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1.
Spatial and temporal patterns of recent sea-level rise along the United States coastline have been examined to ascertain rates of rise, and possible causes for high-frequency fluctuations in sea level. Eigenanalysis identified several distinct coastal compartments within each of which sea-level behavior is consistent. The United States east coast has three of these compartments: one north of Cape Cod, where sea-level rise increases with distance to the north; one between Cape Cod and Cape Hatteras where sea-level rise increases to the south; and the third from Cape Hatteras south to Pensacola, where sea-level rise decreases to the south. The western gulf coast represents another compartment (poorly sampled in this study), where subsidence is partly due to compaction. The final compartment is along the United States west coast, where poor spatial sampling produces a highly spatially variable sea-level record that has some temporal uniformity. Spectral analysis shows a dominant time scale of six years for sea-level variability, with different coastal compartments responding relatively in or out of phase. No evidence for increased rates of sea-level rise over the past 10 years was found. This objective statistical technique is a valuable tool for identifying spatial and temporal sea-level trends in the United States. It may later prove useful for identifying elusive world-wide trends of sea level, related to glacial melting, glacial rebound, tectonism, and volcanic activity. 相似文献
2.
Based on tide gauge observations spanning almost 200 years, homogeneous time series of the mean relative sea level were derived for nine sites at the southern coast of the Baltic Sea. Our regionally concentrated data were complemented by long-term relative sea-level records retrieved from the data base of the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL). From these records relative sea-level change rates were derived at 51 tide gauge stations for the period between 1908 and 2007. A minimum observation time of 60 years is required for the determination of reliable sea-level rates. At present, no anthropogenic acceleration in sea-level rise is detected in the tide gauge observations in the southern Baltic. The spatial variation of the relative sea-level rates reflects the fingerprint of GIA-induced crustal uplift. Time series of extreme sea levels were also inferred from the tide gauge records. They were complemented by water level information from historic storm surge marks preserved along the German Baltic coast. Based on this combined dataset the incidence and spatial variation of extreme sea levels induced by storm surges were analysed yielding important information for hazard assessments. Permanent GPS observations were used to determine recent crustal deformation rates for 44 stations in the Baltic Sea region. The GPS derived height change rates were applied to reduce the relative sea-level changes observed by tide gauges yielding an estimate for the eustatic sea-level change. For 13 tide gauge-GPS colocation sites a mean eustatic sea-level trend of 1.3 mm/a was derived for the last 100 years. 相似文献
3.
Jonathan R. French 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1993,18(1):63-81
In parts of North America and Europe, present and future sedimentary deficits translate into major areal losses of coastal salt marsh. Physically based simulations of medium- to long-term adjustment to accelerated sea-level rise are few, partly due to the difficulty in extrapolating imperfectly understood sedimentation parameters. This paper outlines the implementation and application of a simple one-dimensional mass balance model designed to simulate the vertical adjustment of predominantly minerogenic marsh surfaces to various combinations of sediment supply, tidal levels and regional subsidence. Two aspects of marsh growth are examined, with reference to sites on the macro-tidal north Norfolk coast, U.K.: (i) historical marsh growth under a scenario of effective (long-term) eustatic stability but slow regional subsidence; and (ii) marsh response to various non-linear eustatic rise scenarios for the next century. In contrast to more organogenic North American marshes, sedimentation rates in Norfolk are strongly time-dependent. Where the overall sediment budget is so closely linked to marsh age and relative elevation, some form of numerical simulation offers a preferred means of predicting the impact of accelerated sea-level rise. Simulations performed here show that only the most dramatic eustatic scenarios result in ecological ‘drowning’ and reversion to tidal flat within the conventional 2100 prediction interval. Currently favoured scenarios give rise to accretionary deficits which are clearly sustainable in the short-term, albeit at the expense of increased inundation frequency and consequent changes in the distribution of marsh flora and fauna. 相似文献
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Elevated erosional notches and emergent marine deposits developed on limestone headlands along the Taormina coastline of northeastern Sicily testify to recent shoreline uplift. Although located at the southern prolongation of the Calabrian seismogenic belt, a zone of active extensional tectonics and rapid late Quaternary uplift, the study area lacks historical and instrumental evidence for significant earthquakes. A prominent notch level at an elevation of +4.5 and +5.0 m at Mazzaro and Capo Sant'Alessio, respectively, is dated by 14C assay of associated marine boring molluscs (Lithophaga) to be coincident with the 5000 yr BP deceleration of global eustatic rise, the mid-Holocene quasi-stillstand. These first radiometric dates of Holocene emergence along the northeastern Sicily coast indicate time-averaged uplift rates of 1.1 – 1.8 mm/yr. Well-defined erosional notches postdating the mid-Holocene quasistillstand, however, imply coastal uplift was not gradual but instead involved occasional abrupt crustal movements, probably the result of large paleoseismic earthquakes along the coastal-bounding normal faults. The results support a need for a re-evaluation of the earthquake potential of the Sicilian sector of the Apenninic seismogenic belt. 相似文献
7.
2008年汶川M_S8.0地震地表破裂变形定量分析——北川-映秀断裂地表破裂带 总被引：35，自引：14，他引：21
2008年汶川MS8.0地震在北川-映秀断裂产生了长达240km的同震地表破裂。通过详细的测量、基于测量标志与断裂变形的几何关系对数据的分析,给出了观测点的断裂同震地表变形的垂直位移、倾向水平缩短、走向滑动、断层上盘水平运动方向等参数。结果显示,断裂同震变形分布的空间变化很大,目前获得的最大水平位移位于虹口乡深溪沟,为4.98m,同时也是最大右旋走滑位移点,走滑量4.5m,而目前获得的最大垂直位移在其东北的支沟,为5.7~6.7m。NE向断裂水平位移多为1~2m,垂直位移多为3m左右,而小鱼洞-草坝分支断裂水平位移和垂直位移都更小,只有0.5~1.5m。擂鼓镇附近的数据则反映与断裂相关的巨型滑坡可能将重力变形叠加到构造变形中。由断层水平缩短和垂直位移计算的断层倾角表明,北川-映秀断裂是浅部陡倾的具有走滑分量的逆断层 相似文献
8.
为了掌握MS7以下强震近场流体的同震变化特征,以岷县漳县M S6.6地震为例,分析震中300 km范围内数字化水位和水温的同震变化特征及与未来4级以上地震发震区域的关系,结果显示:MS7以下强震引起的水位、水温同震相对变化幅度不大,且持续时间短,形态以突跳型变化为主;同震变化的相对幅度在空间上没有显著的差异;同震变化的初始方向在空间上具有四象限分布特征,且与震源机制解的四个区域配套;同震变化初始方向向上台站集中的区域与未来4级以上地震的发生区域有关。由于震级偏低的地震相对于MS7以上地震其发生频率高,且近场研究范围较小,因此其在未来地震的预测上具有更加重要的意义。 相似文献
9.
The effects of sea-level rise on the depth to the fresh water/salt water interface were simulated by using a density-dependent, three-dimensional numerical ground water flow model for a simplified hypothetical fresh water lens that is similar to shallow, coastal aquifers found along the Atlantic coast of the United States. Simulations of sea-level rise of 2.65 mm/year from 1929 to 2050 resulted in an increase in water levels relative to a fixed datum, yet a net decrease in water levels relative to the increased sea-level position. The net decrease in water levels was much greater near a gaining stream than farther from the stream. The difference in the change in water levels is attributed to the dampening effect of the stream on water level changes in response to sea-level rise. In response to the decreased water level altitudes relative to local sea level, the depth to the fresh water/salt water interface decreased. This reduction in the thickness of the fresh water lens varied throughout the aquifer and was greatly affected by proximity to a ground water fed stream and whether the stream was tidally influenced. Away from the stream, the thickness of the fresh water lens decreased by about 2% from 1929 to 2050, whereas the fresh water lens thickness decreased by about 22% to 31% for the same period near the stream, depending on whether the stream was tidally influenced. The difference in the change in the fresh water/salt water interface position is controlled by the difference in the net decline in water levels relative to local sea level. 相似文献
10.
Sea level changes coherently along the two coasts of Japan on the seasonal timescale. Archiving, validation, and interpretation
of satellite oceanographic altimetry data and ocean general circulation model for the Earth Simulator results indicate that
the variation propagates clockwise from Japan’s east coast through the Tsushima Strait into the Japan/East Sea (JES) and then
northward along the west coast. In this study, we hypothesize and test numerically that the sea-level variability along the
west coast of Japan is remotely forced by the Kuroshio Extension (KE) off the east coast. Topographic Rossby waves and boundary
Kelvin waves facilitate the connection. Our 3D Princeton Ocean Model when forced by observed wind stress reproduces well the
seasonal changes in the vicinity of JES. Two additional experiments were conducted to examine the relative roles of remote
forcing and local forcing. The sea-level variability inside the JES was dramatically reduced when the Tsushima Strait is blocked
in one experiment. The removal of the local forcing, in another experiment, has little effect on the JES variability. Both
experiments support our hypothesis that the open-ocean forcing, possibly through the KE variability, is the leading forcing
mechanism for sea-level change along the west coast of Japan. 相似文献
11.
Jonathan E. Davis Konstantin Latychev Jerry X. Mitrovica Roblyn Kendall Mark E. Tamisiea 《Journal of Geodynamics》2008,46(3-5):90
Tide gauge records of recent sea-level change along the U.S. east coast have received significant attention within the literature of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). Geographic trends in these tide gauge rates are not reduced by a GIA correction based on a commonly adopted radial viscosity profile (characterized, in particular, by a lower mantle viscosity 1−2×1021 Pa s), and this has led to speculation that the residual trends reflect contributions from neotectonics or oceanographic processes. While the trends can be significantly reduced by adopting an Earth model with a stiffer lower mantle, such a model appears to be incompatible with independent constraints from post-glacial decay times in Hudson Bay. We use a finite-element model of the GIA process to investigate whether 3-D viscosity variations superimposed onto the “common” radial viscosity profile may provide a route to reconciling the east coast sea-level trends. We find that the specific 3-D structure we impose has little impact on the geographic trends in the GIA-corrected rates. However, we do find that the imposed lateral variations in lower mantle viscosity introduce a nearly uniform upward shift of 0.5 mm/yr in GIA-induced sea-level rates along the U.S. east coast. Thus, inferences of regional (U.S. east coast) sea-level rise due to modern melting of ice reservoirs, based on tide gauge rates corrected using 1-D GIA models, may be significantly biased by this simplifying assumption. 相似文献
12.
A detailed survey of morphological and biological markers of paleo-shorelines has been carried out along the coastal sector of Mt. Etna volcano (eastern Sicily, Italy), in order to better define causes and timing of vertical deformation. We have mapped markers of raised Holocene shorelines, which are represented by beach rocks, wave-cut platforms, balanid, vermetid and algal rims. The timing of coastal uplift has been determined by radiocarbon dating of shells collected from the raised paleo-shorelines and, to correctly assess the total amount of tectonic uplift of the coast during the Late Holocene, we have compared the elevation-age data of sampled shells to the local curve of Holocene sea-level rise. Taking into account the nominal elevation of the associated paleo-shorelines, an uplift rate of 2.5–3.0 mm/year has been estimated for the last 6–7 ka. This general process of uplifting is only locally interrupted by subsidence related to flank sliding of the volcanic edifice, measured at docks and other manmade structures, and by acceleration along the hinge of an active anticline and at the footwall of an active fault. Based on this new data we suggest more precise time–space constraints for the dynamics of the lower eastern flank of Mt. Etna volcano. 相似文献
13.
V. P. Trubitsyn 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2012,48(2):93-103
The model of elastic rebound of thin plates is considered to account for GPS-inferred surface deformation of plates during
subduction earthquakes on the example of the M9 earthquake that occurred in Japan in 2011. Due to the fact that the oceanic
plate moves together with a great mass of the convective mantle, it dips into the mantle at constant velocity all the time,
both during the earthquakes and in the periods between them, although its coupling with the continental plate changes. The
edge of the continental plate behaves as an elastic plate that permanently bends under the action of the friction force on
contact with the diving oceanic plate. The bent plate unbends after the earthquake. This leads to its thrusting over the subducting
oceanic plate. As a result, the island plate moves towards the ocean, its island part sinks, and the oceanic plate uplifts
leading to a tsunami. The coordinates and magnitudes of the rise and subsidence correspond to the universal relations in the
elastic plate model. The breaking of coupling of the continental plate with the submarine mountains and a basaltic plateau
of the dipping plate is considered as a possible explanation of the anomalous properties of the strongest earthquakes. The
main earthquake can be produced by partial destruction of a plateau or a large mountain. After this, the locked plates become
free along a great area in an avalanche-like manner, and the friction of rest gives place to sliding friction. 相似文献
14.
An approach to generate artificial earthquakeaccelerograms on hard soil sites is presented. Eachtime-history of accelerations is considered as arealization of a non-stationary gaussian stochasticprocess, with statistical parameters depending onmagnitude and source-to-site distance. In order tolink the values of these parameters for each groundmotion record with the corresponding magnitude andsource-to-site distance, semi-empirical functionalrelations called generalized attenuationfunctions are determined. The set of realground-motion time histories used to obtain thesefunctions correspond to shocks generated at differentsources and recorded at different sites in thevicinity of the southern coast of Mexico. The resultsshow significant dispersion in the parameters of themodel adopted, which reflect that associated with thereal earthquakes included in the sample employed.The problem of conditional simulation of artificialacceleration time histories for prescribed intensitiesis briefly presented, but its detailed study is leftfor a companion paper. The criteria and modelsproposed are applied to generate two families ofartificial acceleration records for recurrenceintervals of 100 and 200 years at a specific sitelocated in the region under study. The results shownin this article correspond to acceleration timehistories recorded on firm ground for earthquakesgenerated at the subduction zone that runs along thesouthern coast of Mexico, and cannot be generalized tocases of earthquakes generated at other sources orrecorded at other types of local conditions. Thismeans that the methods and functional forms presentedhere are applicable to these other cases, but thevalues of the parameters that characterize thosefunctions may differ from those presented here. 相似文献
15.
In many countries, coastal planners strive to balance the demands between civil, commercial strategy and environmental conversation interests for future development, particularly given the sea level rise in the 21 st century. Achieving a sustainable balance is often a dilemma, especially in low-lying coastal areas where dams in inland river basin are trapping significant amounts of fluvial sediments. We recently investigated the shore of Bohai Bay in northern China where there has been a severe increase in sea level following a program of large-scale coastal reclamation and infrastructure development over the last five decades. To investigate this trend, we obtained sediment cores from near-shore in Bohai Bay, which were dated by ~(137)Cs and ~(210)Pb radionuclides to determine the sedimentation rates for the last 50 years. The average sedimentation rates of Bohai Bay exceeded 10 mm yr~(-1) before 1963, which was much higher than the rate of local sea-level rise. However, our results showed an overall decreasing sedimentation rate after 1963, which was not able to compensate for the increasing relative sea-level rise in that period. In addition, our results revealed that erosion occurred after the 1980 s in the shallow sea area of Bohai Bay. We suggest that this situation places the Bohai Bay coast at a greater risk of inundation and erosion within the next few decades than previously thought, especially in the large new reclamation area. This study may be a case study for many other shallow sea areas of the muddy coast if the sea level continues to rise rapidly and the sediment delivered by rivers continues to decrease. 相似文献
16.
东南沿海末次盛冰期古海平面标志与地震的关系──-100m以下最低海平面问题质疑 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
东南沿海末次盛冰期（２１～１４ｋａＢ．Ｐ，）滨海相沉积垂相分布多在海拔３８～－５０．８ｍ的范围内，以正向分布（海平面附近及以上）、正负向混合分布及负向（海平面以下）分布在断块交界区或其附近，是强震的主要发生地。在滨海相沉积垂向分布愈离散的区段，其地震活动性也愈强，本研究地区不存在末次盛冰期－１００ｍ以下的最低海平面，那些局部在外陆架海底发现的－１００ｍ以下的滨海相沉积，可能与地壳呈长趋势下沉作用有关 相似文献
17.
The study of numerous archaeological excavations permits us to concludethat shortly after AD 355–361, the wealthy Roman town of Kisamos inwestern Crete was affected by a devastating earthquake (minimum intensityXI), which left many of the town's inhabitants buried under the ruins. Thisearthquake can be related to the July 21, 365 earthquake (M > 8),which was associated with a great tsunami, and was probably responsible forup to 9 m uplift of Western Crete; it probably resulted from thereactivation of a major thrust fault along the Hellenic Arc. Thearchaeological stratigraphy of Kisamos between circa AD 50 and AD650 testifies to two other, small-scale stratigraphic discontinuities that maybe related to two other smaller earthquakes, which produced 10–20 cmof coastal subsidence in AD 46–66 and in circa AD 270. There isevidence for a tsunami associated with the AD 46–66 earthquake, whichagrees with sedimentological data from the nearby ancient harbour ofPhalasarna, which was uplifted about 6.5 m in AD 365.The following evidence indicates that Western Crete is not seismicallyquiescent, as previously believed on the basis of historical data, but that ithas been affected by very strong, AD 365-type earthquakes followed byrelatively quiescence periods, that were at least several thousand years long:(1) Major earthquakes of Western Crete produced coastal uplift orsubsidence, while coastal stability indicates the absence of strongearthquakes; such stability characterizes this part of the island after AD365; (2) No evidence of earthquakes exist in the archaeological record ofKisamos between AD 365 and circa AD 650 and of Chania since AD1400/1500. 相似文献
18.
Changes expected in Mexico City's seismic response due to land subsidence caused by groundwater extraction are examined. Settlements of the land surface observed in the recent past are compiled and processed to predict regional subsidence in the near future. This information is used in combination with the iso-depth and iso-period maps stipulated by the building code to estimate the compaction of surface sediments and the shortening of soil periods. The time-progressive evolution of the official seismic zoning maps and the associated site-specific response spectra is predicted. The same is done with spectral response contours expressed in terms of the site and structure periods. The subsidence effects are considered through an impact factor, which represents the increase or decrease in the spectral ordinates with respect to the current values specified for design purposes. The detrimental or beneficial effects depend on the relative values of the structure and site periods. 相似文献
19.
Youcef Bouhadad 《Journal of Seismology》2001,5(4):541-558
The murdjadjo (Oran) geological structure which consists of an asymmetricfold has been studied. The anticline has a length of about 32 km and isN050 trending. Its relationship with the relatively high historical seismicityof the region is analysed. New critical investigations of contemporary documents enabled us to re-evaluate the December, 12, 1959(Ms = 4.7) and the May 12, 1889 (Ms = 4.6) earthquakes. Fieldobservations reveal the existence of a fault which affect the south-easternflank of the Murdjadjo anticline. The fault dips 60° to the NW andcut the tilted Neogene deposits which juxtaposes the Quaternary tilteddeposits. A NE-SW-trending direction of stream pattern underlies thefaulted flank of the anticline. Furthermore, offset of stream patternindicate a strike lateral slip component of the fault. Marine terracesmapped along the Oran coast indicates a uniform uplift rate of0.18 mm/yr which may be compared to the coseismic rate obtained inthe chelif region. Also, development of secondary small plain on theuplifted flank, the high subsidence in the Mleta quaternary plain whichjuxtaposes the faulted flank constitute evidence of recent tectonicmovements. The Murdjadjo fault, composed by two segments, mayproduce in the future strong earthquakes of magnitude equal or greaterthan 6.5. This fact suggests that the Oran earthquake of October 9, 1790(M = 7.5) which produced sea waves along the Spanish coast is likelygenerated by the Murdjadjo fault- related fold. Recurrence of earthquakedetermined on the basis of historical seismicity suggests a return period ofabout 1000 years for an earthquake of M = 7.3 which seem underestimatedcompared to the paleoseismic data available in The Tell atlas of Algeria. 相似文献
20.
Chieh-Hung Chen Ta-Kang Yeh Jann-Yenq Liu Chung-Ho Wang Strong Wen Horng-Yuan Yen Shu-Hao Chang 《Surveys in Geophysics》2011,32(3):291-313
An earthquake process includes pre-seismic stress accumulation, co-seismic rock rupture and post-seismic elastic and/or viscoelastic
rebound. Although co-seismic and post-seismic deformations have been readily observed using the global positioning system
(GPS), detecting pre-seismic stress accumulation hidden in time-series data remains challenging. This study applies the Hilbert–Huang
transform to extract non-linear and non-stationary pre-earthquake deformation data from GPS records for central Taiwan. By
converting the derived surface deformation into horizontal azimuths, the randomly oriented GPS-azimuths are reoriented in
a similar direction several days before and after earthquakes due to loading and rebound stress, respectively. Analytical
results demonstrate that the stress accumulation and release along the entire course of an earthquake process provide significant
evidence supporting the seismic rebound theory. This finding would be applicable to areas with dense GPS networks and active
plate interactions. Surface deformations detected by the proposed analytical technique have encouraging potential for mitigating
future seismic hazards. 相似文献