共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 78 毫秒
1.
Peter Congdon 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2013,15(2):149-167
Analysis of premature mortality variations via standardized expected years of life lost (SEYLL) measures raises questions about suitable modelling for mortality data, especially when developing SEYLL profiles for areas with small populations. Existing fixed effects estimation methods take no account of correlations in mortality levels over ages, causes, socio-ethnic groups or areas. They also do not specify an underlying data generating process, or a likelihood model that can include trends or correlations, and are likely to produce unstable estimates for small-areas. An alternative strategy involves a fully specified data generation process, and a random effects model which “borrows strength” to produce stable SEYLL estimates, allowing for correlations between ages, areas and socio-ethnic groups. The resulting modelling strategy is applied to gender-specific differences in SEYLL rates in small-areas in NE London, and to cause-specific mortality for leading causes of premature mortality in these areas. 相似文献
2.
Three-dimensional modelling from single images remains an interesting topic of investigation in the research community, even though range sensors are becoming a common alternative for the generation of 3D information. The interest in single-image-based modelling is motivated by a wide spectrum of applications such as cultural heritage, civil engineering, urban planning and even criminology. In this paper a complete new production flowline is presented for modelling based on a single image. The modelling process consists of a series of familiar steps in photogrammetry and computer vision: feature extraction, vanishing point computation, camera self-calibration, 3D reconstruction and dimensional analysis. In particular, the methodology developed for single-image-based modelling takes a scientific approach combining several proven techniques with robust estimators. Finally, in order to demonstrate its capabilities, the reported examples include several real situations applied in different contexts. 相似文献
3.
Longitudinal mortality data with few deaths usually have problems of zero-inflation. This paper presents and applies two Bayesian models which cater for zero-inflation, spatial and temporal random effects. To reduce the computational burden experienced when a large number of geo-locations are treated as a Gaussian field (GF) we transformed the field to a Gaussian Markov Random Fields (GMRF) by triangulation. We then modelled the spatial random effects using the Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs). Inference was done using a computationally efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) called Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) suited for GMRF. The models were applied to data from 71,057 children aged 0 to under 10 years from rural north-east South Africa living in 15,703 households over the years 1992–2010. We found protective effects on HIV/TB mortality due to greater birth weight, older age and more antenatal clinic visits during pregnancy (adjusted RR (95% CI)): 0.73(0.53;0.99), 0.18(0.14;0.22) and 0.96(0.94;0.97) respectively. Therefore childhood HIV/TB mortality could be reduced if mothers are better catered for during pregnancy as this can reduce mother-to-child transmissions and contribute to improved birth weights. The INLA and SPDE approaches are computationally good alternatives in modelling large multilevel spatiotemporal GMRF data structures. 相似文献
4.
There has been a great deal of research into the short-term effects of air pollution on health with a large number of studies modelling the association between aggregate disease counts and environmental exposures measured at point locations, for example via air pollution monitors. In such cases, the standard approach is to average the observed measurements from the individual monitors and use this in a log-linear health model. Hence such studies are ecological in nature being based on spatially aggregated health and exposure data. Here we investigate the potential for bias in the estimates of the effects on health when estimating the short-term effects of air pollution on health. Such ecological bias may occur if a simple summary measure, such as a daily mean, is not a suitable summary of a spatially variable pollution surface. We assess the performance of commonly used models when confronted with such issues using simulation studies and compare their performance with a model specifically designed to acknowledge the effects of exposure aggregation. In addition to simulation studies, we apply the models to a case study of the short-term effects of particulate matter on respiratory mortality using data from Greater London for the period 2002–2005. We found a significant increased risk of 3% (95% CI 1–5%) associated with the average of the previous three days exposure to particulate matter (per 10 μg m−3 PM10). 相似文献
5.
DISCUSS: A Soft Computing Approach to Spatial Disaggregation in Economic Evaluation of Public Policies 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
For more than three decades cost‐benefit analysis (CBA) has been used in many countries as an important tool for evaluating public policies. More recently, participation of stakeholders in CBA processes has become an important issue for governments. However, CBA by itself does not provide a good environment for stakeholder participation. A major reason for this is the lack of spatial disaggregation in traditional CBA. In order to allow greater public participation, a GIS‐based approach is proposed. This approach uses a Geocomputational system, which incorporates soft computing theory with expert systems in a geographic information systems (GIS) environment. It is designed to generate representations of environmental, economic and social policy outcomes according to the perceptions of the stakeholders and after the CBA results have been obtained. The methodology proposed for modelling impacts in cases where uncertainty exists uses the soft computing theory of fuzzy logic to generate a raster map based on spatial inputs provided by the stakeholders involved in the decision process. This computer‐based system, called DISCUSS (Decision Information System for Community Understanding of Spatial Scenarios), is intended for situations where the government chooses to evaluate a policy using CBA and desires to encourage public participation in evaluating the results identified by the economic methodology. DISCUSS and the maps that it produces are being tested in a public participation case study with long‐term impacts over a large area of south‐eastern Australia. 相似文献
6.
A data-driven approach to local gravity field modelling using spherical radial basis functions 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
We propose a methodology for local gravity field modelling from gravity data using spherical radial basis functions. The methodology
comprises two steps: in step 1, gravity data (gravity anomalies and/or gravity disturbances) are used to estimate the disturbing
potential using least-squares techniques. The latter is represented as a linear combination of spherical radial basis functions
(SRBFs). A data-adaptive strategy is used to select the optimal number, location, and depths of the SRBFs using generalized
cross validation. Variance component estimation is used to determine the optimal regularization parameter and to properly
weight the different data sets. In the second step, the gravimetric height anomalies are combined with observed differences
between global positioning system (GPS) ellipsoidal heights and normal heights. The data combination is written as the solution
of a Cauchy boundary-value problem for the Laplace equation. This allows removal of the non-uniqueness of the problem of local
gravity field modelling from terrestrial gravity data. At the same time, existing systematic distortions in the gravimetric
and geometric height anomalies are also absorbed into the combination. The approach is used to compute a height reference
surface for the Netherlands. The solution is compared with NLGEO2004, the official Dutch height reference surface, which has
been computed using the same data but a Stokes-based approach with kernel modification and a geometric six-parameter “corrector
surface” to fit the gravimetric solution to the GPS-levelling points. A direct comparison of both height reference surfaces
shows an RMS difference of 0.6 cm; the maximum difference is 2.1 cm. A test at independent GPS-levelling control points, confirms
that our solution is in no way inferior to NLGEO2004. 相似文献
7.
Bamboo-dominated forests are unusual and interesting because their structure and biomass fluctuate in decades-long cycles corresponding to the flowering and mortality rhythm of the bamboo. In southwestern Amazonia, these forests have been estimated to occupy an area of approximately 160 000 km2, and a single reproductively synchronized patch can cover up to thousands of square kilometers. Accurate mapping of these forests is challenging, however: the forests are spatially heterogeneous, with bamboo densities varying widely among adjacent sites; much of the area is inaccessible, so field verification of bamboo presence is difficult to obtain and georeferenced records of past flowering events virtually non-existent; and detectability of the bamboo by remote sensing varies considerably during its life cycle. In this study, we develop a supervised time series segmentation approach that allows us to identify both the presence of bamboo forests and the years in which the bamboo flowering and subsequent mortality have occurred. We then apply the method to the entire Landsat TM/ETM+ archive from 1984 to the end of 2018 and validate the classification by visual interpretation of very high resolution imagery. Collecting accurate ground reference data of bamboo presence and bamboo mortality timing is notably difficult in these forests, and we therefore developed a methodology that takes advantage of imperfect reference data obtained from the Landsat time series itself. Our results show that bamboo forests can be differentiated from non-bamboo forests using any of the infrared bands, but band 5 produces the highest classification accuracy. Interestingly, there appears to be a temporal difference in the spectral responses of the three infrared bands to bamboo flowering and mortality: near infrared (band 4) reflectance reacts to the event earlier than shortwave infrared (bands 5 and 7) reflectance. The long Landsat TM/ETM+ archive allows our methodology to detect some areas with two mortality events, with a theoretical maximum interval of 29 years. Analysis of these pixels with repeated mortality confirms that the life cycles of the local bamboo species (Guadua sarcocarpa and G. weberbauerii) last typically 28 years. 相似文献
8.
The Expector Method provides an excellent basis for modelling soil and other environmental classes or properties using a combination of expert knowledge and empirical data. The ideas are based on probability theory, and hence can be given a rigorous mathematical underpinning. Nevertheless, concerns have arisen regarding the published algebra used in deriving the equations underlying the model. We present corrections to key equations, improved notation to encourage future use of this methodology, and a simplification of the map purity extension to the formula that allows different weights to be applied to the evidence layers. We illustrate the methodology with an example of mapping soil parent materials. 相似文献
9.
Linda Gerkman 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2012,14(3):283-298
The aim of the paper is to model small scale neighbourhood in a house price model by implementing the newest methodology in spatial econometrics. A common problem when modelling house prices is that in practice it is seldom possible to obtain all the desired variables. Especially variables capturing the small scale neighbourhood conditions are hard to find. If there are important explanatory variables missing from the model, the omitted variables are spatially autocorrelated and they are correlated with the explanatory variables included in the model, it can be shown that a spatial Durbin model is motivated. In the empirical application on new house price data from Helsinki in Finland, we find the motivation for a spatial Durbin model, we estimate the model and interpret the estimates for the summary measures of impacts. By the analysis we show that the model structure makes it possible to model and find small scale neighbourhood effects, when we know that they exist, but we are lacking proper variables to measure them. 相似文献
10.
Understanding the dynamic interactions between forest ecosystems and water in the Mediterranean region is essential for increasing ecosystem services. Even if many studies were implemented to analyse the variations of water and net primary productivity (NPP) in the last decade, this is still an important research question especially for the Eastern Mediterranean, where the research attempts are limited. The main objective of this study was to carry out a comparative analysis of catchment runoff generation and forest NPP and to reveal their temporal dynamics at basin scale in a semi-arid Mediterranean environment. The methodology consisted three steps: (i) estimating catchment runoff generation by implementing process-based J2000 modelling suite, (ii) modelling NPP of the land cover/use types by adapting an ecosystem-process model (BIOME-Biogeochemical cycles) and (iii) assessing the spatio-temporal variability of NPP and runoff dynamics by incorporating the modelling results with multiple regression analysis. Model simulations showed that temperature highly contributed to NPP variations of needle-leaf forests and grasslands. The multiple regression analysis also indicated that runoff was influenced by elevation, precipitation and forest cover. This relationship showed that the inter-annual variability in forest NPP would relate to the variations in runoff distribution across a small Mediterranean subcatchment. 相似文献
11.
This paper presents the first application of spatially correlated neutral models to the detection of changes in mortality rates across space and time using the local Morans I statistic. Sequential Gaussian simulation is used to generate realizations of the spatial distribution of mortality rates under increasingly stringent conditions: 1) reproduction of the sample histogram, 2) reproduction of the pattern of spatial autocorrelation modeled from the data, 3) incorporation of regional background obtained by geostatistical smoothing of observed mortality rates, and 4) incorporation of smooth regional background observed at a prior time interval. The simulated neutral models are then processed using two new spatio-temporal variants of the Morans I statistic, which allow one to identify significant changes in mortality rates above and beyond past spatial patterns. Last, the results are displayed using an original classification of clusters/outliers tailored to the space-time nature of the data. Using this new methodology the space-time distribution of cervix cancer mortality rates recorded over all US State Economic Areas (SEA) is explored for 9 time periods of 5 years each. Incorporation of spatial autocorrelation leads to fewer significant SEA units than obtained under the traditional assumption of spatial independence, confirming earlier claims that Type I errors may increase when tests using the assumption of independence are applied to spatially correlated data. Integration of regional background into the neutral models yields substantially different spatial clusters and outliers, highlighting local patterns which were blurred when local Morans I was applied under the null hypothesis of constant risk.This research was funded by grants R01 CA92669 and 1R43CA105819-01 from the National Cancer Institute and R43CA92807 under the Innovation in Biomedical Information Science and Technology Initiative at the National Institute of Health. The views stated in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the NCI. The authors also thank three anonymous reviewers for their comments that helped improve the presentation of the methodology. 相似文献
12.
针对现有GPS时间序列研究中不同插值方法对比方面研究不足,文中选取ITRF2008框架下的7个IGS基准站坐标时间序列,按照其缺值情况分为6种方案,分别采用线性插值、三次样条插值、拉格朗日插值和建模插值等6种方法对不同缺值情况下的GPS时间序列进行插值,并对不同方法的插值效果进行对比分析．结果表明,三次样条插值和拉格朗日插值效果较差;当缺值数量较少时,最邻近插值、线性插值、三次多项式插值和建模插值效果相差不大;随着缺值数量的增加,建模插值效果最好． 相似文献
13.
Defining and Delineating the Central Areas of Towns for Statistical Monitoring Using Continuous Surface Representations 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
In the UK, the increasing availability of very high spatial resolution data using the unit post code as its geo-reference is making possible new kinds of urban analysis and modelling. However, at this resolution the granularity of the data used to represent urban functions makes it difficult to apply traditional analytical and modelling methods. An alternative suggested here is to use kernel density estimation to transform these data from point or area 'objects' into continuous surfaces of spatial densities. The use of this transformation is illustrated by a study in which we attempt to develop a robust, generally applicable methodology for identifying the central areas of UK towns for the purpose of statistical reporting and comparison. Continuous density transformations from unit post code data relating to a series of indicators of town centredness created using Arc/InfoTM are normalised and then summed to give a composite 'Index of Town Centredness'. Selection of key contours on these index surfaces enables town centres to be delineated. 相似文献
14.
从面向对象的基本概念出发，着重讨论了面向对象的空间数据模型的设计方法，完整地定义了空间数据模型中可能涉及的几种抽象数据类型，并介绍了一个面向对象的建模工具—对象联系图． 相似文献
15.
Automatic Surface Reconstruction Based on the Fusion of Fuzzy Logic and Robust Estimation Techniques
Farhad Samadzadegan Ali Azizi Caro Lucas & Michael Hahn 《The Photogrammetric Record》2002,17(100):651-674
Automatic surface reconstruction by means of digital image matching essentially involves computation in both image and object spaces. In image space, image matching is performed according to certain radiometric and geometric similarity criteria for conjugate point determination. The matching operations may therefore be regarded as decision–making processes. In practice, however, the similarity criteria for conjugate point determination demonstrate non–deterministic behaviour. Thus, the nature of these decision–making processes is more compatible with fuzzy reasoning concepts. In object space, on the other hand, surface reconstruction procedures, which operate on the basis of previously determined conjugate points, are essentially deterministic in nature and hence demand rigorous geometric modelling. In this paper, a new approach for automatic surface modelling is proposed, based on two different mathematical treatments: a fuzzy logic reasoning method for the conjugate point determination in image space; and a robust finite elements approach for the surface modelling in object space. Tests carried out on real data demonstrate the high potential of the strategy proposed. 相似文献
16.
时空一体化GIS-T数据模型与应用方法 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
在介绍与交通地理信息系统(GIS for transportation,GIS-T)相关的概念的基础上,归纳了GIS-T数据模型的发展和已经取得的主要成果,重点讨论了时空一体化GIS-T数据模型的基本框架。该模型着重解决了动态交通信息与道路网几何数据的一体化时空建模问题,并且进一步分析了GIS-T的基本技术方法,探讨了GIS-T的若干典型应用,并对该方向今后的研究进行了分析和展望。 相似文献
17.
Peter Congdon 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2008,10(3):217-239
To ensure health resources are equitably distributed, composite indices of population morbidity or “health need” are often
used. Measures of the dimensions of population morbidity (e.g. socioeconomic deprivation) relevant to health need are typically
not directly available but indirectly measured through census or other sources. This paper considers measurement of latent
population morbidity constructs using both health outcomes (e.g. hospital admissions, mortality) and observed area social
and demographic indicators (e.g. census data). The constructs are allowed to be spatially correlated between areas, as well
as correlated with one another within areas. The health outcomes may depend both on the latent constructs and on other relevant
covariates (e.g. bed supply), with some covariates possibly measured only at higher (regional) scales. A case study considers
variations in psychiatric admissions in 354 English local authority areas in relation to two latent constructs: area deprivation
and social fragmentation.
相似文献
18.
Relativity, or gravitational physics, has widely entered geodetic modelling and parameter determination. This concerns, first
of all, the fundamental reference systems used. The Barycentric Celestial Reference System (BCRS) has to be distinguished
carefully from the Geocentric Celestial Reference System (GCRS), which is the basic theoretical system for geodetic modelling
with a direct link to the International Terrestrial Reference System (ITRS), simply given by a rotation matrix. The relation
to the International Celestial Reference System (ICRS) is discussed, as well as various properties and relevance of these
systems. Then the representation of the gravitational field is discussed when relativity comes into play. Presently, the so-called
post-Newtonian approximation to GRT (general relativity theory) including relativistic effects to lowest order is sufficient
for practically all geodetic applications. At the present level of accuracy, space-geodetic techniques like VLBI (Very Long
Baseline Interferometry), GPS (Global Positioning System) and SLR/LLR (Satellite/Lunar Laser Ranging) have to be modelled
and analysed in the context of a post-Newtonian formalism. In fact, all reference and time frames involved, satellite and
planetary orbits, signal propagation and the various observables (frequencies, pulse travel times, phase and travel-time differences)
are treated within relativity. This paper reviews to what extent the space-geodetic techniques are affected by such a relativistic
treatment and where—vice versa—relativistic parameters can be determined by the analysis of geodetic measurements. At the
end, we give a brief outlook on how new or improved measurement techniques (e.g., optical clocks, Galileo) may further push
relativistic parameter determination and allow for refined geodetic measurements. 相似文献
19.
F. Wild-Pfeiffer 《Journal of Geodesy》2008,82(10):637-653
Topographic and isostatic mass anomalies affect the external gravity field of the Earth. Therefore, these effects also exist
in the gravity gradients observed, e.g., by the satellite gravity gradiometry mission GOCE (Gravity and Steady-State Ocean Circulation Experiment). The downward continuation of the gravitational signals is rather difficult because of the high-frequency behaviour
of the combined topographic and isostatic effects. Thus, it is preferable to smooth the gravity field by some topographic-isostatic
reduction. In this paper the focus is on the modelling of masses in the space domain, which can be subdivided into different
mass elements and evaluated with analytical, semi-analytical and numerical methods. Five alternative mass elements are reviewed
and discussed: the tesseroid, the point mass, the prism, the mass layer and the mass line. The formulae for the potential,
the attraction components and the Marussi tensor of second-order potential derivatives are provided. The formulae for different
mass elements and computation methods are checked by assuming a synthetic topography of constant height over a spherical cap
and the position of the computation point on the polar axis. For this special situation an exact analytical solution for the
tesseroid exists and a comparison between the analytical solution of a spherical cap and the modelling of different mass elements
is possible. A comparison of the computation times shows that modelling by tesseroids with different methods produces the
most accurate results in an acceptable computation time. As a numerical example, the Marussi tensor of the topographic effect
is computed globally using tesseroids calculated by Gauss–Legendre cubature (3D) on the basis of a digital height model. The
order of magnitude in the radial-radial component is about ± 8 E.U.
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. 相似文献
20.
城市简单目标方向亮温研究 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1
本研究以哈尔滨野外试验数据为基础，分析了城市表面亮温分布地表测量中，典型目标选择、目标亮温变化以及分类等方面的问题。结果表明，城市典型目标的选择，不仅需用材料特性划分，而且还需考虑阳光与周围环境的变化。此外，城市典型目标的亮温在数值上均随测量时间改变，并且变化比较复杂，需深入研究。在以上实验分析的基础上，建立了一种简单情况下的城市方向亮温模拟模型。模型中，抓住部分建筑区楼房以行结构为主要空间分布特征的特点，将建筑物进行简化，得到了不同观测角度下城市方向亮温的数值。模拟结果显示，方向亮温极化图中出现了条带结构，这与实验结果很吻合，但未能发现热点效应，需要进一步深入研究。 相似文献