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深井水位气压系数前兆信息探索 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
以深井水位气压效应的形成机制为出发点,阐述了地震前井孔气压系数异常变化的物理依据,并以新04井为例,对其震前水位气压系数的异常变化进行了探索。 相似文献
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本文处理分析了抚松地震台2007~2009年水位数字化观测资料,通过相关分析和调和分析计算,得到了该井的气压影响系数和水井的振幅因子及相位滞后的结论,讨论了汶川地震前的固体潮异常变化,并对该井的效能进行了综合评价。 相似文献
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分析了1986年8月16日德都4.8、5.5级地震前白城ZK6井的水位微动态特征。结果表明,震前该井水位固体潮发生了畸变,水位气压系数亦发生变异,水位风压出现了负异常,各因子的变化同水位自身演变规律有关,这为用单因子或多因子预报地震,找到了地震短临异常的特征,可供地震预报时参考。 相似文献
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对忻州XZ-2井气压系数的确定、排除气压干扰的方法进行了探讨,并收到了较好的处理效果。研究表明,该井孔排除气压干扰后的正常水位动态为一条在稳定水位背景上叠加出现的水位固体潮变化曲线。为识别水位异常,找到了判断依据。 相似文献
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本文对巢湖地区三口地震观测深井的观测数据进行了分析、计算、求出了气压订正后深井静水位值与理论固体潮值相关最高时的气压系数,由于该值是采用优选法的方法确定的,所以称之为优选气 系数。优选气压系数反映了井孔本身系统对水位变化的放大性能,其本质是通过井孔系统对大气压和地应力这对矛盾运动结果的综合反映。优选气压系数对排除气压对水位的干扰,提取震兆异常变化具有一定的应用价值。 相似文献
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M. N. French R. L. Bras W. F. Krajewski 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1992,6(1):27-45
A procedure for short-term rainfall forecasting in real-time is developed and a study of the role of sampling on forecast ability is conducted. Ground level rainfall fields are forecasted using a stochastic space-time rainfall model in state-space form. Updating of the rainfall field in real-time is accomplished using a distributed parameter Kalman filter to optimally combine measurement information and forecast model estimates. The influence of sampling density on forecast accuracy is evaluated using a series of a simulated rainfall events generated with the same stochastic rainfall model. Sampling was conducted at five different network spatial densities. The results quantify the influence of sampling network density on real-time rainfall field forecasting. Statistical analyses of the rainfall field residuals illustrate improvement in one hour lead time forecasts at higher measurement densities. 相似文献
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《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2014,(3)
正SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences,an academic journal cosponsored by the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the National Natural Science Foundation of China,and published by Science China Press and Springer,is committed to publishing high-quality,original results in both basic and applied research. 相似文献
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《国际泥沙研究》2014,(4)
正Director:Shangfu Kuang,China Vice-directors:Chunhong Hu,China Duihu Ning,China Guangquan Liu,China The International Research and Training Center on Erosion and Sedimentation(IRTCES)was jointly set up by the Government of China and UNESCO on July 21,1984.It aims at the promotion of international exchange of knowledge and cooperation in the studies of erosion and 相似文献
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《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2014,(4)
正This journal is established by the Institute of Engineering Mechanics(IEM),China Earthquake Administration,to promote scientific exchange between Chinese and foreign scientists and engineers so as to improve the theory and practice of earthquake hazards mitigation,preparedness,and recovery.To accomplish this purpose,the journal aims to attract a balanced number of papers between Chinese and 相似文献