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Correlation between the tilt anomaly on the vertical pendulum at the Songpan station and the 2021 MS7.4 Maduo earthquake in Qinghai province,China 下载免费PDF全文
Understanding the relationship between precursory deformation anomalies and strong earthquakes is vital for physical earthquake prediction. Six months before the 2021 MS7.4 Maduo earthquake in Qinghai province, China, the vertical pendulum at the Songpan station was observed to tilt southward with a high rate and large amplitude. Studies conducted before the 2021 MS7.4 Maduo earthquake inferred the tilt anomaly to be an earthquake precursor. However, after the earthquake, the relation between the earthquake and the anomaly became controversial, partly because the Songpan station is located at a great distance from the epicenter. In this study, based on the deformation anomaly characteristics, relationship between the seismogenic fault and the fault near the anomaly, and associated quantitative analyses, we concluded that this anomaly may be associated with the 2021 MS7.4 Maduo earthquake. The duration and amplitude of this anomaly matched with the magnitude and epicenter distance of the Maduo earthquake. We have also interpreted the reason why the anomaly occurred near a fault that is obliquely intersected with the seismogenic fault and why the anomaly is located far from the earthquake epicenter. 相似文献
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利用乌什台数字化前兆形变观测资料,分析乌什MS 4.5级地震前乌什台水管倾斜仪、洞体应变仪数据变化情况。通过对比分析发现:地震前,洞体应变仪北南分量数据曲线正常,东西分量数据曲线加速拉张,05:14-20:32拉张幅度达到7.40×10-7,7月19日5时至20日16时乌什洞体应变仪东西分量快速拉张了9.20×10-7;7月19日5-19时,水管倾斜仪北南分量数据曲线正常,东西分量数据曲线反向西倾7.13ms,且05:59-06:06、07:36-07:46、18:42-18:56数据掉格,水管倾斜仪异常结束后1小时,在洞体应变仪异常过程中发生了乌什MS 4.5级地震。水管仪东西分量震前反向西倾,洞体应变仪东西分量震前拉张加速,短临异常明显,且2套形变观测震前异常时间同步性较好。 相似文献
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2021年5月22日,在青海省玛多县发生了M7.4地震。研究选用5月1日至22日同仁台、宕昌台、武都台和姑咱台洞体应变观测资料,采用多尺度小波分解方法处理。结果显示,在尺度11,较近的两个台北南向在震前均出现幅度明显增大的现象,总体显示出震中距越小形变幅度越大的特征。对于5月份的10日至14日和16日至20日两个时段的矢量运动轨迹进行比较,显示出明显不同的运动特征。另外,大武台和合作台地磁垂直分量的多尺度小波分解也表明,在尺度18,同样时段内也存在振幅增大的现象,这也印证了应变异常的可靠性。我们认为这个应变异常现象和其后发生的玛多M7.4地震有关,是青藏块体东向推挤的结果。结合其他学者的研究结果,我们推测这可能与震中区下方存在的高导层的运动变化有关联。但这只是一个初步研究,其详细的孕震环境和机理尚需进一步研究认识。 相似文献
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基于GM4磁通门磁力仪秒数据,分析研究了2008-2014年天水地磁台的地磁极化值和转换函数变化,结果表明在2013年岷县6.6级地震前天水台地磁极化值和转换函数存在不同程度的异常:(1)转换函数|A|和|B|在震前均出现了下降-转折-上升的异常变化,在上升至最高点时发生了岷县6.6级地震;(2)较短的周期转折上升变化更明显,幅度也更大,如|A|的20~80 s和|B|的20~110 s;(3)3.20 s、50 s和80 s周期的帕金森矢量方位角在震前出现转向并指向震中的现象;(4)4.5~100 s周期的极化值Yzh在震前3个月出现2次超3倍均方差的高值异常。 相似文献
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Wang Shuang-xu Jiang Zai-sen Chen Wen-sheng Zhang Xi Chen Bing Zhang Si-xin Wang Ji-ying 《地震学报(英文版)》2001,14(2):156-165
The time-space distribution characteristics of fault deformation anomaly in the near-source region and its outlying zone in
the seismogenic process of the Jingtai M
s=5.9 earthquake occurred on June 6, 2000 in Gansu Province is studied preliminarily. The distribution scope of fault deformation
anomaly before the earthquake is wide, the anomaly shape is complicated and the pattern anomalous zone of fault deformation
(strain) information index is obvious. The shape and amplitude of fault deformation anomaly in different regions differ significantly,
which is closely related with the tectonic location of anomaly. The fault deformation anomaly of α, β, and γ phases along
the western segment of Haiyuan fault zone shows the process from the quasi-linearity to non-linearity of fault movement in
the near-source region, matches the high-value anomalous area of fault deformation (strain) information index, and reflects
the high strain accumulation in the seismogenic region. However, the anomaly of abrupt jump and cusp with a large amplitude
occurred in the areas far from the earthquake, such as Liupanshan fault zone which is the tectonic convergent section does
not reflect the strain accumulation of its location, maybe it is a sign that the regional tectonic stress field is strengthened
in the seismogenic process. Based on the above-mentioned facts and combined with the preliminary summary of experiences and
lessons in the intermediate and short-term prediction of the Jingtai M
s=5.9 earthquake, we study and explore the application of fault deformation anomaly to earthquake judgment.
Foundation item: National Key Basic Research Development Program (G1998040703 and G1998040705), and State Scientific and Technological Project
of the “Ninth Five-Year Plan” (96-913-09-01-02-03 and 96-913-09-02-02-03), China. 相似文献
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利用甘肃前兆台网观测资料进行时空扫描,发现地下流体参量、地倾斜等在甘肃酒泉金塔5.4级地震前10天内出现了一系列异常变化,鼎新—德令哈基线在两年半的时间内缩短5 mm;短临异常主要出现在距震中200km范围的台站,时间是3月中旬和4月下旬;临震异常集中出现的时间是4月28日至5月1日。距离震中较近的高台倾斜完整记录下酒泉金塔MS5.4地震发生过程中岩土石受力变化的全部过程,提供了地震孕育和发生的完整演化资料,对完善地震理论模型和地震预测有积极的研究价值。 相似文献
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Kiyoo Mogi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1984,122(6):765-780
The temporal variation in precursory ground tilt prior to the 1944 Tonankai (Japan) earthquake, which is a great thrust-type earthquake along the Nankai Trough, is discussed using the analysis of data from repeated surveys along short-distance leveling routes.Sato (1970) pointed out that an anomalous tilt occurred one day before the earthquake at Kakegawa near the northern end of the focal region of the earthquake. From the analysis of additional leveling data, Sato's result is re-examined and the temporal change in the ground tilt is deduced for the period of about ten days beginning six days before the earthquake. A remarkable precursory tilt started two or three days before the earthquake. The direction of the precursory tilt was up towards the south (uplift on the southern Nankai Trough side), but the coseismic tilt was up towards the southeast, perpendicular to the strike of the main thrust fault of the Tonankai earthquake. The postseismic tilt was probably opposite of the coseismic tilt. The preseismic tilt is attributed to precursory slip on part of the main fault. If similar precursory deformation occurs before a future earthquake expected to occur in the adjacent Tokai region, the deformation may help predict the time of the Tokai earthquake. 相似文献
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嘉峪关气氡浓度在多年上升的背景下,于2017年出现了转折异常变化,但祁连山地震带内一直没有发生与异常幅度和持续时间相匹配的地震,直到2021年5月22日,在距离嘉峪关气氡测点570 km的玛多发生MS7.4地震。为了判断嘉峪关气氡浓度异常与玛多地震的关系,结合震例,从异常信度、震前异常特征、震后异常变化及地质构造背景等方面对其进行深入分析。结果发现:嘉峪关气氡浓度的异常特征与地震所处的构造有关,发生在祁连山地震带内的地震,气氡浓度异常表现为1年或半年尺度的年畸变,发生在该地震带以外远距离的地震,气氡浓度异常表现为多年的趋势性变化;玛多地震发生后,嘉峪关气氡浓度下降速率减缓之后转折,呈恢复状态;嘉峪关气氡测点与玛多地震都位于青藏高原东北部,具有相同的动力背景且在构造上具有关联性。综合分析认为嘉峪关气氡多年趋势异常与玛多MS7.4地震有关,研究对建立可靠的异常指标体系、提高地震预测水平具有重要意义。 相似文献
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使用中国静止气象卫星FY-2E/G红外遥感亮温产品为基础数据,针对2016年3月21日甘肃金塔4.7级地震前后出现在震中区附近的显著热红外异常,运用小波变换和相对功率谱法进行异常提取和资料分析,结果表明,地震热红外异常范围主要分布在震中以北的大范围区域,震前10天左右出现功率谱增强现象,随着时间推移,异常范围逐渐向北扩大,一直持续到震时,震后14天异常开始收缩并减弱。通过对比同地区相似震例发现,本次地震与2012年5月3日金塔5.4级地震的热异常特征有许多共同点,其中相同的特征周期可为热红外地震前兆特征的归纳提供典型的参考信息,同时可为建立区域热异常统计模型积累可靠的判定依据。 相似文献