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1.
A large mainshock may trigger numerous aftershocks within a short period, and large aftershocks have the potential to cause additional cumulative damage to structures. This paper investigates the effects and potential of aftershocks on the accumulated damage of concrete gravity dams. For that purpose, 30 as-recorded mainshock–aftershock seismic sequences are considered in this study, and a typical two-dimensional gravity dam model subjected to the selected as-recorded seismic sequences is modeled. A Concrete Damaged Plasticity (CDP) model including the strain hardening or softening behavior is selected for the concrete material. This model is used to evaluate the nonlinear dynamic response and the seismic damage process of Koyna dam under mainshock–aftershock seismic sequences. According to the characteristics of the cracking damage development, the local and global damage indices are both established to study the influence of strong aftershocks on the cumulative damage of concrete gravity dams. From the results of this investigation, it is found that the as-recorded sequences of ground motions have a significant effect on the accumulated damage and on the design of concrete gravity dams.  相似文献   

2.
一次强震常伴随着多次余震作用,且时间间隔较短.研究表明,主震诱发的系列余震会对原有结构造成进一步的累积损伤.核岛厂房结构作为核反应堆的最后一道防线,其在服役期间可能遭受主震和余震的累积作用.参考我国现行规范,定义了四类性能水准(PL)和三种极限状态(LS),以混凝土最大应变作为结构破坏指数(DI),以谱加速度Sa作为地...  相似文献   

3.

In general, historical earthquake events have shown that a strong mainshock might trigger several aftershocks, which can cause additional damage and seismic risk to the structures. This work tries to investigate the aftershock duration on seismic fragility of the shield building in consideration of initial damage. For this purpose, a three-dimensional finite element model of shield building is established using a concrete damage plastic model. A series of mainshock-aftershock sequences with different durations are selected and scaled to match the target spectrum. A damage ratio of tensile damage is developed to evaluate the additional damage caused by mainshock and aftershocks. Aftershocks with three durations, namely, 20 s, 40 s, and 60 s, are used to study the effect of initial damage levels and aftershock durations on the accumulative damage and seismic fragility of the shield building. The results indicate that those aftershocks with longer durations may wreak more worse cumulative damage to the post-mainshock damaged structure and significantly affect the probability of exceedance. It is also indicated that the initial damage levels have a significant impact on the fragility curves of the shield building. This work can directly incorporate the influence of mainshock-damaged states into the fragility assessment for Nuclear Power Plant.

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4.
新型错层隔震结构是基础隔震和层间隔震体系发展而来的一种新型隔震结构。强主震发生后会伴随着大量的余震出现,余震会使结构造成更大损伤。研究新型错层隔震结构分别在单独主震和主-余震作用下结构的变形与损伤,采用ETABS有限元软件建立某24层框架-核心筒结构模型进行非线性时程响应分析。结果表明:主-余震作用下,新型错层隔震结构的核心筒损伤主要集中在框架隔震层和核心筒隔震层之间,框架的塑性铰集中在框架隔震层以下部分,框架隔震层角柱支座的滞回曲线饱满且比核心筒隔震层角部隔震支座耗能好。新型错层隔震结构的最大隔震层位移均出现在框架隔震层。在余震作用下,新型错层隔震结构的损伤会显著增加。框架隔震层以上框架部分和以下框架部分以及核心筒的损伤分别增加8%、10%和19.80%。余震对隔震层的影响更大,框架隔震层和核心筒隔震层的层间位移分别增加78.70%和60.54%。  相似文献   

5.
6.
Earthquakes are generally clustered, both in time and space. Conventionally, each cluster is made of foreshocks, the mainshock, and aftershocks. Seismic damage can possibly accumulate because of the effects of multiple earthquakes in one cluster and/or because the structure is unrepaired between different clusters. Typically, the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework neglects seismic damage accumulation. This is because (i) probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) only refers to mainshocks and (ii) classical fragility curves represent the failure probability in one event, of given intensity, only. However, for life cycle assessment, it can be necessary to account for the build-up of seismic losses because of damage in multiple events. It has been already demonstrated that a Markovian model (i.e., a Markov chain), accounting for damage accumulation in multiple mainshocks, can be calibrated by maintaining PSHA from the classical PBEE framework and replacing structural fragility with a set of state-dependent fragility curves. In fact, the Markov chain also works when damage accumulates in multiple aftershocks from a single mainshock of known magnitude and location, if aftershock PSHA replaces classical PSHA. Herein, this model is extended further, developing a Markovian model that accounts, at the same time, for damage accumulation: (i) within any mainshock–aftershock seismic sequence and (ii) among multiple sequences. The model is illustrated through applications to a series of six-story reinforced concrete moment-resisting frame buildings designed for three sites with different seismic hazard levels in Italy. The time-variant reliability assessment results are compared with the classical PBEE approach and the accumulation model that only considers mainshocks, so as to address the relevance of aftershocks for life cycle assessment.  相似文献   

7.
Current seismic design codes and damage estimation tools neglect the influence of successive events on structures. However, recent earthquakes have demonstrated that structures damaged during an initial event (mainshock) are more vulnerable to severe damage and collapse during a subsequent event (aftershock). This increased vulnerability to damage translates to increased likelihood of loss of use, property, and life. Thus, a reliable risk assessment tool is required that characterizes the risk of the undamaged structure subjected to an initial event and the risk of the damaged structure under subsequent events. In this paper, a framework for development of aftershock fragilities is presented; these aftershock fragilities define the likelihood that a building damaged during a mainshock will exhibit a given damage state following one or more aftershocks. Thus, the framework provides a method for characterizing the risk associated with damage accumulation in the structure. The framework includes the following: (i) creation of a numerical model of the structure; (ii) characterization of building damage states; (iii) generation of a suite of mainshock–aftershocks; (iv) mainshock–aftershock analyses; and (v) development of aftershock fragility curves using probabilistic aftershock demand models, defined as a linear regression of aftershock demand–intensity pairs in a logarithmic space, and damage‐state prediction models. The framework is not limited to a specific structure type but requires numerical models defining structural response and linking structural response with damage. In the current study, non‐ductile RC frames (low‐rise, mid‐rise, and high‐rise) are selected as case studies for the application of the framework. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

8.
A large mainshock may trigger numerous aftershocks within a short period, and nuclear power plant (NPP) structures have the probability to be exposed to mainshock–aftershock seismic sequences. However, the researchers focused on seismic analyses of reinforced concrete containment (RCC) buildings under only mainshocks. The aim of this paper is to thoroughly investigate the dynamic responses of a RCC building under mainshock–aftershock seismic sequences. For that purpose, 10 as-recorded mainshock–aftershock seismic sequences with two horizontal components are considered in this study, and a typical three-dimensional RCC model subjected to the selected as-recorded seismic sequences is established. Peak ground accelerations (PGAs) of mainshocks equal to 0.3 g (safe shutdown earthquake load-SSE load) are considered in this paper. The results indicate that aftershocks have a significant effect on the responses of the RCC in terms of maximum top accelerations, maximum top displacements and accumulated damage. Furthermore, in order to preserve the RCC from large damage under repeated earthquakes, local damage and global damage indices are suggested as limitations under only mainshocks.  相似文献   

9.
地震序列作用下桥梁结构的响应及抗震措施   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
地震具有丛集的特征,主震发生之后通常伴随余震,主震震级越高,余震对结构的破坏越大。桥梁结构作为生命线工程中的重要一环,应在整个地震序列发生时确保通行。选用集集地震序列时程数据,对桥梁进行地震响应分析,发现结构在主震作用下,主梁发生落座,余震作用下有落梁的可能。结合国内外现有的连梁装置设计方法对结构布设抗震措施,并与初始结构的地震响应作对比,结果显示,连梁装置可有效抑制桥梁上、下部结构相对位移,提高结构抗推能力与整体性。因边墩负荷增大,主震激励下边墩发生了塑性破坏,余震序列作用下结构仍保安全。分析结构地震序列作用下的抗震性能,以保证结构在地震时的通行能力,这是非常必要的。  相似文献   

10.
强余震的灾害评估   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
吴开统  李文喜 《中国地震》1995,11(4):368-373
极震区的烈度分布是由主震和大余震产生的。最重的地震灾区为余震区,其范围可由震级与地震区烈度的统计关系求得。在震级与震中烈度关系中,初期余震的烈度略高于主震,晚期强余震的烈度比主震的低。不同烈度对建筑物的损害程度可通过烈度与损失率曲线进行评估。强余震和后续强震的人口伤亡比主震轻。  相似文献   

11.
Aftershocks induced by a large mainshock can cause additional damage to structures and infrastructure, hampering building reoccupation and restoration activities in a post‐disaster situation. To assess the nonlinear damage potential due to aftershocks, this study investigates the effects of aftershocks by using real as well as artificially generated mainshock–aftershock sequences. The real mainshock–aftershock sequences are constructed from the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center—Next Generation Attenuation database for worldwide shallow crustal earthquakes; however, they are deemed to be incomplete because of missing records. To supplement incomplete real dataset, artificial sequences are generated on the basis of the generalized Omori's law, and a suitable aftershock record selection procedure is then devised to simulate time‐series data for mainshock–aftershock sequences. The results from nonlinear dynamic analysis of inelastic single‐degree‐of‐freedom systems using real and artificial sequences indicate that the incremental effects of aftershocks on peak ductility demand using the real sequences are relatively minor and that peak ductility demand estimates based on the generalized Omori's law are greater, particularly in the upper tail, than those for the real sequences. The results based on the generalized Omori's law also suggest that the aftershock effects based on the real sequences might underestimate the aftershock impact because of the incompleteness of the real dataset. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

12.
Calculating the limit state (LS) exceedance probability for a structure considering the main seismic event and the triggered aftershocks (AS) is complicated both by the time‐dependent rate of aftershock occurrence and also by the cumulative damage caused by the sequence of events. Taking advantage of a methodology developed previously by the authors for post‐mainshock (MS) risk assessment, the LS probability due to a sequence of mainshock and the triggered aftershocks is calculated for a given aftershock forecasting time window. The proposed formulation takes into account both the time‐dependent rate of aftershock occurrence and also the damage accumulation due to the triggered aftershocks. It is demonstrated that an existing reinforced concrete moment‐resisting frame with infills subjected to the main event and the triggered sequence exceeds the near‐collapse LS. On the other hand, the structure does not reach the onset of near‐collapse LS when the effect of triggered aftershocks is not considered. It is shown, based on simplifying assumptions, that the derived formulation yields asymptotically to the same Poisson‐type functional form used when the cumulative damage is not being considered. This leads to a range of approximate solutions by substituting the fragilities calculated for intact, MS‐damaged, and MS‐plus‐one‐AS‐damaged structures in the asymptotic simplified formulation. The latter two approximate solutions provide good agreement with the derived formulation. Even when the fragility of intact structure is employed, the approximate solution (considering only the time‐dependent rate of aftershock occurrence) leads to higher risk estimates compared with those obtained based on only the mainshock. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

13.
Megathrust earthquake sequences, comprising mainshocks and triggered aftershocks along the subduction interface and in the overriding crust, can impact multiple buildings and infrastructure in a city. The time between the mainshocks and aftershocks usually is too short to retrofit the structures; therefore, moderate‐size aftershocks can cause additional damage. To have a better understanding of the impact of aftershocks on city‐wide seismic risk assessment, a new simulation framework of spatiotemporal seismic hazard and risk assessment of future M9.0 sequences in the Cascadia subduction zone is developed. The simulation framework consists of an epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, ground‐motion model, and state‐dependent seismic fragility model. The spatiotemporal ETAS model is modified to characterise aftershocks of large and anisotropic M9.0 mainshock ruptures. To account for damage accumulation of wood‐frame houses due to aftershocks in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, state‐dependent fragility curves are implemented. The new simulation framework can be used for quasi‐real‐time aftershock hazard and risk assessments and city‐wide post‐event risk management.  相似文献   

14.
Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering - A structure may be subject to several aftershocks after a mainshock. In many seismic design provisions, the effect of the seismic sequences is either not...  相似文献   

15.
采用双差定位法对2013年7月22日甘肃岷县—漳县交界地区M 6.6地震及主震后48小时内388次余震序列进行重新定位,得到350个精定位地震数据。结果表明,余震优势展布以北东向较大倾角的铲状结构为特征,长约12 km,以主震为中心两侧对称分布;震源深度主要集中在4—10 km范围内,但余震震级由10 km左右深度的3—4级向3 km深度之上近地表的2—3级迁移变化;余震分布清晰呈现双层结构,较深层分布在4—10 km深度,而较浅层分布3 km深度之上,2层之间地震分布较少。分析认为,浅层地震可能为本次地震地表破坏较强原因之一。震源深度剖面显示,破裂面向NE倾斜,推测此次地震的发震断裂为临潭—宕昌断裂。  相似文献   

16.
大地震发生后往往会伴随强余震发生,强烈余震会加重结构的破坏程度,在抗震设计及结构损伤评估中考虑余震的影响是一重要课题。采用NGA-West2数据库建立主余震序列型地震动记录数据集,基于损伤等效思想定义主余震作用下PGA放大系数α,针对单自由度体系结构,通过动力时程分析建立不同相对强度、不同场地条件下平均PGA放大系数谱,进一步通过回归分析构建PGA放大系数谱的预测方程,分析统计结果的离散性。结果表明:PGA放大系数谱受场地条件影响较小,受主余震相对强度影响显著;放大系数谱值随周期增大而减小。谱预测方程能够提供目标损伤下结构的主震PGA放大需求,并可以作为设计谱调整系数使用,以实现在结构抗震设计及结构损伤评估中考虑余震的影响。  相似文献   

17.
余震的发生会造成结构的累积损伤,不同类型的主余震序列地震动对结构的影响有所差异。鉴于此,以主震卓越周期小于或接近余震卓越周期为基本原则,确定了最不利主余震序列地震动。选择4层RC框架结构为研究对象,在增量动力分析的基础上,定义了4个性能水平,以此来研究该结构的易损性。依据破坏状态概率和震害指数,得到7度多遇、7度设防和7度罕遇地震的易损性指数。研究结果表明:依据我国规范设计的RC框架结构的4个性能水平的量化指标限值依次为1/495、1/263、1/108和1/45,余震的出现会加剧结构的破坏状态。当以易损性指数作为评价指标时,可认为该结构能够满足小震不坏、中震可修和大震不倒的抗震设防目标。  相似文献   

18.
仲秋  史保平 《地震学报》2012,34(4):494-508
1976年7月28日唐山MS7.8大地震对唐山及其周边地区造成了重大的人员伤亡和财产损失. 主震之后约15小时滦县又发生了MS7.1地震; 同年11月15日宁河也发生了MS6.9地震. 唐山MS7.8主震后的余震一直持续至今,使该区域至今保持了与主震前相比具有较高的地震活动性.如何估计余震的持续时间,并进一步将余震从主震目录中去除,一直是地震学中所关注的问题.该文通过对数线性回归和理论计算,从不同角度求取并讨论了1976年唐山MS7.8大地震的余震持续时间.结果表明,由对数线性回归计算得到的余震持续时间约为80 a.而基于Dieterich的余震触发理论所得到的余震持续时间则与区域剪应力变化率有关.区域剪应力变化率可有几种不同方法求得: ① 根据剪应力变化率和静态应力降Delta;tau;e及地震回复周期tr之间的关系求取应力变化率,该方法所得到的余震持续时间约为70——100 a;② Ziv和Rubin对Dieterich的方法进行了修正,给出了通过远场加载速率和断层宽度求取应力变化率, 该方法得到的余震持续时间约为80 a;③ 由背景场地震活动性求取远场剪应力速率, 可以得到该地区二维分布式的余震持续时间,此方法得到的研究区域内余震持续时间为130——160 a.综上,唐山地区余震持续时间约为70——140 a,据此, 该地区现今所发生的地震仍为MS7.8唐山地震所触发的余震.   相似文献   

19.
唐山、海城、盐源-宁蒗地震强余震特征   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3       下载免费PDF全文
对大地震发生后强余震的震源机制,基于主要地震断层上小余震的时空分布进行了详细研究.近期在中国境内发生的强烈板内地震,如1976年唐山、1975年海城、1976年盐源——宁蒗等地震曾被中国地震台网很好记录.主震刚发生后的小余震以及强余震前后的小余震的震源用 S——P 时间的收敛法进行测定.强余震的断层是依靠这些小余震的震中分布来描绘的.可以看出有三种情况.第一,在主震断层区内,一次强余震发生在较小余震的比较不密集的部位;第二,一次强余震沿断层发生并与主震断层是共轭的;第三,一次强余震在沿平行并离开主震断层的断层上发生.可以认为,地质条件控制着强余震的发生.作为强余震的可能前兆,则有唐山地震的一次强余震,震级为7.1.其发生前,出现一些前震以及在接近主震断层方向上的某些地震台所记录的初动方向有变化.可以设想,这里的应力场在强余震发生前是有所变化的.   相似文献   

20.
共搜集到1984 ̄1990年西南太平洋地区12个板缘地震序列。多数地震序列的特征是:震中分布区域的长轴较长并且随主震震级和序列中强震次数而增加;震中分布区域的长、短轴长度的比值较高;地震序列的余震震源机制和主震的差异不大;震源深度下限超过地壳,可达70km以上。走滑型主震占的比例低,高倾角滑动面的走向既有与俯冲带走向平行的也有横切的,个别逆冲型地震的断层面走向横切俯冲带。它们显示出与板块俯冲带主体  相似文献   

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