共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 754 毫秒
1.
The dependences of the number and parameters of non-polar coronal holes (CHs) on characteristics of the Sun’s global magnetic field (GMF) are investigated in cycles 21–23 of solar activity (1976–2012) based on data from the CH catalog of the Mountain Astronomical Station of the Main (Pulkovo) Astronomical Observatory of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The influence of variations in the GMF structural arrangement on the CH number and parameters is considered. It is shown that the more stable and steadystate the GMF topology is in the cycle, the higher are the GMF values. The majority of CHs form over periods of stable GMF structure. With a growth in the rate of structural GMF changes, the CH number and the values of all CH parameters decrease. The correlation between the area, extension in latitude and longitude, and magnetic flux of CHs and the intensity of both the calculated coronal field and the observed large-scale photospheric magnetic field is higher in cycles with larger magnetic-field values and with a more stable GMF structure. Non-polar CHs are divided into three groups depending on the GMF value and a rate of the structural GMF rearrangement. 相似文献
2.
The dynamics of the absolute global values (Φ) of the large-scale open solar magnetic field (LOSMF) fluxes at an interval of one solar rotation in 2006–2012 has been studied based on the Wilcox Solar Observatory data and using the ISOPAK original package for modeling the solar magnetic field. The reference points and the duration of the final quasi-biennial interval in cycle 23 (January 2006–May 2007; 17 months) and the phases of the cycle 24 minimum (May 2007–November 2009; 30 months), growth (November 2009–May 2012; 30 months), and the beginning of the maximum (May 2012–January 2013) have been determined. It has been indicated that the absolute values (Φ) decreased sharply at the beginning of the minimum, growth, and the maximum phases to ～(2, 1.25, 0.75) × 1022 Mx, respectively. During the entire minimum phase, LOSMF corotated super-quasi-rigidly westward in the direction of solar rotation; at the beginning of the growth phase, this field started corotating mostly eastward. The LOSMF polarity reversal in the current cycle 24 started in May–June 2012 (CR 2123–2124), when fields of southern polarity rushed from the Sun’s southern hemisphere toward the north. The statement that the solar cycle is a continuous series of quasi-biennial LOSMF intervals is confirmed. In particular, the minimum and growth phases are characterized by opposite LOSMF rotation directions, i.e., super-quasi-rigid corotation (twisting) and detwisting, with identical duration at least in cycle 24. 相似文献
3.
R. T. Gushchina A. V. Belov E. A. Eroshenko V. N. Obridko E. Paouris B. D. Shelting 《Geomagnetism and Aeronomy》2014,54(4):430-436
Recent years allowed us to study long-term variations in the cosmic ray (CR) intensity at an unusually deep solar activity (SA) minimum between cycles 23 and 24 and during the SA growth phase in cycle 24, which was the cycle when SA was the lowest for the epoch of regular ground-based CR observations since 1951. The intensity maximum, the value of which depends on the particle energy, was observed in CR variations during the period of an unusually prolonged SA minimum: the CR density during the aformentioned period (2009) is higher than this density at previous CR maxima in cycles 19–23 for low-energy particles (observed on spacecraft and in the stratosphere) and medium-energy particles (observed with neutron monitors). After 2009 CR modulation at the SA growth phase was much weaker over three years (2010–2012) than during the corresponding SA growth periods in the previous cycles. The possible causes of this anomaly in CR variations, which are related to the CR residual modulation value at a minimum between cycles 23 and 24 and to variations in SA characteristics during this period, were examined. The contribution of different solar magnetic field characteristics and indices, taking into account sporadic solar activity, has been estimated. 相似文献
4.
The latitude-time evolution of large high-latitude coronal holes (CHs) and polar faculae (PF) during the period 1975–2010 has been studied. Their spatial distribution relative to each other has been considered. CHs and PF are shown to pass two significantly different phases in their evolution during an 11-year cycle. At phase I, i.e., during the period of an increase and maximum in the 11-year cycle, large CHs and PF exhibit a sequential motion from heliolatitudes of 40°–50° to the polar region and form a series of discrete chains with a periodicity of 1.25 ± 0.3 years in the 21st cycle. The magnetic field in CH chains corresponds to the trailing polarity of spot groups of this cycle. The anomaly of the 23rd cycle at high latitudes manifested itself in a break of the aforesaid periodicity in the N-hemisphere by the formation of a discontinuity between the second and third chains with a duration of three years. This shifted the beginning of the next 24th cycle by three years. 相似文献
5.
Using sunspot data for cycles 12 to 23, we have investigated relations of some latitude characteristics of sunspot groups to the 11-year cycle amplitude at different phases. We have revealed a high correlation (with correlation coefficients >0.9) between the middle latitude of sunspot groups at phases of rise, maximum, and decay, on the one hand, and the amplitude of the corresponding cycle, on the other hand. We have shown that the maxima of the velocity of the motion of the sunspot formation zone to the equator have a special physical meaning: the rise phase of the 11-year cycle is characterized by significant correlations between the cycle amplitude and the maximum for the lowest boundary, and the cycle decay phase is characterized by the same maximum for the highest boundary. We have built equations allowing one to determine the amplitude of the 11-year cycle on the basis of data on the given latitudinal characteristics of sunspots groups. 相似文献
6.
Emil M. Apostolov Vojtěch Letfus Reviewer J. Pýcha 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1989,33(4):379-390
Summary The time variations of the amplitudes and phases of the semi-annual variation in geomagnetic activity, characterized by the linear planetary index aa, have been analysed for the period 1868–1985. The results provide qualitative confirmation of Murayama's conclusions [13] about the systematic f phase in dependence on the changes in the level of solar activity and give support to Russel-McPherron's mechanism [16] concerning the effect of the predominant polarity of the interplanetary magnetic field. A distinctly expressed variation of the phase differences in the course of the sunspot cycle and of the 22-year cycle, and specific variations related to the sequence of four consecutive cycles have been established, as well as a well-defined 90-year period, all of them as a reflection of analogous variations in solar activity. The variations of the phase differences observed around the equinoxes can be explained by the combined effect of the mechanisms of the axial and equinoctial hypothesis. It is assumed that a displacement of the maxima of the semi-annual variation to dates after the equinoxes will be observed in the ascending parts and a reverse displacement towards the equinoxes and earlier dates in the desccending parts of the following sunspot cycles 22 nad 23.On leave from the Geophysical Institute of the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Akad. G. Bonchev Str. bl. 3, Sofia 1113, Bulgaria. 相似文献
7.
The double-sunspot-cycle variation in terrestrial magnetic activity has been well known for about 30 years. In 1990 we examined and compared the low-solar-activity (LSA) part of two consecutive cycles and predicted from this database and from published results the existence of a double-sunspot-cycle variation in total electron content (TEC) of the ionosphere too. This is restricted to noontime when the semi-annual component is well developed. Since 1995 we have had enough data for the statistical processing for high-solar-activity (HSA) conditions of two successive solar cycles. The results confirm the LSA findings. The annual variation of TEC shows a change from an autumn maximum in cycle 21 to a spring maximum during the next solar cycle. Similar to the aa indices for geomagnetic activity the TEC data show a phase change in the 1-year component of the Fourier transform of the annual variation. Additionally we found the same behaviour in the F-layer peak electron density (Nmax) over four solar cycles. This indicates that there exists a double-sunspot-cycle variation in the F-layer ionization over Europe too. It is very likely coupled with the 22-year cycle in geomagnetic activity. 相似文献
8.
It is proposed to determined minimums of the 11-year solar cycles based on a minimal flux of the large-scale open solar magnetic field. The minimal fluxes before the finished cycle 23 (Carrington rotation CR 1904) and the started cycle 24 (CR 2054, April 2007) were equal to 1.8 × 1022 and 1.2 × 1022 μs, respectively. The long-term tendency toward an approach to a deep minimum of solar activity is confirmed. On the assumption that magnetic flux variations from minimums to maximums are proportional to each other, the anticipated value of the maximal Wolf number during cycle 24 is estimated as W max = 80. 相似文献
9.
Using the annual number of geomagnetically quiet days (aa < 20 γ) for the year after the solar minimum, this precursor method predicts that the maximum sunspot number for cycle 23 will be 140 + 32, indicating that cycle 23 will be similar to cycles 21 and 22. 相似文献
10.
The solar-terrestrial extrastorm of August 22–25, 2005, has been considered in the context of the cyclic dynamics and structure of the large-scale open solar magnetic field and has been rated among the other extrastorms of cycle 23. It has been established that the storm under discussion was one of the last six extrastorms in the cycle that occurred during the specific third interval of the declining phase—the period of quasirigidly corotating four-sector structure. Inside this structure, we have revealed convergent motions of the photospheric sources of open fields, the active sector boundary, and the formation of a narrow longitudinal sector with the activity complex responsible for the set of four extrastorms of January–September 2005. It is shown that all extrastorms were accompanied by significant variations (up to 1021 μs) of the open field flux Φ. The storm of August 22–25 was accompanied by an increase in the magnetic flux Φ in the corresponding sector (with a doublet of solar flares) and a fast expansion of the sector to the dimensions at the beginning of this interval (September 2004). 相似文献
11.
We study the annual frequency of occurrence of intense geomagnetic storms (Dst < –100 nT) throughout the solar activity cycle for the last three cycles and find that it shows different structures. In cycles 20 and 22 it peaks during the ascending phase, near sunspot maximum. During cycle 21, however, there is one peak in the ascending phase and a second, higher, peak in the descending phase separated by a minimum of storm occurrence during 1980, the sunspot maximum. We compare the solar cycle distribution of storms with the corresponding evolution of coronal mass ejections and flares. We find that, as the frequency of occurrence of coronal mass ejections seems to follow very closely the evolution of the sunspot number, it does not reproduce the storm profiles. The temporal distribution of flares varies from that of sunspots and is more in agreement with the distribution of intense geomagnetic storms, but flares show a maximum at every sunspot maximum and cannot then explain the small number of intense storms in 1980. In a previous study we demonstrated that, in most cases, the occurrence of intense geomagnetic storms is associated with a flaring event in an active region located near a coronal hole. In this work we study the spatial relationship between active regions and coronal holes for solar cycles 21 and 22 and find that it also shows different temporal evolution in each cycle in accordance with the occurrence of strong geomagnetic storms; although there were many active regions during 1980, most of the time they were far from coronal holes. We analyse in detail the situation for the intense geomagnetic storms in 1980 and show that, in every case, they were associated with a flare in one of the few active regions adjacent to a coronal hole. 相似文献
12.
D. V. Erofeev 《Geomagnetism and Aeronomy》2012,52(8):1097-1106
The behavior of correlation tensors of fluctuations in the solar wind magnetic field and velocity is studied during different phases of a solar cycle on the basis of a 45-year measurement series of solar wind parameters. It is found that the orientation of fluctuations in the magnetic field and velocity is approximately axisymmetric relative to the direction of a local magnetic field during high solar activity. This symmetry is violated significantly during periods of low solar activity, and deviations from the symmetry are regular and oppositely directed during minima of even and odd 11-year cycles, which is probably connected with variations in the orientation of the Sun??s magnetic field. The dependence of the power of fluctuations on the local magnetic field direction reveals significant deviations from local symmetry during all phases of a solar cycle, especially for velocity fluctuations. 相似文献
13.
I. A. Bilenko 《Geomagnetism and Aeronomy》2012,52(8):1005-1014
This paper investigates the dependence of the observed coronal mass ejections and their parameters on evolutionary changes in the global solar magnetic field at different phases of solar cycles 23?C24. Four periods in the evolution of the solar cycle are identified, depending on the dominance ratio of the sectoral and zonal magnetic field structures. The parameters of coronal mass ejections observed during these periods are analyzed. The evolving structure in the global magnetic field is identified, and its influence on coronal mass ejections is examined. 相似文献
14.
It has been indicated that special moments (turning points), when certain characteristics of the latitudinal (equatorward) drift of the sunspot drift zone suddenly change, exist in each 11-year solar cycle. The moment when a sunspot formation low-latitude boundary minimum (T2), coordinated in time with the end of a polar magnetic field polarity reversal, exists has a special place among these points. A conclusion has been drawn that it is impossible to reconstruct polarity reversal moments in the past based on information about turning points T2. The average velocities of the latitudinal drift of the minimal, average, and maximal sunspot group latitudes have been calculated. It has been indicated that the closeness of the relationship between the first two velocities and the maximal activity amplitudes in the cycles differ substantially for the first (before point T2) and second (after point T2) cycle parts. The corresponding values of the correlation coefficients increase substantially in the second cycle (after point T2). It has been established that a relationship exists between some velocities calculated in these cycles and the activity amplitudes at maximums of the next cycles. A model for predicting future cycle maximums has been constructed based on this conclusion. The probable average annual Wolf number at a maximum of cycle 24 has been determined (W(24) = 93). 相似文献
15.
A statistical analysis of observations of large-scale undulations during the 23rd cycle of solar activity was performed using
optical data from two stations: Tixie (71.6°N, 128.9°E) and Zhigansk (66.8°N, 123.4°E). The total number of events recorded
was 54 (43 events at Tixie and 11 at Zhigansk). The complete list of observed events is presented. The occurrence frequency
of eveningside (17–23 LT) undulations during the solar activity growth (1999) and decline (2003–2005) phases tends to increase.
Large-scale undulations were shown to be generated both on the equatorward boundary of the diffuse auroral zone and inside
the diffuse zone, which does not necessarily occur during magnetic storms. 相似文献
16.
The velocity field of large-scale magnetic structures during fast reorganizations of the global solar magnetic field structure
has been analyzed. Some characteristic features of the velocity field have been found during these periods. At that time,
a considerable part of the solar surface is occupied by regions with low horizontal velocities, which correspond to the regions
of positive and negative velocity field divergence during the solar activity growth and decline phases, respectively. Such
character of changes in the velocity field during these periods agrees with the previously proposed scenario of magnetic field
variations during global reorganizations of the magnetic field structure. The average horizontal velocities during a Carrington
rotation and their divergence have been calculated for Carrington rotations from 1646 to 2006. Relatively slow regular variations
in these parameters as well as their abrupt changes, observed during different solar cycle phases, have been revealed. An
increase in the average horizontal velocity during the solar activity growth phase is most probably caused by relative motions
of the regions with a new emerging magnetic flux. We assume that abrupt increases in the average horizontal velocity divergence
are related to fast reorganizations of the magnetic field structure. 相似文献
17.
The Forbush decrease energy spectrum, observed during the growth phase of cycle 24 in 2010–2012, was studied based on the measurements performed with the Kuzmin cosmic ray spectrograph. The data of the 24-NM-64 neutron monitor and muon telescopes, installed at water equivalent levels of 0, 7, 20, and 40 m, was used. The performed analysis indicated that a softer energy spectrum was observed during the growth phase of cycle 24 than during the previous cycle (cycle 23). The conclusion was been drawn that a more turbulent magnetic field with the predominant diffusion mechanism in the formation of the Forbush decreases in the cosmic ray intensity exists in the current cycle (cycle 24). 相似文献
18.
N.R. Rigozo M.P. Souza Echer H. Evangelista D.J.R. Nordemann E. Echer 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2011,73(11-12):1294-1299
The prediction of solar activity strength for solar cycles 24 and 25 is made on the basis of extrapolation of sunspot number spectral components. Monthly sunspot number data during the 1850–2007 interval (solar cycles 9–23) are decomposed into several levels and searched for periodicities by iterative regression in each level. For solar cycle 24, the peak is predicted in November 2013 with a sunspot number of 113.3. The cycle is expected to be weak, with a length of 133 mo (months) or 11.1 yr. The sunspot number maximum in cycle 25 is predicted to occur in April 2023 with a sunspot number 132.1 and a solar cycle length of 118 mo or 9.8 yr. Thus, solar cycle 24 is predicted to have an intensity 23% lower than cycle 23, and cycle 25 will be 5% lower than cycle 23. 相似文献
19.
During the prolonged and deep minimum of solar activity between cycles 23 and 24, an unusual behavior of the heliospheric characteristics and increased intensity of galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) near the Earth’s orbit were observed. The maximum of the current solar cycle 24 is lower than the previous one, and the decline in solar and, therefore, heliospheric activity is expected to continue in the next cycle. In these conditions, it is important for an understanding of the process of GCR modulation in the heliosphere, as well as for applied purposes (evaluation of the radiation safety of planned space flights, etc.), to estimate quantitatively the possible GCR characteristics near the Earth in the upcoming solar minimum (~2019–2020). Our estimation is based on the prediction of the heliospheric characteristics that are important for cosmic ray modulation, as well as on numeric calculations of GCR intensity. Additionally, we consider the distribution of the intensity and other GCR characteristics in the heliosphere and discuss the intercycle variations in the GCR characteristics that are integral for the whole heliosphere (total energy, mean energy, and charge). 相似文献
20.
E. A. Bruevich T. V. Kazachevskaya V. V. Katyushina A. A. Nusinov G. V. Yakunina 《Geomagnetism and Aeronomy》2016,56(8):1075-1081
The effects of hysteresis, which is a manifestation of ambiguous relationships between different solar activity indices during the rising and declining phases of solar cycles, are analyzed. The paper addresses the indices characterizing radiation from the solar photosphere, chromosphere, and corona, and the ionospheric indices. The 21st, 22nd, and 23rd solar cycles, which significantly differ from each other in amplitude, exhibit different extents of hysteresis. 相似文献