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1.
一个简化的混合相云降水显式方案   总被引:30,自引:5,他引:25       下载免费PDF全文
该文提出一个新的混合相云降水显式方案,它预报2个云物理量,即云水(冷区为过冷云水)和降水(冷区为冰雪,暖区为雨),考虑了7种云物理过程。文中给出了详细的方程组,可以作为一个子程序供大、中尺度天气模式使用。该方案还与详细微物理显式方案和暖云方案作了实例模拟比较。  相似文献   

2.
为了探讨适用于机载W波段(94 GHz,3.2 mm)测云雷达的衰减订正算法,根据大气和云的毫米波衰减理论,模拟在5种典型参数情况下的非降水云雷达回波强度,基于回波强度Z与云衰减系数kc之间的关系,使用解析法等5种衰减订正算法进行回波订正试验,寻求最优kc-Z关系系数,同时研究改变云液态水含量和云滴数密度(使典型云变成为非典型云)对订正效果的影响。结果表明,W波段kc-Z关系系数a=5.096 5和b=0.491 9适用的云型接近于典型层积云,而逐库类法订正效果优于解析法和迭代法。在使用最佳kc-Z关系系数情况下,5种订正算法对典型云的订正效果都较好,即使云厚增加到典型云厚度的2倍,订正误差仍小于5%。对于改变云液态水含量、云滴数密度、云厚度而表示的非典型云,虽然逐库法订正结果略优于逐库近似2法和逐库近似1法,但效果相近,在云不太厚时订正误差均小于10%。如果用“φ≤10%或20%”来评价其适用范围更广些,优于解析法和迭代法。但逐库类法对云液态水含量较敏感,导致“可订正厚度”减小、误差增大。因此,要尽量做好云型和云液态水含量的估算。   相似文献   

3.
飑线型降水云微波辐射特性的数值研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文将三维云的微物理模式的输出作为三维辐射传输模式的输入,对降水云的微波上行辐射率同地球物理参数间的关系进行了初步研究。在侧边界条件不对称的情况下,如果不考虑实际存在的云间相互辐射作用而模拟降水云的上行辐射率时,模拟出的亮温在低频段将低估卫星上测到的亮温值;在高频段则依降水云上层含冰量的大小而异,即在降水云上层含冰量小的区域,将低估星上测到的亮温,且低估的幅度较低频通道的大,而在降水云上层含冰量大的区域,可能高估星上测到的亮温,但高估的幅度较小。  相似文献   

4.
Further laboratory experiments of thunderstorm charging by ice crystal collisions with riming graupel pellets have led to results that may help account for a major difference between two independent studies reported earlier. The problem concerns values of the cloud liquid water content required to change the sign of graupel charging. The present work has noted and investigated differences in the techniques of cloud nucleation used in the two studies. In one set of measurements by Takahashi, ice crystals are nucleated continuously in a supercooled water droplet cloud, while in the other experiments by Jayaratne et al. and Saunders et al., the droplet cloud is nucleated only briefly. These two nucleation methods lead to differences in the mass of cloud particles collected on a sampling probe used to determine the liquid water content of the cloud. In the continuous nucleation case, the probe collects sufficient numbers of ice crystals to lead to a substantial overestimate of the cloud liquid water content.  相似文献   

5.
杨毅  邱崇践  龚建东  黄静 《气象学报》2008,66(4):479-488
以美国新近研发的天气研究预报模式(WRF)配置的三维变分(3D-Var)同化系统WRF 3D-Var为平台,结合物理初始化方法(Physical Initialization,简称PI)来同化多普勒雷达径向风和回波强度观测资料.其基本做法是首先用物理初始化方法由雷达回波资料估计出比湿、云水混合比和垂直速度,然后用估计的比湿和云水混合比对模式的相应变量进行调整,最后再将估计出的垂直速度作为一种新的观测类型添加到现有的WRF 3D-Var目标函数中,同时以WRF 3D-Var提供的方法直接同化径向风.针对2002年6月19日的一次强对流性降水过程和2003年7月5日的一次梅雨锋暴雨过程进行了一组同化多普勒雷达径向风和回波资料的试验研究.同化结果表明:分析变量的增量场和观测的雷达回波有很好的对应关系.在雷达回波区,有正的比湿增量、云水含量增量和垂直速度增量,并且水平风增量在此辐合;在没有雷达回波的地方有负的垂直速度增量.预报结果表明,调整云水含量对降水预报改善不明显,调整比湿对降水预报改进明显,直接用物理初始化估计出的垂直速度替代模式的初始垂直速度,对降水预报改进不明显,但以新的方案同化雷达资料能有效地缩短模式的起转时间(spin-up time),明显改进短时降水预报.  相似文献   

6.
Marine stratocumulus observations show a large variability in cloud droplet number concentration (CDNC) related to variability in aerosol concentration. Changes in CDNC modify the cloud reflectivity, but also affect cloud water content, cloud lifetime, and cloudiness, through changes in precipitation. In mesoscale models and general circulation models (GCMs), precipitation mechanisms are parameterized. Here we examine how the precipitation parameterization can affect the simulated cloud. Simulations are carried out with the one-dimensional version of the hydrostatic primitive equation model MAR (Modéle Atmosphérique Régional) developed at the Université catholique de Louvain. It includes a E- turbulence closure, a wide-band formulation of the radiative transfer, and a parameterized microphysics including prognostic equations for water vapour, cloud droplets and rain drops concentrations. In a first step, the model is used to simulate a horizontally homogeneous stratocumulus deck observed during the Atlantic Stratocumulus Transition Experiment (ASTEX) on the night of 12–13 June 1992. The observations show that the model is able to realistically reproduce the vertical structure of the cloud-topped boundary layer. In a second step, several precipitation parameterizations commonly used in mesoscale models and GCMs are tested. It is found that most parameterizations tend to overestimate the precipitation, which results in an underestimation of the vertically integrated liquid water content. Afterwards, using those parameterizations that are sensitive to CDNC, several simulations are performed to estimate the effect of CDNC variations on the simulated cloud. Based upon the simulation results, we argue that currently used parameterizations do not enable assessment of such a sensitivity.  相似文献   

7.
Ground-based measured solar radiation fluxes are used to derive simultaneously cloud water content and cloud fraction cover. In this paper we present a new method for prognostically inferring cloud microphysical properties based on previous work of Chou and Suarez. A look up table method combined with simulated annealing process is associated with the Chou and Suarez radiation transfer model called CLIRAD-SW. This model which is of great sensitivity has been validated for several atmospheres. Calculations here are conducted for an equivalent period of one year of measurement realized by the MINREST-LRE program for the Yaoundé meteorological station during the year 1984 and are focused on the previously derived average solar days similar to those proposed by Klein and more representative of the monthly solar radiation profile. In order to reduce computational time, mean values of liquid, mixed phase and ice cloud effective radius are used according to those proposed by Chou M.D. As part of our retrieving method, diffuse and global fluxes calculated for each set of cloud and aerosol microphysical characteristics are compared with the fluxes measured during the corresponding period. The obtained results are in very good agreement with those fluxes with relative errors ranging from 0.001% to 1.9% for diffuse flux and from 0.0009% to 2% for global flux. Mean cloud fraction profile obtained was generally well correlated with seasons whereas the correlation of cloud water content with seasons was not very good. However, the characteristic trend was in good agreement with the change in seasons. The overall agreement observed suggests that the method is capable of characterizing cloud water content and fraction for the given period of the day and the year although the lack of in situ measurements was a limitation for a valuable verification of the accuracy of the method.  相似文献   

8.
采用20世纪再分析版本2c数据集的云水量逐月再分析数据,通过数理统计方法,分析了1960~2014年全球、海洋和陆地上空云水量的分布和变化特征及其与水汽通量的关系。结果表明:1)全球云水量空间分布不均,海洋高于陆地且比例约为4﹕3,中低纬海洋、陆地上空云水量变化趋势分别为0.07 g m?2 (10 a)?1和?0.04 g m?2 (10 a)?1,季节性差异主要体现于夏季在热带辐合带和南半球海洋高,冬季在北半球海洋和南半球陆地高。2)对比六大洲发现,云水量最高的南美洲有最快增加趋势,为0.46 g m?2 (10 a)?1,同时云水量最低的非洲有最快降低趋势,为?0.59 g m?2 (10 a)?1。3)中低层整层水汽通量散度场的辐合、辐散区和云水量的高、低值区相对应,云水量与水汽通量散度变化呈负相关(相关系数为?0.44),负相关关系在赤道附近的低纬地区显著。本文揭示了在全球变暖背景下,大气中云水量分布和变化的时空格局,为模式参数化和未来气候预估提供参考。  相似文献   

9.
Direct assimilation of cloud-affected microwave brightness temperatures from AMSU-A into the GSI three-dimensional variational(3D-Var) assimilation system is preliminarily studied in this paper. A combination of cloud microphysics parameters retrieved by the 1D-Var algorithm(including vertical profiles of cloud liquid water content, ice water content, and rain water content) and atmospheric state parameters from objective analysis fields of an NWP model are used as background fields. Three cloud microphysics parameters(cloud liquid water content, ice water content, and rain water content) are applied to the control variable. Typhoon Halong(2014) is selected as an example. The results show that direct assimilation of cloud-affected AMSU-A observations can effectively adjust the structure of large-scale temperature, humidity and wind analysis fields due to the assimilation of more AMSU-A observations in typhoon cloudy areas, especially typhoon spiral cloud belts. These adjustments, with temperatures increasing and humidities decreasing in the movement direction of the typhoon,bring the forecasted typhoon moving direction closer to its real path. The assimilation of cloud-affected satellite microwave brightness temperatures can provide better analysis fields that are more similar to the actual situation. Furthermore, typhoon prediction accuracy is improved using these assimilation analysis fields as the initial forecast fields in NWP models.  相似文献   

10.
利用装载有粒子测量系统(PMS)的飞机对2007年8月15日甘肃省张掖市民乐县夏季非降水层状云进行了一次探测飞行,通过获取的资料分析了云层结构、云滴的垂直分布、液态含水量、谱特征等。结果表明:(1)此个例中云层结构明显,云中存在逆温层;(2)云中平均含水量为0.012g/m^3,含水层主要集中在4100~4200m与4700—5000m层之间;(3)此云系符合Bergeron提出的催化云一供水云相互作用导致降水的概念模型,可以在催化云中进行人工引晶来达到增加降水的目的。  相似文献   

11.
祁连山是我国西北地区重要的生态屏障,地形云是祁连山主要降水云系,加强对祁连山云微物理过程的认识,对科学有效开展人工增雨作业、改善生态环境具有重要意义。利用2020年8月29日祁连山一次地形云降水过程的飞机观测数据,研究祁连山地区夏季云降水过程的微物理特征。此次降水过程云系呈明显的分层结构,云底高度为4000 m,整层含水量较丰富,云水大值区出现在4500~5300 m高度,与云滴高浓度区对应,云水含量主要由粒子直径为15~20 μm的云滴粒子贡献。小云粒子和大云粒子平均浓度分别为7.54 cm-3和0.86 cm-3,有效直径平均值分别为11.02 μm和198.11 μm,呈现出浓度小、直径大的特征。云系翻越祁连山过程中南北坡云微物理特征有明显变化,北坡(背风坡)粒子浓度、直径和液态水含量明显大于南坡(迎风坡)。祁连山地区不同高度小云粒子谱呈单峰型分布,Gamma分布可较好拟合直径小于50 μm的云滴谱,直径大于50 μm的云粒子谱更符合幂指数分布。凝华和聚并是冰相层冰雪晶的增长机制,混合层冰晶增长以贝吉龙过程为主,并伴有凇附和聚并生长。  相似文献   

12.
利用山西省2008—2010年64架次云结构的飞机探测资料,结合地面观测和卫星数据统计分析了层状云系的宏微观特征。结果表明:降水云和非降水云系的微物理特征量,两者存在显著的差异,层状云要达到降水,云的厚度要达到近2000m;粒子尺度分布云粒子有效半径要达到10~14μm,降水性层状云低云含水量垂直方向上平均为0.03g/m3,中云含水量垂直方向上平均为0.05g/m3,;避光高层云-层积云、雨层云降水过冷水的最大值出现在距0℃层高度以上500m附近,其最大值分别为0.61,0.42g/m3;透光高层云降水过冷水的最大值出现在距0℃层高度以上300m附近,其值为0.28g/m3;云中水分按不同粒子尺度的分配可以看出,直径20、30μm的粒子含水量较高,对云中液态水含量的贡献较大,降水粒子主要由20、30μm的粒子转化;降水性层状云在垂直方向上的微物理结构特征非常明显,也是分层的。高层主要是冰相粒子,是冰雪晶,随高度降低冰雪晶的尺度增大,在4个典型温度层的观测中,液态含水量、云粒子及降水的浓度、尺度相较有很大不同。  相似文献   

13.
河北省层状云降水系统微物理结构的飞机观测研究   总被引:25,自引:10,他引:15  
对4架次飞行个例的PMS资料进行综合分析,发现河北省春季层状云降水系统存在不均匀性,表现之一为较强降水云带。1991年5月25日的个例在飞机上升和下降过程中两次在2000m左右探测到较强的云内逆温,逆温层顶下方存在云水含量的峰值。对1992年6月20日两次个例的冷云的冰晶尺度、冰水含量(IWC)、冰晶浓度和液水含量(IWC)的垂直分布进行了分析。对两次个例的云中可播性进行判别,发现潜力区占云区的1/2左右,有时存在大片强可播区。  相似文献   

14.
黄乾  钱悦 《大气科学学报》2021,44(4):615-625
将WRF3.9模式的16种云微物理方案分为单参、双参两组,分别对2016年6月30日—7月4日江淮流域的一次强降水过程进行模拟。首先利用逐小时观测降水对各组模拟降水进行评估,在此基础上利用FY-2G和CALIPSO云产品数据分别评估不同方案对降水过程中总云量、云垂直结构云水含量等宏微观特征的模拟性能。结果表明:选用不同的云微物理参数化方案均能较好地模拟出该次过程的雨带位置和中心降水强度,但不同方案对云宏微观特征的模拟结果有显著差异。分析两组试验对总云量的模拟结果发现,单参方案组除Kessler暖云方案对冰云过程描述不足导致模拟的总云量显著偏高外,其他单参方案和所有双参方案均能模拟出强降水过程中总云量的时空演变特征。从云覆盖率和云水含量的垂直分布特征来看,单参方案组对600 h Pa以下中低层暖云的模拟稳定性整体略优于双参方案组;而对200~500 h Pa的冰相云模拟结果相反,双参方案组比单参试验组模拟的固水含量更加集中。将各层云覆盖率与CALIPSO云产品的对比也发现,对于低层暖云降水过程,选择如WSM3单参云微物理方案比双参方案得到的模拟云量更加接近实况,而对于以深对流为主要运动特征的冷云降水过程,选择如WDM5或WDM6这样双参云微物理方案模拟得出的高云量值更加稳定,误差也更小。  相似文献   

15.
Summary In recent years many studies have shown the importance of treating condensation processes in a consistent manner in numerical weather prediction models. Among emerging improvements is the explicit treatment of cloud water, and in some cases precipitating water. An unresolved problem then is how to initialize the cloud water, especially since this quantity is not treated in the most commonly used analysis schemes.In this study, a method for initializing the cloud water in a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model will be presented and tested. The implications for the model's spin-up are investigated. Information from an earlier run (first guess fields) is used, together with satellite data. If necessary, humidity enhancement is performed where clouds are indicated by those sources. The results indicate that initialization of the cloud water field by itself does not have a large effect on the spin-up of precipitation and clouds. A much larger effect is obtained when the humidity field is enhanced. The spin-up time for precipitation is then reduced from 12 to 6 hours, while for cloud cover it is reduced to only 1–2 hours. The method is computationally very efficient, and is particularly useful over data-sparse areas, such as the oceans.An investigation of the different terms in the cloud water tendency equation is done and the results interpreted in terms of spin-up of cloud parameters. These tests confirm that the cloud water field only accounts for a small part of the spin-up effect. These also show that the production of cloud water per time step increases throughout the simulation.With 9 Figures  相似文献   

16.
运用中国科学院大气物理研究所的三维云模式,对北京地区2005-06-26的一次层状云过程进行模拟试验,以此为真值,分别用雷达—辐射计联合系统和单雷达进行云中雨水分布的反演。结果表明,联合反演与模式真值的平均相对误差只有16%,联合反演的精度比单雷达反演有大幅度的提高,并从理论上讨论了误差的来源。  相似文献   

17.
2017-2020年利用运-12和空中国王-E350飞机搭载的国产云粒子测量设备在云南开展了 76架次积层混合云观测,数据分析表明:云南的云粒子数浓度远高于华北地区,云粒子(直径为2~50 μm)数浓度平均值为339.7 cm-3,最大值为1067.6 cm-3,平均含水量为0.181 g·m-3,最大值为2.827 ...  相似文献   

18.
Summary Ground-based measurements of incoming solar irradiance and cloud observations during a 26 year period (1965–1990) at Bergen, Norway were used in conjunction with a comprehensive radiation model to infer the cloud optical depth under completely overcast conditions.Month-to-month and year-to-year (April through October) statistics of the cloud optical depth and observed cloud forms are presented. Some climate-related features, specifically, diurnal and seasonal variabilities in are examined. The effects of local cloudiness are pointed out and discussed. There appears to be a slight trend towards increasing cloud optical depth at noon during the warm period of the year. The possible uncertainties due to unknown size of cloud droplets are analyzed by model simulations. Possible directions for future research are suggested provided more meteorological and/or satellite information is available.With 9 Figures  相似文献   

19.
山西春季层状云系数值模拟及与飞机探测对比   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
采用中国气象科学研究院 (CAMS) 中尺度云参数化模式对2010年4月20日山西省一次春季层状降水云系的宏微观结构,特别是垂直方向上的微物理结构进行了数值模拟和分析。利用携带云粒子探测设备的飞机对该次层状云系进行了两次云物理探测飞行,并将飞机探测所获取的数据和图像资料与数值模拟结果进行了对比研究。模拟结果显示:该次降水过程以层状冷云降水为主,云中过冷水含量丰富,云系存在明显的3层结构,地面降水主要来自于云中高层冰晶、雪、霰等冰相粒子的融化和低层云水的转化。数值模拟与飞机探测对比分析显示,高空温度、湿度和高度的配置两者基本一致,数值模拟不同高度的云粒子相态、垂直方向云水比含水量与飞机探测获取的云粒子图像和云液态水含量的垂直结构基本吻合,但数值模拟的云中各种水成物粒子出现的高度较飞机探测偏高。  相似文献   

20.
毫米波雷达测云个例研究   总被引:9,自引:2,他引:7  
云参数是影响降水和大气辐射过程的重要因子,但对云参数的遥感探测存在许多困难。利用35GHz的毫米波雷达进行云探测,并进行云参数反演研究,反演了云水含量、冰水含量和云滴有效直径的垂直廓线,得到了6类云况的垂直分布。结果表明:1)不同类型的云具有不同的云参数分布;2)在低于-15dBz的非降水云情况下,反演的云水含量及云滴有效直径较可靠;3)雷达探测的线性退偏振比因子,可以用于判别云中的过冷却水和冰晶,有助于更好了解云的宏微观特征。  相似文献   

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