首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 156 毫秒
1.
不同地震作用水准的设计反应谱长期以来一直采用各水准谱形完全一致的假定。这与地震危险性分析的一般结论不符。《建筑抗震设计规范》(GB50011-2001)对此作出了修订。本文基于设计反应谱的三参数标定模型推导了罕遇和多遇地震作用设计反应谱的关系,指出两者谱值之比在高频、中频和低频段分别对应于峰值加速度、速度和位移之比。引入地震动衰减规律进行了罕遇和多遇地震作用设计谱关系的近似估计,提出了基于多遇地震作用设计谱确定罕遇地震作用设计谱的调整方案,验证了现行规范将反应谱特征周期适当延长以得到罕遇地震作用设计谱的做法的合理性。  相似文献   

2.
以《建筑抗震设计规范》(GB50011─2010)为基础,对地震动过滤有色噪声模型参数的取值进行研究。针对平稳模型和非平稳模型,区分多遇地震和罕遇地震两种情况:给出了与规范场地类别和设计地震分组相对应的场地覆盖层阻尼比和卓越频率;采用随机极值理论,建立了谱强度因子与规范最大地面加速度的对应关系。研究成果为工程结构抗震设计提供了可用的随机地震动荷载标准。  相似文献   

3.
以某铁路多跨部分矮塔斜拉桥为研究对象建立了全桥空间动力计算模型,分别采用反应谱法及非线性时程反应法分析了该桥的弹性及弹塑性地震反应,并进行了抗震性能评估。结果表明:(1) 在多遇地震下2#制动墩的顺桥向地震作用较大,控制该桥的抗震设计;(2)在多遇地震下该桥主塔及桥墩的强度均满足规范要求;(3)在罕遇地震下主塔的强度满足规范要求;(4) 在罕遇地震下桥墩的塑性铰转动能力满足要求,且安全储备较大。  相似文献   

4.
地震可靠度是桥梁抗震研究中的重要问题。基于随机分析的响应面理论和规范反应谱法,提出了一种分析具有随机结构参数的桥梁地震可靠度的方法,研究了结构的破坏准则及其极限状态方程,计算了高墩大跨连续刚构桥在地震激励下设计基准期内的动力可靠度。分析时考虑了结构参数和场地土的随机性,分别计算了连续刚构在多遇地震、设防地震和罕遇地震作用下的失效概率,得到了结构在设计基准期内,"三水准设防标准"条件下的地震可靠度。结果表明,该桥设计满足抗震规范要求。  相似文献   

5.
对8度区某平面不规则大底盘多塔楼基础隔震结构进行了抗震性能分析。根据结构特点采用多串质点系计算模型,利用时程分析法计算对比了隔震结构和非隔震结构在多遇地震作用下的水平剪力,并验算了隔震结构在罕遇地震作用下的水平剪力、层间位移和位移角。分析表明,在水平地震作用下隔震结构相对非隔震结构表现出了良好的减震效果,罕遇地震作用下隔震结构各项指标均满足规范要求。  相似文献   

6.
基于随机地震动模型的结构随机地震反应谱及其应用   总被引:13,自引:5,他引:13  
本文考虑给定地震烈度下地震地面运动的随机过程性,得强震记录统计确定的地震持时和我国地震规范采用的地震地面最大加速度平均值,确定了平稳过滤有色噪声地震动模型的参数;通过大量计算和回归分析,得到了单质点振子均方地震位移的实用计算公式,提出了随机地震反应谱,等效随机地震静荷载及结构地震随机反应和可靠性分析的实用方法,把结构在随机地震动作用下的动力可靠性分析转化成了结构在等效随机地震静荷载作用下的静力可靠  相似文献   

7.
樊剑  曾志和 《地震学报》2010,32(6):733-743
利用谐小波变换对实际强震记录的时变谱进行估计,并统计分析了远场3类不同场地上地震波的时变谱特征,分析发现对于硬场地上的远场地震波在时域内平稳段较短,下降段衰减较快,而在频域内则具有较大的中心频率和较宽的频带.利用均匀调制非平稳模型和时变修正Kanai-Tajimi非平稳模型模拟地震波的时变谱,把非线性函数的参数识别问题转化成求解无约束优化问题,利用拟牛顿迭代法求得最优解,得到3类不同场地上这两种模型的参数具体取值以及参数函数集的具体表达式.为了定量地确定模拟模型的精度,定义了误差函数,验证了所提时变谱参数识别方法的精度,给出了与建筑抗震规范相对应的不同场地不同烈度下多遇和罕遇地震的谱强度因子的大小.最后提出了利用求解时变线性微分方程组来合成非平稳地震波的方法.  相似文献   

8.
为全面掌握核电超大型冷却塔的抗震性能,首先进行结构的模态分析,然后采用振型分解反应谱法和弹性时程分析方法,计算结构在多遇地震作用下的响应,并对结构进行考虑材料和几何非线性的动力弹塑性时程分析,得到结构在罕遇地震作用下的响应。由于超大塔支柱跨度达到170m,还首次对结构进行了考虑行波效应的多点激励分析。结果表明:结构前8阶振型以局部振动为主,直到第9阶出现整体倾覆振型。在多遇地震作用下,支柱的最大位移和基底剪力均满足规范要求,且水平地震反应远大于竖向地震反应。在罕遇地震作用下,支撑结构位移角远小于规范限值,出现的塑性铰数量较少,且主要分布在支柱与壳体的连接处。多点输入对支柱内力影响较为不利,而对支柱位移和塔筒内力影响较小,塑性铰出现的数量稍多且破坏程度更加严重。  相似文献   

9.
近年来,民用航空制造业的快速发展给大柱距空间网架结构带来新的契机。本文针对某大柱距厂房设计了无柱间支撑、柱间钢支撑和柱间消能支撑3种抗侧力结构体系。在此基础上,分别建立了3种结构体系的三维整体有限元模型,通过优化设计确立了钢支撑和消能支撑的具体设计参数,并进行了多遇地震作用下的弹性时程对比分析。最后,建立了结构弹塑性分析的纤维模型,对3种结构体系进行了罕遇地震作用下的弹塑性时程分析,对比研究了3种结构体系在大震作用下的倒塌机制。结果表明:采用纤维模型能够较为精确地进行结构的弹塑性时程分析;相较于不加柱间支撑结构体系,柱间钢支撑和柱间消能支撑结构体系在多遇地震作用下的结构层间位移分别衰减约32%和64%,在罕遇地震作用下的结构层间位移分别衰减约12%和46%,且均具有更好的倒塌机制。本文可供大柱距空间结构的设计与分析参考和借鉴。  相似文献   

10.
设计1个20层SRC框架核心筒结构模型,考虑地震的随机性和结构材料的不确定性,采用拉丁超立方体抽取结构-地震动样本,之后对其进行增量动力分析(IDA),以第1周期谱加速度为强度指标,最大层间位移角为结构需求,定义4个性能水平,研究该结构的易损性。通过引入群体结构震害评估中易损性指数的概念,计算多遇、设防和罕遇地震下的易损性指数。结果表明:以易损性指数作为评价指标,该结构在多遇地震作用下,处于轻微破坏状态;在设防地震作用下,处于中等破坏状态;在罕遇地震作用下,结构处于严重破坏状态。可认为依据我国抗震规范设计的SRC框架核心筒结构能够满足"小震不坏"、"中震可修"和"大震不倒"的抗震设防目标。  相似文献   

11.
Abstract

Climate change is recognized to be one of the most serious challenges facing mankind today. Driven by anthropogenic activities, it is known to be a direct threat to our food and water supplies and an indirect threat to world security. Increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere will certainly affect hydrological regimes. The consequent global warming is expected to have major implications on water resources management. The objective of this research is to present a general approach for evaluating the impacts of potential climate change on streamflow in a river basin in the humid tropical zone of India. Large-scale global climate models (GCMs) are the best available tools to provide estimates of the effect of rising greenhouse gases on rainfall and temperature. However the spatial resolution of these models (250 km?×?250 km) is not compatible with that of watershed hydrological models. Hence the outputs from GCMs have to be downscaled using regional climate models (RCMs), so as to project the output of a GCM to a finer resolution (50 km?×?50 km). In the present work, the projections of a GCM for two scenarios, A2 and B2 are downscaled by a RCM to project future climate in a watershed. Projections for two important climate variables, viz. rainfall and temperature are made. These are then used as inputs for a physically-based hydrological model, SWAT, in order to evaluate the effect of climate change on streamflow and vegetative growth in a humid tropical watershed.

Citation Raneesh, K. Y. & Santosh, G. T. (2011) A study on the impact of climate change on streamflow at the watershed scale in the humid tropics. Hydrol. Sci. J. 56(6), 946–965.  相似文献   

12.
在探讨LaCosteG型重力仪气压响应的数学力学模型及模型参数测定方法的基础上,提出了一种实用的气压改正程序。根据北京高崖口基线的实验观测资料,计算了G570仪器的气压响应模型参数,并对灵山基线的观测结果进行了气压改正,基本消除了气压影响,明显提高了观测精度。  相似文献   

13.
华南地区中强地震重复特征初步分析   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0  
运用时间相依的布朗过程时间模型和泊松模型,分别计算了炉霍潜源和道孚潜源7.0≤M<7.5和7.5≤M<8.0震级档未来50a的发震概率,并将其与根据中国地震动参数区划图(2001)潜在震源区划分综合方案且运用分档泊松模型所得的计算结果进行对比分析。结果表明:①应用地震矩率方法得到的各断裂段特征化地震复发间隔,无论是BPT模型或泊松模型所得到的炉霍和道孚潜源在7.0≤M<7.5震级档的发震概率计算结果,均远大于根据中国地震动参数区划图(2001)潜在震源区划分综合方案所得的计算结果;②对于使用同样的由地震矩率方法得到的各断裂段特征化地震复发间隔数据,BPT模型和泊松模型所得的计算结果也不相同。  相似文献   

14.
Abstract

Bayly (1993) introduced and investigated the equation (? t + ▽-η ▽2)S = RS as a scalar analogue of the magnetic induction equation. Here, S(r, t) is a scalar function and the flow field v(r, t) and “stretching” function R(r, t) are given independently. This equation is much easier to handle than the corresponding vector equation and, although not of much relevance to the (vector) kinematic dynamo problem, it helps to study some features of the fast dynamo problem. In this note the scalar equation is considered for linear flow and a harmonic potential as stretching function. The steady equation separates into one-dimensional equations, which can be completely solved and therefore allow one to monitor the behaviour of the spectrum in the limit of vanishing diffusivity. For more general homogeneous flows a scaling argument is given which ensures fast dynamo action for certain powers of the harmonic potential. Our results stress the singular behaviour of eigenfunctions in the limit of vanishing diffusivity and the importance of stagnation points in the flow for fast dynamo action.  相似文献   

15.
本文基于三维孔隙弹性理论,建立了紫坪铺水库及周边地区的有限元模型.根据紫坪铺水库开始蓄水到汶川地震发震时刻的水位变化情况,计算了整个区域的孔隙压力和库仑应力.详细讨论了断层及周围地层的弹性模量和扩散系数对计算结果的影响.计算结果表明:从弹性角度看,断层的弹性模量对汶川地震震源处的库仑应力影响很小;震源处的库仑应力随着断层和周围地层的扩散系数增大而增大.当给定弹性模量和扩散系数代表性值的时候,计算结果表明在汶川地震发震时刻,震源处的库仑应力变化量为+1 kPa左右,这表明紫坪铺水库使得汶川地震发震断层更加危险.是否这个量级的库仑应力就能够触发汶川地震还需要进一步探讨.通过分析库区周边小震的分布,发现小震分布区域均是库仑应力增加的地区,因此紫坪铺水库周边的小震应该与紫坪铺水库蓄水有直接关系.  相似文献   

16.
由于卫星重力梯度观测的有色噪声特性和海量观测特征,在利用直接法进行重力场模型的最小二乘求解时,观测值的协方差阵为超大型的非对角阵,这给数值求解带来了极大困难.本文提出了一种基于先验误差功率谱密度的最优ARMA滤波模型构建方法,结合法方程的分块求解策略,可实现对卫星重力梯度观测值的高效滤波处理.数值仿真结果表明,利用最优ARMA滤波器进行时域滤波后,法方程的态性得到了明显改善,重力梯度观测值中的有色噪声得到了有效的"白化"处理,大地水准面精度得到了显著提升.  相似文献   

17.
The response of a landslide near Barcelonnette (southeast France) to climatic factors was simulated with three slope stability models: a fully empirical gross precipitation threshold, a semi‐empirical threshold model for net precipitation, and a fully conceptual slope stability model. The three models performed with similar levels in reproducing the present‐day temporal pattern of landslide reactivation, using dendrogeomorphological information as test data. The semi‐empirical and conceptual models were found to be overparameterized, because more than one parameter setting matching the test data was identified. In the case of the conceptual model, this resulted in strongly divergent scenarios of future landslide activity, using downscaled climate scenarios as inputs to the model. The uncertainty of the landslide scenarios obtained with the semi‐empirical model was much lower. In addition, the simulation of strongly different scenarios by the fully empirical threshold was attributed to its incomplete representation of the site‐specific landslide reactivation mechanism. It is concluded that the semi‐empirical model constitutes the best compromise between conceptual representation and model robustness. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

18.
利用更新模型计算未来几十年内发生强震的条件概率需要给出上一次大震的离逝时间T,而很多活动断裂上缺少历史大震的记载,若采用泊松模型则可能会低估强震发生的概率.针对这种缺少大震离逝时间的活动断裂,本文提出一种以记载完整的强震平静期长度Ts为参数的条件概率计算方法.以东昆仑断裂带塔藏段为实例,利用本文给出的条件概率计算方法得到该段未来50年发生强震的可能性为0.064 9.  相似文献   

19.
Abstract

The effect of using two distributed hydrological models with different degrees of spatial aggregation on the assessment of climate change impact on river runoff was investigated. Analyses were conducted in the Narew River basin situated in northeast Poland using a global hydrological model (WaterGAP) and a catchment-scale hydrological model (SWAT). Climate change was represented in both models by projected changes in monthly temperature and precipitation between the period 2040–2069 and the baseline period, resulting from two general circulation models: IPSL-CM4 and MIROC3.2, both coupled with the SRES A2 emissions scenario. The degree of consistency between the global and the catchment model was very high for mean annual runoff, and medium for indicators of high and low runoff. It was observed that SWAT generally suggests changes of larger magnitude than WaterGAP for both climate models, but SWAT and WaterGAP were consistent as regards the direction of change in monthly runoff. The results indicate that a global model can be used in Central and Eastern European lowlands to identify hot-spots where a catchment-scale model should be applied to evaluate, e.g. the effectiveness of management options.

Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor F.F. Hattermann

Citation Piniewski, M., Voss, F., Bärlund, I., Okruszko, T., and Kundzewicz. Z.W., 2013. Effect of modelling scale on the assessment of climate change impact on river runoff. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (4), 737–754.  相似文献   

20.
In this paper, we analyse how the performance and calibration of a distributed event‐based soil erosion model at the hillslope scale is affected by different simplifications on the parameterizations used to compute the production of suspended sediment by rainfall and runoff. Six modelling scenarios of different complexity are used to evaluate the temporal variability of the sedimentograph at the outlet of a 60 m long cultivated hillslope. The six scenarios are calibrated within the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation framework in order to account for parameter uncertainty, and their performance is evaluated against experimental data registered during five storm events. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency, percent bias and coverage performance ratios show that the sedimentary response of the hillslope in terms of mass flux of eroded soil can be efficiently captured by a model structure including only two soil erodibility parameters, which control the rainfall and runoff production of suspended sediment. Increasing the number of parameters makes the calibration process more complex without increasing in a noticeable manner the predictive capability of the model. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号