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1.
This paper presents a new approach to improving real‐time reservoir operation. The approach combines two major procedures: the genetic algorithm (GA) and the adaptive network‐based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). The GA is used to search the optimal reservoir operating histogram based on a given inflow series, which can be recognized as the base of input–output training patterns in the next step. The ANFIS is then built to create the fuzzy inference system, to construct the suitable structure and parameters, and to estimate the optimal water release according to the reservoir depth and inflow situation. The practicability and effectiveness of the approach proposed is tested on the operation of the Shihmen reservoir in Taiwan. The current M‐5 operating rule curves of the Shihmen reservoir are also evaluated. The simulation results demonstrate that this new approach, in comparison with the M‐5 rule curves, has superior performance with regard to the prediction of total water deficit and generalized shortage index (GSI). Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
2.
This paper presents an optimal regulation programme, grey fuzzy stochastic dynamic programming (GFSDP), for reservoir operation. It is composed of a grey system, fuzzy theory and dynamic programming. The grey system represents data by covering the whole range without loss of generality, and the fuzzy arithmetic takes charge of the rules of reservoir operation. The GFSDP deals with the multipurpose decision‐making problem by fuzzy optimization theorem. The practicability and effectiveness of the proposed approach is tested on the operation of the Shiman reservoir in Taiwan. The current M5 operating rule curves of this reservoir also are evaluated. The simulation results demonstrate that this new approach, in comparison with the M5 rule curves, has superior performance with regard to the total water deficit and number of monthly deficits. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
3.
To bridge the gap between academic research and actual operation, we propose an intelligent control system for reservoir operation. The methodology includes two major processes, the knowledge acquired and implemented, and the inference system. In this study, a genetic algorithm (GA) and a fuzzy rule base (FRB) are used to extract knowledge based on the historical inflow data with a design objective function and on the operating rule curves respectively. The adaptive network‐based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is then used to implement the knowledge, to create the fuzzy inference system, and then to estimate the optimal reservoir operation. To investigate its applicability and practicability, the Shihmen reservoir, Taiwan, is used as a case study. For the purpose of comparison, a simulation of the currently used M‐5 operating rule curve is also performed. The results demonstrate that (1) the GA is an efficient way to search the optimal input–output patterns, (2) the FRB can extract the knowledge from the operating rule curves, and (3) the ANFIS models built on different types of knowledge can produce much better performance than the traditional M‐5 curves in real‐time reservoir operation. Moreover, we show that the model can be more intelligent for reservoir operation if more information (or knowledge) is involved. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
4.
Porosity, the void portion of reservoir rocks, determines the volume of hydrocarbon accumulation and has a great control on assessment and development of hydrocarbon reservoirs. Accurate determination of porosity from core analysis is highly cost, time, and labor intensive. Therefore, the mission of finding an accurate, fast and cheap way of determining porosity is unavoidable. On the other hand, conventional well log data, available in almost all wells contain invaluable implicit information about the porosity. Therefore, an intelligent system can explicate this information. Fuzzy logic is a powerful tool for handling geosciences problem which is associated with uncertainty. However, determination of the best fuzzy formulation is still an issue. This study purposes an improved strategy, called hybrid genetic algorithm–pattern search (GA–PS) technique, against the widely held subtractive clustering (SC) method for setting up fuzzy rules between core porosity and petrophysical logs. Hybrid GA–PS technique is capable of extracting optimal parameters for fuzzy clusters (membership functions) which consequently results in the best fuzzy formulation. Results indicate that GA–PS technique manipulates both mean and variance of Gaussian membership functions contrary to SC that only has a control on mean of Gaussian membership functions. A comparison between hybrid GA–PS technique and SC method confirmed the superiority of GA–PS technique in setting up fuzzy rules. The proposed strategy was successfully applied to one of the Iranian carbonate reservoir rocks. 相似文献
5.
The primary objective of this study is to propose a real‐coded hypercubic distributed genetic algorithm (HDGA) for optimizing reservoir operation system. A conventional genetic algorithm (GA) is often trapped into local optimums during the optimization procedure. To prevent premature convergence and to obtain near‐global optimal solutions, the HDGA is designed to have various subpopulations that are processed using separate and parallel GAs. The hypercubic topology with a small diameter spreads good solutions rapidly throughout all of the subpopulations, and a migration mechanism, which exchanges chromosomes among the subpopulations, exchanges information during the joint optimization to maintain diversity and thus avoid a systematic premature convergence toward a single local optimum. Three genetic operators, i.e. linear ranking selection, blend‐α crossover and Gaussian mutation, are applied to search for the optimal reservoir releases. First, a benchmark problem, the four‐reservoir operation system, is considered to investigate the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results show that the known global optimal solution can be effectively and stably achieved by the HDGA. The HDGA is then applied in the planning of a multi‐reservoir system in northern Taiwan, considering a water reservoir development scenario to the year 2021. The results searched by an HDGA minimize the water deficit of this reservoir system and provide much better performance than the conventional GA in terms of obtaining lower values of the objective function and avoiding local optimal solutions. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
6.
C. Sivapragasam G. Vasudevan P. Vincent P. Sugendran M. Marimuthu S. Seenivasakan 《水文研究》2007,21(21):2835-2844
Decision‐making in reservoir operation has become easy and understandable with the use of fuzzy logic models, which represent the knowledge in terms of interpretable linguistic rules. However, the improvement in interpretability with increase in number of fuzzy sets (‘low’, ‘high’, etc) comes with the disadvantage of increase in number of rules that are difficult to comprehend by decision makers. In this study, a clustering‐based novel approach is suggested to provide the operators with a limited number of most meaningful operating rules. A single triangular fuzzy set is adopted for different variables in each cluster, which are fine‐tuned with genetic algorithm (GA) to meet the desired objective. The results are compared with the multi fuzzy set fuzzy logic model through a case study in the Pilavakkal reservoir system in Tamilnadu State, India. The results obtained are highly encouraging with a smaller set of rules representing the actual fuzzy logic system. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
7.
Complexities in river discharge, variable rainfall regime, and drought severity merit the use of advanced optimization tools in multi-reservoir operation. The gravity search algorithm (GSA) is an evolutionary optimization algorithm based on the law of gravity and mass interactions. This paper explores the GSA's efficacy for solving benchmark functions, single reservoir, and four-reservoir operation optimization problems. The GSA's solutions are compared with those of the well-known genetic algorithm (GA) in three optimization problems. The results show that the GSA's results are closer to the optimal solutions than the GA's results in minimizing the benchmark functions. The average values of the objective function equal 1.218 and 1.746 with the GSA and GA, respectively, in solving the single-reservoir hydropower operation problem. The global solution equals 1.213 for this same problem. The GSA converged to 99.97% of the global solution in its average-performing history, while the GA converged to 97% of the global solution of the four-reservoir problem. Requiring fewer parameters for algorithmic implementation and reaching the optimal solution in fewer number of functional evaluations are additional advantages of the GSA over the GA. The results of the three optimization problems demonstrate a superior performance of the GSA for optimizing general mathematical problems and the operation of reservoir systems. 相似文献
8.
A novel hybrid methodology is introduced in this paper for the optimal solution of the groundwater management problem. The problem to be addressed is the optimal determination and operation of a predefined number of wells out of a priori known set of potential wells with fixed locations to minimize the pumping cost of utilizing a two‐dimensional (2D) confined aquifer under steady‐state flow condition. The solution to this problem should satisfy a downstream demand, a lower/upper bound on the pumping rates, and a lower/upper bound on the water level drawdown in the wells. The problem is solved by hybridizing a genetic algorithm (GA) which suggests the candidate configurations for the operational wells and a hybrid linear programming (LP‐LP) approach with the duty of finding the optimal operation policy of the candidate wells defined by their pumping rates. Two different codings, namely binary and integer codings, are used for the GA and their performances are compared. The ability of the proposed hybrid method is tested against two benchmark problems: (1) finding the optimal configuration and pumping rates of a predefined number of wells out of potential wells and (2) finding the optimal number, configuration and pumping rates of the operating wells out of potential wells and the results are presented and compared with the available ones showing superior efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed method. 相似文献
9.
基于GA-BP理论,将自适应遗传算法与人工神经网络技术(BP算法)有机地相结合,形成了一种储层裂缝自适应遗传-神经网络反演方法.这种新的方法是由编码、适应度函数、遗传操作及混合智能学习等组成,即在成像测井裂缝密度数据约束下,通过对目标问题进行编码(称染色体),然后对染色体进行选择、交叉和变异等遗传操作,使染色体不断进化,从而快速获得全局最优解.在反演执行过程中,利用地震数据和成像测井裂缝密度数据之间的非线性映射关系建立训练样本,将GA算法与BP算法有机地结合,优化三层前向网络参数;或将GA与ANFIS相结合,优化ANFIS网络参数.并采用GA算法与TS算法(Tabu Search)相结合的自适应混合学习算法,该学习算法自始至终将GA和BP两种算法按一定的概率比例进行,其概率自适应变化,以达到混合算法的均衡.这种混合算法提高了网络的收敛速度和精度.我们分别利用两个研究地区的6井和1井成像测井裂缝密度数据与地震数据之间的非线性映射关系建立训练样本,对过这两口井的测线的地震数据进行反演,获得了视裂缝密度剖面,视裂缝密度剖面上裂缝分布特征符合沉积相分布特征和岩石力学性质的变化特征.这种视裂缝密度剖面含有储层裂缝的定量信息,其误差可为油气勘探开发实际要求所允许.因此,这种新的方法优于只能作裂缝定性分析的常规裂缝地震预测方法,具有广阔的应用前景. 相似文献
10.
The present study aims to develop a hybrid multi‐model using the soft computing approach. The model is a combination of a fuzzy logic, artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic algorithm (GA). While neural networks are low‐level computational structures that perform well dealing with raw data, fuzzy logic deal with reasoning on a higher level by using linguistic information acquired from domain experts. However, fuzzy systems lack the ability to learn and cannot adjust themselves to a new environment. Moreover, experts occasionally make mistakes and thus some rules used in a system may be false. A network type structure of the present hybrid model is a multi‐layer feed‐forward network, the main part is a fuzzy system based on the first‐order Sugeno fuzzy model with a fuzzification and a defuzzification processes. The consequent parameters are determined by least square method. The back‐propagation is applied to adjust weights of network. Then, the antecedent parameters of the membership function are updated accordingly by the gradient descent method. The GA was applied to select the fuzzy rule. The hybrid multi‐model was used to forecast the flood level at Chiang Mai (under the big flood 2005) and the Koriyama flood (2003) in Japan. The forecasting results are evaluated using standard global goodness of fit statistic, efficient index (EI), the root mean square error (RMSE) and the peak flood error. Moreover, the results are compared to the results of a neuro‐genetic model (NGO) and ANFIS model using the same input and output variables. It was found that the hybrid multi‐model can be used successfully with an efficiency index (EI) more than 0·95 (for Chiang Mai flood up to 12 h ahead forecasting) and more than 0·90 (for Koriyama flood up to 8 h ahead forecasting). In general, all of three models can predict the water level with satisfactory results. However, the hybrid model gave the best flood peak estimation among the three models. Therefore, the use of fuzzy rule base, which is selected by GA in the hybrid multi‐model helps to improve the accuracy of flood peak. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
11.
F. A. El-Awar J. W. Labadie T. B. M. J. Ouarda 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1998,12(4):247-266
: As with all dynamic programming formulations, differential dynamic programming (DDP) successfully exploits the sequential
decision structure of multi-reservoir optimization problems, overcomes difficulties with the nonconvexity of energy production
functions for hydropower systems, and provides optimal feedback release policies. DDP is particularly well suited to optimizing
large-scale multi-reservoir systems due to its relative insensitivity to state-space dimensionality. This advantage of DDP
encourages expansion of the state vector to include additional multi-lag hydrologic information and/or future inflow forecasts
in developing optimal reservoir release policies. Unfortunately, attempts at extending DDP to the stochastic case have not
been entirely successful. A modified stochastic DDP algorithm is presented which overcomes difficulties in previous formulations.
Application of the algorithm to a four-reservoir hydropower system demonstrates its capabilities as an efficient approach
to solving stochastic multi-reservoir optimization problems. The algorithm is also applied to a single reservoir problem with
inclusion of multi-lag hydrologic information in the state vector. Results provide evidence of significant benefits in direct
inclusion of expanded hydrologic state information in optimal feedback release policies. 相似文献
12.
F. A. El-Awar J. W. Labadie T. B. M. J. Ouarda 《Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics》1998,12(4):247-266
: As with all dynamic programming formulations, differential dynamic programming (DDP) successfully exploits the sequential
decision structure of multi-reservoir optimization problems, overcomes difficulties with the nonconvexity of energy production
functions for hydropower systems, and provides optimal feedback release policies. DDP is particularly well suited to optimizing
large-scale multi-reservoir systems due to its relative insensitivity to state-space dimensionality. This advantage of DDP
encourages expansion of the state vector to include additional multi-lag hydrologic information and/or future inflow forecasts
in developing optimal reservoir release policies. Unfortunately, attempts at extending DDP to the stochastic case have not
been entirely successful. A modified stochastic DDP algorithm is presented which overcomes difficulties in previous formulations.
Application of the algorithm to a four-reservoir hydropower system demonstrates its capabilities as an efficient approach
to solving stochastic multi-reservoir optimization problems. The algorithm is also applied to a single reservoir problem with
inclusion of multi-lag hydrologic information in the state vector. Results provide evidence of significant benefits in direct
inclusion of expanded hydrologic state information in optimal feedback release policies. 相似文献
13.
斜向探测是获取电离层状态信息的重要手段之一,对斜测电离图的反演可以得到电离层的相关结构参数.遗传算法是一种有效的并得到普遍应用的反演方法,该算法的求解不依赖于初值的选择,可以有效地减少反演问题解的非唯一性,但也存在“过早收敛”和局部搜索能力差等缺陷,从而导致反演精度下降,影响反演结果的可靠性.本文提出将基于模拟退火的混合遗传算法应用到斜测电离图的参数反演中,该算法不仅把握总体能力强,且具有较强的局部搜索能力,是遗传算法和模拟退火算法的优势互补.为了验证该算法反演结果的可靠性和稳定性,首先分别采用遗传算法、模拟退火算法和混合遗传算法对合成的电离图进行反演,反演参数包括临界频率,最大电子浓度和半厚度.通过对三种算法反演结果的对比,得出混合遗传算法的反演结果最接近真实值,需要的迭代次数也远远小于其他两种算法;通过改变种群大小和总迭代次数来判断参数值的改变对三种算法反演结果的影响,得出混合遗传算法有效地降低了参数的选取对反演结果的影响.然后用这三种反演算法对实测电离图进行反演,并将它们的反演结果与斜测链路中点的实际垂测数据进行比较,结果显示混合遗传算法84.62%的反演结果可以控制在误差范围之内,高于遗传算法（76.93%）和模拟退火算法（65.38%）.这些都表明了混合遗传算法的反演结果具有较强的可靠性,在反演的寻优能力和稳定性上要明显优于遗传算法和模拟退火算法,对实测电离层图的反演具有很强的借鉴意义和应用价值. 相似文献
14.
A combined simulation–genetic algorithm (GA) optimization model is developed to determine optimal reservoir operational rule curves of the Nam Oon Reservoir and Irrigation Project in Thailand. The GA and simulation models operate in parallel over time with interactions through their solution procedure. A GA is selected as an optimization model, instead of traditional techniques, owing to its powerful and robust performance and simplicity in combining with a simulation technique. A GA is different from conventional optimization techniques in the way that it uses objective function information and does not require its derivatives, whereas in real‐world optimization problems the search space may include discontinuities and may often include a number of sub‐optimum peaks. This may cause difficulties for calculus‐based and enumerative schemes, but not in a GA. The simulation model is run to determine the net system benefit associated with state and control variables. The combined simulation–GA model is applied to determine the optimal upper and lower rule curves on a monthly basis for the Nam Oon Reservoir, Thailand. The objective function is maximum net system benefit subject to given constraints for three scenarios of cultivated areas. The monthly release is calculated by the simulation model in accordance with the given release policy, which depends on water demand. The optimal upper and lower rule curves are compared with the results of the HEC‐3 model (Reservoir System Analysis for Conservation model) calculated by the Royal Irrigation Department, Thailand, and those obtained using the standard operating policy. It was found that the optimal rule curves yield the maximum benefit and minimum damages caused by floods and water shortages. The combined simulation–GA model shows an excellent performance in terms of its optimization results and efficient computation. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
15.
D. Z. Fu Y. P. Li G. H. Huang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2012,26(3):375-391
In this study, a fuzzy-Markov-chain-based stochastic dynamic programming (FM-SDP) method is developed for tackling uncertainties
expressed as fuzzy sets and distributions with fuzzy probability (DFPs) in reservoir operation. The concept of DFPs used in
Markov chain is presented as an extended form for expressing uncertainties including both stochastic and fuzzy characteristics.
A fuzzy dominance index analysis approach is proposed for solving multiple fuzzy sets and DPFs in the proposed FM-SDP model.
Solutions under a set of α-cut levels and fuzzy dominance indices can be generated by solving a series of deterministic submodels.
The developed method is applied to a case study of a reservoir operation system. Solutions from FM-SDP provide a range of
desired water-release policies under various system conditions for reservoir operation decision makers, reflecting dynamic
and dual uncertain features of water availability simultaneously. The results indicate that the FM-SDP method could be applicable
to practical problems for decision makers to obtain insight regarding the tradeoffs between economic and system reliability
criteria. Willingness to obtain a lower benefit may guarantee meeting system-constraint demands; conversely, a desire to acquire
a higher benefit could run into a higher risk of violating system constraints. 相似文献
16.
Multi-tier interactive genetic algorithms for the optimization of long-term reservoir operation 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Genetic algorithms (GAs) are well known optimization methods. However, complicated systems with high dimensional variables, such as long-term reservoir operation, usually prevent the methods from reaching optimal solutions. This study proposes a multi-tier interactive genetic algorithm (MIGA) which decomposes a complicated system (long series) into several small-scale sub-systems (sub-series) with GA applied to each sub-system and the multi-tier (key) information mutually interacts among individual sub-systems to find the optimal solution of long-term reservoir operation. To retain the integrity of the original system, over the multi-tier architecture, an operation strategy is designed to concatenate the primary tier and the allocation tiers by providing key information from the primary tier to the allocation tiers when initializing populations in each sub-system. The Shihmen Reservoir in Taiwan is used as a case study. For comparison, three long-term operation results of a sole GA search and a simulation based on the reservoir rule curves are compared with that of MIGA. The results demonstrate that MIGA is far more efficient than the sole GA and can successfully and efficiently increase the possibility of achieving an optimal solution. The improvement rate of fitness values increases more than 25%, and the computation time dramatically decreases 80% in a 20-year long-term operation case. The MIGA with the flexibility of decomposition strategies proposed in this study can be effectively and suitably used in long-term reservoir operation or systems with similar conditions. 相似文献
17.
最优化测井解释方法能充分利用各种测井资料及地质信息,可以有效地评价复杂岩性油气藏.优化算法的选择是最优化测井解释方法的关键,影响着测井解释结果的准确性.细菌觅食算法(BFA)是新兴的一种智能优化算法,具有较强的全局搜索能力,但在寻优后期收敛速度较慢.复合形算法(CM)局部搜索能力极强,将其与BFA算法相结合构成BFA-CM混合算法,既提高了搜索精度又提高了搜索效率.利用BFA-CM最优化测井解释方法对苏里格致密砂岩储层实际资料进行了处理,计算结果与岩心及薄片分析资料吻合得很好. 相似文献
18.
We present a novel hybrid algorithm, integrating a genetic algorithm (GA) and constrained differential dynamic programming (CDDP), to achieve remediation planning for an unconfined aquifer. The objective function includes both fixed and dynamic operation costs. GA determines the primary structure of the proposed algorithm, and a chromosome therein implemented by a series of binary digits represents a potential network design. The time-varying optimal operation cost associated with the network design is computed by the CDDP, in which is embedded a numerical transport model. Several computational approaches, including a chromosome bookkeeping procedure, are implemented to alleviate computational loading. Additionally, case studies that involve fixed and time-varying operating costs for confined and unconfined aquifers, respectively, are discussed to elucidate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. Simulation results indicate that the fixed costs markedly affect the optimal design, including the number and locations of the wells. Furthermore, the solution obtained using the confined approximation for an unconfined aquifer may be infeasible, as determined by an unconfined simulation. 相似文献
19.
This paper presents a chance-constrained programming model for optimal control of a multipurpose reservoir and its modification to a model for single reservoir design. An algorithm is developed for solving complex stochastic problems of multipurpose reservoir planning and design. The complexity of the problem is resolved by a two-step algorithm: (1) transformation of chance constraints on the state and control variables is performed at the first step; and (2) the choice of optimum control or optimal reservoir storage is carried out in the second step. The method of iterative convolution is chosen for the first step, while linear programming is selected for the second step. The algorithm allows the use of random inflows and random demands together with other deterministic demands. The reservoir design problem is presented as a modified optimal control problem. The procedure is illustrated with an example of a hypothetical reservoir design problem with three different types of downstream releases (hydropower production, municipal water supply, and irrigation). 相似文献
20.
In the past, graphical or computer methods were usually employed to determine the aquifer parameters of the observed data obtained from field pumping tests. Since we employed the computer methods to determine the aquifer parameters, an analytical aquifer model was required to estimate the predicted drawdown. Following this, the gradient‐type approach was used to solve the nonlinear least‐squares equations to obtain the aquifer parameters. This paper proposes a novel approach based on a drawdown model and a global optimization method of simulated annealing (SA) or a genetic algorithm (GA) to determine the best‐fit aquifer parameters for leaky aquifer systems. The aquifer parameters obtained from SA and the GA almost agree with those obtained from the extended Kalman filter and gradient‐type method. Moreover, all results indicate that the SA and GA are robust and yield consistent results when dealing with the parameter identification problems. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献