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1.
The issues of assessing variability of 137Cs fallout of global and Chernobyl origin at reference sites are discussed with a purpose to use this isotope as a tracer for estimating the rates of erosion-accumulative processes. It is shown that local variability of soil contamination by 137Cs at reference sites is within 7–20%, which makes it possible to use the isotope as a tracer. When studies are conducted within drainage basins, the available trend of the atmospheric 137Cs fallout should be taken into account in assessing the soil and sedimentation redistribution.  相似文献   

2.
The analysis of possible mechanisms of 137Cs concentration changes in surface waters was performed in the process of preparation of reliable long-range forecasts of radioactive river contamination after the Chernobyl accident. The following mechanisms were considered: (1) radioactive decay; (2) advective transport with river waters; (3) irreversible sorption; (4) vertical migration deep into bottom sediments due to diffusion; (5) burial in clean bottom sediments. The data published on 137Cs monitoring at Dobrush, on the Iput’ River in Belarus were used in the analysis. It is shown that the best agreement with the experimental results is achieved when the second, third, and fifth mechanisms are used in calculations. However, a dominating mechanism still cannot be chosen at the present stage of our study. Most probably, all of these mechanisms act simultaneously.  相似文献   

3.
A method for identifying past radiation events from dated layers of bottom sediments in stagnant water bodies is described. Results of an experimental study (2005–2006) of the samples of bottom sediments in the pond of the Timiryazev dendropark in Moscow are considered. The sediment layers are dated with 210Pb. The same radionuclide is used as a tracer for calculating the rate of sedimentation in the pond, which is estimated at 0.3–0.4 cm/year. The maximum 137Cs values are detected in the 0–24 cm column at depths of 7 and 13 cm. The 137Cs peak at a depth of 13 cm is dated as 1963, which reflects the maximum global fallout from the atmospheric nuclear weapon tests. A small peak of this radionuclide at 7 cm is dated as 1986. It appears to be attributed to the long-range fallout after the Chernobyl NPP accident. The origin of the 137Cs maximum at a depth of 13–14 cm is confirmed by characteristic ratios of radionuclide pairs available in the global fallout in the Moscow region. The ratios of 90Sr/137Cs = 0.6 and 239,240Pu/137Cs = 0.03 in the 13–14 cm layer are characteristic of the global radioactive fallout from nuclear explosions. In the layers above this maximum, such ratios vary sharply toward the enhanced 137Cs content in the fallout.  相似文献   

4.
New data are obtained on cesium 137 contamination after the Chernobyl NPP accident of settlements, agricultural lands, and forest areas in four Russian regions most affected by the accident: the Bryansk, Kaluga, Orel, and Tula regions. The new information was used to qualify the database on radioactive contamination of these areas. The renewed database was used as a basis for compiling maps on the terrain contamination by cesium 137 in 2006 and a series of prognostic maps with a ten-year interval from 2016 to 2056. The assessment of the dynamics of a change in the zonal areas with different levels of contamination by cesium 137 and the time when the patterns of respective contamination levels disappear in these areas is specified.  相似文献   

5.
Chernobyl radioactivity in precipitation was measured at Tsukuba, Japan, as were both surface-air concentrations and particle-size distributions of Chernobyl-released radionuclides. To understand the wet removal processes of the Chernobyl radionuclides, i.e.137Cs,103Ru, and90Sr, wet deposition velocities were calculated. The wet deposition velocities of the Chernobyl radioactivity for individual rainfall events varied largely. The wet deposition velocity is given as the product of washout ratio and rainfall rate. Typically, it was found that the washout ratios of90Sr are systematically larger than those of137Cs. In order to explain this fact, we examined the relationship between the washout ratios and particle sizes of radionuclide-bearing aerosols. A positive correlation between corrected washout ratios and particle size was found with a particle diameter range from 0.35 to 1.2 µm. The result strongly suggests that the factors controlling the wet removal of the Chernobyl radioactivity for individual rainfall events are surface air concentration, particle size, and rainfall rate, rather than precipitation amount, which is in agreement with previous understandings. This suggests that high contamination areas of radioactivity are formed during heavy rainfall events with high rainfall rates in the case of tropospheric injection such as the Chernobyl accident.  相似文献   

6.
Quantitative environmental criteria for the radiation protection of aquatic ecosystems, namely, reference concentrations of radionuclides in water are developed. If activity concentrations of radionuclides do not exceed these levels, aquatic biota can be considered completely protected from the negative effects of ionizing radiation. Reference concentrations of radionuclides in environmental objects can be compared directly with the measurement data on radioactive contamination parameters that allows using them for the monitoring data interpretation. Reference concentrations of anthropogenic radionuclides in the sea and fresh water are calculated using the environmental criteria and are compared to the values of reference concentrations computed using the hygienic criterion. It is demonstrated that the current levels of concentration of 90Sr, 137Cs, and tritium in the seas, rivers, and lakes of Russia are considerably lower than the values of reference concentrations of these radionuclides calculated using the environmental criterion.  相似文献   

7.
The estimates of 137Cs emissions from the accident happened in Elektrostal at the beginning of April 12, 2013 are presented. The transport of radionuclides and their dry and wet deposition on the surface are computed using the Lagrangian stochastic model of the NOSTRADAMUS software package worked out by Nuclear Safety Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences. Prognostic fields of wind (horizontal and vertical components) in the lower troposphere, precipitation, and vertical and horizontal turbulence diffusivity coefficients in the lower atmosphere (up to 4 km) were used as input data. Prognostic fields were obtained using the WRF-ARW numerical mesoscale model.  相似文献   

8.
The aerosol deposition rate is computed for some chemical elements from the resuits of studies on the elemental composition of atmospheric aerosol and snow cover in the background and anthropogenic areas in the Primorskii krai as well as for the radionuclide 137Cs and suspended matter from the data of atmospheric radioactive pollution monitoring. Taking into account the differences in sampling methods, the rather close values of deposition rate were obtained for chemical elements and radionuclide.  相似文献   

9.
Radionuclide composition of soils near craters produced by excavation explosions “1003” and “1004” in 1965 at the Semipalatinsk test site is characterized as of 2005. A conclusion is made that radionuclides 137Cs, 152Eu, 154Eu, 155Eu, 241Am, and 60Co do not penetrate deeper than the upper 2 cm of the chestnut solonetz-like soil. The patterns after the explosions studied can be traced over the terrain near the crater ejecta to present. Contamination levels rapidly decrease with the distance from the ground zero. It is demonstrated that technogenic soils in the region of nuclear tests in a dry-steppe zone can be a source of dust and secondary air contamination.  相似文献   

10.
The Chernobyl NPP accident resulted, due to the western atmospheric transfer, in the formation of a pattern crossing the Central Russian Upland and its surroundings in the latitudinal direction. A volatile long–lived dose-forming radionuclide 137Cs prevailed in the fallout. A peculiar character of the Central Russian Upland division by valleys and balkas could result in a 20–year period in radioactivity displacement down the slop to valleys. This article is devoted to checking the significance of such changes. The issue on revealing the differences between the measured contamination density values 21 years after the depositions and the expected values (calculated with the correction for 137Cs decay) is also under consideration.  相似文献   

11.
The estimate of the release of radioactive substances (133Xe, 131I, and 137Cs) into the atmosphere from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster is presented. It was obtained using the FLEXPART Lagrangian dispersion model and the data of local ground-based measurements of radiation dose rate. The computation period covers the active phase of the nuclear disaster that lasted 20 days after the tsunami. To get the quantitative characteristics of emissions of radioactive substances, the inverse modeling based on the Bayesian approach is used. The emissions were estimated for three altitudes. The total emissions are equal to 2.1 + 0.4 kg (14 000 + 2700 PBq) for 133Xe, (3.8 + 0.4) x 10-2 kg (174 + + 18 PBq) for 131I, and 5.7 + 1.2 kg (18 + 4 PBq) for 137Cs that is consistent with the results of other studies. Retrieved emissions were used to provide the forward modeling for mapping the areas of radionuclide deposition. The developed method of retrieving the emission of radioactive substances makes a useful instrument that operationally estimates and localizes the areas of potential pollution in case of nuclear accidents and could be used for making decisions on the population evacuation.  相似文献   

12.
Flood hazard is expected to increase in the context of global warming. However, long time-series of climate and gauge data at high-elevation are too sparse to assess reliably the rate of recurrence of such events in mountain areas. Here paleolimnological techniques were used to assess the evolution of frequency and magnitude of flash flood events in the North-western European Alps since the Little Ice Age (LIA). The aim was to document a possible effect of the post-19th century global warming on torrential floods frequency and magnitude. Altogether 56 flood deposits were detected from grain size and geochemical measurements performed on gravity cores taken in the proglacial Lake Blanc (2170?m?a.s.l., Belledonne Massif, NW French Alps). The age model relies on radiometric dating (137Cs and 241Am), historic lead contamination and the correlation of major flood- and earthquake-triggered deposits, with recognized occurrences in historical written archives. The resulting flood calendar spans the last ca 270?years (AD 1740–AD 2007). The magnitude of flood events was inferred from the accumulated sediment mass per flood event and compared with reconstructed or homogenized datasets of precipitation, temperature and glacier variations. Whereas the decennial flood frequency seems to be independent of seasonal precipitation, a relationship with summer temperature fluctuations can be observed at decadal timescales. Most of the extreme flood events took place since the beginning of the 20th century with the strongest occurring in 2005. Our record thus suggests climate warming is favouring the occurrence of high magnitude torrential flood events in high-altitude catchments.  相似文献   

13.
A multi-chamber model of radioactivity migration in reservoirs was developed. It describes transport of radioactive substances in water and in bed sediments taking into account sorbtion of radionuclides on suspended particles. The model provides higher resolution than simplified chamber models do. At the same time, unlike complex two- or three-dimensional dynamic models, it does not require hard-to-obtain data such as detailed data on bathymetry, currents and winds. The model was included into the Sybilla program code that was developed in the framework of the Rosatom project called PRORYV. The model was verified against the observed data on the contamination of the Kiev Reservoir with 137Cs in 1986.  相似文献   

14.
Turf-grass lawns are ubiquitous in the United States. However direct measurements of land–atmosphere fluxes using the eddy-covariance method above lawn ecosystems are challenging due to the typically small dimensions of lawns and the heterogeneity of land use in an urbanised landscape. Given their typically small patch sizes, there is the potential that CO2 fluxes measured above turf-grass lawns may be influenced by nearby CO2 sources such as passing traffic. In this study, we report on two years of eddy-covariance flux measurements above a 1.5 ha turf-grass lawn in which we assess the contribution of nearby traffic emissions to the measured CO2 flux. We use winter data when the vegetation was dormant to develop an empirical estimate of the traffic effect on the measured CO2 fluxes, based on a parametrised version of a three-dimensional Lagrangian footprint model and continuous traffic count data. The CO2 budget of the ecosystem was adjusted by 135gCm−2 in 2007 and by 134gCm−2 in 2008 to determine the natural flux, even though the road crossed the footprint only at its far edge. We show that bottom-up flux estimates based on CO2 emission factors of the passing vehicles, combined with the crosswind-integrated footprint at the distance of the road, agreed very well with the empirical estimate of the traffic contribution that we derived from the eddy-covariance measurements. The approach we developed may be useful for other sites where investigators plan to make eddy-covariance measurements on small patches within heterogeneous landscapes where there are significant contrasts in flux rates. However, we caution that the modelling approach is empirical and will need to be adapted individually to each site.  相似文献   

15.
对包括拉格朗日粒子模式在内的大气扩散模式,提供准确的源项有助于获取更好的模拟结果。以日本福岛核电站2011年3月发生的核泄漏事故为研究对象,采用日本原子能机构Terada源项以及挪威大气研究所Stohl源项,利用FLEXPART(FLEXible PARTicle dispersion mode)模拟了放射性物质137Cs在全球大气中扩散传输的过程,并利用大气辐射监测数据讨论了基于两种源项模拟烟云的时空分布特征,探讨了源项对模拟结果的不确定性影响。结果显示:Terada源项及Stohl源项之间释放总量、释放速率、释放高度等虽然略有差别,但总体趋势描述相似,使得基于两源项的模拟烟云的扩散过程及影响区域基本一致。两模拟烟云在中纬度西风带作用下,均表现为自西向东扩散,经过太平洋、美洲大陆、欧洲,最后在整个北半球传输。基于两源项在亚洲—太平洋及北美大陆等近距离的模拟烟云的首次到达时间与首次监测时间吻合度较好,在全球尺度上基于Stohl源项的模拟在首次到达时间方面表现更优。其次,基于两源项进行全球尺度的模拟,近距离站点的模拟效果优于远距离站点模拟效果,且基于Stohl源项的模拟精度较好,Terada源项可能存在低估。另外模式进行全球尺度的模拟时,针对不同粒子数目对模拟结果的影响进行了分析,发现粒子数目的多寡对模拟精度有所影响,也影响模拟烟云扩散后期的疏密程度。  相似文献   

16.
南京地区霾预报方法试验研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  
支持向量机(SVM)方法是基于统计学理论的一种新的机器学习方法,对解决小样本条件下的非线性问题非常有效.利用2004～2007年南京站的逐日常规观测资料以及同期南京市环境质量监测点的逐日污染物浓度资料,使用SVM分类和回归方法分别建立了南京地区霾日分类预报模型和有霾日14时(北京时间,下同)能见度预报模型.预报试验结果...  相似文献   

17.
Fire disturbance in many tropical forests, including peat swamps, has become more frequent and extensive in recent decades. These fires compromise a variety of ecosystem services, among which mitigating global climate change through carbon storage is particularly important for peat swamps. Indonesia holds the largest amount of tropical peat carbon globally, and mean annual CO2 emissions from decomposition of deforested and drained peatlands and associated fires in Southeast Asia have been estimated at ∼2000 Mt y-1. A key component to understanding and therefore managing fire in the region is identifying the land use/land cover classes associated with fire ignitions. We assess the oft-asserted claim that escaped fires from oil palm concessions and smallholder farms near settlements are the primary sources of fire in a peat-swamp forest area in Central Kalimantan, Indonesia, equivalent to around a third of Kalimantan's total peat area. We use the MODIS Active Fire product from 2000 to 2010 to evaluate the fire origin and spread on the land use/land cover classes of legal, industrial oil palm concessions (the only type of legal concession in the study area), non-forest, and forest, as well as in relation to settlement proximity. We find that most fires (68–71%) originate in non-forest, compared to oil palm concessions (17%–19%), and relatively few (6–9%) are within 5 km of settlements. Moreover, most fires started within oil palm concessions and in close proximity to settlements stay within those boundaries (90% and 88%, respectively), and fires that do escape constitute only a small proportion of all fires on the landscape (2% and 1%, respectively). Similarly, a small proportion of fire detections in forest originate from oil palm concessions (2%) and within close proximity to settlements (2%). However, fire ignition density in oil palm (0.055 ignitions km−2) is comparable to that in non-forest (0.060 km-2 ignitions km-2), which is approximately ten times that in forest (0.006 ignitions km−2). Ignition density within 5 km of settlements is the highest at 0.125 ignitions km−2. Furthermore, increased anthropogenic activity in close proximity to oil palm concessions and settlements produces a detectable pattern of fire activity. The number of ignitions decreases exponentially with distance from concessions; the number of ignitions initially increases with distance from settlements, and, around from 7.2 km, then decreases with distance from settlements. These results refute the claim that most fires originate in oil palm concessions, and that fires escaping from oil palm concessions and settlements constitute a major proportion of fires in this study region. However, there is a potential for these land use types to contribute substantially to the fire landscape if their area expands. Effective fire management in this area should therefore target not just oil palm concessions, but also non-forested, degraded areas where ignitions and fires escaping into forest are most likely to occur.  相似文献   

18.
Studies of seasonal variability (including the winter season) of the main hydrodynamic, sedimentation, physicochemical and other characteristics of the Chazhma Bay of the Sea of Japan, in the zone of the atomic submarine K-431 nuclear accident of 1985 that influence the radioecological state of the environment was carried out. The substance fluxes required for estimating radionuclide balance are defined based on the expedition survey of radioactivity of bottom sediments, sea water, and suspension in the epicenter of the accident and over the water area of the bay together with hydrophysical, sedimentation, and meteorological observations. Modern trace methods and 3D prognostic modeling of interaction of natural and anthropogenic processes of evolution of radioactive contamination of the bottom sediments in the zone of the atomic submarine accident are used; a new approach to estimating the maximum contamination of the marine environment is proposed.  相似文献   

19.
The two-year (1999–2000) rainwater chemistry at two monitoring sites in nearby coastal areas [Taiwan (TW) and Hong Kong (HK)] within the Western Pacific region has been studied. The volume weighted average pH values for the entire sampling period in TW and HK were 4.6 and 4.2, respectively. Sea salt Na+ and Cl− were the most abundant species in the TW samples but and H+ were the most abundant in the HK samples. The sea salt and concentrations at TW were higher than those at HK both in the cold and warm seasons. Chloride depletion was minimal in the rainwater samples at both sites. Non seasalt- was associated with . Under the influence of the East Asian Winter Monsoon, the back-trajectory studies revealed that elevated anthropogenic species concentrations were associated with trajectories (1) very near to the continental boundary layer of Mainland China; or (2) along the coastline of Eastern China where large cities/industrial areas are located or (3) passing through the region of stagnant air over Northern/Eastern China. The lowest anthropogenic and crustal species concentrations measured in HK are associated with the summer monsoon and are attributed not only to the clean marine air masses but also to the relatively low SO2, NO x and NH3 emissions from the South/ South East Asian countries, as well as infrequent biomass burning activities and wet scavenging at sources during the summer months. Approaching tropical cyclones led to the lowest pH values (4.2 in TW and 3.8 in HK) amongst the other weather categories. The findings here have been compared with other studies within East Asia and elsewhere.  相似文献   

20.
For the first time we present a multi-proxy data set for the Russian Altai, consisting of Siberian larch tree-ring width (TRW), latewood density (MXD), δ13C and δ18O in cellulose chronologies obtained for the period 1779–2007 and cell wall thickness (CWT) for 1900–2008. All of these parameters agree well between each other in the high-frequency variability, while the low-frequency climate information shows systematic differences. The correlation analysis with temperature and precipitation data from the closest weather station and gridded data revealed that annual TRW, MXD, CWT, and δ13C data contain a strong summer temperature signal, while δ18O in cellulose represents a mixed summer and winter temperature and precipitation signal. The temperature and precipitation reconstructions from the Belukha ice core and Teletskoe lake sediments were used to investigate the correspondence of different independent proxies. Low frequency patterns in TRW and δ13C chronologies are consistent with temperature reconstructions from nearby Belukha ice core and Teletskoe lake sediments showing a pronounced warming trend in the last century. Their combination could be used for the regional temperature reconstruction. The long-term δ18O trend agrees with the precipitation reconstruction from the Teletskoe lake sediment indicating more humid conditions during the twentieth century. Therefore, these two proxies could be combined for the precipitation reconstruction.  相似文献   

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