共查询到19条相似文献，搜索用时 109 毫秒
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温州瓯江口浅滩地区越洋海啸影响评估计算 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
日本“3·11”地震海啸事件发生后,为了避免灾难重演,各滨海国家在加强海啸基础理论研究、改进海啸预警系统的同时,还应对沿海重大工程及重点保障目标进行地震海啸灾害风险排查及再评估工作;对在建的重大基础设施和社会经济功能区划应进行全面的地震海啸安全论证.在此背景下,该文首先概括总结了我国东南沿海的地震海啸风险及历史海啸事件时空分布,简要介绍了越洋海啸传播特征.海啸源选取基于潜在可能最大海啸,选取环太平洋地震带上的潜在地震海啸源,进行温州瓯江口地区越洋海啸影响评估计算.海啸数值计算模型采用美国康奈尔大学的COMCOT模型,利用该模型对2010年智利海啸、2011年日本海啸进行了近场、远场模拟验证,计算结果与观测数据吻合良好,模型可信.应用联合国教科文组织政府间海洋学委员会(UNESCO/IOC)太平洋海啸预警系统的海啸危险性等级标准,结合评估计算结果,对瓯江口浅滩地区海啸危险性进行等级划分,获得了该地区的海啸危险性初步评估结果.结果表明:在所选的10个潜在或历史海啸源产生的越洋海啸对研究区域的影响均小于100 cm,此规模的海啸不易对该地区造成灾害性影响.研究结果对于指导该地区的海啸灾害风险评估及风险排查具有一定的参考价值. 相似文献
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海啸作为一种海洋灾害是可以预警的,我国于1983年加入“太平洋海啸预警系统”,经过20多年的努力,我国的海啸预警系统框架已基本搭建成形,但仍有许多需要改进和完善的地方。本文主要介绍了我国海啸预警系统现状,并与国外海啸预警系统相比较,指出当前我国海啸预警系统存在的问题,并就问题的解决给出初浅建议。 相似文献
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2011 年11 月, 联合国教科文组织政府间海洋学委员会(IOC/UNESCO)发起了代号为“Exercise Pacific Wave 11”的跨国海啸演习, 演习区域为整个太平洋海区。中国应邀参加了本次演习, 演习在我国海域地震带上假设了两个震源, 分别位于琉球海沟和马尼拉海沟。为了评估这两个潜在海啸对我国的影响, 本文采用数值模拟的方式, 对其进行了计算。计算结果表明: 这两处震源所引发的海啸均能对我国造成灾害性影响, 受影响严重的省市有江苏、上海、浙江、福建、广东和海南等; 从传播时间图上看, 若发生大海啸, 海啸波将在5 h 内, 陆续影响沿海各省市; 相比琉球海沟, 马尼拉海沟震源产生的海啸会更快到达我国沿岸。 相似文献
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此次演习的成功向我们证明,我国在接收地震海啸信息、确认海啸风险并制作发布针对我国沿海地区的海啸警报、通信系统有效性及政府响应速度方面已经初步具备了对突发越洋海啸灾害的预警能力。 相似文献
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海啸对人类的生命和财产安全构成巨大的威胁,2004年12月26日苏门答腊特大海啸的发生,引起了国际社会对海啸预警问题的重视,并进一步认识到古海啸沉积研究的重要性.介绍了国际上对海啸预警和古海啸沉积研究的进展,重点综述古海啸沉积的研究现状、研究方法与识别标志.最近20年来,研究者们着重对滨岸、浅海或陆地上的现代海啸沉积和古海啸堆积物进行研究,而对深水区域的古海啸记录研究很少.笔者认为在海啸多发海域的深水区进行长柱状沉积物取样,通过沉积学和地球化学分析研究,把古海啸沉积从海底正常沉积中识别出来,再结合定年,有助于恢复古海啸史,明确长期的灾害风险. 相似文献
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夏威夷是世界上最易遭受海啸洪水灾害的地区之一。本文介绍了美国夏威夷群岛在海啸实时监测和数值模拟方面的研究进展,并重点介绍了夏威夷海啸预警系统的组成与作用。 相似文献
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Reconstructing tsunami run-up from the characteristics of tsunami deposits on the Thai Andaman Coast
Tsunamis can leave deposits on the land surface they inundate. The characteristics of tsunami deposits can be used to calculate tsunami run-up height and velocity. This paper presents a reconstruction of tsunami run-up from tsunami deposit characteristics in a simple mathematical model. The model is modified and applied to reconstruct tsunami run-ups at Ao Kheuy beach and Khuk Khak beach, Phangnga province, Thailand. The input parameters are grain-size and maximum run-up distance of the sediment. The reconstructed run-up heights are 4.16–4.91 m at Ao Kheuy beach and 5.43–9.46 m at Khuk Khak beach. The estimated run-up velocities (maximum velocity) at the still water level are 12.78–19.21 m/s. In the area located 70–140 m inland to the end of run-up inundation, estimated mean run-up velocities decrease from approximately 1.93 m/s to 0 m/s. Reasonably good agreements are found between reconstructed and observed run-up heights. The tsunami run-up height and velocity can be used for risk assessment and coastal development programs in the tsunami affected area. The results show that the area from 0 to 140 m inland was flooded by high velocity run-ups and those run-up energies were dissipated mainly in this area. The area should be designated as either an area where settlement is not permitted or an area where effective protection is provided, for example with flood barriers or forest. 相似文献
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T. S. Murty 《Marine Geodesy》2013,36(1):73-102
The dynamics of tsunamis can be divided, for convenience, into three parts: tsunami generation, tsunami propagation, and the coastal problems. Out of these three, the problem of tsunami propagation is probably better understood than the other two. One of the main hindrances to the quantitative prediction of tsunami amplitudes at various coastal locations is a lack of detailed knowledge about the deep water signature of a tsunami. Here, the present understanding of this problem is discussed. 相似文献
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Shigehisa Nakamura 《Marine Geodesy》2013,36(3):265-272
Abstract Tsunami occurrence and invasive tsunami at a local area in the circum‐Pacific seismic zone were studied as a Poisson process. The tsunami height at Osaka, Japan, was related to tsunami magnitude. The exceedence frequency of invaded tsunami at Osaka showed a good fitness to the Poisson process. However, an adapted process should be introduced for exceedence frequency of tsunami occurrence in the western Pacific. The exceedence probability of invasive tsunami at Osaka was shown as a function of tsunami magnitude on a diagram with a parameter of the time period. The obtained result might be useful for the planning of coastal area, warning of invasive tsunami, and designing coastal structures as protection within the scope of tsunami economics. 相似文献
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Whether the origins of the tsunami of 3 February 1605 were separated ones or a joined one, is one of the most important problems for Japanese society. When the marine knowledge has not been popularized, it has been considered that the damage pattern on Hachijo Island (including Kojima) was an important key to solving this question.It resembles the situation that the reports concerning the tsunami of 1 April 1946 were introduced to Japanese society under an internal disturbance just after the war, and we overlooked the most important consideration on the combination of tsunami and storm waves caused by the trade wind, and received this tsunami as an extraordinarily huge one.We studied the statistics of recent wind directions around Hachijo Island in January and February 1973, 1974, 1977, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986 and 1987. And we believed that the probability was high that we could explain well that the damage pattern on Hachijo Island in 1605 was due to the combination of tsunami and storm waves caused by the monsoon.We need not, therefore, look back the damage pattern on Hachijo Island when we consider the fact that the necrologies of many temples in Shizuoka Prefecture record no death on 3 February 1605, proves to be the key to infer that the origins were separated ones. 相似文献
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Physical modeling of long waves in laboratories is still a valuable and trustworthy option to study long wave propagation, run-up and near-shore dynamics, and complex nonlinear interactions of approaching wave and macroroughness elements on the shore. Yet, problems develop if full-scale measured time series of real tsunami or numerically derived time series are to be adequately modeled in a timewise meaningful and scaled experiment. Hence, an in-depth review of the state-of-the-art long wave generation methods in laboratory wave flumes and basins is conducted. The study reveals that improved laboratory techniques could significantly contribute to enhance the accuracy and applicability of experimental tests. This would give important information on the interaction between the shoreline and infrastructures on land in order to deduce valuable information on the topic of tsunami inundation processes or wave-induced impacts on houses. In this light, a novel wave generation technique using high-capacity pipe pumps under some control and a loop-feedback control is meticulously developed and discussed. The wave generation facility is successfully tested for single sinusoidal leading depression waves as well as for prolonged solitary and leading depression N-waves of varying duration. The long wave generation technique is further assessed in terms of its capability to generate long waves abstracted from prototype conditions. The influence of controller settings on the resulting waves is discussed. 相似文献
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为探索海啸地震发震时的规律,统计分析了1976-2010年的美国全球CMT地震矩心矩张量数据,并结合美国海洋与大气局的海啸灾害数据库,从海啸事件和较大海啸事件两个方面对震源机制解展开了对比统计分析,给出了海啸地震在震源方面的统计特征。 相似文献
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Abstract Tsunami research has suffered considerably due to the lack of an objective magnitude scale. The Imamura‐Iida Grade Scale, although it has been used until now as a magnitude scale, is not objective, and it is more appropriate to call it a tsunami intensity scale. The tsunami magnitude scale proposed by Abe (1979) is also based on coastal tide gauge records, and this is not truly an objective magnitude scale. A new magnitude scale is proposed here, based on total tsunami energy, and it is demonstrated that this new scale will provide an adequate representation of the whole spectrum of tsunamis, starting from the negligible ones and including those that have devastated whole coastlines. 相似文献