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1.
A. N. Chetyrbotskii 《Water Resources》2006,33(3):264-273
Data of a sample from long-term observations (made with an interval of ten days) of ice cover state parameters in the Sea of Japan are analyzed. The results of analysis are used to formulate a model describing the evolution of ice floe distribution in terms of area and thickness. The obtained model is used to construct a model describing the evolution of ice thickness. Particular cases are studied analytically. A method for parametric identification of the model is considered and its adequacy is assessed against observed distributions. The model can be used to predict the state of the ice cover in the Sea of Japan. 相似文献
2.
GCM-based forecast simulations predict continuously increasing seasonality of the sea ice cover and an almost ice-free, summer-time, Arctic Ocean within several decades from the present. In this study we use a primitive equation ocean model: NEMO, coupled with the sea ice model LIM2, to test the hypothesis that under such an increased range in seasonal ice cover the intensity of shelf-basin water exchange will significantly increase. We use the simulated results for the Laptev Sea from a global model run 1958–2007 and compare results for two years with anomalously high and low summer sea ice extents: 1986–1987 and 2006–2007. The shelf–basin fluxes of volume, heat and salt during specific seasons are evaluated and attributed to plausible driving processes, with particular attention to dense water cascading. Analyses of the model temperature distribution at the depth of the intermediate maximum, associated with Atlantic Water, have shown a marked increase of the amount of the local origin cold water in late winter 2007 in the region, where dense water typically appears as a result of its formation on the shelf and subsequent downslope leakage. Calculation of the shelf-basin exchange during March-May in both years confirmed a substantial increase (a factor of two) of fluxes in “ice-free” 2007 compared to the “icy” 1987. According to several past model studies, dense water production on Arctic shelves in winter driven by ice freezing and brine rejection is not likely to cease in a warmer climate, but rather to increase. There is also observational evidence that cascading in the seasonally ice covered seas (e.g. the Barents Sea) is much more efficient than it is in the permanently ice covered Arctic Ocean, which supports these model results. 相似文献
3.
Hirose Nariaki Usui Norihisa Sakamoto Kei Tsujino Hiroyuki Yamanaka Goro Nakano Hideyuki Urakawa Shogo Toyoda Takahiro Fujii Yosuke Kohno Nadao 《Ocean Dynamics》2019,69(11):1333-1357
We developed a new system to monitor and forecast coastal and open-ocean states around Japan for operational use by the Japan Meteorological Agency. The system consists of an eddy-resolving analysis model based on four-dimensional variational assimilation and a high (2-km) resolution forecast model covering Japanese coastal areas that incorporates an initialization scheme with temporal and spatial filtering. Assimilation and forecast experiments were performed for 2008 to 2017, and the results were validated against various observation datasets. The assimilation results captured well the observed variability in sea surface temperature, coastal sea level, volume transport, and sea ice. Furthermore, the volume budget for the Japan Sea was significantly improved by the use of the 2-km resolution forecast model compared with the 10-km resolution analysis model. The forecast results indicate that this system has a predictive limit longer than 1 month in many areas, including in the Kuroshio current area south of Japan and the southern Japan Sea. In the forecast results of case studies, the 2017 Kuroshio large meander was well predicted, and warm water intrusions accompanying Kuroshio path variations south of Japan were also successfully reproduced. Sea ice forecasts for the Sea of Okhotsk largely captured the evolution of sea ice in late winter, but sea ice in early winter included relatively large errors. This system has high potential to meet operational requirements for monitoring and forecasting ocean phenomena at both meso- and coastal scales.
相似文献4.
W. P. Budgell 《Ocean Dynamics》2005,55(3-4):370-387
A dynamic–thermodynamic sea ice model has been coupled to a three-dimensional ocean general circulation model for the purpose of conducting ocean climate dynamical downscaling experiments for the Barents Sea region. To assess model performance and suitability for such an application, the coupled model has been used to conduct a hindcast for the period 1990–2002. A comparison with available observations shows that the model successfully tracks seasonal and inter-annual variability in the ocean temperature field and that the simulated horizontal and vertical distribution of temperature are in good agreement with observations. The model results follow the seasonal and inter-annual variability in sea ice cover in the region, with the exception that the model results show too much ice melting in the northern Barents Sea during summer. The spatial distribution of the winter simulated sea ice cover is in close agreement with observations. Modelled temperatures and ice concentrations in the central Barents Sea are biased too high and too low, respectively. The probable cause is too high inflow of Atlantic Water into the Barents. The seasonal and inter-annual fluctuations in temperature and sea ice cover in the central Barents are, however, in excellent agreement with observations. Salt release during the freezing process in the numerical simulation exhibits considerable inter-annual variability and tends to vary in an opposite manner to the net inflow volume flux at the western entrance of the Barents Sea. Overall, the model produces realistic ice-ocean seasonal and inter-annual variability and should prove to be a useful tool for dynamical downscaling applications. 相似文献
5.
Characteristics and distribution patterns of snow and meteoric ice in the Weddell Sea and their contribution to the mass balance of sea ice 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Based on snow- and ice-thickness measurements at >11 000 points augmented by snow- and icecore studies during 4 expeditions from 1986 - 92 in the Weddell Sea, we describe characteristics and distribution patterns of snow and meteoric ice and assess their importance for the mass balance of sea ice. For first-year ice (FY) in the central and eastern Weddell Sea, mean snow depth amounts to 0.16 m (mean ice thickness 0.75 m) compared to 0.53 m (mean ice thickness 1.70 m) for second-year ice (SY) in the northwestern Weddell Sea. Ridged ice retains a thicker snow cover than level ice, with ice thickness and snow depth negatively correlated for the latter, most likely due to aeolian redistribution. During the different expeditions, 8, 15, 17 and 40% of all drill holes exhibited negative freeboard. As a result of flooding and brine seepage into the snow pack, snow salinities averaged 4‰. Through 18O measurements the distribution of meteoric ice (i.e. precipitation) in the sea-ice cover was assessed. Roughly 4% of the total ice thickness consist of meteoric ice (FY 3%, SY 5%). With a mean density of 290 kg/m3, the snow cover itself contributes 8% to total ice mass (7% FY, 11% SY). Analysis of
6.
The formation of ice cover on lakes alters heat and energy transfer with the water column. The fraction of surface area covered by ice and the timing of ice-on and ice-off therefore affects hydrodynamics and the seasonal development of stratification and related ecosystem processes. Multi-year model simulations of temperate lake ecosystems that freeze partially or completely therefore require simulation of the formation and duration of ice cover. Here we present a multi-year hydrodynamic simulation of an alpine lake with complex morphology (Lower Lake Constance, LLC) using the three-dimensional (3D) model Aquatic Ecosystem Model (AEM3D) over a period of 9 years. LLC is subdivided into three basins (Gnadensee, Zeller See and Rheinsee) which differ in depth, morphological features, hydrodynamic conditions and ice cover phenology and thickness. Model results were validated with field observations and additional information on ice cover derived from a citizen science approach using information from social media. The model reproduced the occurrence of thin ice as well as its inter-annual variability and differentiated the frequency and extent of ice cover between the three sub-basins. It captured that full ice cover occurs almost each winter in Gnadensee, but only rarely in Zeller See and Rheinsee. The results indicate that the 3D model AEM3D is suitable for simulating long-term dynamics of thin ice cover in lakes with complex morphology and inter-annual changes in spatially heterogeneous ice cover. 相似文献
7.
A. V. Leonov 《Water Resources》2005,32(2):134-144
The available published data were used to reveal the principal conditions and factors that control the formation and evolution of the Black Sea water salinity. Formalization of the major processes that contribute to the formation of sea salinity structure enabled, based on the present-day data on water balance, the reproduction of profiles of water salinity and the coefficient of vertical water exchange K
Z
after 2, 4, 6, 8, and 10 ka since the beginning of water exchange with the Sea of Marmara through the Bosphorus. The time during which the present-day profile of the Black Sea water salinity had formed was evaluated. The results of simulation for different formation stages of the Black Sea salinity structure were used to determine the major ways of salt input into the sea (with river runoff and waters of the Lower Bosphorus Current) and its removal from the sea (the Upper Bosphorus Current). It was established that the Black Sea water salinity regime has virtually attained a stationary state.Translated from Vodnye Resursy, Vol. 32, No. 2, 2005, pp. 154–164.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Leonov. 相似文献
8.
Maki Morimoto Kyoko Kawanobe Osamu Abe Takayoshi Kawai Toshiyuki Kawamura Kunio Shirasawa 《水文研究》2010,24(7):904-916
In winter, lakes and lagoons at high altitudes or high latitudes have interesting hydrological cycles that differ from those in other seasons or in other regions, because water surfaces are covered with ice. Hydrological balances of lakes and lagoons are complex dynamic systems, and to elucidate them, isotopic tracers of water have been used as effective tools along with observations of precipitation, evaporation, inflows, and outflows. Here, to understand hydrological processes during freezing periods in the brackish Saroma‐ko Lagoon, Hokkaido, northern Japan, we examined horizontal and vertical distributions of salinity and isotope compositions of lagoon water and ice in 2005 and 2006. Horizontal and vertical gradients of salinity and isotope compositions were observed from the river mouth to the sea channel, and factors determining these distributions were considered. The mixing of freshwater and seawater and a freezing effect were presumed to be factors in relationships between salinity and isotopes and in relationships between surface waters and ice just above the water. A simple box model for water balance was constructed based on these putative factors to reproduce the distributions of salinity and isotope compositions of surface waters and ice. An evaluation of the model revealed that this hydrological system is controlled primarily by horizontal advection of the epilimnion, freshwater influx, and the ice growth rate. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
9.
Variability of dense water formation in the Ross Sea 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This paper presents results from a model study of the interannual variability of high salinity shelf water (HSSW) properties
in the Ross Sea. Salinity and potential temperature of HSSW formed in the western Ross Sea show oscillatory behaviour at periods
of 5–6 and 9 years superimposed on long-term fluctuations. While the shorter oscillations are induced by wind variability,
variability on the scale of decades appears to be related to air temperature fluctuations. At least part of the strong decrease
of HSSW salinities deduced from observations for the period 1963–2000 is shown to be an aliasing artefact due to an undersampling
of the periodic signal. While sea ice formation is responsible for the yearly salinity increase that triggers the formation
of HSSW, interannual variability of net freezing rates hardly affects changes in the properties of the resulting water mass.
Instead, results from model experiments indicate that the interannual variability of dense water characteristics is predominantly
controlled by variations in the shelf inflow through a sub-surface salinity and a deep temperature signal. The origin of the
variability of inflow characteristics to the Ross Sea continental shelf can be traced into the Amundsen and Bellingshausen
Seas. The temperature anomalies are induced at the continental shelf break in the western Bellingshausen Sea by fluctuations
of the meridional transport of circumpolar deep water with the eastern cell of the Ross Gyre. In the Amundsen Sea, upwelling
due to a persistently cyclonic wind field carries the signal into the surface mixed layer, leading to fluctuations of the
vertical heat flux, anomalies of brine release near the sea ice edge, and consequently to a sub-surface salinity anomaly.
With the westward flowing coastal current, both the sub-surface salinity and deep temperature signals are advected onto the
Ross Sea continental shelf. Convection carries the signal of salinity variability into the deep ocean, where it interacts
with modified circumpolar deep water upwelled onto the continental shelf as the second source water mass of HSSW. Sea ice
formation on the Ross Sea continental shelf thus drives the vertical propagation of the signal rather than determining the
signal itself. 相似文献
10.
For the identification of natural processes taking place in surface water layer in the Sea of Okhotsk and nearby water areas, satellite data were used to determine seasonal variations of chlorophyll “a” concentration and the problem of water typification by satellite data in the visible light range was solved. Analysis of the annual cycle of phytoplankton concentration variations confirmed the presence of a short explosion in phytoplankton population in the southern Sea of Okhotsk during ice cover formation, which had been predicted before by model calculations. Classes of water reflecting different geoenvironmental situations were identified for characteristic regions of the Sea of Okhotsk. The dependences of chlorophyll “a” concentration growth on temperature were calculated, and corrections were introduced in the standard relationships used in biooptic algorithms for different parts of the Sea of Okhotsk. 相似文献
11.
Effects of deforestation and weather on diurnal frost heave processes on the steep mountain slopes in south central Japan 
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下载免费PDF全文 Freezing and thawing processes play an important role for the gravitational transport of surface materials on steep mountain slopes in Japan. The effects of deforestation on frost heave activity were observed through the 2012/2013 winter season in Ikawa University Forest, a southern mountainous area in central Japan (1180–1310 m above sea level). During periods without snow cover, needle ice development prevailed at a clear‐cut site, and the downslope sediment movement of upper soil was 10 to 15 cm through the winter season. At a non‐cut site, rise and fall in the ground surface level prevailed on a weekly scale, with no evident downslope movements at the surface; ice lens formation in the soil layer is assumed. Abrupt changes in the radiation budget, such as the strengthening of nighttime radiative cooling and increases in daytime direct insolation, induced frequent development/deformation of needle ice at the clear‐cut site. In snow‐free periods, the day‐to‐day variability in needle ice growth length and in nighttime averaged net radiation showed significant correlations; cloudy weather with warmer and moist air intrusion associated with synoptic disturbances prevented the occurrence of needle ice. Namely, day‐to‐day weather changes directly affected the mass movement of the upper soil after deforestation. Shallow snow cover occurred discontinuously through the winter and is likely an important factor in keeping the soil moisture sufficiently high in the upper soil layer for initiating needle ice during snow‐free periods. We also discuss contributions of coastal extratropical cyclone activities providing both snow cover and cloudy weather in the southern mountain areas of central Japan to the intra‐seasonal variability in frost heave and its indirect effect on soil creep and landslides on the deforested steep slopes. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
12.
Takashi Ninomiya Sho Taniguchi Shoichi Shimoyama Koichiro Watanabe Tohru Danhara Hideki Iwano Kazuyuki Shiraishi Chitaro Gouzu 《Island Arc》2017,26(6)
The Okinoshima Formation crops out on Okinoshima Island and comprises a thick sequence (> 200 m) of pyroclastic rocks and alternating beds of sandstone and mudstone. Because Okinoshima Island is located between Honshu and Tsushima Island, the Okinoshima Formation potentially provides an important record of volcanism during the opening of the Japan Sea in northwest Kyushu, as well as a record of the formation of the present Genkai Sea region. In consideration of the lack of previous geochronological work, dating (fission‐track and U–Pb) of igneous zircons extracted from the Okinoshima Formation were undertaken and studied the clay mineral alteration in the pyroclastic material in order to reveal its thermal history. These data are used to constrain the age of the Okinoshima Formation and the present Genkai Sea region. Our results show that no thermal event has reset the fission‐track age after deposition of the pyroclastic rocks, and that the Okinoshima Formation was deposited at 16.2 Ma. The present Genkai Sea region is a deep‐sea basin, and its formation at 16.2 Ma was accompanied by submarine volcanism and rapid subsidence that marked the climactic stage of Japan Sea formation. After 16 Ma, the tectonic setting of the present Genkai Sea region changed from one of extension (related to the formation of the Japan Sea) to one of compression, with uplift occurring under the influence of the clockwise rotation of southwest Japan. Consequently, after 16 Ma the present Genkai Sea region became isolated from the forming processes of the Japan Sea. 相似文献
13.
The problem of the radioactive pollution of the ice cover is discussed in this paper. An estimation of the possible transport of the radionuclides by drifting ice from the Kara Sea into the Arctic Ocean is presented. The conclusion about the importance of the contribution of drifting ice to the contamination of the Greenland coastal water is based on the comparison of estimates of the multiyear export of radioactive drifting ice from the Kara Sea with the observed concentrations of the radionuclides in the Greenland coastal water. 相似文献
14.
An understanding of temporal evolution of snow on sea ice at different spatial scales is essential for improvement of snow parameterization in sea ice models. One of the problems we face, however, is that long‐term climate data are routinely available for land and not for sea ice. In this paper, we examine the temporal evolution of snow over smooth land‐fast first‐year sea ice using observational and modelled data. Changes in probability density functions indicate that depositional and drifting events control the evolution of snow distribution. Geostatistical analysis suggests that snowdrifts increased over the study period, and the orientation was related to the meteorological conditions. At the microscale, the temporal evolution of the snowdrifts was a product of infilling in the valleys between drifts. Results using two shore‐based climate reporting stations (Paulatuk and Tuktoyuktuk, NWT) suggest that on‐ice air temperature and relative humidity can be estimated using air temperature recorded at either station. Wind speed, direction and precipitation on ice cannot be accurately estimated using meteorological data from either station. The temporal evolution of snow distribution over smooth land‐fast sea ice was modelled using SnowModel and four different forcing regimes. The results from these model runs indicate a lack of agreement between observed distribution and model outputs. The reasons for these results are lack of meteorological measurements prior to the end of January, lack of spatially adequate surface topography and discrepancies between meteorological variables on land and ice. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
15.
The role of seamounts in the formation and evolution of sea ice is investigated in a series of numerical experiments with
a coupled sea ice–ocean model. Bottom topography, stratification and forcing are configured for the Maud Rise region in the
Weddell Sea. The specific flow regime that develops at the seamount as the combined response to steady and tidal forcing consists
of free and trapped waves and a vortex cap, which is caused by mean flow and tidal flow rectification. The enhanced variability
through tidal motion in particular modifies the mixed layer above the seamount enough to delay and reduce sea-ice formation
throughout the winter. The induced sea-ice anomaly spreads and moves westward and affects an area of several 100 000 km2. Process studies reveal the complex interaction between wind, steady and periodic ocean currents: all three are required
in the process of generation of the sea ice and mixed layer anomalies (mainly through tidal flow), their detachment from the
topography (caused by steady oceanic flow) and the westward translation of the sea-ice anomaly (driven by the time-mean wind). 相似文献
16.
The physical and biological environment of the Barents Sea is characterised by large variability on a wide range of scales.
Results from a numerical ocean model, SINMOD, are presented showing that the physical variability is partly forced by changes
in annual net ice import. The mean contribution from ice import in the simulation period (1979–2007) is about 40% of the total
amount of ice melted each year. The annual ice import into the Barents Sea varies between 143 and 1,236 km3, and this causes a substantial variability in the amount of annual ice melt in the Barents Sea. This in turn impacts the
freshwater content. The simulated freshwater contribution from ice is 0.02 Sv on average and 0.04 Sv at maximum. When mixed
into a mean net Atlantic Water (AW) inflow of 1.1 Sv with a salinity of 35.1, this freshwater addition decreases the salinity
of the modified AW to 34.4 and 33.9 for the mean and maximum freshwater fluxes, respectively. Ice import may thus be important
for the Barents Sea production of Arctic Ocean halocline water which has salinity of about 34.5. The changes in the ice melt
the following summer due to ice import also affect the formation of dense water in the Barents Sea by changing stratification,
altering the vertical mixing rates and affecting heat loss from the warm AW. The model results thus indicate that ice import
from the Arctic has a great impact on water mass modification in the Barents Sea which in turn impacts the ventilation of
the Arctic Ocean. 相似文献
17.
It is established that the formation and evolution of the anaerobic zone of the Black Sea are associated with the beginning and development of the most recent salinization of the sea and the formation of pycnocline at intermediate depths; a deterioration of deep-water aeration and the formation of anaerobic conditions in deeper layers; the rate of sulfate-reduction first in the near-bed layer and later, as oxygen is depleted, in the water mass. Formalization of these processes based on refined present-day data on water balance enabled the reproduction of profiles of water salinity and vertical-exchange coefficient for different formation stages of salinity regime in the Black Sea. The vertical distribution of oxygen and hydrogen sulfide is reconstructed, and the rates of oxygen consumption in water column and sulfate reduction in the near-bed layer and at the upper boundary of the anaerobic zone are evaluated in numerical experiments. The obtained data show the transformation of the vertical distribution of oxygen and hydrogen sulfide in the Black Sea from the beginning of its most recent salinization to the present-day state. It is shown that the anaerobic zone rises from 2000 to 200 m within 500–600 years (in the period 3.9–4.5 Ka from the beginning of water exchange through the Bosphorus), and next the upper boundary of the anaerobic zone slowly ascends up to its present-day position (130–180 m). Mathematical modeling was used to evaluate the fluxes of oxygen and hydrogen sulfide at different formation stages of the anaerobic zone in the sea.__________Translated from Vodnye Resursy, Vol. 32, No. 3, 2005, pp. 307–321.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Leonov, Shaporenko. 相似文献
18.
Global coupled climate models are generally capable of reproducing the observed trends in the globally averaged atmospheric
temperature. However, the global models do not perform as well on regional scales. Here, we present results from a 20-year,
high-resolution ocean model experiment for the Atlantic and Arctic Oceans. The atmospheric forcing is taken from the final
20 years of a twentieth-century control run with a coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model. The ocean model results
from the regional ocean model are validated using observations of hydrography from repeat cruises in the Barents Sea. Validation
is performed for average quantities and for probability distributions in space and time. The validation results reveal that,
though the regional model is forced by a coupled global model that has a noticeable sea ice bias in the Barents Sea, the hydrography
and its variability are reproduced with an encouraging quality. We attribute this improvement to the realistic transport of
warm, salty waters into the Barents Sea in the regional model. These lateral fluxes in the ocean are severely underestimated
by the global model. The added value with the regional model that we have documented here lends hope to advance the quality
of oceanic climate change impact studies. 相似文献
19.
Rainer Reuter Thomas H. Badewien Alexander Bartholomä Axel Braun Andrea Lübben Jürgen Rullkötter 《Ocean Dynamics》2009,59(2):195-211
In the tidal inlet between the East Frisian islands of Langeoog and Spiekeroog, southern North Sea, a time-series station
was set up in autumn 2002 as part of the research programme BioGeoChemistry of Tidal Flats run by the University of Oldenburg. The purpose of the station is to provide continuous data on physical, biological and
chemical parameters. In addition to instruments recording basic hydrographic and meteorological parameters, the time-series
station is equipped with acoustic Doppler profilers for measuring surface waves and current profiles. Compact optical spectrometers
are being used for spectral measurements of seawater transmission and for daylight reflectance. Additional sensors were installed
for measuring oxygen, nutrients and methane in the seawater. The data shall help to quantify the flux of dissolved and suspended
matter between the backbarrier tidal flat and the open sea and to characterise the material transformation in the tidal flat
area by biogeochemical processes over the tidal cycle. Due to its novel design, operation of the station is also possible
during winter and under extreme weather conditions (gales, storm surges, and sea ice) when data sampling with conventional
platforms such as research vessels, buoys, or smaller poles could not be performed in the past. In this way, time series of
data are obtained, which include events that are most relevant to the evolution of this coastal area. The performance of the
station and its equipment are presented with data covering 6 years of operation. Time series of air and water temperature
as well as seawater salinity demonstrate the multiyear dynamics of these parameters in the East Frisian Wadden Sea. Hydrographic
data collected under specific meteorological conditions such as gales and storm surges exemplify the all-weather capabilities
of the station and its value for studying hydrographic processes in the Wadden Sea. 相似文献
20.
Claude R. Duguay Greg M. Flato Martin O. Jeffries Patrick Mnard Kim Morris Wayne R. Rouse 《水文研究》2003,17(17):3465-3483
A one‐dimensional thermodynamic model for simulating lake‐ice phenology is presented and evaluated. The model can be driven with observed daily or hourly atmospheric forcing of air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, cloud amount and snowfall. In addition to computing the energy balance components, key model output includes the temperature profile at an arbitrary number of levels within the ice/snow (or the water temperature if there is no ice) and ice thickness (clear ice and snow‐ice) on a daily basis, as well as freeze‐up and break‐up dates. The lake‐ice model is used to simulate ice‐growth processes on shallow lakes in arctic, sub‐arctic, and high‐boreal forest environments. Model output is compared with field and remote sensing observations gathered over several ice seasons. Simulated ice thickness, including snow‐ice formation, compares favourably with field measurements. Ice‐on and ice‐off dates are also well simulated when compared with field and satellite observations, with a mean absolute difference of 2 days. Model simulations and observations illustrate the key role that snow cover plays on the seasonal evolution of ice thickness and the timing of spring break‐up. It is also shown that lake morphometry, depth in particular, is a determinant of ice‐off dates for shallow lakes at high latitudes. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献