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1.
Modelling the influence of snow accumulation and snow-ice formation on the seasonal cycle of the Antarctic sea-ice cover 总被引：5，自引：5，他引：0
Recent observational and numerical studies of the maritime snow cover in the Antarctic suggest that snow on top of sea ice
plays a major role in shaping the seasonal growth and decay of the ice pack in the Southern Ocean. Here, we make a quantitative
assessment of the importance of snow accumulation in controlling the seasonal cycle of the ice cover with a coupled snow–sea-ice–upper-ocean
model. The model takes into account snow and ice sublimation and snow deposition by condensation. A parametrisation of the
formation of snow ice (ice resulting from the freezing of a mixture of snow and seawater produced by flooding of the ice floes)
is also included. Experiments on the sensitivity of the snow–sea-ice system to variations in the sublimation/condensation
rate, the precipitation rate, and the amount of snowfall transported by the wind into leads are discussed. Although we focus
on the model response in the Southern Hemisphere, results for the Arctic are also discussed in some cases to highlight the
relative importance of the processes under study in both hemispheres. It is found that the snow loss by sublimation can account
for the removal of 0.45 m of snow per year in the Antarctic and that this loss significantly affects the total volume of snow
ice. A precipitation decrease of 50% is conducive to large reductions in the Antarctic snow and snow-ice volumes, but it leads
only to an 8% decrease in the annual mean ice volume. The Southern Ocean ice pack is more sensitive to increases in precipitation.
For precipitation rates 1.5 times larger than the control ones, the annual mean snow, ice, and snow-ice volumes augment by
30, 20, and 180%, respectively. It is also found that the transfer to the ocean of as much as 50% of the precipitating snow
as a result of wind transport has almost negligible effects on the total ice volume. All the experiments exhibit a marked
geographical contrast in the ice-cover response, with a much larger sensitivity in the western sector of the Southern Ocean
than in the eastern sector. Our results suggest that snow-related processes are of secondary importance for determining the
sensitivity of the Arctic sea ice to environmental changes but that these processes could have an important part to play in
the response of the Antarctic sea-ice cover to future, or current, climatic changes.
Received: 30 June 1997/Accepted: 2 October 1998 相似文献
2.
A. N. Chetyrbotskii 《Russian Meteorology and Hydrology》2010,35(3):211-217
The model is constructed based on the concepts of the character of thermal evolution of the sea ice cover thickness. The dynamics
of the ice thickness and that of the melt water forming in the ice cover are considered at the stage of melting. The space
limitation of the marine environment for the ice is taken into account both for the stage of the ice cover formation and for
the stage of its melting. The model is investigated analytically. The parametric identification of the model and the estimation
of its adequacy are performed based on sampling distributions of the ice cover thickness in the Sea of Japan. 相似文献
3.
渤海的海冰数值预报 总被引：33，自引：0，他引：33
根据渤海气候和冰情特点,在已有海冰模式研究基础上,提出模拟海冰增长、消融和漂移的动力－热力学模式。模式冰厚分布由开阔水、平整冰和堆积冰三要素表示。该模式已与数值天气预报模式、大气边界层模式、潮流模式联结,并于１９９０年到１９９６年在国家海洋环境预报中心进行渤海和北黄海冰情预报。其数值预报产品包括冰厚、密度集、冰速、冰外缘线、冰脊参数、局地冰厚以及接近石油平台的冰漂移轨迹等,传送到国家海洋预报台和渤海石油公司等有关用户。为了客观评价模式和检验预报结果,在逐日预报后进行统计检验。本文概述渤海冰情、卫星遥感应用、冰模式及其预报结果和检验。 相似文献
4.
The optimized (all iterative procedures are excluded) local one-dimensional thermody-namic model of the formation and melting of ice is proposed. The numerical computation of ice cover evolution in the Kerch Strait under the influence of thermodynamic factors for the period of 5 months is carried out for the real conditions of winter of 2011/12. Thec results agree well with the available obser-vational data on the timing of ice formation and on ice thickness in the southern part of the Sea of Azov and in the Taman Bay. In combination with the full three-dimensional hydrodynamic model and taking into account diurnal variations in external factors, the model simulates the spatial distribution of ice cover formation. 相似文献
5.
A. N. Chetyrbotskii 《Russian Meteorology and Hydrology》2007,32(5):313-319
Results of large-scale mathematical modeling of sea ice cover evolution are analyzed. Special attention is given to formalization of the thermal effect of the atmosphere on ice cover evolution. A model of sea ice cover evolution is developed in which thermal effects of the environment on ice cover and aggregation, fragmentation, and hummocking of ice are taken into account. The model adequacy is estimated by sample distribution of area and thickness of ice cover in the Sea of Japan. 相似文献
6.
The Arctic’s rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: a research synthesis 总被引：21，自引：1，他引：20
Julienne C. Stroeve Mark C. Serreze Marika M. Holland Jennifer E. Kay James Malanik Andrew P. Barrett 《Climatic change》2012,110(3-4):1005-1027
The sequence of extreme September sea ice extent minima over the past decade suggests acceleration in the response of the Arctic sea ice cover to external forcing, hastening the ongoing transition towards a seasonally open Arctic Ocean. This reflects several mutually supporting processes. Because of the extensive open water in recent Septembers, ice cover in the following spring is increasingly dominated by thin, first-year ice (ice formed during the previous autumn and winter) that is vulnerable to melting out in summer. Thinner ice in spring in turn fosters a stronger summer ice-albedo feedback through earlier formation of open water areas. A thin ice cover is also more vulnerable to strong summer retreat under anomalous atmospheric forcing. Finally, general warming of the Arctic has reduced the likelihood of cold years that could bring about temporary recovery of the ice cover. Events leading to the September ice extent minima of recent years exemplify these processes. 相似文献
7.
The effect of snow on Antarctic sea ice simulations in a coupled atmosphere-sea ice model 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
The effect of a snow cover on sea ice accretion and ablation is estimated based on the ‘zero-layer’ version sea ice model
of Semtner, and is examined using a coupled atmosphere-sea ice model including feedbacks and ice dynamics effects. When snow
is disregarded in the coupled model the averaged Antarctic sea ice becomes thicker. When only half of the snowfall predicted
by the atmospheric model is allowed to land on the ice surface sea ice gets thicker in most of the Weddell and Ross Seas but
thinner in East Antarctic in winter, with the average slightly thicker. When twice as much snowfall as predicted by the atmospheric
model is assumed to land on the ice surface sea ice also gets much thicker due to the large increase of snow-ice formation.
These results indicate the importance of the correct simulation of the snow cover over sea ice and snow-ice formation in the
Antarctic. Our results also illustrate the complex feedback effects of the snow cover in global climate models. In this study
we have also tested the use of a mean value of 0.16 Wm-1 K-1 instead of 0.31 for the thermal conductivity of snow in the coupled model, based on the most recent observations in the eastern
Antarctic and Bellingshausen and Amundsen Seas, and have found that the sea ice distribution changes greatly, with the ice
becoming much thinner by about 0.2 m in the Antarctic and about 0.4 m in the Arctic on average. This implies that the magnitude
of the thermal conductivity of snow is of considerable importance for the simulation of the sea ice distribution. An appropriate
value of the thermal conductivity of snow is as crucial as the depth of the snow layer and the snowfall rate in a sea ice
model. The coupled climate models require accurate values of the effective thermal conductivity of snow from observations
for validating the simulated sea ice distribution under the present climate conditions.
Received: 20 November 1997/Accepted: 27 July 1998 相似文献
8.
Xiaoyi SHEN Chang-Qing KE Bin CHENG Wentao XIA Mengmeng LI Xuening YU Haili LI 《大气科学进展》2021,38(9):1474-1485
In August 2018, a remarkable polynya was observed off the north coast of Greenland, a perennial ice zone where thick sea ice cover persists. In order to investigate the formation process of this polynya, satellite observations, a coupled iceocean model, ocean profiling data, and atmosphere reanalysis data were applied. We found that the thinnest sea ice cover in August since 1978(mean value of 1.1 m, compared to the average value of 2.8 m during 1978-2017) and the modest southerly wind caused by a positive North Atlantic Oscillation(mean value of 0.82, compared to the climatological value of-0.02) were responsible for the formation and maintenance of this polynya. The opening mechanism of this polynya differs from the one formed in February 2018 in the same area caused by persistent anomalously high wind. Sea ice drift patterns have become more responsive to the atmospheric forcing due to thinning of sea ice cover in this region. 相似文献
9.
Considered are the peculiarities of fast ice formation in the Antarctic coastal waters. It is noted that the fine-crystalline ice with the chaotic orientation of crystals is mainly developed in the surface layers of the ice cover as well as the ice formed due to the infiltration of the sea water and its subsequent freezing in the lower layers of the snow cover. It is demonstrated that under the conditions of coastal Antarctic, the lamination of the structure during the period of ice cover formation and its subsequent development is the result of heavy precipitation in the form of snow and the formation of the large amount of snow sludge and crystals of intrawater ice (frazil ice) on the open water. The main distinctive feature of the Antarctic sea ice is its seasonal stratification with the formation of the surface layer of recrystallized ice and underlying destructive layers including the water interlayer in the ice column. The provision of the safety of overice movement of machinery requires the development of methods of continuous remote control of the snow-ice stratum of the fast ice. 相似文献
10.
Shupo Ma Libo Zhou Han Zou Meigen Zhang Peng Li 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2013,120(1-2):45-51
Observations and model simulations were conducted in a typical Himalayan valley to investigate the role of snow/ice cover in the formation of the local diurnal wind. An unusual local circulation was observed in the Himalayas with a strong down-valley flow dominant from noon to midnight, greatly differing from those in other mountainous regions. Two experiments with snow/ice cover included/excluded were performed using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) to reconstruct the Himalayan circulation, and to reveal the role of snow/ice in this circulation. The results show that the wind system in the Himalayas is composed of both glacier winds driven by the snow/ice cover and classical mountain-valley winds. In particular, the glacier winds establish the distinctive feature of the Himalayan local circulation, i.e., the strong down-valley flow in the afternoon. 相似文献
11.
R. L. Raddatz T. Papakyriakou R. J. Galley M. G. Asplin L. M. Candlish B. Else 《大气与海洋》2013,51(5):489-504
The 2009 ArcticNet expedition was a field campaign in the Amundsen Gulf–eastern Beaufort Sea region from mid-July to the beginning of November aboard the CCGS Amundsen that provided an opportunity to describe the all-sky surface radiation and the clear-sky surface energy budgets from summer to freeze-up in the data sparse western maritime Arctic. Because the fractional area of open water was generally larger than the fractional area of ice floes, the net radiation at the water surface controlled the radiation budget. Because the water albedo is much less than the albedo of the ice floes, the extent and duration of open water in summer is an important albedo feedback mechanism. From summer to freeze-up, the net all-sky shortwave radiation declined steadily as the solar angle lowered, while coincidently the net all-sky longwave radiation became increasingly negative. The all-sky net surface radiation switched from positive in summer to negative during the freeze-up period. From summer to freeze-up, both upward and downward turbulent heat fluxes occurred. In summer, a positive surface energy budget residual contributed to the melting of ice floes and/or to the warming of the Arctic Ocean's mixed layer. During the freeze-up period, with temperatures below approximately ?5°C, the residuals were mainly negative suggesting that heat loss from the ocean's mixed layer and heat released by the phase change of water were significant components of the energy budget's residual. 相似文献
12.
13.
Abstract This study reports on the implementation of an interactive mixed‐layer/thermodynamic‐ice lake model coupled with the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM). For this application the CRCM, which uses a grid mesh of 45 km on a polar stereographic projection, 10 vertical levels, and a timestep of 15 min, is nested with the second generation Canadian General Circulation Model (GCM) simulated output. A numerical simulation of the climate of eastern North America, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, is then performed in order to evaluate the coupled model. The lakes are represented by a “mixed layer” model to simulate the evolution of the surface water temperature, and a thermodynamic ice model to simulate evolution of the ice cover. The mixed‐layer depth is allowed to vary spatially. Lake‐ice leads are parametrized as a function of ice thickness based on observations. Results from a 5‐year integration show that the coupled CRCM/lake model is capable of simulating the seasonal evolution of surface temperature and ice cover in the Great Lakes. When compared with lake climatology, the simulated mean surface water temperature agrees within 0.12°C on average. The seasonal evolution of the lake‐ice cover is realistic but the model tends to underestimate the monthly mean ice concentration on average. The simulated winter lake‐induced precipitation is also shown, and snow accumulation patterns on downwind shores of the lakes are found to be realistic when compared with observations. 相似文献
14.
15.
Abstract Wave‐induced ice motions measured during the Labrador Ice Margin Experiment (LIMEX ‘89) were interpreted to determine the cause and the frequency of collisions between floes. The LIMEX acceleration data were acquired with an optimal resolution near the predominant wave frequency and did not contain information above 0.5 Hz. It was therefore possible to establish the frequency of collisions, but not the magnitude of the events. Events were defined by any contact between floes in a wave cycle, and the distribution of times between events indicates that floes are more likely to collide in adjacent wave cycles than if the events were independent. Periods of continuous and intermittent collisions were related to the wave characteristics, and the frequency of events increased with a decrease in air temperature and an increase in local wind speed. Contrary to expectations, there was not a positive relation between collision frequency and wave amplitude. 相似文献
16.
K. P. Tyshko 《Russian Meteorology and Hydrology》2010,35(12):823-831
Main differences are considered in the formation of physical and mechanical ice properties in hummocky formations as compared
with level areas of the ice cover. The results of laboratory and field investigations demonstrate that these differences are
caused both by dynamometamorphic transformations of crystal ice structure as a result of the compression of ice fields before
the beginning of hummocky ice formation and in the process of consolidation of ice blocks within the ice hummocks formed during
the winter-spring period. 相似文献
17.
Relationships between the ice cover thickness alimentation and negative temperatures sums are defined for several ice profiles in the Votkinsk reservoir. Possibility of their using for the ice cover thickness forecasting is considered. Criteria of the acceptable errors of the ice cover forecasts and computations are studied. A new way of their improvement is proposed. 相似文献
18.
Submarine and satellite observations show that the Arctic Ocean ice cover has undergone a large thickness reduction and a decrease in the areal extent during the last decades. Here the response of the Arctic Ocean ice cover to changes in the poleward atmospheric energy transport, F wall, is investigated using coupled atmosphere-ice-ocean column models. Two models with highly different complexity are used in order to illustrate the importance of different internal processes and the results highlight the dramatic effects of the negative ice thickness—ice volume export feedback and the positive surface albedo feedback. The steady state ice thickness as a function of F wall is determined for various model setups and defines what we call ice thickness response curves. When a variable surface albedo and snow precipitation is included, a complex response curve appears with two distinct regimes: a perennial ice cover regime with a fairly linear response and a less responsive seasonal ice cover regime. The two regimes are separated by a steep transition associated with surface albedo feedback. The associated hysteresis is however small, indicating that the Arctic climate system does not have an irreversible tipping point behaviour related to the surface albedo feedback. The results are discussed in the context of the recent reduction of the Arctic sea ice cover. A new mechanism related to regional and temporal variations of the ice divergence within the Arctic Ocean is presented as an explanation for the observed regional variation of the ice thickness reduction. Our results further suggest that the recent reduction in areal ice extent and loss of multiyear ice is related to the albedo dependent transition between seasonal and perennial ice i.e. large areas of the Arctic Ocean that has previously been dominated by multiyear ice might have been pushed below a critical mean ice thickness, corresponding to the above mentioned transition, and into a state dominated by seasonal ice. 相似文献
19.
Juliane Bernhardt Christof Engelhardt Georgiy Kirillin J?rg Matschullat 《Climatic change》2012,112(3-4):791-817
Rising northern hemispheric mean air temperatures reduce the amount of winter lake ice. These changes in lake ice cover must be understood in terms of resulting effects on lake ecosystems. Accurate predictions of lake ice phenology are essential to assess resulting impact. We applied the one-dimensional physical lake model FLake to analyse past variability in ice cover timing, intensity and duration of Berlin-Brandenburg lakes. The observed ice phenology in two lakes in the period 1961–2007 was reconstructed by FLake reasonably well and with higher accuracy than by state-of-the-art linear regression models. Additional modelling results of FLake for 38 Berlin-Brandenburg lakes, observed in the winter of 2008/09, were quite satisfactory and adequately reproduced the effects of varying lake morphology and trophic state. Observations and model results showed that deeper and clearer lakes had more ice-free winters, later ice cover freezing and earlier ice cover thawing dates, resulting in shorter ice-covered periods and fewer ice-covered days than shallow and less clear lakes. The 1947–2007 model hindcasts were implemented using FLake for eight Berlin-Brandenburg lakes without ice phenology observations. Results demonstrated past trends of later ice start and earlier ice end, shorter ice cover duration and an increase in ice-free winters. 相似文献
20.
The performance of a snow cover model in capturing the ablation on the Greenland ice sheet is evaluated. This model allows an explicit calculation of the formation of melt water, of the fraction of melt water which re-freezes, and of runoff in the ablation region. The input climate variables to the snowpack model come from two climate models. While the higher resolution general circulation model (ECHAM 4), is closest to observations in its estimate of accumulation, it fails to give accurate results in its predictions of runoff, primarily in the southern half of the ice sheet. The two-dimensional low-resolution climate model (MIT 2D LO) produces estimates of runoff from the Greenland ice sheet within the range of uncertainty of the Inter governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC1) 1995 estimates. Both models reproduce some of the characteristics of the extent of the wet snow zone observed with satellite remote sensing; the MIT model is closer to observations in terms of areal extent and intensity of the melting in the southern half of the ice-sheet in July and August while the ECHAM model reproduces melting in the northern half of the ice sheet well. Changes in runoff from Greenland and Antarctica are often cited as one of the major concerns linked to anthropogenic changes in climate. Because it is based on physical principles and relies on the surface energy balance as input, the snow cover model can respond to the current climatic forcing as well as to future changes in climate on the century time scale without the limitations inherent in empirical parametrizations. For a reference climate scenario similar to the IPCC's IS92a, the model projects that the Greenland ice sheet does not contribute significantly to changes in the level of the ocean over the twenty-first century. Increases in accumulation over the central portion of the ice sheet offset most of the increase in melting and runoff, which takes place along the margins of the ice sheet. The range of uncertainty in the predictions of sea-level rise is estimated by repeating the calculation with the MIT model for seven climate change scenarios. The range is –0.5 to 1.7 cm. 相似文献