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1.
详细分析了1997年5月29日,泰安市出现的一次弱冷锋形势下的强对流天所过程的卫星云图、等特征。有助于对这类非典型环流背景下产生的强对流天气的认识,并为预报此类强对流天气提供新的思路。  相似文献   

2.
聂晶鑫  陆晓静  李蓉 《干旱气象》2009,27(2):185-189
用卫星云图、雷达对2008年8月7日强对流天气产生的暴雨过程跟踪观测资料,结合自动站地面降水实况和WRF模式风场资料进行短时预报分析.结果表明:扩散东移冷空气和副热带高压边缘偏南暖湿气流的共同影响下,大气层结不稳定发生强烈的强对流天气;利用卫星云图,新一代天气雷达基本反射率强度图、0.5°仰角基本速度图和风廓线产品跟踪监测,综合分析预报短时暴雨天气是有效的方法.  相似文献   

3.
近年来,人们利用卫星、雷达和地面观测资料相结合的分析方法,得到了一些暴雨和强对流天气预报的经验。例如,姚祖庆、肖稳安等利用卫星云图资料概括出影响长江中下游暴雨和强对流天气的5种环境云场特征和在这些云场中暴雨和强对流云团的演变过程,通过追踪这些云团活动来作暴雨和强对流天气的预报。杜秉玉等以雷达资料为主设计了长江三峡和荆江地区暴雨预报的临近预报系统。文中利用上海地区稠密的地面观测资料,分析1983年9月3日、1985年7月11日、1983年7月26日影响上海的暴雨和龙卷天气过程中地面气象要素场和物理量场的先兆表现,期望从地面观测资料的变化特征提供暴雨和强对流天气预报的依据。  相似文献   

4.
一次强对流天气的多普勒特征分析   总被引:33,自引:24,他引:33  
利用天气图、卫星云图和5cm多普勒天气雷达的资料,详细分析了一次强对流天气的环流背景、回波发展演变过程和多普勒特征及其风场结构;初步分析了强对流天气瑟下垫面地理特征之间的密切关系。对多普勒天气雷达探测强对流天气的方法进行了初步探讨。  相似文献   

5.
冷涡天气系统影响下内蒙古强对流天气分析   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5       下载免费PDF全文
使用卫星云图和雷达回波资料结合常规天气资料,分析冷涡天气系统影响下内蒙古中西部地区强对流天气过程的卫星云图和雷达回波的特,征为中尺度对流天气的实况监测和防雹作业提供依据。  相似文献   

6.
本文通过对发生在阳泉的强对流天气的历史个例分析,得出其天气分型,结合强对流天气发生发展条件分析以及卫星云图和多普勒雷达资料的应用,得出一些强对流天气预报指标,为做好强对流天气的预报服务提供参考。  相似文献   

7.
本文通过广州地区一次强对流天气过程的天气形势、卫星云图、雷达回波等资料的分析,指出中小尺度对流云团是本次强对流天气的直接产生系统,并得到一些基本的中小尺度强对流天气出现的雷达强度回波和多普勒速度回波特征。  相似文献   

8.
在统计分析的基础上 ,概括了暴雨和强对流天气的环流形势、影响系统、环境条件及其卫星云图特征  相似文献   

9.
林志强  李献洲  庄旭东 《气象》1998,24(12):22-26
使用卫星云图,天气图,探空等有关资料对1996年4月19日广东省强风暴天气过程进行综合分析,指出;南支槽云系和中纬短波槽云系的相继影响造成了该次强风暴天气过程,其中,中尺度强对流云团是直接产生系统。  相似文献   

10.
分析2007年7月12日下午在铜川、澄城等地发生的强对流天气,试图寻找渭北强对流天气的预报着眼点;分别从天气学、物理量诊断、卫星云图和新一代天气雷达图像等方面分析,总结预报失败的原因。结果表明:利用新一代雷达的反射率、基本速度与垂直累积含水量、回波顶等产品,可以提前0.5h以上预报预警渭北强对流天气,其中垂直累积含水量大于50kg/m^2、回波顶高大于12km对预警渭北强对流天气最有指示性。  相似文献   

11.
叶茵  余清 《贵州气象》2004,28(4):37-38
我局从1999~2003年,测报工作连续4年未出现错情,在此期间共有1个250个班,9个百班无错通过上级业务部门验收.在仪器保管、使用、维护上符合要求,对外报送的各种表、簿都能做好出门合格.  相似文献   

12.
13.
The impact of high resolution modern vegetation cover on the West African climate is examined using the International Centre for Theoretical Physics Regional Climate Model implementing the NCAR Community Land Model. Two high resolution 25 km long-term simulations driven by the output from a coarser 50-km resolution simulation are performed for the period 1998–2010. One high resolution simulation uses an earlier and coarser-resolution version of plant functional type distribution and leaf area index, while the other uses a more recent, higher-quality, and finer-resolution version of the data. The results indicate that the new land cover distribution substantially alters the distribution of temperature with warming in Central Nigeria, northern Gulf of Guinea and part of the Sahel due to the replacement of C4 grass with corn; and cooling along the coastlines of the Gulf of Guinea and in Central Africa due to the replacement of C4 grass with tropical broadleaf evergreen trees. Changes in latent heat flux appear to be largely responsible for these temperature changes with a net decrease (increase) in regions of warming (cooling). The improved land cover distribution also results in a wetter monsoon season. The presence of corn tends to favor larger precipitation amounts via more intense events, while the presence of tropical broadleaf evergreen trees tends to favor the occurrence of both more intense and more frequent events. The wetter conditions appear to be sustained via (1) an enhanced soil moisture feedback; and (2) elevated moisture transport due to increased low-level convergence in regions south of 10N where the most substantial land cover differences are present. Overall the changes induced by the improved vegetation cover improve, to some extent, the performance of the high resolution regional climate model in simulating the main West African summer monsoon features.  相似文献   

14.
15.
由中国历史气候记录对季风导致唐朝灭亡说的质疑   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
2007年1月4日杂志发表了Yancheva等10人的题为"Influence of the intertropical convergence zone on the East-Asian monsoon"(热带辐合带对东亚季风的影响)的论文[1],这是德国波兹坦地学研究中心气候动力与沉积学科的主管豪格(G.H.Haug)率领的科研小组的一项成果,认为是季风的变化引起的长期干旱导致了唐朝的灭亡.  相似文献   

16.
Summary ?Some features of the climate system that can be considered predictors of the onset and end of the convective season over the Amazon were identified using one-month lag correlations and field composites. The fields analyzed were sea surface temperature (SST), outgoing long-wave radiation (OLR), vertical velocity and upper tropospheric winds. Warm (cold) anomalies in the SST in the tropical North Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea tend to be associated with delayed (early) onsets. Likewise, there is a tendency towards a delayed (early) end of the convective season with cold (warm) anomalies in these ocean regions. In addition, the SST in the cold tongue region of the equatorial Pacific is negatively, though weakly correlated with the onset date. The signal of this SST is more evident in the case of the end date, which is earlier with respect to its mean date in most of El Ni?o cases. The convective activity intensity itself conditions the onset and the end of the convective season, as it is evidenced by the behavior of the OLR and the vertical velocity fields. The more (less) intense the convective activity over South America during the preceding month, the earlier the onset and the later the end of the convective season on the Amazon region. The prediction of the onset and end dates of the convective season in the Amazon region was explored using a simple multiple regression technique based on the variables that have shown precursor signals with respect to these dates. The correlation coefficient between the predicted and the observed onset date is 0.81, and in the case of the end date, it is 0.76. The skill to predict early, delayed and normal categories was high, since in more than two thirds of the cases the category was successfully predicted, and there were no predictions of categories opposed to those observed. Received July 23, 2001; revised February 22, 2002; accepted April 26, 2002  相似文献   

17.
2005 is the bicentenary of the Beaufort Scale and its wind-speed codes: the marine version in 1805 and the land version later. In the 1920s when anemometers had come into general use, the Beaufort Scale was quantified by a formula based on experiment. In the early 1970s two tornado wind-speed scales were proposed: (1) an International T-Scale based on the Beaufort Scale; and (2) Fujita's damage scale developed for North America. The International Beaufort Scale and the T-Scale share a common root in having an integral theoretical relationship with an established scientific basis, whereas Fujita's Scale introduces criteria that make its intensities non-integral with Beaufort. Forces on the T-Scale, where T stands for Tornado force, span the range 0 to 10 which is highly useful world wide. The shorter range of Fujita's Scale (0 to 5) is acceptable for American use but less convenient elsewhere. To illustrate the simplicity of the decimal T-Scale, mean hurricane wind speed of Beaufort 12 is T2 on the T-Scale but F1.121 on the F-Scale; while a tornado wind speed of T9 (= B26) becomes F4.761. However, the three wind scales can be uni-fied by either making F-Scale numbers exactly half the magnitude of T-Scale numbers [i.e. F′half = T / 2 = (B / 4) − 4] or by doubling the numbers of this revised version to give integral equivalence with the T-Scale. The result is a decimal formula F′double = T = (B / 2) − 4 named the TF-Scale where TF stands for Tornado Force. This harmonious 10-digit scale has all the criteria needed for world-wide practical effectiveness.  相似文献   

18.
准两年振荡对大气中微量气体分布的影响   总被引:11,自引:5,他引:6  
张弘  陈月娟  吴北婴 《大气科学》2000,24(1):103-110
NCAR的包含化学、辐射、动力相互作用的两维模式(SOCRATES)移植回国后进行了初步的模拟试验,用以研究某些对环境问题重要的微量气体的化学、辐射、动力传输过程。在不考虑极地平流层云和气溶胶表面非均相化学等情况下,模式积分多年,计算结果稳定,模拟的风场、温度场显示出正常的季节变化,模拟的微量气体分布与卫星实测资料对照,结果也比较一致。为了探讨热带平流层风场的准两年周期振荡(QBO)对平流层微量气体分布的影响,我们做了QBO强迫的数值试验,即在模式中加入QBO强迫,并与不考虑QBO强迫的模拟结果对比。结果表明,QBO与其相关的次级环流所引起动力输送的变化,使平流层微量气体分布发生变化。  相似文献   

19.
Here, we analyze the characteristics and the formation mechanisms of low-level jets(LLJs) in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River during the 2010 mei-yu season using Wuhan station radiosonde data and the fifth generation of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ERA5) reanalysis dataset. Our results show that the vertical structure of LLJs is characterized by a predominance of boundary layer jets(BLJs) concentrated at heights of 900–1200 m.The BLJs occur most frequently at 230...  相似文献   

20.
流场配置及地形对西南低涡形成的动力作用   总被引:10,自引:8,他引:10  
高守亭 《大气科学》1987,11(3):263-271
本文采用定常二层模式讨论较小地形及高、低层流场配置对西南低涡形成的动力作用。指出了西南低涡的形成是与盆地、河谷以及其上气流分层有关的一种定常态.在上、下为西风分层时期,低层的浅薄暖湿西风有利于西南低涡的形成.在上、下为东、西风分层时期,上层浅薄东风亦有利于西南低涡的形成.小型的凸起山脉对西南低涡的形成没有作用.  相似文献   

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