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1.
To explore new operational forecasting methods of waves, a forecasting model for wave heights at three stations in the Bohai Sea has been developed. This model is based on long short-term memory(LSTM) neural network with sea surface wind and wave heights as training samples. The prediction performance of the model is evaluated,and the error analysis shows that when using the same set of numerically predicted sea surface wind as input, the prediction error produced by the proposed LSTM model at Sta. N01 is 20%, 18% and 23% lower than the conventional numerical wave models in terms of the total root mean square error(RMSE), scatter index(SI) and mean absolute error(MAE), respectively. Particularly, for significant wave height in the range of 3–5 m, the prediction accuracy of the LSTM model is improved the most remarkably, with RMSE, SI and MAE all decreasing by 24%. It is also evident that the numbers of hidden neurons, the numbers of buoys used and the time length of training samples all have impact on the prediction accuracy. However, the prediction does not necessary improve with the increase of number of hidden neurons or number of buoys used. The experiment trained by data with the longest time length is found to perform the best overall compared to other experiments with a shorter time length for training. Overall, long short-term memory neural network was proved to be a very promising method for future development and applications in wave forecasting. 相似文献
2.
针对赤潮灾害等级预测难的现状,提出了一种基于C4.5决策树与二分分割算法优化的BP(反向传播)神经网络赤潮等级预测模型。该模型针对传统BP神经网络输入参数难以选择和隐含层节点数量难以确定的问题,通过决策树分类获取最优的属性组合,来解决输入参数难以选择的问题;通过"二分分割算法",来解决隐含层节点数难以确定的问题。实验结果表明,该模型在青岛近海海域赤潮灾害等级预测中,预测结果的均方根误差(RMSE)小于传统BP神经网络的预测误差,并且在网络训练时间上有所缩短,预测精度上有所提高,能够获得良好的预测结果,可为赤潮等级预测提供新的解决方法。 相似文献
3.
海洋沉积物工程定名对于开展海洋工程建设具有重要作用,然而海底粉土和黏性土的定名受人为因素影响容易产生误差。使用人工神经网络的方法对黄河口埕岛海域284组细粒土数据进行了训练和学习,得到了只利用沉积物粒径质量分数进行定名的方法。结果表明,使用人工神经网络的方法能够有效地对沉积物进行工程定名。当网络含有5个输入层节点、9个隐藏层节点、3个输出层节点、训练函数为Scaled conjugate gradient时定名准确率最高,检验准确率高达97.7%。训练数据的数量是造成神经网络预测存在误差的重要因素,随着数据量的增加,网络的可靠性和通用程度将越来越高。 相似文献
4.
Joaquim Ballabrera-Poy Baptiste Mourre Emilio Garcia-Ladona Antonio Turiel Jordi Font 《Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers》2009,56(10):1605-1614
Linear and non-linear empirical models for salinity (S) are estimated from the Argo temperature (T) and salinity (delayed) data. This study focuses on the reconstruction of salinity in the upper 1200 m of the eastern North Atlantic Ocean, a region characterized by the presence of many different water masses. While previous studies have found it necessary to split this region by boxes to fit different polynomial models in each box, a unique model valid for the entire region is fitted here. Argo profiles are randomly distributed on two sets: one for fitting the models and one for testing them. Non-linear regressions are built using neural networks with a single hidden layer and the fitting data set is further divided into two subsets: one for adjusting the coefficients (training data) and one for early stopping of the fitting (validation data). Our results indicate that linear regressions perform better than the climatologic T–S relationship, but that non-linear regressions perform better than the linear ones. Non-linear training using a three-data subsets strategy successfully prevents overfitting even when networks with 90 neurons in the hidden layer are being trained. While the presence of local minima may complicate the generalization of non-linear models to new data, network committees (created by training the same network from different random initial weights) are shown to better reproduce the test data. Several predictors are tested, and the results show that geographical, or surface, information does provide significant information. These results highlight the potential applications of future satellite missions measuring sea-surface salinity to reconstruct, when combined with temperature profiles, vertical salinity profiles. 相似文献
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With the support of big data and GPU acceleration training, the artificial intelligence technology with deep learning as its core is developing rapidly and has been widely used in many fields. At the same time, feature extraction operations are required by the current image-based corrosion damage detection method in the field of ships, with little effect but consuming the large amount of manpower and financial resources. Therefore, a new method for hull structural plate corrosion damage detection and recognition based on artificial intelligence using convolutional neural network is proposed. The convolutional neural network (CNN) model is trained through a large number of classified corrosion damage images to obtain a classifier model. Then the classifier model is used with overlap-scanning sliding window algorithm to recognize and position the location of corrosion damage. Finally, the damage detection pattern for hull structural plate corrosion damage as well as other types of superficial structural damage using convolutional neural network is proposed, which can accelerate the application of artificial intelligence technology into the field of naval architecture & ocean engineering. 相似文献
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Seafloor sediment classification based on echo characteristics obtained from single-beam echosounder is very useful in remote
and instant sediment classification. Results of different classification techniques using such data provide robust results
when the acoustic beam has a normal incidence with the seabottom. This may not always be true and show poor classification,
with the data acquired during rough sea periods corresponding to both oblique and normal incidence of the acoustic pulse,
due to roll and pitch motion of the ship. In the present study, an attempt is made to exploit the artificial neural network
(ANN) techniques for better classification with such data. Learning Vector Quantisation (LVQ) is a supervised learning algorithm
of ANN that is found to be an effective tool and show good performance. The input data to the network include the roughness
index (E1) and hardness index (E2) derived from echo characteristics. The network utilizes the competitive learning, a distance
function in the first layer and a linear function in the second layer. The network was tried with a different size of hidden
neurons and training data size to see the influence on classification. It is found that with ten neurons in the first layer
and four neurons in the second layer good performance in classification for the data was achieved. 相似文献
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The application of a neural network controller to remotely operated vehicles (ROVs) is described. Three learning algorithms for online implementation of a neural net controller are discussed with a critic equation. These control schemes do not require any information about the system dynamics except an estimate of the inertia terms. Selection of the number of layers in the neural network, the number of neurons in the hidden layer, initial weights for the network and the critic coefficient were done based on the results of preliminary tests. The performances of the three learning algorithms were compared by computer simulation. The effectiveness of the neural net controller in handling time-varying parameters and random noise is shown by a case study of the ROV system 相似文献
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针对海上条件下,对于实时定位应用,实时数据流无法下载的情况,文中提出一种基于RBF神经网络的卫星钟差预报算法,给出基函数的中心、方差以及隐含层到输出层的权值的计算方法,采用滑动窗口的方法,用样本数据训练后的网络预测下一个历元的钟差值,依次往后训练网络直到预测完整个时间段,通过实验验证了算法的可用性。短期预报中,GPS预报精度在1 ns以下,BDS和GLONASS在2～3 ns左右;长期预报中,GPS预报精度在几十纳秒左右,而BDS和GLONASS在几百纳秒左右,文中给出了相应的结果分析。 相似文献
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This paper explores a highly accurate identification modeling approach for the ship maneuvering motion with fullscale trial. A multi-innovation gradient iterative (MIGI) approach is proposed to optimize the distance metric of locally weighted learning (LWL), and a novel non-parametric modeling technique is developed for a nonlinear ship maneuvering system. This proposed method's advantages are as follows: first, it can avoid the unmodeled dynamics and multicollinearity inherent to the conventional parametric model; second, it eliminates the over-learning or underlearning and obtains the optimal distance metric; and third, the MIGI is not sensitive to the initial parameter value and requires less time during the training phase. These advantages result in a highly accurate mathematical modeling technique that can be conveniently implemented in applications. To verify the characteristics of this mathematical model, two examples are used as the model platforms to study the ship maneuvering. 相似文献
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利用2019年5月WZ02生态浮标监测数据,建立了两种不同隐层人工神经网络(ANN)模型的叶绿素a(Chl-a)智能预报方法,并对单隐层和双隐层模型的预测结果做了对比。结果表明:双隐层结构预测结果精度更高,泛化能力更强,一定程度上说明了深层学习比浅层学习对信息的主要特征提取能力更有优势。同时,对数据样本集合进行了系统预处理。结果显示:Chl-a浓度与溶解氧、pH、浊度和氨氮都有显著的相关性,与表层温度、盐度、亚硝氮和磷酸盐在限定时间段内的相关性不大。通过对模型预测结果的对比验证,发现数据预处理对数据质量的改进、数据挖掘执行效率和执行效果(预测结果)都起到明显的正向作用。 相似文献
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针对基于传统BP神经网络的海水水质评价模型存在易陷入局部极小等问题,提出了一种新的利用头脑风暴优化算法(BSO)优化BP神经网络的海水水质评价模型(BSO-BP)。该模型引入具有全局寻优特点的头脑风暴优化算法,用于模拟人类提出创造性思维解决问题的过程,具有强大的全局搜索和局部搜索的能力,同时利用BP神经网络所具有良好的非线性映射能力、学习适应能力和容错性,最大程度上考虑到海洋水质评价因素的非线性和非平稳的关系,得到BP神经网络的各层权值、阈值的最优解,使得海水水质评价结果准确合理。并以胶州湾海域的12个监测站位的监测数据作为评价样本进行水质评价,实验结果表明该评价模型能够克服局部极小问题,评价结果准确性较高,并具有一定的实用性。 相似文献
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Isabel López Luis Aragonés Yolanda Villacampa 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2013,31(6):683-694
AbstractArtificial neural networks (ANN) have been widely used successfully to solve coastal engineering problems. In this article, they are used to model the cross-shore profile of sandy beaches taking into account the possible effect of marine vegetation (Posidonia oceanica). Sixty ANNs were generated by modifying both the inputs and the number of neurons in the hidden layer. The best results were obtained with the following inputs: wave height perpendicular to the coast and the associated period and probability of occurrence, median sediment size, profile slope, and energy reduction factor due to P. oceanica. With these inputs and 10 neurons in the hidden layer, a mean absolute error of 0.22?m during training and 0.21?m during the test was obtained, which represents an improvement of 81.2% and 55.5% compared to models without and with P. oceanica. 相似文献
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1 .Introduction Large civil engineering structures are exposed to various external loads such as earthquakes ,winds ,traffic and wave loads during their lifetime . The structures may become deteriorated and de-graded withtime in an unexpected way, which m… 相似文献
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以珠江口海域的Radarsatt-2全极化SAR数据和海域表层水面叶绿素a质量浓度实测数据为基础,利用微波散射原理及Cloude Pottier理论对SAR图像进行分解,得到平均散射角a、散射熵H及VH、VV、HH、HV等6个参数;采用BP人工神经网络模型建立上述6个参数与叶绿素a质量浓度的数学关系模型,并结合实测数据对叶绿素a质量浓度进行分类。结果表明:当隐含层节点数为9,输入层和隐含层传递函数分别为tansig和logsig,学习速率和动量系数均为0.2时的网络结构对叶绿素质量浓度反演取得了较好的效果,叶绿素a质量浓度实测值与预测值之间的决定系数(R~2)为0.826。将模型应用于不同时期的2幅图像进行验证,效果良好,与实际情况基本相符。 相似文献
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The present study describes a novel way of a systematic and objective selection procedure for the development of an Artificial Neural Network-based storm Surge Forecast Model (ANN-SFM) with the 5, 12 and 24 h-lead times and its application to Sakai Minato area on the Tottori coast, Japan. The selection procedure guides how to determine the superiority of the best performing model in terms of the appropriate combination of unit number in the hidden layer and parameter in the input layer. In the application of ANN-SFM to Sakai Minato, it is found that the best 5 and 12 h-forecast ANN-SFMs are established with the most suitable set of 70 units (the number of hidden neurons) and the input components of surge level, sea level pressure, the depression rate of sea level pressure, longitude, latitude, central atmospheric pressure and highest wind speed. The best 24 h-forecast ANN-SFM is determined with 160 units and the input parameters of surge level, sea level pressure, the depression rate of sea level pressure, longitude and latitude. The proposed method of the selection procedure is able to be adaptable to other coastal locations for the development of the artificial neural network-based storm surge forecast model as establishing the superiority of the most relevant set combining unit numbers and input parameters. 相似文献
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为实现对海面风速精确的短期预测,提出了一种基于长短期记忆(LSTM,long short-term memory)神经网络的短期风速预测模型,选取OceanSITES数据库中单个浮标站点采集的风速历史数据作为模型输入,经过训练设置最佳参数等步骤,实现了以LSTM方法,对该站点所在海区海面风速在各季节性代表月份海面风速的24h短期预测。同时通过不同预测时长的实验以及与BP(back propagation)神经网络神经网络和径向基函数神经网络(radial basis function neural network,RBF)的预测效果对比实验,证明了LSTM预测方法相比上述两种神经网络预测方法,在海表面风速预测应用中的优越性。最后通过多个海域对应的站点风速数据预测实验,证明了LSTM神经网络模型的普遍适用性,由相关系数和预测误差的分析可知该方法具备应对急剧变化数据的预测稳定性,可以作为海洋表面风速短期预测的一种可靠方法。 相似文献
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Conventional retrieval and neural network methods are used simultaneously to retrieve sea surface wind speed(SSWS) from HH-polarized Sentinel-1(S1) SAR images. The Polarization Ratio(PR) models combined with the CMOD5.N Geophysical Model Function(GMF) is used for SSWS retrieval from the HH-polarized SAR data. We compared different PR models developed based on previous C-band SAR data in HH-polarization for their applications to the S1 SAR data. The recently proposed CMODH, i.e., retrieving SSWS directly from the HHpolarized S1 data is also validated. The results indicate that the CMODH model performs better than results achieved using the PR models. We proposed a neural network method based on the backward propagation(BP)neural network to retrieve SSWS from the S1 HH-polarized data. The SSWS retrieved using the BP neural network model agrees better with the buoy measurements and ASCAT dataset than the results achieved using the conventional methods. Compared to the buoy measurements, the bias, root mean square error(RMSE) and scatter index(SI) of wind speed retrieved by the BP neural network model are 0.10 m/s, 1.38 m/s and 19.85%,respectively, while compared to the ASCAT dataset the three parameters of training set are –0.01 m/s, 1.33 m/s and 15.10%, respectively. It is suggested that the BP neural network model has a potential application in retrieving SSWS from Sentinel-1 images acquired at HH-polarization. 相似文献
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长鳍金枪鱼(Thunnusalalunga)是主要的经济性金枪鱼鱼种之一,其空间分布与环境因子存在着密切联系。利用2012—2019年印度洋长鳍金枪鱼生产数据和海洋环境数据,包括海表面温度(sea surface temperature, SST)、叶绿素浓度(chlorophyll a, chl a)和海表面盐度(sea surface salinity, SSS)构建印度洋长鳍金枪鱼时空分布神经网络模型。以空间(经度,纬度)、环境因子(SST, chl a, SSS)为解释变量,局部渔获量为因变量,变化隐含层节点数,构建了18个BP空间分布模型,并采用10×10交叉验证模型稳定性,以均方误差(meansquareerror,MSE)、平均相对方差(averagerelativevariance,ARV)以及拟合优度(R~2)作为不同模型精度与稳定性的评判标准,最终选取5-18-1(隐含层节点18)模型为最佳模型,其平均MSE值为0.02232,平均ARV值为0.511。利用最优模型预测结果与同期实际捕捞产量进行叠加对比发现两者具有一致性。环境因子敏感性分析表明海表温度显著影响印度洋长鳍金枪鱼渔场分布,其贡献率达到0.2。印度洋长鳍金枪鱼高精度BP神经网络时空分布模型为其资源的可持续开发与动态管理提供了一种新思路。 相似文献