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1.
塔尔巴哈台-萨吾尔地区位于中国新疆西北部,目前已发现若干处铜、金矿床,具有很好的成矿潜力。成矿定量预测方法常被用于综合成矿标志信息,进行成矿远景区的定量预测和评价。本文首先结合多重分形理论-奇异性指数模型进行地球化学异常提取,之后通过对区域成矿条件进行综合分析,基于地球化学异常以及构造、岩浆岩、地层与矿化的相关关系构建了塔尔巴哈台-萨吾尔地区铜-金成矿预测模型;研究进一步基于新近的找矿成果,以已知矿床和新近发现的矿化点信息作为依据,利用证据权重方法对研究区铜-金矿化的远景区进行了定量预测。预测结果显示出塔尔巴哈台-萨吾尔地区具有良好的找矿前景,区内存在多个新的成矿远景区,可作为新的找矿勘探的目标,开展进一步找矿勘查工作。  相似文献   

2.
In this research, we conduct a case study of mapping polymetallic prospectivity using an extreme learning machine (ELM) regression. A Quad-Core CPU 1.8 GHz laptop computer served as hardware platform. Almeida's Python program was used to construct the ELM regression model to map polymetallic prospectivity of the Lalingzaohuo district in Qinghai Province in China. Based on geologic, metallogenic, and statistical analyses of the study area, one target and eight predictor map patterns and two training sets were then used to train the ELM regression and logistic regression models. ELM regression modeling using the two training sets spends 61.4 s and 65.9 s; whereas the logistic regression modeling using the two training sets spends 1704.0 s and 1628.0 s. The four trained regression models were used to map polymetallic prospectivity. Based on the polymetallic prospectivity predicted by each model, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted and the area under the curve (AUC) was estimated. The ROC curves show that the two ELM-regression-based models somewhat dominate the two logistic-regression-based models over the ROC performance space; and the AUC values indicate that the overall performances of the two ELM-regression-based models are somewhat better than those of the two logistic-regression-based models. Hence, the ELM-regression-based models slightly outperform the logistic-regression-based models in mapping polymetallic prospectivity. Polymetallic targets were optimally delineated by using the Youden index to maximize spatial association between the delineated polymetallic targets and the discovered polymetallic deposits. The polymetallic targets predicted by the two ELM-regression-based models occupy lower percentage of the study area (2.66–2.68%) compared to those predicted by the two logistic-regression-based models (4.96%) but contain the same percentage of the discovered polymetallic deposits (82%). Therefore, the ELM regression is a useful fast-learning data-driven model that slightly outperforms the widely used logistic regression model in mapping mineral prospectivity. The case study reveals that the magmatic complexes, which intruded into the Baishahe Formation of the Paleoproterozoic Jinshuikou Group or the Carboniferous Dagangou and Shiguaizi Formations, and which were controlled by northwest-western/east-western trending deep faults, are critical for polymetallic mineralization and need to be paid much attention to in future mineral exploration in the study area.  相似文献   

3.
In this study, both the fuzzy weights of evidence (FWofE) and random forest (RF) methods were applied to map the mineral prospectivity for Cu polymetallic mineralization in southwestern Fujian Province, which is an important Cu polymetallic belt in China. Recent studies have revealed that the Zijinshan porphyry–epithermal Cu deposit is associated with Jurassic to Cretaceous (Yanshanian) intermediate to felsic intrusions and faulting tectonics. Evidence layers, which are key indicators of the formation of Zijinshan porphyry–epithermal Cu mineralization, include: (1) Jurassic to Cretaceous intermediate–felsic intrusions; (2) mineralization-related geochemical anomalies; (3) faults; and (4) Jurassic to Cretaceous volcanic rocks. These layers were determined using spatial analyses in support by GeoDAS and ArcGIS based on geological, geochemical, and geophysical data. The results demonstrated that most of the known Cu occurrences are in areas linked to high probability values. The target areas delineated by the FWofE occupy 10% of the study region and contain 60% of the total number of known Cu occurrences. In comparison with FWofE, the resulting RF areas occupy 15% of the study area, but contain 90% of the total number of known Cu occurrences. The normalized density value of 1.66 for RF is higher than the 1.15 value for FWofE, indicating that RF performs better than FWofE. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) were used to validate the prospectivity model and check the effects of overfitting. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was greater than 0.5, indicating that both prospectivity maps are useful in Cu polymetallic prospectivity mapping in southwestern Fujian Province.  相似文献   

4.
This paper describes the geology and tectonics of the Paleoproterozoic Kumasi Basin, Ghana, West Africa, as applied to predictive mapping of prospectivity for orogenic gold mineral systems within the basin. The main objective of the study was to identify the most prospective ground for orogenic gold deposits within the Paleoproterozoic Kumasi Basin. A knowledge-driven, two-stage fuzzy inference system (FIS) was used for prospectivity modelling. The spatial proxies that served as input to the FIS were derived based on a conceptual model of gold mineral systems in the Kumasi Basin. As a first step, key components of the mineral system were predictively modelled using a Mamdani-type FIS. The second step involved combining the individual FIS outputs using a conjunction (product) operator to produce a continuous-scale prospectivity map. Using a cumulative area fuzzy favourability (CAFF) curve approach, this map was reclassified into a ternary prospectivity map divided into high-prospectivity, moderate-prospectivity and low-prospectivity areas, respectively. The spatial distribution of the known gold deposits within the study area relative to that of the prospective and non-prospective areas served as a means for evaluating the capture efficiency of our model. Approximately 99% of the known gold deposits and occurrences fall within high- and moderate-prospectivity areas that occupy 31% of the total study area. The high- and moderate-prospectivity areas illustrated by the prospectivity map are elongate features that are spatially coincident with areas of structural complexity along and reactivation during D4 of NE–SW-striking D2 thrust faults and subsidiary structures, implying a strong structural control on gold mineralization in the Kumasi Basin. In conclusion, our FIS approach to mapping gold prospectivity, which was based entirely on the conceptual reasoning of expert geologists and ignored the spatial distribution of known gold deposits for prospectivity estimation, effectively captured the main mineralized trends. As such, this study also demonstrates the effectiveness of FIS in capturing the linguistic reasoning of expert knowledge by exploration geologists. In spite of using a large number of variables, the curse of dimensionality was precluded because no training data are required for parameter estimation.  相似文献   

5.
在Sklearn的Python语言代码基础上,开发了基于孤独森林和一类支持向量机的多元地球化学异常识别方法程序。选择吉林省和龙地区为实验区,从1∶5万水系沉积物资料中提取地球化学异常。把实验区已知矿点的空间分布位置作为"地真"数据,绘制两种机器学习算法的ROC曲线并计算AUC值,用来对比两种方法的多元地球化学异常识别效果。研究结果表明:两种机器学习算法都能够有效识别多元地球化学异常,所提取的多元地球化学异常与已知矿点具有显著的空间关联性;孤独森林算法在数据处理耗时和多元地球化学异常识别效果方面略优于一类支持向量机。  相似文献   

6.
Mineral prospectivity mapping is a classification process because in a given study area, a specific region is classified as either a prospective or non-prospective area. The cost of false negative errors differs from the cost of false positive errors because false positive errors lead to wasting much more financial and material resources, whereas false negative errors result in the loss of mineral deposits. Traditional machine learning algorithms using for mapping mineral prospectivity are aimed to minimize classification errors and ignore the cost-sensitive effects. In this study, the effects of misclassification costs on mapping mineral prospectivity are explored. The cost-sensitive neural network (CSNN) for minimizing misclassification costs is applied to map Fe polymetallic prospectivity in China’s southwestern Fujian metalorganic belt (SFMB). A CSNN with a different cost ratio ranging from 1:10 to 10:1 was used to represent various misclassification costs. The cross-validation results indicated a lower misclassification cost compared to traditional neural networks through a threshold-moving based CSNN. The CSNN’s predictive results were compared to those of a traditional neural network, and the results demonstrate that the CSNN method is useful for mapping mineral prospectivity. The targets can be used to further explore undiscovered deposits in the study area.  相似文献   

7.
In the southwestern part of the Ashanti Belt, the results of fractal and Fry analyses of the spatial pattern of 51 known mines/prospects of (mostly lode) gold deposits and the results of analysis of their spatial associations with faults and fault intersections suggest different predominant structural controls on lode gold mineralisation at local and district scales. Intersections of NNE- and NW-trending faults were likely predominantly involved in local-scale structural controls on lode gold mineralisation, whilst NNE-trending faults were likely predominantly involved in district-scale structural controls on lode gold mineralisation. The results of the spatial analyses facilitate the conceptualisation and selection of spatial evidence layers for lode gold prospectivity mapping in the study area. The applications of the derived map of lode gold prospectivity and a map of radial density of spatially coherent lode gold mines/prospects results in a one-level prediction of 37 undiscovered lode gold prospects. The applications of quantified radial density fractal dimensions of the spatial pattern of spatially coherent lode gold mines/prospects result in an estimate of 40 undiscovered lode gold prospects. The study concludes finally that analysis of the spatial pattern of discovered mineral deposits is the key to a strong link between mineral prospectivity mapping and assessment of undiscovered mineral deposits.  相似文献   

8.
Machine Learning technologies have the potential to deliver new nonlinear mineral prospectivity mapping (MPM) models. In this study, Back Propagation (BP) neural network Support Vector Machine (SVM) methods were applied to MPM in the Hatu region of Xinjiang, northwestern China. First, a conceptual model of mineral prospectivity for Au deposits was constructed by analysis of geological background. Evidential layers were selected and transformed into a binary data format. Then, the processes of selecting samples and parameters were described. For the BP model, the parameters of the network were 9–10???1; for the SVM model, a radial basis function was selected as the kernel function with best C?=?1 and γ = 0.25. MPM models using these parameters were constructed, and threshold values of prediction results were determined by the concentration-area (C-A) method. Finally, prediction results from the BP neural network and SVM model were compared with that of a conventional method that is the weight- of- evidence (W- of- E). The prospectivity efficacy was evaluated by traditional statistical analysis, prediction-area (P-A) plots, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) technique. Given the higher intersection position (74% of the known deposits were within 26% of the total area) and the larger AUC values (0.825), the result shows that the model built by the BP neural network algorithm has a relatively better prediction capability for MPM. The BP neural network algorithm applied in MPM can elucidate the next investigative steps in the study area.  相似文献   

9.
In this study, a novel method that integrates C4.5 decision tree, weights-of-evidence and m-branch smoothing techniques was proposed for mineral prospectivity mapping. First, a weights-of-evidence model was used to rank the importance of each evidential map and determine the optimal buffer distance. Second, a classification technique that uses a C4.5 decision tree in data mining was used to construct a decision tree classifier for the grid dataset. Finally, an m-branch smoothing technique was used as a predictor, which transformed the decision tree into a probability evaluation tree. The method makes no conditional independence assumption and can be applied for class imbalanced datasets like those collected during mineral exploration for prospectivity mapping of an area. The traits of comprehensibility, accuracy and efficiency were derived from the C4.5 decision tree. In addition, a case study for iron prospectivity mapping was performed in the eastern Kunlun Mountains, China. Sixty-two Skarn iron deposits and eight evidential maps related to iron mineralization were studied. On the final map, areas of low, moderate and high potential for iron deposit occurrence covered areas of 71,491, 14,298, and 9,532 km2, respectively. For the goodness-of-fit test, 91.94 % of the total 62 iron deposits were within a high-potential area, 8.06 % were within a moderate-potential area and 0 % were within a low-potential area. For ten-fold cross-validation, 82.26 % were within a high-potential area, 14.52 % were within a moderate-potential area and 3.22 % were within a low-potential area. To evaluate the predictive accuracy, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and Area Under ROC Curve (AUC) were employed. The accuracy of the goodness-of-fit test reached 97.07 %, and the accuracy of the ten-fold cross-validation was 95.10 %. The majority of the iron deposits were within high-potential and moderate-potential areas, which covered a small proportion of the study area.  相似文献   

10.
Geographic Information Systems (GIS) provide an efficient vehicle for the generation of mineral prospectivity maps, which are products of the integration of large geological, geophysical and geochemical datasets that typify modern global‐scale mineral exploration. Conventionally, two contrasting approaches have been adopted, an empirical approach where there are numerous deposits of the type being sought in the analysed mature terrain, or a conceptual approach where there are insufficient known deposits for a statistically valid analysis. There are also a variety of potential methodologies for treatment of the data and their integration into a final prospectivity map. The Lennard Shelf represents the major Mississippi Valley‐type (MVT) province in Australia; however, there are only 13 deposits or major prospects known, making an empirical approach to prospectivity mapping impractical. Instead, a conceptual approach was adopted, where critical features that control the location of MVT deposits on the Lennard Shelf, as defined by widely accepted genetic models, were translated into features related to fluid pathways, depositional traps and fluid outflow zones, which can be mapped in a GIS and categorised as either regional or restricted diagnostic, or permissive criteria. All criteria were derived either directly from geological and structural data, or indirectly from geophysical and geochemical datasets. A fuzzy‐logic approach was adopted for the prospectivity analysis, where each interpreted critical feature of the conceptual model was assigned a weighting between 0 and 1 based on its inferred relative importance and reliability. The fuzzy‐logic method is able to cope with incomplete data, a common problem in regional‐scale exploration datasets. The data were best combined using the gamma operator to produce a fuzzy‐logic map for the prospectivity of MVT deposits on the southeastern Lennard Shelf. Five categories of prospectivity were defined. Importantly, from an exploration viewpoint, the two lowest prospectivity categories occupy ~90% and the highest two categories only 1.6% of the analysed area, yet eight of the 13 known MVT deposits lie in the latter and none in the former: i.e. all lie within ~10% of the area, despite the fact that deposit locations were not used directly in the analysis. The propectivity map also defines potentially mineralised areas in the central southeastern Lennard Shelf and the southern part of the Oscar Ranges, where there are currently no known deposits. Overall, the analysis demonstrates the power of fuzzy‐logic prospectivity mapping on a semi‐regional to regional scale, and emphasises the value of geological data, particularly accurate geological maps, in exploration for hydrothermal mineral deposits that formed late in the evolution of the terrain under exploration.  相似文献   

11.
We present a mineral systems approach to predictive mapping of orogenic gold prospectivity in the Giyani greenstone belt (GGB) by using layers of spatial evidence representing district-scale processes that are critical to orogenic gold mineralization, namely (a) source of metals/fluids, (b) active pathways, (c) drivers of fluid flow and (d) metal deposition. To demonstrate that the quality of a predictive map of mineral prospectivity is a function of the quality of the maps used as sources of spatial evidence, we created two sets of prospectivity maps — one using an old lithologic map and another using an updated lithological map as two separate sources of spatial evidence for source of metals/fluids, drivers of fluid flow and metal deposition. We also demonstrate the importance of using spatially-coherent (or geologically-consistent) deposit occurrences in data-driven predictive mapping of mineral prospectivity. The best predictive orogenic gold prospectivity map obtained in this study is the one that made use of spatial evidence from the updated lithological map and spatially-coherent orogenic gold occurrences. This map predicts 20% of the GGB to be prospective for orogenic gold, with 89% goodness-of-fit between spatially-coherent inactive orogenic gold mines and individual layers of spatial evidence and 89% prediction-rate against spatially-coherent orogenic gold prospects. In comparison, the predictive gold prospectivity map obtained by using spatial evidence from the old lithological map and all gold occurrences has 80% goodness-of-fit but only 63% prediction-rate. These results mean that the prospectivity map based on spatially-coherent gold occurrences and spatial evidence from the updated lithological map predicts exploration targets better (i.e., 28% smaller prospective areas with 9% stronger fit to training gold mines and 26% higher prediction-rate with respect to validation gold prospects) than the prospectivity map based on all known gold occurrences and spatial evidence from the old lithological map.  相似文献   

12.
随着矿区浅部矿的日益减少,深部找矿越来越受到重视,三维地质建模技术在成矿预测、资源定量评价等方面得到了广泛的应用。本文利用三维地质建模平台GOCAD中的三维建模技术及地质统计学等方法,基于收集测试得到的地质图、钻孔和采样点的地层、岩性、构造、品位等数据,构建了西沟铅锌银金矿区的三维地质模型,包括断裂构造模型、矿体模型及地层模型等,并且通过离散光滑插值及克里金插值等方法建立了西沟铅锌银金矿区的三维属性模型,完成了矿区3处找矿预测靶区的圈定与评价。基于地质认识及建立的矿区三维地质模型的研究认为:(1)该矿床的找矿有利标志主要为地层、构造、辉长岩以及品位指示等4个方面;(2)基于三维地质建模技术的找矿预测方法科学有效;(3)S139矿体的中部及东南部深部仍有找矿潜力。本文能够为将来的深部找矿突破提供一定的参考依据。  相似文献   

13.
范海明  王翔  茹湘兰 《地质通报》2017,36(8):1462-1466
山西五台地区位于华北陆台中部,是山西省内重要的金矿成矿区域,地质条件复杂,近年来找矿突破较小。在矿产预测中,可以结合证据权快速筛选地质变量,求取权重,计算地质奇异性指数,提取局部地质弱异常;利用灰色理论只需少量信息进行预测的特点,圈定找矿靶区,寻找突破。应用证据权-奇异性-灰色理论方法圈定了研究区预测靶区,靶区内通过已知矿床的验证,提取了4个一级靶区,1个二级靶区,确定了该区域金矿找矿突破口,明确了证据权-奇异性-灰色理论关联分析预测法在矿产预测评价中的重要应用价值和独特的应用效果。  相似文献   

14.
Mineral exploration programs commonly use a combination of geological, geophysical and remotely sensed data to detect sets of optimal conditions for potential ore deposits. Prospectivity mapping techniques can integrate and analyse these digital geological data sets to produce maps that identify where optimal conditions converge. Three prospectivity mapping techniques – weights of evidence, fuzzy logic and a combination of these two methods – were applied to a 32,000 km2 study area within the southeastern Arizona porphyry Cu district and then assessed based on their ability to identify new and existing areas of high mineral prospectivity. Validity testing revealed that the fuzzy logic method using membership values based on an exploration model identified known Cu deposits considerably better than those that relied solely on weights of evidence, and slightly better than those that used a combination of weights of evidence and fuzzy logic. This led to the selection of the prospectivity map created using the fuzzy logic method with membership values based on an exploration model. Three case study areas were identified that comprise many critical geological and geophysical characteristics favourable to hosting porphyry Cu mineralisation, but not associated with known mining or exploration activity. Detailed analysis of each case study has been performed to promote these areas as potential targets and to demonstrate the ability of prospectivity modelling techniques as useful tools in mineral exploration programs.  相似文献   

15.
Wildcat modelling of mineral prospectivity has been proposed for greenfields geologically-permissive terranes where mineral targets have not yet been discovered but a geological map is available as a source of spatial data of predictors of mineral prospectivity. This paper (i) revisits the initial way of assigning wildcat scores (Sc) to predictors of mineral prospectivity and (ii) proposes an improvement by transforming Sc into improved wildcat scores (ISc) by using a logistic function. This was shown in wildcat modelling of prospectivity for low-sulphidation epithermal-Au (LSEG) deposits in Aroroy district (Philippines). Based on knowledge of characteristics of and controls on LSEG mineralization in the Philippines, the spatial predictors of LSEG prospectivity used in the study are proximity to porphyry plutonic stocks, faults/fractures and fault/fracture intersections. The Sc and ISc of spatial predictors are input separately to principal components analysis to extract a favourability function that can be interpreted as a wildcat model of LSEG prospectivity. The predictive capacity of the wildcat model of LSEG prospectivity based on the ISc of geological predictors is roughly 70% higher than that of the wildcat model of LSEG prospectivity based on the Sc of geological predictors. A slight increase of predictive capacity of wildcat modelling of LSEG prospectivity is also achieved when the ISc of geological predictors are integrated with the ISc of geochemical anomalies, but not with the Sc of geochemical anomalies. The proposed improvement is significant because if the study district were a greenfields exploration area, then a wildcat model of LSEG prospectivity based on the old wildcat methodology would have caused several LSEG targets to be missed.  相似文献   

16.
This paper demonstrates a modeling procedure of mineral potential mapping based on singularity theory, and further presents an idea to look into metallogeny of Sn–Cu polymetallic deposits in southeastern Yunnan mineral district, China by applying a localized regression method. Mineralization is a typical cascade process generally accompanied by irregular geological, geochemical and geophysical signatures. Singularity index as an efficient anomaly analytical tool helps to identify anomalies as well as characterize formation processes of these anomalies. In this study, the singularity-based mineral potential mapping method was utilized to characterize hydrothermal mineralization associated with magmatic, tectonic and sedimentary processes in this district. Based on the results, a mineral prospectivity model was constructed to delineate target areas. In addition to mineral prospectivity, controlling effects of geo-processes on mineralization are spatially non-stationary. Geographically-weighted regression analysis was thus employed to investigate these spatially-varied controlling effects and it has contributed to improve understanding to local metallogeny in the study area. Results of the spatial analysis presented can be used to guide following stages of mineral exploration in the district.  相似文献   

17.
18.
空间模式的广义自相似性分析与矿产资源评价   总被引:20,自引:3,他引:17  
成秋明 《地球科学》2004,29(6):733-744
尺度不变性(scale invariance)包括自相似性(各向同性)、自仿射性(成层结构)、广义自相似性(各向异性标度不变性),是由各种地质过程和地质事件所产生的地质特征和模式的本质属性.尺度不变性可用分形和多重分形模型来表征.这些尺度特征的定量化可为刻画地质空问模式和模式识别提供有力的工具.例如。热液矿床的群聚现象可以用局部分形特征(局部奇异性)来刻画.通过在特征空问中(如频率空问)识别空问模式的广义自相似性.可以将空间混合模式进行分解或异常的识别.介绍了几种相关的分形模型和方法。包括度量空问模式广义尺度独立性(GSI)的线性模型;基于广义尺度独立性的异常分解S—A方法;度量空问模式的局部奇异性方法;以及如何利用分形特征预测未发现矿床的2种方法.有些方法已应用于许多矿产资源评价实例中.给出了对加拿大Nova Scotia省西南部湖泊沉积物样品中的4种元素As、Pb、Zn和Cu的地球化学数据处理分析结果。证明了局部奇异性分析和S—A异常分解方法对地球化学异常的增强和分离的有效性.研究表明:由S—A方法分解的异常往往具有多重分形的特点,而且普遍具有局部奇异性.研究区内具有明显奇异性的地区(元素含量富集区)是金矿异常区域。它们与金矿成矿作用和已知矿床的赋存密切相关.  相似文献   

19.
This paper presents a review of the available information on the significant porphyry, epithermal, and orogenic gold districts in Argentina, including the tectonic, geological, and structural settings of large deposits or deposits that have been exploited in the past. Based on this review of the geology and mineralization, targeting models are developed for epithermal and orogenic gold systems, in order to produce GIS-based prospectivity models. Using publically available digital geoscience data, weights of evidence and fuzzy logic prospectivity maps were generated for epithermal and orogenic gold mineralization in Argentina. The results of the prospectivity mapping highlight existing gold deposits within known mineralized districts throughout Argentina, as well as other highly prospective areas with no known deposits within these districts. Additionally, areas within Argentina that have no known gold mineralization (based on publically available information) were highlighted as being highly prospective based on the models used.  相似文献   

20.
模糊证据权方法在镇沅(老王寨)地区金矿资源评价中的应用   总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11  
成秋明  陈志军 《地球科学》2007,32(2):175-184
采用模糊证据权方法和GeoDASGIS技术开展了镇沅(老王寨)及其邻区的金矿资源潜力评价.分别采用GeoDASGIS软件提供的局部奇异性分析技术、S-A异常分解技术、主成分分析技术、证据权、模糊证据权等技术对相关地球化学元素进行了系统的处理和分析.应用主成分分析方法确定了可能的2种不同成矿类型,并采用主成分得分确定了组合异常点,在此基础上分别采用普通证据权和模糊证据权方法编制了成矿后验概率图,圈定了有利成矿地段.对比普通证据权方法与模糊证据权方法所得结果表明,模糊证据权方法可减小图层离散化造成的有用信息损失,提高预测结果精度.  相似文献   

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