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Ishitsuka Kazuya Kobayashi Yosuke Watanabe Norihiro Yamaya Yusuke Bjarkason Elvar Suzuki Anna Mogi Toru Asanuma Hiroshi Kajiwara Tatsuya Sugimoto Takeshi Saito Ryoichi 《Natural Resources Research》2021,30(5):3289-3314
The temperature distribution at depth is a key variable when assessing the potential of a supercritical geothermal resource as well as a conventional geothermal resource. Data-driven estimation by a machine-learning approach is a promising way to estimate temperature distributions at depth in geothermal fields. In this study, we developed two methodologies—one based on Bayesian estimation and the other on neural networks—to estimate temperature distributions in geothermal fields. These methodologies can be used to supplement existing temperature logs, by estimating temperature distributions in unexplored regions of the subsurface, based on electrical resistivity data, observed geological/mineralogical boundaries, and microseismic observations. We evaluated the accuracy and characteristics of these methodologies using a numerical model of the Kakkonda geothermal field, Japan, where a temperature above 500 °C was observed below a depth of about 3.7 km. When using geological and geophysical knowledge as prior information for the machine learning methods, the results demonstrate that the approaches can provide subsurface temperature estimates that are consistent with the temperature distribution given by the numerical model. Using a numerical model as a benchmark helps to understand the characteristics of the machine learning approaches and may help to identify ways of improving these methods.
相似文献2.
Kiyoo Mogi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1988,126(2-4):447-463
Before the 1944 Tonankai earthquake along the Nankai Trough, seismic activity increased in the shallow depths, and then the activity gradually migrated downwards. When it reached its limit (a depth of approximatelty 70 km), the main shock occurred. Several deep earthquakes, including one ofM5.3, occurred several months prior to the Tonankai earthquake. A similar downward migration pattern also can be recognized regarding the 1952 Tokachi-oki earthquake. In this case the deepest earthquakes reached about 400 km. This may be one of the intermediate-term precursory phenomena of great thrusttype earthquakes in subduction zones. Recent observations in the Tokai district along the Suruga Trough, where a large earthquake is expected to occur in the future, suggest a similar downward migration pattern in the land area. 相似文献
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Kiyoo Mogi 《Tectonophysics》1974,21(3):273-285
The observed microfracturing before faulting in rocks provides a basis for a physical model for the internal friction and the cohesive stress of the Coulomb criterion. Based on recent experimental results in the literature, the applicability of the Coulomb criterion is reexamined. The pressure dependence of strength of brittle rocks can be predicted approximately by the Coulomb criterion using measured values of sliding friction, except for a low-pressure region for certain rocks and near the brittle-ductile transition pressure. Deviation at low pressure seems to be explained either by the effect of cracked state or by different fracture mechanisms at low confining pressures, and deviation near the transition pressure is attributed to the increase of local yielding or fracturing before faulting. 相似文献
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Y. Yamaya P. K. B. Alanis A. Takeuchi J. M. Cordon Jr. T. Mogi T. Hashimoto Y. Sasai T. Nagao 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2013,75(7):1-13
Taal Volcano, located in the southwestern part of Luzon Island, Philippines, has frequently experienced catastrophic eruptions from both the Main Crater on Volcano Island and flank eruptions. These eruptions have been magmatic, phreatomagmatic, and hydrothermal, with the latter implying the existence of a large-scale hydrothermal system beneath the volcano. We conducted an electrical resistivity survey using the magnetotelluric method in order to identify the location and geometry of the hydrothermal reservoir and sealing cap rock. Two-dimensional inversion using the observed data indicates four similar resistivity sections. The structure at shallow depths corresponds to volcanic deposits and an aquifer. Below 1 km, the structure features a relatively resistive zone beneath the main crater surrounded by a conductive shell. We interpreted these to be a large hydrothermal reservoir with an impermeable cap rock sealing it. Recent ground deformation detected by GPS measurements suggests that the hydrothermal reservoir is active. The interpreted cap rock thins just beneath the main crater and could easily be destroyed by an imbalance in the hydrothermal system. We conclude that this hydrothermal reservoir plays a significant role in driving catastrophic eruptions that begin with a hydrothermal explosion at the main crater. 相似文献
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We present a new method by which the maximum previous stress in rocks can be estimated. The Kaiser effect in acoustic emission is often used for an estimation of the stress to which rocks have been subjected. However, there are cases in which the Kaiser effect is not clear. In such cases, estimation of the previous stress is difficult by the conventional method which is based on the acoustic emission activity during one stress cycle. Using a new method of cyclic loading, we can estimate the stress in cases where the conventional method does not work. In the new method, the difference of the acoustic emission activity between the first and second reloading begins to increase markedly at the previous maximum stress. Even if the Kaiser effect is not clear, we can estimate the previous stress by observation of this difference.Our new method may be applicable for estimating the crustal stress. In this paper, we study the influence of water and temperature under uniaxial compression, because rocks in the earth's crust are saturated and subjected to high temperatures and they are disturbed by water and temperature in the sampling process. The present experiment shows that the Kaiser effect is often masked by changes in water content and temperature. However, we can estimate the previous stress by the new method even after the rock has been disturbed by water and temperature. The accuracy in the stress estimation by this method is satisfactory for the ratio of the previously applied stress to the fracture strength of the rock less than 40%. 相似文献
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T. Hashimoto T. Hurst A. Suzuki T. Mogi Y. Yamaya M. Tamura 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2008
Volcanic eruptions can produce large magnetic field changes by thermomagnetic effects, especially when magma cools from high temperatures and acquires a permanent magnetisation from the Earth's magnetic field. After the 2000 eruption of Mt Usu, Japan, significant magnetic field changes were observed not only in the vicinity of the magmatic intrusion but also in an area some distance away that was unlikely to be at a temperature near the Curie Point. 相似文献
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Variations in horizontal and vertical components of the telluric field are studied within the range of periods from a few tens of seconds to diurnal and longer variations. Variations caused by an external ionospheric source are used for studying the geoelectric heterogeneity of the medium. For this purpose, an electric tipper is introduced by analogy with the geomagnetic field and its frequency response is examined. The magnetotelluric impedance is studied using data of remote geomagnetic observatories. According to the data of monitoring of the electric tipper and magnetotelluric impedance, anomalous effects are revealed that can be related to earthquakes with K ≥ 12. A method is developed for the extraction of electric field anomalies produced by intraterrestrial electric sources. 相似文献