共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 500 毫秒
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研究了1970年以来发生于祁连—海原地震带的18次中强地震序列特征，在此基础上确定了地震序列类型，研究了各种类型地震序列的分布规律．结果表明，该带的18次中强地震序列中有44%为主震型，56%为孤立型．西海固地区的中强地震序列一般为孤立型；101°～103.5°E范围内的祁连山中东段的中强地震序列一般为主震型；99°～101°E范围内的祁连山中段为孤立型和主震型序列并存；99°E以西的祁连山西段的中强地震序列为孤立型．将上述结果应用于2000年6月6日景泰MS5.9地震的震后趋势快速判定，判定结果与实际地震活动情况符合． 相似文献
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浅析北天山西段与南天山中东段地震活动关系 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
对比分析了北天山西段与南天山中东段的地震活动关系,发现1935年以来两区地震活动水平相近,中强以上地震具有交替活动的特征,且有一定的成组性南北迁移的规律。时空扫描分析发现,北天山西段新源—温泉附近地区的中小地震集中活动对南天山东段中强地震的发生具有一定的前兆意义,南天山东段的4级地震频度的减小与北天山西段5级以上地震有一定的对应关系。并在一定程度上对两区域地震活动存在的以上规律和对应关系进行了分析。 相似文献
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分析了通渭温泉水汞的观测资料,对该泉水汞的映震能力做了讨论和分析。分析结果表明,该泉水汞异常与中强地震的对应率很高,主要为中短期趋势性异常,范围主要为甘肃中部地区(祁连山中东段地区),对附近地区的(100km左右)中小地震也有较高的对应率,为单点或多点突跳异常。 相似文献
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定义了“P轴分布集中度”用以研究中强地震前中小地震震源机制变化。利用祁连山中东段地区布设的中法微震数字监测台网多年的监测资料和甘肃数字监测台网的资料,使用P波和S波初动和振幅比联合反演方法反演了两次中等地震前震源区附近地区中小地震震源机制解和发震应力场;利用“P轴分布集中度”这一参数分析研究了这两次中等地震前中小地震震源机制和发震应力场的时间变化。结果表明,震前1~2年中小地震震源机制解P轴开始集中,在震前集中到大约与主震震源机制的发震应力场一致。 相似文献
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I. Charvátová 《Annales Geophysicae》2000,18(4):399-405
A solar activity cycle of about 2400 years has until now been of uncertain origin. Recent results indicate it is caused by solar inertial motion. First we describe the 178.7-year basic cycle of solar motion. The longer cycle, over an 8000 year interval, is found to average 2402.2 years. This corresponds to the Jupiter/Heliocentre/Barycentre alignments (9.8855 × 243). Within each cycle an exceptional segment of 370 years has been found characterized by a looping pattern by a trefoil or quasitrefoil geometry. Solar activity, evidenced by 14C tree-ring proxies, shows the same pattern. Solar motion is computable in advance, so this provides a basis for future predictive assessments. The next 370-year segment will occur between AD 2240 and 2610. 相似文献
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特殊天象组合期与地震发震关系的检验及应用 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
本文分析了1951—1980年内全球≥7级地震、中国≥6级地震发震时刻与特殊天象组合期的关系。分析结果得到:就全球大地震来说,组合期的意义不大,但对中国≥6级地震来说,则有一定意义。组合期内发生地震的可能性平均比平常要大1.12倍,特别是华北地区大达2.25倍。发现太阳活动强弱对于地震发震的调制作用是比较明显的。 据30年的检验,认为天象组合期及太阳活动性对于中国地震,特别是华北地震有一定的触发作用。今后应继续发布每年的“组合期”及太阳活动程度,以供地震部门使用。 相似文献
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磁暴活动与云南新一轮地震活跃期分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
对通海地磁台记录的磁暴(K指数≥5)年频次分析发现,磁暴活动的周期有强弱之分,与云南省地震活跃期和平静期对比分析看到,磁暴活动较强的周期时段与云南地震的活跃期相对应,磁暴活动较弱的周期时段与云南地震活动平静期相对应.目前,云南地震平静期已持续15年,即将进入第Ⅴ活跃期,大震发生的危险逐日增强.磁暴发生的数目和太阳活动有... 相似文献
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Bruce R. Bowman W. Kent Tobiska Michael J. Kendra 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2008,70(11-12):1482-1496
The goal of this study was to characterize the thermospheric semiannual density response to solar heating during the last 35 years. Historical radar observational data have been processed with special orbit perturbations on 28 satellites with perigee heights ranging from 200 to 1100 km. Approximately 225,000 very accurate average daily density values at perigee have been obtained for all satellites using orbit energy dissipation rates. The semiannual variation has been found to be extremely variable from year to year. The magnitude of the maximum yearly difference, from the July minimum to the October maximum, is used to characterize the yearly semiannual variability. It has been found that this maximum difference can vary by as much as 100% from one year to the next. A high correlation has been found between this maximum difference and solar EUV data. The semiannual variation for each year has been characterized based on analyses of annual and semiannual cycles, using Fourier analysis, and equations have been developed to characterize this yearly variability. The use of new solar indices in the EUV and FUV wavelengths is shown to very accurately describe the semiannual July minimum phase shifting and the variations in the observed yearly semiannual amplitude. 相似文献
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Despite substantial progress in atmospheric modeling, the agreement of the simulated atmospheric response to decadal scale solar variability with the solar signal in different atmospheric quantities obtained from the statistical analysis of the observations cannot be qualified as successful. An alternative way to validate the simulated solar signal is to compare the sensitivity of the model to the solar irradiance variability on shorter time scales. To study atmospheric response to the 28-day solar rotation cycle, we used the chemistry–climate model SOCOL that represents the main physical–chemical processes in the atmosphere from the ground up to the mesopause. An ensemble simulation has been carried out, which is comprised of nine 1-year long runs, driven by the spectral solar irradiance prescribed on a daily basis using UARS SUSIM measurements for the year 1992. The correlation of zonal mean hydroxyl, ozone and temperature averaged over the tropics with solar irradiance time series have been analyzed. The hydroxyl has robust correlations with solar irradiance in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere, because the hydroxyl concentration is defined mostly by the photolysis. The simulated sensitivity of the hydroxyl to the solar irradiance changes is in good agreement with previous estimations. The ozone and temperature correlations are more complicated because their behavior depends on non-linear dynamics and transport in the atmosphere. The model simulates marginally significant ozone response to the solar irradiance variability during the Sun rotation cycle, but the simulated temperature response is not robust. The physical nature of this is not clear yet. It seems likely that the temperature (and partly the ozone) daily fields possess their own internal variability, which is not stable and can differ from year to year reflecting different dynamical states of the system. 相似文献
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J.J. Blanco J. Rodríguez-Pacheco M.A. Hidalgo J. Sequeiros 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2006,68(18):2173-2181
When studying the heliospheric current sheet (HCS) local structure, it is not unusual to find wide HCS crossings. In this paper, we present one crossing that appears to have a complex internal structure composed of three parallel sheets and several possible HCS crossings that are consecutive and are on the order of minutes. Depending on their origin, different scenarios can explain multiple current sheets such as complex structures of helmet streamer at the Corona flowing into the solar wind, local waviness in the HCS structure, local oscillations of the HCS, and inverted magnetic fields or planar magnetic structures (PMS) close to the HCS. Distinguishing among these scenarios using just one observational point is very difficult because all of them are 3D structures. Nevertheless, we think that nearly parallel sheets are more likely in the first and in the last scenarios, i.e. multiple helmet streamer structure and PMS. In order to make the distinction between them, we have studied the possible reversal in the Qe·B sign for every event. Our results suggest that the existence of not-wide HCS composed of multiple parallel sheets cannot be rejected. 相似文献
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A. V. Solomatin 《Journal of Volcanology and Seismology》2014,8(1):54-68
We used the data on the activity of volcanoes in Kamchatka and the North Kuril Islands for the period from 1840 to early 2013 to identify the most significant cyclic components. The resulting periodicities were compared with the recurrence spectrum for great (M ≥ 7.7) earthquakes in the Kuril-Kamchatka region for 1841–2012. We detected 52.8–54.0, 8.58, and 5.72-year cycles, which are common both to seismicity and to volcanic activity. The first interval is close to the three times the value of the 18.613-year lunar rhythm (55.84 years). The 8.58 and 5.72-year periodicities seem to be controlled by solar activity variations and are the second and third harmonics in the 17.15-year cycle. This cycle and its harmonics are used for long-term prediction of great (M ≥ 7.7) earthquakes in the Kuril-Kamchatka region as a whole. It was concluded that the existing increased hazard of great earthquake occurrence in the Kuril-Kamchatka region will last until February 2016 (a 40% probability of a great earthquake during that period). In addition, the long-period phase of increased seismic hazard will last until 2027 with the probability of great earthquakes being 1.6 times the long-term average value. 相似文献
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The arrival time difference for the AB branch of PKP from deep Tonga earthquakes is constant over years with a standard deviation
of ±0.05 seconds at seismographs located 10 to 50 km from each other. If published travel time curves are used to calculate
the relative residuals of PKP the standard deviation from the constant mean is improved by approximately 0.01 seconds for
AB branch data. For the BC branch, standard deviations of relative travel times of ±0.06 seconds are reduced to less than
±0.05 seconds by calculating relative residuals. We conclude that changes of crustal transit time forP-waves could be resolved, based on careful PKP arrival time measurement at two or more neighboring stations if the changes
exceed 0.05 sec and last for more than one year. The conditions for achieving this result are that PKP from Tonga earthquakes
is clearly recorded, and that time-keeping is accurate. The data on which these conclusions are based were obtained from the
Graefenberg seismograph array, which is located in West Gemany and consists of 13 stations separated by distances of 10 km
to 100 km. We propose that relative arrival times of PKP from Tonga could be used in the Mediterranean - Middle East area
to search for precursory travel time changes before large earthquakes. 相似文献
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The last of a cycle of three papers aimed at searching for the influence of the gravitational tide on regional Greece seismicity using different techniques is presented. Twenty-five nonintersecting samplings of earthquakes in Greece compiled from events with different energy and time intervals were studied in the two previous papers (Desherevskii and Sidorin, 2012d, 2014). Stable diurnal and semidiurnal periodicities (24:00 and 12:00 h) were revealed in the seismicity spectra. Periodicities with a small amplitude with periods close to M2 and O1 tidal waves were also found in some samples. The correlation coefficients of all time series of earthquakes were calculated with the following theoretical tide parameters: volume deformation, strain rate, of strain rate modulus, and smoothed diurnal tidal amplitude. As the main result, stable significant correlation of seismicity was revealed with some tidal parameters. However, this could be the result of coincidence in periods of sub-harmonics of the diurnal seismicity rhythm with solar tidal waves. This means that the discovered correlation could simply be caused by the coincidence of two regular components in variations of the compared processes, but not with the gravitational tide. Correlations of seismic activity with solar and lunar tides are studied separately in this paper. This makes possible to separate the influence of gravitational and nongravitational factors. Strong correlation of seismicity was observed only with the solar tide. No stable correlation of seismicity with the lunar tide was revealed. The results can be considered evidence for the nongravitational origin of seismic activity variations that correlate with the tidal parameters. This means that tidal seismicity variations, if they are real, should have a much smaller amplitude in comparison with diurnal solar variations of nongravitational origin. Similar effects could cause wrong conclusions on the tidal influence on seismicity in some studies. 相似文献