《城市桥梁抗震设计规范》的一些意见。  相似文献   

12.
引起大地电场变化的一些因素   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
对河北省4个电场台站3年多的大地电场资料进行了全面的分析、整理,总结出引起大地电场变化的一些因素,这对我们认识资料有所帮助。对分析和利用大地电场资料有一定意义。  相似文献   

13.
Semi-empirical procedures for evaluating the liquefaction potential of saturated cohesionless soils during earthquakes are re-examined and revised relations for use in practice are recommended. The stress reduction factor (rd), earthquake magnitude scaling factor for cyclic stress ratios (MSF), overburden correction factor for cyclic stress ratios (Kσ), and the overburden normalization factor for penetration resistances (CN) are discussed and recently modified relations are presented. These modified relations are used in re-evaluations of the SPT and CPT case history databases. Based on these re-evaluations, revised SPT- and CPT-based liquefaction correlations are recommended for use in practice. In addition, shear wave velocity based procedures are briefly discussed.  相似文献   

14.
Ground motion prediction equations (GMPE) in terms of macroseismic intensity are a prerequisite for intensity-based shake maps and seismic hazard assessment and have the advantage of direct relation to earthquake damage and good data availability also for historical events. In this study, we derive GMPE for macroseismic intensity for the Campania region in southern Italy. This region is highly exposed to the seismic hazard related to the high seismicity with moderate- to large-magnitude earthquakes in the Appenninic belt. The relations are based on physical considerations and are easy to implement for the user. The uncertainties in earthquake source parameters are accounted for through a Monte Carlo approach and results are compared to those obtained through a standard regression scheme. One relation takes into account the finite dimensions of the fault plane and describes the site intensity as a function of Joyner–Boore distance. Additionally, a relation describing the intensity as a function of epicentral distance is derived for implementation in cases where the dimensions of the fault plane are unknown. The relations are based on an extensive dataset of macroseismic intensities for large earthquakes in the Campania region and are valid in the magnitude range M w = 6.3–7.0 for shallow crustal earthquakes. Results indicate that the uncertainties in earthquake source parameters are negligible in comparison to the spread in the intensity data. The GMPE provide a good overall fit to historical earthquakes in the region and can provide the intensities for a future earthquake within 1 intensity unit.  相似文献   

15.
Instrumental neutron activation analysis was used for the determination of more than 20 trace and minor elements in water and silt samples (suspended load) of the river Aare. The samples were collected at four different locations along the river between its source and the lake of Bienne. The principal results are: 1. The concentrations of all elements investigated are much lower than WHO-limits for drinking water. 2. Human activities are responsible for an increase of some elements along the river. 3. The concentrations of dissolved trace elements are generally anticorrelated with the water flow rate. 4. The concentrations of the trace elements in particulates (in μg/l) are correlated with the flow rate of water. Except for Ca?Sr there are no significant interelement correlations for all four sampling stations.  相似文献   

16.
The decrease of density contrast in sedimentary basins may be approximated by a quadratic function. A sedimentary basin may be viewed as a number of prisms placed in juxtaposition. Equations in closed form for the gravity anomalies of 3D and 2½ D prismatic models are derived. Approximate equations for these models are also derived for rapid calculations. Efficient methods are developed for anomaly calculation by an appropriate use of the exact and approximate equations, and hence, for 3D and 2½ D modelling. The depths to the basement are adjusted iteratively by comparing the calculated anomalies with the observed anomalies. These methods are applied for analysis of the residual anomaly map of the Los Angeles Basin, California.  相似文献   

17.
Expectation Maximization algorithm and its minimal detectable outliers   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Minimal Detectable Biases (MDBs) or Minimal Detectable Outliers for the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm based on the variance-inflation and the mean-shift model are determined for an example. A Monte Carlo method is applied with no outlier and with one, two and three randomly chosen outliers. The outliers introduced are recovered and the corresponding MDBs are almost independent from the number of outliers. The results are compared to the MDB derived earlier by the author. This MDB approximately agrees with the MDB for one outlier of the EM algorithm. The MDBs for two and three outliers are considerably larger than MDBs of the EM algorithm.  相似文献   

18.
介绍了土坡稳定性分析的几类方法,着重就极限平衡理论的七种方法进行评述,指出了它们的主要假设条件、计算途径以及假定条件可能存在的不合理之处,并对影响土坡稳定性的地震力计算方法也作了介绍。  相似文献   

19.
Introduction Developing local attenuation relations of ground motion is one of the key steps in seismic hazard assessment. Because of inadequate strong ground motion records in China, the attenuation relations used in China are usually developed by using the transforming method (Hu, Zhang, 1983; HU, ZHANG, 1984). To use this method, we need to have both the attenuation relation of seismic intensity for the studied region and the attenuation relations of seismic intensity and ground mo-tion…  相似文献   

20.
采用R值评分方法,对中国地震局地球物理研究所2001—2004年度划定的全国地震危险区进行了评估,2001—2004年度的R值分别为0.265、0.182、0.293、0.404。近两年的R值相对高些,为了排除随机成分,做了相应的随机预报试验检验,并对地震落入危险区的随机概率作了估计。结果表明,4个年度的R值明显高于随机预报,除2002年度外,地震随机落入危险区的概率很低,不到2%。这说明中国地震局地球物理研究所实际地震危险区划分取得了一定的效果,且逐年提高。  相似文献   

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